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Research Results

Results for 'EUR/CHF'

24 articles with this tag name

EURCHF: Cracks beneath the Bullish Veneer

Updated  Feb 24, 2015 1:50:00 PM


A week ago today, we published a report highlighting a bullish cup-and-handle pattern on EURCHF, concluding that, “as long as EURCHF holds above its near-term bullish trend line (currently near 1.0580), the path of least resistance will remain higher for EURCHF” (see “Another Cup of Tea for EURCHF Bulls?” below). While the pair has not yet managed to rally to the 50% Fibonacci retracement and measured move target around 1.0860, the bullish trend line continues  [...] Continue Reading ...


EUR/GBP breaks major channel support

Updated  Feb 18, 2015 10:30:00 AM


The pound has surged higher following a brief hiccup at the start of the week, supported by some really good jobs market data from the UK. The main highlight was the 2.1% increase in wage growth in the three months to December. The figure, which includes bonuses, was up sharply from 1.7% the month before and easily topped expectations.  The rate of unemployment meanwhile fell to 5.7% – the lowest since 2008. Some 73.2% of  [...] Continue Reading ...


USDCHF: Just Go With It?

Updated  Feb 17, 2015 3:24:36 PM


Since January 15th of this year, when the Swiss National Bank made the notorious decision to pull out the rug on their self-imposed 1.20 floor in the EUR/CHF, there has been one relatively consistent pattern that has developed across all CHF currency pairs; they are all gradually clawing their way back.  My colleague Matt Weller highlighted one such scenario earlier today in the dreaded EUR/CHF, which has carved out a bullish cup and handle  [...] Continue Reading ...


What next from the SNB?

Updated  Feb 9, 2015 9:35:00 AM


It’s less than a month since the Swiss National Bank (ISNB) decided to drop its EUR/CHF peg. That move caused ructions in the market and a 20% increase in the Swiss franc’s value. But rather than sitting idly by after such a radical move, the SNB has been fairly active in the weeks since dropping the peg, and further action could be on the cards. Last week, rumours started to spread that the SNB could  [...] Continue Reading ...


EURCHF: is a 1.05- 1.10 corridor from the SNB realistic?

Updated  Feb 2, 2015 9:40:00 AM


The Swiss National Bank (SNB) stunned the FX market three weeks ago when it abandoned its CHF peg to the EUR without warning, sending the CHF sky high and EURCHF reeling. The initial reaction was a 20% drop in EURCHF, but since last week, EURCHF has been clawing back some recent losses, and is now at its highest level since the peg was dropped on 15th Jan. EURCHF is back above 1.05 at the  [...] Continue Reading ...


EURCZK: Next to Pull the Peg?

Updated  Jan 23, 2015 3:17:32 PM


You know, it can’t be easy being a central banker right about now.  Currencies are swinging wildly on whims of individuals whom are likely growing gray hairs just thinking about what they should do next.  As my colleague Matthew Weller outlined earlier, the central bank world appears to be at war with one another, with the biggest player, the Federal Reserve, maintaining neutrality.  Of course, it could be argued that the Fed started this  [...] Continue Reading ...


AUDCAD: Parity or Parody?

Updated  Jan 22, 2015 11:26:08 AM


The day that every currency trader the world over had circled on their calendar has arrived as the European Central Bank has introduced their long anticipated Quantitative Easing program at their monthly meeting this morning.  The pulling of the EUR/CHF peg by the Swiss National Bank last week only served to increase the excitement and tension around the ECB’s meeting, and the ECB served up a QE program that satiated the masses to the tune  [...] Continue Reading ...


How will the ECB’s QE Announcement Impact EURUSD?

Updated  Jan 22, 2015 9:30:00 AM


Expectations were high heading into today’s ECB meeting, but “Super Mario” Draghi was up to the task. As we all know by now, the central bank announced a Quantitative Easing program to the tune of EUR 60B per month, beating the whisper expectations of 50B/month, and most importantly, committed to buying assets for at least 18 months (for more on the ECB’s announcement, see my colleague Kathleen Brooks’ report here). The market reaction to  [...] Continue Reading ...


GBPJPY: Resistance Looming

Updated  Jan 19, 2015 11:55:43 AM


The shock and awe of the Swiss National Bank’s actions late last week are still reverberating around the currency world as the fallout from the decision to pull the peg is still being sorted out.  The EUR/CHF in particular has appeared to find equilibrium as it has oscillated around parity since Friday.  Many have argued that the action by the SNB was in direct relation to their having knowledge of what the European Central Bank  [...] Continue Reading ...


Swiss shocker 2.0: After the dust settles

Updated  Jan 15, 2015 11:20:00 AM


The calm after the storm. After the SNB’s surprise decision to scrap its 1.20 EURCHF peg, this pair is trying to find its new equilibrium  around 1.0500, but it has come after a turbulent day when EURCHF fell to as low as 0.8517 at one stage. If EURCHF does settle somewhere around 1.05 – 1.10 zone then Swiss exporters and those that hold CHF-denominated debt need to get used to a new normal where the  [...] Continue Reading ...


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