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Technical Outlook

Technical Outlook

Product Momentum Strength Support Resistance
EUR/USD
3/26/2015 9:01:46 AM
1hr neutral 1.0955 1.1100
4hr bearish crossover 1.0890 1.1140
Daily bullish crossover 1.0825 1.1125

Comments: Is EUR/USD about to stage a sharp sell-off? The bulls were unable to hold ground above last Wesdnesday' s post FOMC high at 1.1040. But if this proves to be an invalid signal then a rally towards 61.8% Fibo and old support around 1.1100/25 may still be on.

Product Momentum Strength Support Resistance
GBP/USD
3/26/2015 9:11:14 AM
1hr neutral 1.4840 1.4915
4hr bearish crossover 1.4800 1.5000
Daily potential bullish crossover 1.4720 1.5150

Comments: GBPUSD bulls have huffed and puffed but so far their attempts to break above 1.50 and hold there on a closing basis have proved futile. It would be a bullish outcome if Cable closes above 1.50 in one of the upcoming sessions. Otherwise bearish until proven wrong.

Product Momentum Strength Support Resistance
USD/JPY
3/26/2015 9:18:05 AM
1hr bullish crossover 118.75 119.30
4hr bearish crossover 118.20 120.00
Daily bearish crossover 117.15 120.60

Comments: USDJPY has broken 119.30 support - unless it climbs back above this level, the ST bias is now bearish towards 61.8% Fibo at 118.20.

Product Momentum Strength Support Resistance
USD/CHF
3/26/2015 9:23:50 AM
1hr neutral 0.9490 0.9625
4hr bullish crossover 0.9450 0.9730
Daily bearish crossover 0.9425 0.9810

Comment: USDCHF is now not too far off the 38.2% Fibonacci retracment level at 0.9450. The 50-day SMA is slightly below this level at 0.9425. LT trend is bullish while above this 0.9425/45 area on daily closing basis. It would therefore be bearish if it closes below here.

Product Momentum Strength Support Resistance
AUD/USD
3/26/2015 9:33:29 AM
1hr bullish crossover 0.7815 0.7875
4hr bearish crossover 0.7800 0.7900
Daily bullish crossover 0.7705 0.8015

Comments: AUDUSD is testing its 50-day SMA (0.7815) as support after breaking above it and a bearish trend line recently. Key resistance is at 0.8015 - bulls would do well to push rates that high

Product Momentum Strength Support Resistance
USD/CAD
3/26/2015 9:44:40 AM
1hr neutral 1.2400 1.2530
4hr bearish crossover 1.2350 1.2670
Daily bearish crossover 1.2200 1.2800

Comments: USD/CAD is looking vulnerable as it comes crashing back down towards 1.24 handle. The RSI and MACD have both created bearish divergence and oil prices have bounced strongly. IF USD/CAD closes below 1.2400 this could give rise to further follow-up technical selling.

Product Momentum Strength Support Resistance
EUR/JPY
3/22/2015 9:53:39 PM
1hr bearish cross in MACD 129.50 130.50
4hr neutral 128.35 131.70
Daily possible bullish cross in MACD 126.95 131.95

Comments: The euro has recovered but the pair remains in a long-term downward trend. Possible medium-term strength

Product Momentum Strength Support Resistance
NZD/USD
3/22/2015 9:56:31 PM
1hr bearish cross in MACD 0.7550 0.7600
4hr neutral 0.7410 0.7685
Daily neutral 0.7320 0.7800

Comments: This pair is testing key resistance around 0.7600. Bias higher is broken; bias lower below 0.7600

Product Momentum Strength Support Resistance
EUR/GBP
3/22/2015 9:58:49 PM
1hr neutral 0.7230 0.7265
4hr neutral 0.7155 0.7300
Daily neutral 0.7095 0.7355

Comments: The pair has broken thorugh 0.7200, but remians in long-term downward trend

Product Momentum Strength Support Resistance
AUD/JPY
3/22/2015 10:00:45 PM
1hr neutral 93.25 94.00
4hr neutral 92.20 95.20
Daily neutral 91.80 95.95

Comments: BIas lower below 94.00. Above here to 94.50 and then 95.00

Product Momentum Strength Support Resistance
GBP/JPY
3/22/2015 10:04:20 PM
1hr bearish MACD cross 179.00 180.15
4hr neutral 177.75 181.10
Daily neutral 177.15 181.80

Comments: This pair is testing a key long-term support around trend line support and its 200 day SMA. Possible retracement above this level

Product Momentum Strength Support Resistance
CAD/JPY
3/22/2015 10:06:49 PM
1hr neutral 94.55 96.00
4hr neutral 94.20 96.95
Daily possible bearish cross in MACD 93.10 97.50

Comments: This pair is testing its 50day SMA. Above 96.00 we are eyeing the pair's 200day SMA, currently around 97.50

Disclaimer: The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient. Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warranty that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.

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