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Live Market Updates

CBRT TRYing to Keep its Independence as Lira Hits All-Time Low

Updated  Feb 27, 2015 9:30:00 AM Written by Matt Weller, CMT

So much for ducking out of the office early! Markets are keeping traders on their toes on the final trading day of the week. In today’s European session, traders got their latest insight into the inflation picture in the Eurozone, and the news was modestly positive. Inflation came out better-than-expected in Spain (-1.1% y/y), Italy (+0.3%) and most importantly, Germany (+0.9%), suggesting that the Eurozone economy may finally be turning the corner on its fight [...] Continue Reading ...


Brent-WTI price gap widest since Jan 2014

Updated  Feb 27, 2015 7:50:00 AM Written by Fawad Razaqzada

Crude oil is trading higher on this last trading day of the week and the month. At a good $61 a barrel, Brent is also higher on the week but WTI is down as it hovers around the $49 level. The price differential between these two oil contracts has therefore grown to $12, the widest since January 2014. The widening of the price gap in part reflects the fact that the US oil output [...] Continue Reading ...


AUDJPY: the party may be over

Updated  Feb 26, 2015 10:31:51 PM Written by Chris Tedder

It has been a busy day in Asia after even busier sessions in North America and Europe. There has been a deluge of economic data from Japan, as well as some important moves in the FX market. This helped to push AUDJPY away from a key resistance zone around the top of its long-term downward channel. The aussie is back on the back foot today as investors price-in a greater chance of monetary policy [...] Continue Reading ...


EURJPY: Still Trapped in Triangle

Updated  Feb 26, 2015 3:20:45 PM Written by Neal Gilbert

The latter half of the North American trading session was much less thrilling than the first as the USD pwned everything else to start the day only to settle down substantially to end it. As much as the USD gained against everything, it seemed like the EUR lost just as much vs. the majors; the EUR/USD being the prime example. However, the EUR/JPY, which has been trapped in a triangle pattern similar to [...] Continue Reading ...


GBPUSD: Bulls on the Run After Failing to Hold Break Above Key 1.5480 Level

Updated  Feb 26, 2015 3:05:00 PM Written by Matt Weller, CMT

Over the last few weeks, there’s been plenty of volatility in stock, bond and commodity markets, but for the most part, currencies stubbornly stayed within their recent ranges. That all changed this morning, when just a modest beat on US Core CPI reinvigorated dollar bulls and led to a big breakout in the dollar index (see this morning’s report, “Could the Dollar Index Join the Century Club?” for more). This morning’s big move in [...] Continue Reading ...


IBEX: Spanish bulls raging through bear territory

Updated  Feb 26, 2015 12:25:00 PM Written by Fawad Razaqzada

It has been an interesting day in the markets as stocks and the dollar rallied, European benchmark government bond yields hit fresh record lows and the euro dropped to 1.1200. The single currency’s drop follows its failure to move noticeably higher after Greece’s bailout programme was extended. It was thus only a matter of time before the sellers would return to take advantage of the interest rate differential between the Eurozone and the [...] Continue Reading ...


EURUSD: Beware the Bounce!

Updated  Feb 26, 2015 10:15:39 AM Written by Neal Gilbert

The early portion of the North American trading session has been quite exhilarating thus far with a bevy of inflationary indicators suggesting that our worst fears aren’t a reality in both the US and Canada. Core Consumer Price Indexes in both nations were better than anticipated which gave both the USD and the CAD a boost against all of the other major currencies; none more so than the EUR/USD which FINALLY broke through major support [...] Continue Reading ...


USD: Could the Dollar Index Join the Century Club?

Updated  Feb 26, 2015 9:10:00 AM Written by Matt Weller, CMT

It’s been a busy morning for US dollar traders, with an onslaught of data releases all hitting at 8:30 ET. In probably the most important report, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) fell by -0.7%, more than the 0.6% that traders and economists had been expecting. However, the Core CPI figure, which filters out volatile energy and food prices, actually came in above expectations at 0.2%. Given the Federal Reserve’s repeated comments that the fall in [...] Continue Reading ...


NZD/USD: could US CPI crush expectations and the Kiwi?

Updated  Feb 26, 2015 7:00:00 AM Written by Fawad Razaqzada

Today’s US Consumer Price Index reading at 13:30 GMT will be closely watched by market participants. The headline CPI figure is expected to show a reading of -0.6% for January, which, if correct, would move the year-on-year rate to just below zero and thus into deflation. The core CPI however is seen edging up 0.1% month-over-month after a flat reading in December. This would leave the year-over-year CPI steady at 1.6%. If the actual numbers [...] Continue Reading ...


AUD tanks as soft CAPEX data weighs on the rate outlook

Updated  Feb 25, 2015 9:23:48 PM Written by Chris Tedder

The Australian dollar is taking a hammering in Asia on the back of soft capital expenditure figures from the private sector. The figures are disappointing enough to tip the scales back in favour of further monetary policy loosening from the RBA next week. Prior to the data the OIS market appeared to be pricing in around a 40% chance of an interest rate cut next week, but that has jumped to just over 50% at [...] Continue Reading ...


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