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Live Market Updates

USDMXN – Banxico rate decision tomorrow, could test key 13.1500 resistance

Updated  Apr 24, 2014 2:15:00 PM Written by Chris Tevere, CMT

Towards the beginning of April USDMXN found support into the 12.96/9700 level, which saw the 38.2% retracement of the 2013-14 advance & the prior 2014 low, and has since rebounded to settle comfortably back above the psychological 13.0000 level – This has also been aided by poor economic data out of Mexico: • March CPI: 3.76% vs exp. 3.79% y/y, but down significantly from 4.23% in Feb.• Feb. Industrial Production: +0.7% vs. consensus +1.0% [...] Continue Reading ...


GBP/USD: Why Bulls Need to See a Close Above 1.6820 Soon

Updated  Apr 24, 2014 2:05:00 PM Written by Matt Weller

While we’ve seen elevated volatility in some of the commodity dollars this week, trade in the European currencies has been surprisingly subdued. My colleague Kathleen Brooks discussed the current 7-year low in EUR/USD volatility earlier today, but we are also keeping a close eye on the GBP/USD. Cable has only seen a 78-pip range thus far this week; if that range holds through tomorrow’s close, it would mark the smallest weekly range, including gaps, [...] Continue Reading ...


Gold jumps but 200-day average limiting the upside – for now

Updated  Apr 24, 2014 12:50:00 PM Written by Fawad Razaqzada

Gold prices were trading sharply lower first thing this morning as investors again showed a greater appetite for equities over the safe-haven metals after earnings results from Apple and Facebook both came in much better than expected last night. However, a sharp reversal followed in the afternoon which saw both gold and silver prices swing into the positive territory. It is difficult to pinpoint exactly what caused this reaction. Although some would point to news [...] Continue Reading ...


NASDAQ: what bubble?

Updated  Apr 24, 2014 10:10:00 AM Written by Kathleen Brooks

Earlier this month it looked like stocks were about to hit the skids on the backs of fears about a bubble, particularly in the technology sector. However, in the last 24 hours the view has changed markedly. Both Facebook and Apple announced monster profits. Facebook saw revenues increase by a whopping 72% and daily users of Facebook rose to 802 million, with a 40% jump in mobile users. Apple also surprised the naysayers and reported [...] Continue Reading ...


USD/ZAR: Is the Recent Bounce Just Another "False Dawn" for Bulls?

Updated  Apr 24, 2014 8:40:00 AM Written by Matt Weller

Two weeks ago, we highlighted the potential for a bottom to form near 10.35 on USD/ZAR (see “USD/ZAR: Could This Be a Near-Term Bottom?” for more). As it turned out, the pair did find floor near the highlighted level, and rates have since rallied back up to test the 10.60 level. That said, a much more important technical test looms before traders can shift back to an outright bullish bias. Yesterday, investors got [...] Continue Reading ...


US crude oil fundamentals point to lower prices

Updated  Apr 24, 2014 8:20:00 AM Written by Fawad Razaqzada

The price of crude remains supported almost entirely by concerns over geopolitical tensions in Ukraine and Libya. After all, one would have expected oil prices to be much lower than they actually are given the excessive supply of US oil and weaker demand. Nine months of blockages at oilfields and export terminals by armed rebels has seen Libya’s crude output reduce to about 220,000 barrels per day from 1.4 million bpd before the troubles began [...] Continue Reading ...


EUR steady after volatility drops to a multi-year low

Updated  Apr 24, 2014 6:30:00 AM Written by Kathleen Brooks

The FX market has failed to grab the headlines of late as stocks and earnings season hog the limelight. However, some interesting developments are taking place that are worth noting. In EURUSD two key things are worth pointing out: Why the drop in volatility? There could be two reasons for this: 1, the sovereign debt crisis is considered over by the markets, which has reduced expectations of a dramatic sell off in [...] Continue Reading ...


Technical update: Is AUDCAD running out of steam?

Updated  Apr 24, 2014 2:04:14 AM Written by Chris Tedder

AUDCAD has been in a broad upward trend all year but this may be about to come to an end. There are some technical signs that the pair may be running on fumes. There has been a bearish crossover in daily MACD, the pair is looking oversold on a weekly chart and there is a potential bearish divergence between price action and daily RSI. In saying that, it may be too early to get overly [...] Continue Reading ...


AUDNZD gets hit by Australia’s CPI data and a rate hike by the RBNZ

Updated  Apr 23, 2014 7:29:01 PM Written by Chris Tedder

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) raised the official cash rate by 25 bps to 3.00% as expected. The bank was unfazed by lower than expected inflation in Q1 and falling dairy prices over the last couple of months, as we suspected it would be. Over the medium-term inflation remains an issue for the RBNZ, with non-tradeables inflation gathering momentum and tradeables inflation only being held down by a strong exchange rate which the [...] Continue Reading ...


Kiwi rallies as RBNZ raised rates by 25bps to 3.00%

Updated  Apr 23, 2014 5:35:00 PM Written by Chris Tevere, CMT

The Kiwi has rallied after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand raised rates by 25bps to 3.00% – This was in-line with market expectations. Overall, the tone of the statement was slightly more upbeat and did little to suggest that future rate hikes would be on pause. As a result, the NZD has caught a bit across the board between 30-50 pips (at the time of this writing) and may be poised for further strength [...] Continue Reading ...


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