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USD/JPY: Will the Recovery Continue?

Updated -  Apr 21, 2014 8:25:00 AM By Matt Weller

It’s been a rather subdued start to this week’s trade, with most major global markets closed for Easter Monday. That said, we have seen the USD/JPY continue to rally, carrying over the some of the strength from last week. The catalyst for the yen weakness was a weaker-than-expected trade balance report from Japan, which showed a ¥1.45T deficit, larger than the ¥1.07T expected. Some of this increase was attributed to the April 1 sales tax [...] Continue Reading


Are Leading Stock Indices the “Canary in the Coal Mine” for S&P 500?

Updated -  Apr 18, 2014 8:40:00 AM By Matt Weller

The US Stock Market, as measured by the S&P 500 index, has now gone nearly two full years without seeing a 10% correction, despite concerns about deflation, inflation, government shutdowns, Fed tapering, China slowing down, and unrest in Crimea, among others. With the US entering the meat of another quarterly earnings season, it’s worth revisiting the fundamental and technical drivers of the market. Fundamentals: A Weak Start to Earnings Season As my colleague Kathleen [...] Continue Reading


North American Wrap-up: The Storm Has Passed

Updated -  Apr 17, 2014 4:02:41 PM By Neal Gilbert

The Storm Has Passed The North American trading session was predictably mundane today as investors from around the world wound down their activity as the Easter holiday creeps ever closer. In a show of positivity ahead of the holiday, talks between interested powers helped to ease the rising tension in Ukraine whom promised to de-escalate some of their recent actions. Since the investing world felt that WWIII was at least put on hold for the [...] Continue Reading


AUD/JPY: Could Improving Risk Sentiment Drive Us to New 11-Month Highs?

Updated -  Apr 17, 2014 2:30:00 PM By Matt Weller

The AUD/JPY surged higher in the latter half of march, rising all the way from the mid-March low near 91.00 to peak near 96.50 earlier this month. As we all know, markets never move in a straight line forever, and AUD/JPY bulls are now taking a breather after the big rally. Even though the buyers have collectively taken their feet off the gas, the sellers remain cautious about bucking the bullish trend; as a result, [...] Continue Reading


Gold edges lower on forecast-beating data and earnings

Updated -  Apr 17, 2014 12:15:00 PM By Fawad Razaqzada

Gold prices have been more stable over the past couple of days following the wobble on Tuesday. The yellow metal was holding its own above the 200-day moving average and psychological support level of $1300 first thing this morning. Speculators were wondering whether the worst of the selling was over given that the metal had managed to hold above this key level on a closing basis for two consecutive sessions. But ahead of the long [...] Continue Reading


EUR/USD: Bearish Pattern Projects Possible Near-Term Top at 1.3860, 1.3880

Updated -  Apr 17, 2014 9:00:00 AM By Matt Weller

Since reaching a nadir below 1.3800 on Tuesday, the EUR/USD has stubbornly rallied back to the week’s highs as traders try to “call the bluff” of the ECB. As my colleague Kathleen Brooks outlined earlier today, the ECB has grown increasing vocal about the euro’s rise, arguing that the strong currency is hurting exporters and driving down inflation. Despite the persistent jawboning, the market’s reaction over the past 48 hours is a clear indication [...] Continue Reading


S&P 500: Will today’s earnings results help sustain the rally?

Updated -  Apr 17, 2014 7:45:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

The markets are very quiet today with European indices posting small losses across the board and US index futures trading flat. Many investors are away on Easter holiday while the economic calendar is light, with virtually no European data on the agenda. However there are a couple of macro pointers from the US to look forward to in the afternoon. The weekly claims for unemployment benefits, due at 13:30 BST (08:30 EDT), are expected to [...] Continue Reading


The ECB vs. the Fed, let the currency wars begin…

Updated -  Apr 17, 2014 7:10:00 AM By Kathleen Brooks

The dollar is one of the least loved currencies so far this year. It has only managed to make gains against two of its G10 peers, the CAD and the SEK, even though some were calling for a bull run in 2014.Frustration with the dollar’s seemingly inability to rally could also be simmering at the ECB. While some have said that China and Russia’s commitment to end currency intervention in the coming years means that [...] Continue Reading


GBPNZD hits a grouping of daily SMAs

Updated -  Apr 17, 2014 12:28:52 AM By Chris Tedder

GBPNZD has run into a wall of resistance after shooting higher on the back of encouraging jobs data out of the UK and disappointing NZ inflation figures. The employment rate in the UK fell to 6.9% in Q1, beating an expected fall to 7.1% from 7.2%. Furthermore, 239K jobs were added over the month, smashing an expected 90K increase in employment. The news sent investors flocking to the pound, with GDPUSD hitting its 2014 high. [...] Continue Reading


North American Wrap-up: Yellen Me Softly

Updated -  Apr 16, 2014 4:22:45 PM By Neal Gilbert

Yellen Me Softly We’ve reached the halfway point of the North American trading week, and today was much less volatile than the previous day. Where yesterday’s price action was dominated by concerns of conflict for half the day, then government economic expectations for the other half; today’s volatility paled in comparison despite the specter of more important scheduled happenings. Two very important monetary figures, the Bank of Canada’s Stephen Poloz and the Federal Reserve’s Janet [...] Continue Reading


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Disclaimer: The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient. Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warranty that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.

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