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Research Results

Results for 'AUD'

42 articles with this tag name

It’s a big day for the Aussie

Aktualisiert  Mar 31, 2014 7:15:24 PM


The Australian dollar is preparing for a big day, with the release of key Chinese economic data and a monetary policy meeting at the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). AUDUSD is holding just short of a resistance zone around 0.9300 and AUDJPY is testing an important long-term resistance level around 95.70/75. In China, the market awaits the release of March’s official Manufacturing PMI figure at 0100GMT (expected 50.1, prior 50.2), before HSBC’s releases its final  [...] Weiter lesen...


Fundamental Breakdown: USD saw a mixed performance in 1Q

Aktualisiert  Mar 31, 2014 4:35:00 PM


•  USD could not establish a trend as Fed tapering QE continued, but qualitative forward guidance emerged  
•  NZD advanced sharply as the RBNZ hiked rates by 25bps in March – First of G10 central banks to raise rates
•  AUD rallied as the RBA removed language signaling further rates cuts
•  JPY outperformed as the Nikkei 225 fell by nearly 9% in 1Q
•  NOK appreciated as pressure for a rate cut  [...] Weiter lesen...


Weekly Strategy-Selling AUD on Risk-off Potential, RBA

Aktualisiert  Jan 31, 2012 3:45:00 PM


AUD/USD may be in the process of forming a top below 1.0755/65 highs from early Sept. and late October. On a short-term basis, AUD/USD may have also registered a double top at 1.0680/85, where a break below the 1.0525 neckline would confirm the pattern and target a move lower to 1.0365 on a measured-move basis. AUD/USD has experienced consistent strength since Mid-December as risk appetite has generally been buoyant and commodities have seen steady demand  [...] Weiter lesen...


Research Note: December US Employment Report

Aktualisiert  Jan 5, 2012 3:55:00 PM


December US Employment Report Summary Outlook: On Friday, January 6, at 0830ET/1330GMT, the US Dept. of Labor will release December 2011 jobs statistics. The consensus expectation for the change in non-farm payrolls (NFP) is +155K (prior +120K/range of estimates +80/+220K); the consensus for the change in private payrolls is +175K (prior +140K/range +130K/+230K); and the unemployment rate is expected to rise to 8.7% from 8.6% (range 8.5%/8.8%), according to Bloomberg surveys of economists. The usual  [...] Weiter lesen...


Research Note: November US Employment Report (NFP)

Aktualisiert  Dec 1, 2011 3:45:00 PM


US Nov. Employment Report Summary Outlook: On Friday, Dec. 2 at 0830ET/1330GMT, the November employment report will be released. Expectations are for a non-farm payrolls change of +125K (prior +80K; range of estimates +75/+175), a private payrolls change of +150K (prior +104K; range +110/+190), and a steady 9.0% unemployment rate, according to Bloomberg surveys. This past Wednesday, the ADP national employment report, roughly comparable to private payrolls, showed a +206K increase, larger than the expected  [...] Weiter lesen...

Tags: AUD, EUR, NFP, NZD, RIsk, USD/JPY

Research Note: October US Employment Report (NFP)

Aktualisiert  Nov 1, 2011 3:45:00 PM


Research Note: October US Employment Report (NFP) Summary Outlook: On Friday, Nov. 4 at 0830EDT/1230GMT, the US will report jobs data for October. The Bloomberg consensus survey for the change in non-farm payrolls (NFP) is for +95K (prior +103K), with a high estimate of +150K and a low forecast of +50K. The survey view of the change in private payrolls (PP) is for +125K (prior +137K), with a range of estimates from +155K to +75K.  [...] Weiter lesen...


Research Note: Nov. 2011 FOMC Meeting

Aktualisiert  Nov 1, 2011 3:45:00 PM


Research Note: Nov. 2011 FOMC Meeting Summary Outlook: On Wednesday, November 2 at 1230EDT/1630GMT, the FOMC is expected to announce a mostly steady policy decision, but the focus will be on whether the Fed engages in a third-round of asset purchases or QE3. Bernanke will hold his quarterly press briefing later at 1415EDT/1815GMT, where he will also present the latest revisions to Fed GDP and CPI forecasts. In recent weeks, three voting members of the  [...] Weiter lesen...

Tags: AUD, EUR, Fed, FOMC, QE3, RIsk

Weekly Strategy-Sell AUD/USD for Another Wave of Risk Aversion

Aktualisiert  Oct 13, 2011 3:55:00 PM


AUD/USD has experienced an outsized rebound as markets were caught extremely short of risk following last weekend's pledge by German and French leaders to deliver a comprehensive solution to the Eurozone debt crisis. Whether or not they can actually come up with a credible plan remains to be seen, but regardless we think the global growth outlook is continuing to slow and that ultimately risk assets should move lower again. Our preference is to sell  [...] Weiter lesen...


Research Note: Sept. FOMC minutes

Aktualisiert  Oct 11, 2011 3:15:00 PM


Research Note: FOMC Minutes Wednesday, Oct. 12 Summary Outlook: On Wednesday at 1400EDT/1800GMT, the Fed will release the minutes of the Sept.20-21 FOMC meeting, at which the Fed unveiled ‘Operation Twist,’ its program of lengthening the maturities of Treasury debt in its portfolio to suppress long-term market interest rates. We think the crucial issue will be to what extent the FOMC discussed a third round of asset purchases, known as QE3. At this point, based  [...] Weiter lesen...

Tags: AUD, EUR, Fed, FOMC, GBP, USD

Weekly Strategy-Sell EUR/AUD near Range Highs

Aktualisiert  Oct 4, 2011 4:30:00 PM


EUR/AUD has had a sharp advance in the recent risk sell-off, as high beta/growth currencies like AUD get hit the hardest, even as EUR has slumped against the USD. The run-up in EUR/AUD has brought the pair within reach of recent multi-month range highs in the 1.4230/1.4350 area, which we think offers a good opportunity to short the cross. With the Eurozone debt crisis still undermining risk sentiment, we think the EUR remains biased lower.  [...] Weiter lesen...


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