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Research Results

Results for 'EUR/CHF'

14 articles with this tag name

EURCHF: after the SNB, what next?

Updated  Dec 18, 2014 7:50:00 AM


The SNB’s surprise move has capped off an eventful week for the markets. The swissie had come under renewed pressure in recent days, but the SNB’s latest move has moved EURCHF out of the danger zone. Read our explainer below, to find out more. What is the SNB doing? In a surprise move, on Thursday the SNB announced that it was cutting interest rates into negative territory. The SNB’s 3-month libor target rate  [...] Continue Reading ...


Could the SNB Awaken EURCHF from its Slumber?

Updated  Dec 10, 2014 2:10:00 PM


In Washington Irving’s classic American short story Rip Van Winkle, the title hero encounters a strange band of Englishmen drinking and bowling in the woods. After drinking some moonshine with them, he drifts off to sleep. Upon waking up, he quickly discovers that something is wrong: he is unexpectedly sporting a foot-long beard, and despite returning to his hometown, he doesn’t recognize any of the citizens. As the reader soon comes to find, the moonshine  [...] Continue Reading ...


Recap: Swiss gold referendum: what does this mean for EURCHF?

Updated  Nov 28, 2014 6:05:00 AM


On Sunday 30th November the Swiss people will go to the polls to decide on a referendum on the Swiss Central Bank’s (the SNB) gold reserves. The proposal put forward by the right wing Swiss People’s Party would require the SNB to hold gold reserves equivalent to 20% of their total assets, all Swiss gold held with foreign central banks would need to be repatriated, and the SNB would need to commit to never selling  [...] Continue Reading ...


Swiss gold referendum: what does this mean for EURCHF?

Updated  Nov 25, 2014 7:20:00 AM


On Sunday 30th November the Swiss people will go to the polls to decide on a referendum on the Swiss Central Bank’s (the SNB) gold reserves. The proposal put forward by the right wing Swiss People’s Party would require the SNB to hold gold reserves equivalent to 20% of their total assets, all Swiss gold held with foreign central banks would need to be repatriated, and the SNB would need to commit to never selling  [...] Continue Reading ...


EURCHF: Knocking on the SNB’s Front Door at 1.20 Floor Street

Updated  Nov 11, 2014 8:25:00 AM


While I’ve had November 30th marked in my calendar for months now (it’s my wedding anniversary), FX traders from around the globe are starting to place a big red “X” on the day. That’s because Switzerland’s population will vote on a key referendum that day, with potentially huge implications for global markets: Swiss voters will decide whether the Swiss National Bank should increase its holdings of gold from 8% of FX reserves currently to 20%.  [...] Continue Reading ...


Dovish Draghi Unlikely to Help EURCHF Bounce from 2-Year Low

Updated  Nov 6, 2014 9:10:00 AM


Surprising no one, the ECB chose to leave its main interest rate unchanged in its November policy meeting, but the fireworks really started when ECB President Draghi took the stage for his press conference. Amidst rumors of discord within the ECB, Mario Draghi struck a firm dovish tone. In particular, two statements from his prepared remarks stood out: 1)      “[The ECB’s] balance sheet is expected to move towards the dimensions it had at the  [...] Continue Reading ...


EUR/CHF: Floored Again

Updated  Oct 24, 2014 10:49:47 AM


The North American trading session activity has been rather light so far as the lack of US data releases and the end to a busy week is keeping a lot of the usual liquidity at bay.  The one nugget of information that was released wasn’t all that encouraging for the US housing market though as New Home Sales failed to live up to expectations of 470k with a 467k print.  “That’s not that bad” is  [...] Continue Reading ...


EURCHF: Breakout from 16-Month Bear Trend Line Portends Further Strength

Updated  Oct 9, 2014 3:50:00 PM


While volatility has finally picked up in the US dollar and global equities, there are still some pockets of the market that haven’t gone haywire (yet). One of the traditional havens for low volatility conditions, the EURCHF, remains relatively unperturbed with the big moves elsewhere. Thus far, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) has refused to follow the European Central Bank (ECB) down the “negative interest rate rabbit hole.” Instead of increasing selling pressure on EURCHF,  [...] Continue Reading ...


EURCHF Surges to 1.2115 Resistance as SNB Considers Going Negative

Updated  Sep 10, 2014 2:00:00 PM


On Monday, we shared our fundamental and technical outlook on EURCHF, concluding that, “...the SNB may eventually be forced to enact further rate cuts or nontraditional monetary policy measures” to stave off deflationary pressures and that the pair may bounce to converging resistance at 1.2115 (see “EURCHF: The SNB Remains Resolute about 1.20 Floor” below for more). As it turns out, SNB comments and the price action over the last 48 hours have borne out  [...] Continue Reading ...


EURCHF: will the SNB defend the 1.20 peg?

Updated  Aug 27, 2014 10:05:00 AM


Since the Swiss National Bank (SNB) imposed its peg in EUR/CHF, this cross has only traded below 1.20 a handful of times, and each time it has bounced off this important level of support. In the three years that the peg has been in place, the market hasn’t tested the SNB’s resolve with any gusto. The market has seemed to accept that you don’t push EUR/CHF below 1.20, otherwise the SNB will act and you  [...] Continue Reading ...


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