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Live Updates

The Nikkei 225 hit a speed bump

Updated -  Jun 30, 2015 10:28:41 PM By Chris Tedder

Japanese stocks are recovering from their worst sell-off in six months as bargain hunters enter the market. The index suffered heavily on Monday as investor sentiment soured after it became clear that Greece was going to miss last night’s payment to the IMF. In fact, every major equity market in the world felt the repercussions of a possible Grexit, and there was a strong push to the safe-haven yen. While the yen has retained [...] Continue Reading

Gold: Safe Haven No More?

Updated -  Jun 30, 2015 2:25:00 PM By Matt Weller, CMT

One of the big themes we’ve been exploring this week as the Greek debt negotiations deteriorate (see my colleague Kathleen Brooks’ latest analysis of the situation here) is the appeal of so-called “safe haven” assets. Most traditional safe haven assets are acting as expected, with money flowing into the Japanese yen, US dollar, US Treasury bonds, and the Swiss franc (though the SNB’s decision to intervene in its currency may redirect some [...] Continue Reading

USD/JPY at key technical juncture

Updated -  Jun 30, 2015 11:15:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

The USD/JPY managed to bounce off the pivotal 122.00 mark this morning, though it still remains under pressure amid safe haven flows due, above all, to the on-going situation in Greece. Traders are also exercising some caution ahead of the US nonfarm payrolls and other key data on Thursday, which explains why price has failed to rally more profoundly. After all, today’s US data releases were not bad with the consumer confidence index, for [...] Continue Reading

AUDJPY: Traders YE(ar)N for a Safe Haven

Updated -  Jun 30, 2015 9:10:00 AM By Matt Weller, CMT

Greece’s debt drama stretched further into its third act today, with optimists still holding out hope that a last-second bailout deal could be cobbled together. Greek Finance Minister Yanis Varoufakis has already categorically confirmed that Greece won't make its payment today, but there were some hopeful signs from the Mediterranean nation. Despite harsh rhetoric over the weekend, Eurogroup President Jean-Claude Juncker has apparently offered a last-minute solution to Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras in exchange [...] Continue Reading

Greece won’t pay... now what?

Updated -  Jun 30, 2015 8:10:00 AM By Kathnleen Brooks

Greece has reached D-day, they literally will default (or fall into arrears, in IMF parlance) if they don’t pay up some EUR 1.6 bn by midnight Athens time tonight. There have been various rumours all morning that another last minute deal may be on the table, but news of this deal seems to have fizzled out, and even Angela Merkel said that the only offer that she knows from Greece is from last Friday. This [...] Continue Reading

Crude stages short-covering rally as Iran deadline passes

Updated -  Jun 30, 2015 7:25:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

Today was supposed to be the deadline for Iran and the P5+1 to reach a final agreement that would have limited Tehran’s nuclear programme in return for lifting its sanctions. However, it doesn’t appear as though anything will be agreed upon in time for the deadline, though the meetings are likely to continue for several more days nonetheless. Apparently there are several issues that stand in the way of an agreement, including the rights of [...] Continue Reading

NZDUSD: are the bloated bears full yet?

Updated -  Jun 29, 2015 11:19:59 PM By Chris Tedder

It has been another eventful day for the NZ dollar as traders found another reason to shed the commodity currency. This time around the NZ dollar is being mauled by bears due to a significant drop in business confidence in June. The ANZ Business Confidence Index dropped into negative territory for the first time since March 2011 which was the same month that the official cash rate in NZ was sent back to a record [...] Continue Reading

EM Rundown: Which EM Currencies are Most Vulnerable to a Grexit?

Updated -  Jun 29, 2015 3:40:00 PM By Matt Weller, CMT

As most FX traders know by now, the negotiations over Greece’s debt took a sharp turn for the worse over the weekend, culminating in the Greek government’s decision to call a public referendum on its creditors’ proposal on this coming Sunday. Early opinion polls suggest that the Greek populace is leaning toward voting “yes” (i.e. accepting the proposals in order to secure more bailout funds), but emerging market FX traders are likely to remain on [...] Continue Reading

June Month-End Dollar Selling May be Dwarfed by Greek Drama

Updated -  Jun 29, 2015 1:50:00 PM By Matt Weller, CMT

Background: Traders often refer the impact of ‘month end flows’ on different currency pairs during the last few days of the month. In essence, these money ‘flows’ are caused by global fund managers and investors rebalancing their currency exposure based on market movements over the last month. For example, if the value of one country’s equity and bond markets increases, these fund managers typically look to sell or hedge their now-elevated exposure to that country’s [...] Continue Reading

EUR/JPY: Mind the gap

Updated -  Jun 29, 2015 12:20:00 PM By Fawad Razaqzada

On Wednesday of last week, we published a mostly technical piece on the EUR/JPY. As you may recall, we noted that the rally had stalled around the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the downswing from the December peak at 140.70. The 61.8% Fibonacci level represents a deep retracement, which together with the slowdown in the bullish trend, led us to think that the EUR/JPY would probably break out from its bullish channel and that [...] Continue Reading

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Disclaimer: The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient. Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warranty that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.

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