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Research Results

Results for 'RIsk'

13 articles with this tag name

Asia Session: A short but not so sweet BoJ

Aktualisiert  Apr 26, 2013 1:01:09 AM


In a unanimous decision the BoJ elected to do nothing major at a monetary policy meeting today. In fact, the statement issued by the bank post-meeting was exceedingly short. This may have disappointed some investors looking for further guidance, but it comes after the massive amount of easing measures announced on the back of the bank’s last meeting. Given that the bank already has its hands full implementing prior easing measures and the fact that  [...] Weiter lesen...


Asia Session: Another blow to China’s recovery

Aktualisiert  Apr 23, 2013 12:50:03 AM


Investor sentiment took a hit on the back of weaker than expected manufacturing data out of China, with investors flocking to safe haven assets. The yen was a particular favourite of the market today, which isn’t surprising given its safe haven status and its failed attempt to push through 100.00 yesterday. USDJPY was sent below 99.00 on the back of China’s PMI data and continued to sell-off for the rest of the session, before eventually  [...] Weiter lesen...


Research Note: February BOE and ECB Meetings

Aktualisiert  Feb 8, 2012 3:45:00 PM


February BOE and ECB Meetings Summary Outlook: On Thursday, Feb. 9 at 0700ET/1200GMT the Bank of England is set to announce its policy decision, followed at 0745ET/1245GMT by the European Central Bank’s interest rate decision and the 0830ET/1330GMT ECB press briefing. Below is our outlook for those events. BOE Outlook: The BOE’s MPC is unanimously expected to hold interest rates steady at 0.5%, according to Bloomberg surveys of analysts and our own view. The MPC  [...] Weiter lesen...


Weekly Strategy-Selling AUD on Risk-off Potential, RBA

Aktualisiert  Jan 31, 2012 3:45:00 PM


AUD/USD may be in the process of forming a top below 1.0755/65 highs from early Sept. and late October. On a short-term basis, AUD/USD may have also registered a double top at 1.0680/85, where a break below the 1.0525 neckline would confirm the pattern and target a move lower to 1.0365 on a measured-move basis. AUD/USD has experienced consistent strength since Mid-December as risk appetite has generally been buoyant and commodities have seen steady demand  [...] Weiter lesen...


Research Note: January FOMC Decision and Press Briefing

Aktualisiert  Jan 24, 2012 2:30:00 PM


January FOMC Decision and Press Briefing Summary Outlook: Tomorrow, Wednesday, January 25, at 1230ET/1730GMT, the FOMC is expected to announce a steady interest rate policy of between zero-0.25% and deliver a largely unchanged economic outlook in its accompanying statement, but possibly noting cautious optimism on some fronts. Just prior to the 1415ET/1915GMT press briefing by Fed Chair Bernanke, the Fed will also release the quarterly update to its forecasts for GDP, unemployment and inflation, and  [...] Weiter lesen...


Research Note: December US Employment Report

Aktualisiert  Jan 5, 2012 3:55:00 PM


December US Employment Report Summary Outlook: On Friday, January 6, at 0830ET/1330GMT, the US Dept. of Labor will release December 2011 jobs statistics. The consensus expectation for the change in non-farm payrolls (NFP) is +155K (prior +120K/range of estimates +80/+220K); the consensus for the change in private payrolls is +175K (prior +140K/range +130K/+230K); and the unemployment rate is expected to rise to 8.7% from 8.6% (range 8.5%/8.8%), according to Bloomberg surveys of economists. The usual  [...] Weiter lesen...


Research Note: November US Employment Report (NFP)

Aktualisiert  Dec 1, 2011 3:45:00 PM


US Nov. Employment Report Summary Outlook: On Friday, Dec. 2 at 0830ET/1330GMT, the November employment report will be released. Expectations are for a non-farm payrolls change of +125K (prior +80K; range of estimates +75/+175), a private payrolls change of +150K (prior +104K; range +110/+190), and a steady 9.0% unemployment rate, according to Bloomberg surveys. This past Wednesday, the ADP national employment report, roughly comparable to private payrolls, showed a +206K increase, larger than the expected  [...] Weiter lesen...

Tags: AUD, EUR, NFP, NZD, RIsk, USD/JPY

Research Note: Nov. 2011 FOMC Meeting

Aktualisiert  Nov 1, 2011 3:45:00 PM


Research Note: Nov. 2011 FOMC Meeting Summary Outlook: On Wednesday, November 2 at 1230EDT/1630GMT, the FOMC is expected to announce a mostly steady policy decision, but the focus will be on whether the Fed engages in a third-round of asset purchases or QE3. Bernanke will hold his quarterly press briefing later at 1415EDT/1815GMT, where he will also present the latest revisions to Fed GDP and CPI forecasts. In recent weeks, three voting members of the  [...] Weiter lesen...

Tags: AUD, EUR, Fed, FOMC, QE3, RIsk

Research Note: October US Employment Report (NFP)

Aktualisiert  Nov 1, 2011 3:45:00 PM


Research Note: October US Employment Report (NFP) Summary Outlook: On Friday, Nov. 4 at 0830EDT/1230GMT, the US will report jobs data for October. The Bloomberg consensus survey for the change in non-farm payrolls (NFP) is for +95K (prior +103K), with a high estimate of +150K and a low forecast of +50K. The survey view of the change in private payrolls (PP) is for +125K (prior +137K), with a range of estimates from +155K to +75K.  [...] Weiter lesen...


Weekly Strategy-Buying EUR/USD on a positive resolution to EU debt crisis

Aktualisiert  Oct 20, 2011 4:40:00 PM


EUR/USD has entered into a consolidation range between 1.3650 and 1.3920 as European leaders grapple with the 2-year old debt crisis. Negotiations are entering a critical phase with upcoming summits on Oct. 23 and 26 where EU leaders Germany and France have pledged to deliver a 'comprehensive solution.' Markets are expecting another disappointing outcome according to a recent customer survey by a major German bank, and to be sure EU leaders have not missed a  [...] Weiter lesen...


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