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Live Updates

GBP/USD: Cable could snap back to reality

Updated -  Aug 25, 2016 7:10:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

The recent improvement in UK data has seen many investors and analysts, ourselves included, ask a rhetorical question with a hint of sarcasm “Brexit, what Brexit?” Traders have apparently reduced their net short positions from record high levels as they realised the fallout in the immediate aftermath of Brexit was not as bad as many had feared. Granted, not all the economic pointers have been great but on the whole July has been a good [...] Continue Reading

Crude turns positive ahead of oil data

Updated -  Aug 24, 2016 9:51:22 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

Oil prices swung wildly into the positive territory yesterday. The rally eventually came to a halt around the $50 handle for Brent and $48 for WTI, and both contracts have been trending lower from these levels until an hour or so ago. It looks like oil prices have now found some short-covering support ahead of today’s official US crude oil inventories report, due at 15:30 BST (10:30 ET). Evidently, yesterday’s upsurge was trigged by media [...] Continue Reading

DXY: Buck to 100 soon?

Updated -  Aug 23, 2016 12:50:00 PM By Fawad Razaqzada

Yesterday we looked at a long-term chart of the EUR/USD and highlighted the fact that the Fibre was testing a key resistance zone in the 1.1320-65 area (old support, underside of a broken bullish trend and 61.8% Fibonacci level). For more details, click HERE. Today, we are looking at the technical outlook for the Dollar Index, which is a measure of the buck relative to a basket of foreign currencies. The Dollar Index (DXY) [...] Continue Reading

DAX: Golden Cross for German stocks

Updated -  Aug 23, 2016 5:40:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

Bad news is good news for the markets that rely on central banks’ support. And so it proved again this morning’s as the latest European data disappointed expectations, yet the major stock indices rallied as if everything was just fine. The rationale is that weakness in data will ensure that the likes of the European Central Bank and the Bank of England will maintain their uber-dovish policy stance for longer. Their actions would keep bond [...] Continue Reading

EUR/USD technical outlook

Updated -  Aug 22, 2016 1:45:00 PM By Fawad Razaqzada

The EUR/USD has arrived at a critical technical juncture ahead of this week’s key fundamental events, which include among other things the Eurozone PMIs (Tuesday), German Ifo (Thursday), US GDP and the Jackson Hole Symposium (Friday). As can be seen from the daily chart, below, the bears have been managing to just about cling onto resistance in the 1.1320-65 area. As well as the underside of the broken trend line, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement [...] Continue Reading

GBP/USD shows signs of life

Updated -  Aug 22, 2016 8:03:40 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

The GBP/USD ended higher last week on the back of surprisingly stronger-than-expected UK economic data and as the dollar eased along with expectations about an imminent rate hike in the US. But the Cable did sell off heavily on Friday, which took some shine off the week’s rally. Apparently, Friday’s weakness in sterling was due to speculation about the time when UK Prime Minister Theresa May will trigger the Article 50 exit clause to start [...] Continue Reading

Market Review & Outlook: Directionless Fed Confounds Markets

Updated -  Aug 19, 2016 12:30:00 PM By James Chen, CMT

Market action this past week was dominated early in the week by mixed expectations regarding the Fed’s monetary policy stance ahead of Wednesday’s release of July’s FOMC minutes, and then by even more mixed opinions and conflicted speculation after the release. The Fed’s policy talk worsened the confusion throughout the week – from the highly-dissected public statements by key Fed members to the actual release of the FOMC minutes. The week started with a paper [...] Continue Reading

DAX: Could stocks rebound soon?

Updated -  Aug 19, 2016 10:10:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

This week saw data from the UK surprise positively and the severally-oversold pound bounced back sharply, while the dollar fell across the board as the Fed watered down rate hike expectations in the minutes of the FOMC’s last meeting and after some weakness in US data was observed, causing the EUR/USD to climb to its best level since 24 June. The Canadian dollar also rallied viciously as crude oil surged into the bull market territory, [...] Continue Reading

Dollar weakness boosts EUR/USD to new post-Brexit high

Updated -  Aug 18, 2016 3:30:00 PM By James Chen, CMT

EUR/USD has been climbing from its post-Brexit lows for nearly the past month. Much of this rise has been attributed to weakness in the US dollar, as bets on a Fed rate hike this year have progressively diminished in recent weeks. Wednesday’s release of July’s FOMC minutes failed to help matters much for the US dollar, as the Fed was seen as sharply divided in opinion and unlikely as a whole to raise interest rates [...] Continue Reading

Crude rally gathers pace but stocks fail to respond

Updated -  Aug 18, 2016 1:40:00 PM By Fawad Razaqzada

Crude’s rally gathered pace on Thursday, with Brent oil surging through the $50 hurdle and WTI climbing above $48 a barrel, as we highlighted the possibility in our oil report yesterday. So far however, US equity indices have not followed oil higher, which serves as a reminder that correlations can and do break down or become weak from time to time. But if crude oil is able to sustain its gains in the coming [...] Continue Reading

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Disclaimer: The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient. Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warranty that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.

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