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EURUSD: Signs of Optimism at the Start of a New Week

Updated -  Mar 2, 2015 9:00:00 AM By Matt Weller, CMT

“With the new day comes new strength and new thoughts.” - Former US First Lady Eleanor Roosevelt Beyond providing a hopeful note at the start of the trading week, the above quote encapsulates the optimistic perspective of euro traders at the start of the week. As we noted in Friday’s Week Ahead report, the euro finished last week on a sour note, with EURUSD falling to its lowest level in a month. After [...] Continue Reading


EUR/GBP: proceed with caution

Updated -  Mar 2, 2015 7:07:48 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

The euro has found some support today on the back of mostly stronger-than-expected Eurozone data. Although the single currency bloc remained in deflation for the third time last month, the 0.3% year-over-year drop in the consumer price index (CPI) was a sharp improvement from the 0.6% reading in January and beat expectations of a 0.5% decline. On top of this, the unemployment rate unexpectedly fell to 11.2% in January from a downwardly revised 11.3% the [...] Continue Reading


Nothing can save the aussie today

Updated -  Mar 2, 2015 12:14:23 AM By Chris Tedder

It has been a horrible day for the Australian dollar as the market prepares for tomorrow’s policy meeting at the RBA. As we stated in our RBA preview, we expect the bank to cut the official cash rate by 25bps, bringing it to a record low 2.00%. The market is also coming around to the notion that the RBA will move to loosen monetary policy this month, which is preventing the Australian dollar from benefiting [...] Continue Reading


RBA Preview: interest rates and the aussie are expected to drop

Updated -  Mar 1, 2015 7:04:17 PM By Chris Tedder

It’s going to be such an eventful week for the Australian dollar that it may set the tone for weeks to come. There is a deluge of economic data due from Australia, China and the US, as well the constant threat of the storm clouds hanging over Europe. The most important event for the Australian dollar however, is a monetary policy meeting at the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) on Tuesday. To cut, or [...] Continue Reading


CBRT TRYing to Keep its Independence as Lira Hits All-Time Low

Updated -  Feb 27, 2015 9:30:00 AM By Matt Weller, CMT

So much for ducking out of the office early! Markets are keeping traders on their toes on the final trading day of the week. In today’s European session, traders got their latest insight into the inflation picture in the Eurozone, and the news was modestly positive. Inflation came out better-than-expected in Spain (-1.1% y/y), Italy (+0.3%) and most importantly, Germany (+0.9%), suggesting that the Eurozone economy may finally be turning the corner on its fight [...] Continue Reading


Brent-WTI price gap widest since Jan 2014

Updated -  Feb 27, 2015 7:50:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

Crude oil is trading higher on this last trading day of the week and the month. At a good $61 a barrel, Brent is also higher on the week but WTI is down as it hovers around the $49 level. The price differential between these two oil contracts has therefore grown to $12, the widest since January 2014. The widening of the price gap in part reflects the fact that the US oil output [...] Continue Reading


AUDJPY: the party may be over

Updated -  Feb 26, 2015 10:31:51 PM By Chris Tedder

It has been a busy day in Asia after even busier sessions in North America and Europe. There has been a deluge of economic data from Japan, as well as some important moves in the FX market. This helped to push AUDJPY away from a key resistance zone around the top of its long-term downward channel. The aussie is back on the back foot today as investors price-in a greater chance of monetary policy [...] Continue Reading


EURJPY: Still Trapped in Triangle

Updated -  Feb 26, 2015 3:20:45 PM By Neal Gilbert

The latter half of the North American trading session was much less thrilling than the first as the USD pwned everything else to start the day only to settle down substantially to end it. As much as the USD gained against everything, it seemed like the EUR lost just as much vs. the majors; the EUR/USD being the prime example. However, the EUR/JPY, which has been trapped in a triangle pattern similar to [...] Continue Reading


GBPUSD: Bulls on the Run After Failing to Hold Break Above Key 1.5480 Level

Updated -  Feb 26, 2015 3:05:00 PM By Matt Weller, CMT

Over the last few weeks, there’s been plenty of volatility in stock, bond and commodity markets, but for the most part, currencies stubbornly stayed within their recent ranges. That all changed this morning, when just a modest beat on US Core CPI reinvigorated dollar bulls and led to a big breakout in the dollar index (see this morning’s report, “Could the Dollar Index Join the Century Club?” for more). This morning’s big move in [...] Continue Reading


IBEX: Spanish bulls raging through bear territory

Updated -  Feb 26, 2015 12:25:00 PM By Fawad Razaqzada

It has been an interesting day in the markets as stocks and the dollar rallied, European benchmark government bond yields hit fresh record lows and the euro dropped to 1.1200. The single currency’s drop follows its failure to move noticeably higher after Greece’s bailout programme was extended. It was thus only a matter of time before the sellers would return to take advantage of the interest rate differential between the Eurozone and the [...] Continue Reading


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Disclaimer: The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient. Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warranty that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.

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