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Live Updates

Month-End FX Rebalancing May Reflect July’s Price Action: Lackluster

Updated -  Jul 29, 2014 9:20:00 AM By Matt Weller

Background: Traders often discuss how ‘month end’ flows may impact a currency or a currency pair during the last few day(s) of the month. These flows are caused by global portfolio managers rebalancing their existing currency hedges. If the value of one country’s equity and bond markets increases, these money managers typically look to sell or hedge their elevated risk in that country’s currency and rebalance their exposure back to an underperforming country’s currency. The [...] Continue Reading


As Nikkei rallies, upward pressure mounts for USD/JPY

Updated -  Jul 29, 2014 9:15:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

Back in May, we looked at the correlation between the Nikkei and USD/JPY and stated that both assets may have bottomed out and that some significant gains could be on the way. While we were correct about the Nikkei, the USD/JPY has lagged behind and has hardly moved since that time. Nevertheless the currency pair has been climbing higher in recent times and today it is up for an eight consecutive session with a [...] Continue Reading


EURAUD’s sell-off approaches a critical juncture

Updated -  Jul 29, 2014 12:25:43 AM By Chris Tedder

EURAUD has broken through a key long-term trend line. The move came after a sustained negative divergence between price action and RSI on a weekly chart. Yet, is the sell-off over? On very long-term charts price is looking weak, but on shorter timeframes price looks like it could rebound in the medium-term. Currently the pair is testing a critical support zone around its 38.2% retracement level from its 4-year high. A break would be bearish [...] Continue Reading

Tags: AUD, EUR, FX

AUDNZD looks good in the short-term, but not in the long-term

Updated -  Jul 28, 2014 8:57:42 PM By Chris Tedder

AUDNZD is approaching a key resistance zone around 1.1015/40, a break of which may see the pair make a run for the top of its long-term trading channel. Widespread New Zealand dollar weakness has been the driving force behind AUDNZD’s strength, while a stubbornly strong Australian dollar has protected the downside. This creates the perfect recipe for short-term strength in AUDNZD. NZ CPI data sparks the NZD sell-off The NZ dollar’s sell-off really kicked-off [...] Continue Reading


Given the completely barren economic calendar and typical summer Monday volume, it’s not surprising that both G10 and EM currencies are consolidating within last week’s ranges today. Thankfully, G10 volatility is sure to pick up heading into the latter half of the week with high-impact data releases out of the US, China, Eurozone, and Australia, among others. These reports will no doubt spill over into the EM FX markets, but there are also a couple [...] Continue Reading


European Wrap-Up: Sanctions Loom on Data-less Monday

Updated -  Jul 28, 2014 11:25:59 AM By Neal Gilbert

*** Check out our new video series on YouTube called “The Lowdown” for more daily content! *** The big news around European circles today was the sheer lack of any news to grapple upon as no important data was released until North America joined the lighted side of the globe. Asian markets started the week with no notable data releases, and Europe blindly followed. As for the North American data, the US Flash Markit [...] Continue Reading


GBPUSD Bulls Standing on the Precipice

Updated -  Jul 28, 2014 9:15:00 AM By Matt Weller

It’s been an excruciating slow start to the trading week with an absolutely barren economic calendar in both Asia and Europe today. Over the weekend, news hit the wires that the US and Europe are preparing another round of economic sanctions against Russia for their involvement in the ongoing clash in Ukraine, and this is keeping risk appetite relatively subdued ahead of today’s US session. With minimal new price action today, it’s worthwhile to take [...] Continue Reading


EUR/USD may accelerate losses in this busy week

Updated -  Jul 28, 2014 8:20:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

Like many other FX pairs the EUR/USD has been trading in a very tight range so far today. This is mainly due to the lack of any major European macroeconomic pointers and as investors await direction from the US where we have pending home sales due at 15:00 BST (10:00 EDT). The euro has at least managed to put the brakes on as it is currently a touch firmer on the session. It has been [...] Continue Reading


China roundup: the recovery continues

Updated -  Jul 28, 2014 1:07:32 AM By Chris Tedder

An ongoing recovery in the world’s second largest economy continues to bolster investor sentiment. Not much has changed from a macro perspective in China over the last month, thus nothing has upset the market’s faith in the ability of Beijing to manage the recovery. Investors were able to shake of some disappointing inflation and trade data and fears about a slowing property market and focus on the fact that the broader economy has responded positively [...] Continue Reading


One to watch: EURNZD hits resistance

Updated -  Jul 27, 2014 8:03:38 PM By Chris Tedder

As the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) becomes less hawkish and more concerned about the stubbornly high NZ dollar, the greater the chance the bank will intervene to weaken the exchange rate. With this ever present threat the kiwi’s upside may be limited in the near-term. The RBNZ releases its figures for its dealing in the FX market on Wednesday, but these are only for June which is before the RBNZ started to aggressively [...] Continue Reading


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Disclaimer: The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient. Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warranty that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.

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