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Research Results

Results for 'EURO'

63 articles with this tag name

Fed Headlines Busy Central Bank Roster

Updated  Dec 9, 2016 1:25:00 PM


This past week launched December’s lineup of major central bank decisions with relatively uneventful statements by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) and Bank of Canada (BoC), both of which kept interest rates unchanged. The RBA left its cash rate at the record low 1.50%, after having cut by 25 basis points back in July. The BoC also kept steady, leaving its overnight rate at 0.50% as it has remained for nearly a year and  [...] Continue Reading ...


EUR/USD whipsaws then plunges on mixed-to-dovish ECB message

Updated  Dec 8, 2016 11:30:00 AM


The European Central Bank (ECB) issued a somewhat surprising but rather mixed message on Thursday that led to a bit of a tailspin for the euro which quickly transformed into a steep dive for EUR/USD. The first surprise was that the central bank’s quantitative easing program consisting of extensive bond purchases will be extended for a longer-than-expected nine months – to December of 2017. The second surprise was that a firm date for a “tapering”  [...] Continue Reading ...


EUR/USD stuck between the ECB and Fed

Updated  Dec 6, 2016 1:40:00 PM


The resounding “no” that resulted from Italy’s referendum on constitutional reform over the weekend placed the future of the euro firmly in the spotlight, yet failed to weigh on the common currency in the immediate aftermath. The euro rebounded powerfully from its new lows against the dollar just a day after the vote, defying any concerns over the referendum’s potential financial and economic implications. However, the new post-Renzi (Italy’s outgoing PM Matteo Renzi) order is  [...] Continue Reading ...


Market Review & Outlook: Mixed Jobs Report Keeps High Fed Expectations Intact

Updated  Dec 2, 2016 10:40:00 AM


As we noted the day before Friday’s US jobs report, only a significantly worse-than-expected reading for November would have likely made the Federal Reserve’s next interest rate decision more difficult. A better-than-expected or in-line result would have simply reinforced the very high likelihood that the Fed would hike interest rates by 25 basis points on December 14. As it turns out, the jobs report was neither exceptionally positive nor overly negative, resulting in an expectedly  [...] Continue Reading ...


EUR/USD teeters above critical support

Updated  Nov 30, 2016 4:45:00 PM


The 1.0500 level has served as a major historical support area for EUR/USD within the past two years. Previously, the currency pair had not traded at these depths for more than a decade – since early 2003. While it was breached to the downside slightly and briefly in March of 2015, the 1.0500 level has been repeatedly tested and has held its ground several times since then. The last time the level was tested was  [...] Continue Reading ...


EUR/USD breaks down to new 2016 low as dollar extends strength

Updated  Nov 14, 2016 3:00:00 PM


In the midst of a Trump-driven rally in US equities and the dollar, and a corresponding rise in US interest rates as bond markets sell-off, the EUR/USD currency pair has broken down to new lows. Expectations of higher interest rates have been fueled by anticipation that President-elect Donald Trump will follow-through on his campaign promises of substantially greater spending on infrastructure and comprehensive tax cuts, which should result in significantly higher inflation. In turn, this  [...] Continue Reading ...


EUR/USD surges to critical level as dollar continues retreat ahead of Fed

Updated  Nov 2, 2016 12:00:00 PM


The US dollar has been increasingly pressured in the past several days, as it has retreated partly due to concerns that US Presidential Candidate Donald Trump has been gaining on his opponent Hillary Clinton. These concerns have helped to weigh on the greenback and sharply boost the EUR/USD currency pair up to a critical level. Arguably more pressing for the dollar in the longer-term than the unfolding Clinton/Trump political drama, however, is the monetary policy  [...] Continue Reading ...


EUR/USD bounces but bears still in control

Updated  Oct 27, 2016 12:15:00 PM


EUR/USD continued to push higher early on Thursday, extending its bounce from the new 7-month low of 1.0850 that was hit early this week. In the process of rebounding, the currency pair has re-approached a key resistance level around 1.0950 that was previously a major support level before being broken down a week ago. If this resistance level continues to hold, EUR/USD could soon see a sharp downturn to extend the recent bearish trend, especially  [...] Continue Reading ...


As election uncertainty fades, central banks to dominate currency moves

Updated  Oct 24, 2016 1:15:00 PM


With new polling indicating that Hillary Clinton’s lead over Donald Trump in the US presidential race has widened to double digits in the wake of last week’s debate and other controversies, markets have increasingly come to expect the likely prospect of a Clinton victory. However, the 2016 presidential campaign still has slightly more than two weeks to go, and an upset by the defiant Republican candidate remains a possibility, though currently rather slim. Markets have  [...] Continue Reading ...


Market Review & Outlook: After EUR and CAD Volatility, Markets Look to Fed and Election

Updated  Oct 21, 2016 12:40:00 PM


This past week brought some pronounced movements in currencies after two major central bank events prompted traders to run for the exits when it came to the euro and Canadian dollar. At the same time, the US dollar renewed its surge, which compounded the moves for both the EUR/USD and USD/CAD currency pairs. Looking forward, the key events on the immediate horizon that will be important for a broad range of markets, including currencies, commodities,  [...] Continue Reading ...


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