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Research Results

Results for 'EUR/CHF'

6 articles with this tag name

EUR/CHF: All is not lost…yet

Updated  Sep 22, 2015 3:15:00 PM

Two weeks ago, EUR/CHF finally regained the 1.10 level for the first time since “Black Thursday,” when the Swiss National Bank unexpectedly dropped its floor on the pair. Unfortunately for EUR/CHF bulls though, it’s starting to look like at least a portion of those gains were illusionary. Since the failed breakout, EUR/CHF consolidated below the 1.10 level throughout last week before turning definitively lower this week. As of writing, the unit is now trading beneath  [...] Continue Reading ...

EUR/CHF above 1.10 for first time since SNB’s bombshell

Updated  Sep 11, 2015 8:00:00 AM

The EUR/CHF has broken above 1.10 handle for the first time since THAT disastrous day in January when the Swiss National Bank (SNB) abandoned its policy of keeping the pair above the 1.20 floor. That decision saw the EUR/CHF plummet to as low as 0.97 before it starting to recover and then hit a ceiling around 1.0800 in February which led to a drop back below 1.03 by April.   But it looks like the  [...] Continue Reading ...

Euro Vulnerable to a Near-Term Dip if Q2 GDP Disappoints

Updated  Aug 13, 2015 9:20:00 AM

Early in tomorrow’s European session, the statistics agency Eurostat will release its flash estimate of
Q2 Eurozone GDP. After the first quarter’s solid, if unspectacular, 0.4% increase in the flash reading, traders are once again anticipating that the currency union’s economy grew by 0.4% q/q in the second quarter, which represents about a 1.5% annualized growth rate. You would be excused for expressing skepticism that the Eurozone grew at the same pace in Q2  [...] Continue Reading ...

Research Note: December ECB Policy Decision

Updated  Dec 7, 2011 3:15:00 PM

December ECB Policy Decision Summary Outlook: On Thursday, December 8 at 0745ET/1245GMT the ECB is expected to cut rates 25 bps to 1.00%, according to the vast majority of forecasts in Bloomberg surveys. A handful of estimates are split between a steady 1.25% rate and a 50 bp cut to 0.75%. We think the ECB will cut by 25 bps, but also that there is a greater potential for 50 bps than the surveys suggest.  [...] Continue Reading ...

Weekly Strategy-Buying EUR/CHF on SNB raising the floor, possible negative rates

Updated  Dec 1, 2011 5:30:00 PM

The Swiss government today gave indications it might adopt negative interest rates to assist the Swiss National Bank (SNB) in its efforts to weaken the Swiss franc (CHF). Negative rates, last used in the 1980's, would impose a cost on anyone holding CHF deposits or long-CHF FX positions, likely provoking an exodus from the currency. Additionally, there has been repeated talk in recent weeks that the SNB may announce it is raising the floor in  [...] Continue Reading ...

Weekly Strategy-Selling EUR/CHF on EU Summit Relief Rally

Updated  Jul 21, 2011 3:30:00 PM

Weekly Strategy update Aug 2, 2011 1200 ET: EUR/CHF has dropped below 1.10 and nearly reached the bear flag measured move objective around 1.0910/20... At this stage we would suggest taking profit on the remaining 50% short established at an average rate of 1.1805. At the minimum, stops should be lowered to 1.1060 to lock in the gains. Short-term charts look to show a potential descending wedge formation, which usually terminates with a break higher.  [...] Continue Reading ...


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