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Research Results

Results for 'Gold'

42 articles with this tag name

Gold: It’s Groundhog Day All Over Again for Frustrated Bulls

Updated  Jul 6, 2015 9:20:00 AM

Last week, we analyzed the (lack of) safe haven demand for gold in the wake of Greece’s deteriorating debt negotiations, noting that the yellow metal …[was] dramatically lagging its safe-haven rivals” and that “this week’s lackluster reaction suggests that gold may be losing its luster and on the verge of a big breakdown” (see “Gold: Safe Haven No More?”). Gold subsequently dropped to a new nearly 4-month low at 1156 on Thursday before recovering  [...] Continue Reading ...

Gold: moment of truth

Updated  Jul 2, 2015 12:10:00 PM

We have repeatedly commented that gold’s near term outlook does not look bright because of the apparent lack of interest from investors worried about the crisis in Greece. Whereas the European stock markets have fallen quite dramatically in response to the deteriorating Greek situation, the precious metal has barely shown much reaction. Admittedly, this has been in part because of the strength of the US dollars, which has been climbing steadily higher this week in  [...] Continue Reading ...

Gold: Safe Haven No More?

Updated  Jun 30, 2015 2:25:00 PM

One of the big themes we’ve been exploring this week as the Greek debt negotiations deteriorate (see my colleague Kathleen Brooks’ latest analysis of the situation here) is the appeal of so-called “safe haven” assets. Most traditional safe haven assets are acting as expected, with money flowing into the Japanese yen, US dollar, US Treasury bonds, and the Swiss franc (though the SNB’s decision to intervene in its currency may redirect some  [...] Continue Reading ...

Gold extends drop as risk appetite improves

Updated  Jun 23, 2015 10:35:00 AM

Gold has fallen quite sharply at the start of this week after rallying to a sturdy area of resistance at the end of last week – more on this later. The yellow precious metal is driven lower by a combination of factors, not least the significantly stronger appetite for riskier assets due to raised hopes over a deal for Greece. After the Greek government blinked at the weekend, investors were hoping for a resolution as  [...] Continue Reading ...

Gold rallies as dollar slumps on dovish Fed

Updated  Jun 18, 2015 12:30:00 PM

It has been a day of two halves for equity investors. Earlier this morning, the global stock markets were down across the board as investor sentiment was dominated by the uncertainty over Greece. But the markets then turned higher and the buying momentum accelerated when Wall Street opened for trading. Sentiment was lifted first and foremost on hopes over a possible deal for Greece today and after the Fed last night delivered a dovish message  [...] Continue Reading ...

Gold: lack of safe haven demand unnerves bulls

Updated  Jun 16, 2015 12:20:00 PM

Monday saw gold find some short-covering support around the technically-important $1180 area ahead of the Federal Reserve meeting on Wednesday. If the Fed produces a more dovish policy statement than expected, the dollar could lose further ground and this in turn may provide some support to buck-denominated commodities. Likewise, a more hawkish-than-expected message could send the dollar sharply higher and this could undermine commodities. Given this uncertainty, neither the bulls nor the bears are showing  [...] Continue Reading ...

Gold losing shine

Updated  Jun 11, 2015 1:00:00 PM

A few interesting things happened in the financial markets this afternoon. First, US retail sales came out significantly stronger than expected, causing the dollar to rally. But that wasn’t the interesting bit. After the initial rally, the dollar gave back a big portion of its gains, which for a time even lifted the NZD off its lows – by 75 pips, no less. The second interesting thing that happened was the extent by which the  [...] Continue Reading ...

NFP Instant Reaction: September Rate Hike Back in the Fed’s Crosshairs

Updated  Jun 5, 2015 9:00:00 AM

The US Non-Farm Payrolls report just hit the wires, showing an increase of 280k jobs in May vs. 222k expected, and while the headline reading was strong, the subcomponents of the report were even stronger. While the unemployment rate ticked up 0.1% to 5.5%, it was a “good” increase in unemployment: rather than being driven by more unemployed Americans, the rise was due to a rise in the labor force participation rate (the denominator  [...] Continue Reading ...

Gold Holding Make-or-Break Level at 1180…So Far

Updated  May 28, 2015 1:40:00 PM

Commodity bulls have had a rough couple of weeks across the board, with the broad CRB commodity index falling over 5% from the mid-May peak. The weakness has been widespread, with everything from industrial metals to agricultural commodities to oil all falling in tandem (see my colleague Fawad Razaqzada’s note from earlier today for more on oil). Though it’s also fallen with its commodity brothers, gold remains broadly rangebound around the 1200 level. Last week,  [...] Continue Reading ...

Gold on shaky footing as dollar surges

Updated  May 26, 2015 11:50:00 AM

Gold has been absolutely battered today. It has already shed some $20 from its opening price and as we go to press it is still hovering near the day’s lows. The considerably stronger dollar is chiefly responsible for this latest slide in the price of gold and other buck-denominated commodities. The greenback has found renewed strength in recent days thanks to a combination of stronger US data and a hawkish tone from the Federal Reserve.  [...] Continue Reading ...

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