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Research Results

Results for 'EUR/CHF'

26 articles with this tag name

EURCHF: Is there Another Verse in the Bearish Song?

Updated  Apr 16, 2015 3:20:00 PM


Two weeks ago today, we highlighted the importance of the 1.0400 level in EURCHF, concluding that, If EURCHF drops through support at 1.0400, a continuation down toward the 50% Fibonacci retracement at 1.0260 is possible by mid-April” (see “EURCHF: 3 Reasons Why the 1.0400 Level is Crucial” for more). Lo and behold, yesterday marked the middle of the month, and EURCHF came within 15 pips of the key 50% Fibonacci retracement at 1.0260 overnight.  [...] Continue Reading ...


EURCHF: Rising Before the Fall?

Updated  Apr 14, 2015 11:13:06 AM


There were plenty of market moving releases that helped to kick start North American trade this morning as US Retail Sales and Producer Price Index both ushered the USD lower by failing to live up to expectations.  Retail Sales was the more noteworthy of the two as it only rose 0.9% whereas consensus was predicting a 1.1% rise; that makes four straight less than consensus results for the consumer based measure.  The miss puts  [...] Continue Reading ...


EURCHF: 3 Reasons Why the 1.0400 Level is Crucial

Updated  Apr 2, 2015 9:40:00 AM


Most currency pairs are consolidating in quiet trade today as traders are loath to put their capital at risk ahead of the tomorrow’s NFP report and a long holiday weekend (stay tuned for our full NFP preview report later this afternoon). At times like these, it pays to remember that the sideways market movements set the stage for more significant trends, and that traders who use these quiet periods to prepare for the inevitable breakouts  [...] Continue Reading ...


SNB: don’t expect a new EURCHF ceiling any time soon

Updated  Mar 19, 2015 8:30:00 AM


The Swiss National Bank (SNB) concluded its latest meeting today with no new policy decisions, but a hefty dose of fresh rhetoric. Some in the market had expected the SNB to implement a new peg, potentially to 1.10 in EURCHF, to limit swissie strength, however they were disappointed. The SNB didn’t change rates, deposit rates are already at -0.75%, but they did say that they would intervene directly in the FX market to stem swissie  [...] Continue Reading ...


EURCHF: A Valiant Effort

Updated  Mar 17, 2015 4:08:28 PM


Tensions are getting tighter around North America as we await the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy decision tomorrow and markets are beginning to tighten up because of it.  While the general consensus is that the Fed will drop the “patient” verbiage from their statement, what they replace it with is the big debate.  If they insinuate that rate increases could come as soon as June, the USD is likely to rise and stocks fall; however, if  [...] Continue Reading ...


EURCHF: Cracks beneath the Bullish Veneer

Updated  Feb 24, 2015 1:50:00 PM


A week ago today, we published a report highlighting a bullish cup-and-handle pattern on EURCHF, concluding that, “as long as EURCHF holds above its near-term bullish trend line (currently near 1.0580), the path of least resistance will remain higher for EURCHF” (see “Another Cup of Tea for EURCHF Bulls?” below). While the pair has not yet managed to rally to the 50% Fibonacci retracement and measured move target around 1.0860, the bullish trend line continues  [...] Continue Reading ...


EUR/GBP breaks major channel support

Updated  Feb 18, 2015 10:30:00 AM


The pound has surged higher following a brief hiccup at the start of the week, supported by some really good jobs market data from the UK. The main highlight was the 2.1% increase in wage growth in the three months to December. The figure, which includes bonuses, was up sharply from 1.7% the month before and easily topped expectations.  The rate of unemployment meanwhile fell to 5.7% – the lowest since 2008. Some 73.2% of  [...] Continue Reading ...


USDCHF: Just Go With It?

Updated  Feb 17, 2015 3:24:36 PM


Since January 15th of this year, when the Swiss National Bank made the notorious decision to pull out the rug on their self-imposed 1.20 floor in the EUR/CHF, there has been one relatively consistent pattern that has developed across all CHF currency pairs; they are all gradually clawing their way back.  My colleague Matt Weller highlighted one such scenario earlier today in the dreaded EUR/CHF, which has carved out a bullish cup and handle  [...] Continue Reading ...


What next from the SNB?

Updated  Feb 9, 2015 9:35:00 AM


It’s less than a month since the Swiss National Bank (ISNB) decided to drop its EUR/CHF peg. That move caused ructions in the market and a 20% increase in the Swiss franc’s value. But rather than sitting idly by after such a radical move, the SNB has been fairly active in the weeks since dropping the peg, and further action could be on the cards. Last week, rumours started to spread that the SNB could  [...] Continue Reading ...


EURCHF: is a 1.05- 1.10 corridor from the SNB realistic?

Updated  Feb 2, 2015 9:40:00 AM


The Swiss National Bank (SNB) stunned the FX market three weeks ago when it abandoned its CHF peg to the EUR without warning, sending the CHF sky high and EURCHF reeling. The initial reaction was a 20% drop in EURCHF, but since last week, EURCHF has been clawing back some recent losses, and is now at its highest level since the peg was dropped on 15th Jan. EURCHF is back above 1.05 at the  [...] Continue Reading ...


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