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Research Results

Results for 'FOMC'

36 articles with this tag name

GBPUSD tests April lows ahead of key 1.5000 level

Aktualisiert  May 22, 2013 4:30:00 PM


Cable has once again extended its decline (over the past 48-hours) on the back of a combination of GBP weakness and USD strength. This was prompted by both fundamental and technical factors. Fundamental highlights contributing to GBPUSD decline: •  UK April CPI: +0.2% vs. expected +0.4% MoM  
•  UK April Retail Sales: -1.3% vs. consensus +0.1% MoM
•  UK April Public Finances: -10.8B vs. exp. -4.0B
•  Bank of England meeting minutes were  [...] Weiter lesen...

Tags: BOE, Cable, FOMC, GBPUSD, Technical Update, UK

Fundamental Update: The ECB, the Pope and the EUR

Aktualisiert  May 2, 2013 12:00:00 PM


It’s not often that the Pope gets mentioned in an ECB press conference, but that is what happened today. At his press conference Draghi was asked to comment on a tweet from Pope Francis about the tragedy of rising unemployment in the Eurozone. After a brief pause, Draghi said that the situation is frustrating for the ECB as well as the Vatican as its efforts fail to generate enough growth to get businesses hiring once  [...] Weiter lesen...

Tags: ECB, EURJPY, EURUSD, FOMC, Fundamental Update, NFP

AUDUSD approaching key support zone at 1.0220

Aktualisiert  May 2, 2013 5:30:00 AM


AUDUSD has dropped sharply in the last 24 hours, and followed the path of weaker stock markets. Global growth fears are the key driver including the Fed’s acknowledgement of weak US data along with weak Chinese data earlier this week. However, this cross is finding some support at 1.0220, which is exactly where it found support back on 23rd April after another sell off. This is significant support level that the market should respect  [...] Weiter lesen...

Tags: AUDUSD, ECB, FOMC

COMMODITIES: Is the oil spill set to continue?

Aktualisiert  May 2, 2013 4:00:00 AM


Brent crude oil was one of the casualties of the FOMC meeting last night, as the Fed sounded concerned about the recent deterioration in US economic data. Added to that Europe is weak and China also had some disappointing numbers earlier this week. A global economic slump this summer isn’t going to help oil demand; however, we need to balance that with the assumption that Opec desires a $100 per barrel floor in the oil  [...] Weiter lesen...

Tags: Brent Crude Oil, ECB, FOMC, Oil

FUNDAMENTAL UPDATE: May FOMC statement a near carbon copy to the one in March

Aktualisiert  May 1, 2013 2:30:00 PM


Today’s FOMC statement produced no major changes to monetary policy: Outside of the addition of “the Committee is prepared to increase or reduce the pace of its purchases to maintain appropriate policy accommodation as the outlook for the labor market or inflation changes”, the May FOMC statement was nearly a carbon copy to the one in March. Market response since the announcement:

*Below you will find the May and March statement comparison, with omissionsWeiter lesen...

Tags: Fed, FOMC, Fundamental Update, JPY, QE, USD

Hello 1.3200 in EURUSD

Aktualisiert  May 1, 2013 8:00:00 AM


The rally in EURUSD has been impressive this morning. Volume is thin as most of Europe and Asia are out on holidays, yet this baby continues to move higher. It appears that the EUR moves higher on the back of strong and weak economic data out of the US, the rally picked up with gusto after US mortgage application data was stronger than expected for last week. Positioning ahead of the FOMC is also likely  [...] Weiter lesen...

Tags: ECB, EURUSD, FOMC

USDCHF pauses for breath at 0.9300

Aktualisiert  May 1, 2013 3:30:00 AM


This cross is approaching a key support level at 0.9300, the 200-day sma. This comes after a sharp dollar sell off in recent days, which has seen USDCHF fall towards the bottom of its recent range. The market is pausing for breath as we lead up to the FOMC meeting later that will determine the medium-term direction of the USD (in our view). Watch out for a shallow pullback for the rest of the  [...] Weiter lesen...

Tags: FOMC, USDCHF

Dollar watch: Greenback struggles without yield support

Aktualisiert  May 1, 2013 3:00:00 AM


With Europe out on holiday today the focus in on the US. The dollar has been fairly quiet so far this morning after yesterday’s sharp selloff, but the longer term outlook still looks fairly bleak as investors have once again got the taste to ditch the dollar. The fundamental reasons to sell the dollar are compelling: the Chicago PMI reading released yesterday was the weakest since September 2009, inflation is low and the prospect of  [...] Weiter lesen...

Tags: dollar, Dollar index, FOMC

RESEARCH NOTE: May FOMC Meeting

Aktualisiert  Apr 30, 2013 3:45:00 PM


On Wednesday, May 1st at 14:00ET/18:00GMT, the FOMC will conclude their 2-day meeting and we do not anticipate any major changes to monetary policy or the Fed’s current $85B a month pace of Quantitative Easing – $45B of Treasuries and $40B of Mortgage-backed securities (MBS). Under this scenario, the markets will likely focus on the tone of the FOMC statement and for any potential indication on what may cause a change in the size, pace  [...] Weiter lesen...

Tags: Fed, FOMC, QE, Research note, USD

TECHNICAL UPDATE (II): EURUSD – The resumption of a downtrend?

Aktualisiert  Apr 17, 2013 4:00:00 PM


Since the Euro reached 1.3075 and 1.3120 over the past week or two, it satisfied two important things that technicians will look for during a correction – Closing a gap (from 3/15-18 weekend) & achieving the 38.2% retracement (of the 2013 decline). Price action shortly thereafter began to stagnate between the 100-day sma (1.3145/55) and the daily 144 & 169 EMA’s around 1.3030/40 for a few days. Finally, yesterday EURUSD saw a break above the  [...] Weiter lesen...

Tags: ECB, EURO, EURUSD, FOMC, Technical Update

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