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Live Updates

FTSE: will the Scottish No vote be enough for index to finally crack 6900 barrier?

Updated -  Sep 19, 2014 7:30:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

The FTSE started the day up around 0.7% after Scotland voted to stay in the UK. Unsurprisingly, shares in companies with direct exposure to Scotland jumped to the top of the leader board. RBS, for example, was up 3.4% on the news and after the bank confirmed it would not be moving its registered head office to the south now that the Scottish independence had been rejected, while Lloyds Banking Group said it is [...] Continue Reading


Scotland votes No, what now?

Updated -  Sep 19, 2014 2:30:00 AM By Kathleen Brooks

In the end, the referendum result ended up being a bigger win for the No camp than the late polls had predicted. The Yes campaign had gathered momentum in the last two weeks, but it burnt itself out by polling day. The final outcome was 55% for the No camp to 45% to the Yes camp. Sterling has had a good night and UK equity futures point to a 1% increase when European markets open. [...] Continue Reading


The Australian dollar gets hit in Asia

Updated -  Sep 19, 2014 1:50:15 AM By Chris Tedder

As the world was watching events unfold in the UK, commodity currencies in Asia were hit by a wave of sellers as commodity prices fell. The sell-off in key commodity prices lately has exasperated the sell-offs in AUDUSD and NZDUSD as the US dollar has risen. This has pushed both major commodity currencies through numerous key support zones against the US dollar. In Australia, the dramatic fall in iron ore prices has helped to push [...] Continue Reading


Polls are closed! The No camp may have the edge in the Scottish independence race

Updated -  Sep 18, 2014 6:31:24 PM By Chris Tedder

The polling stations in Scotland closed at 2200BST and there appears to have been a massive turnout. Reports coming from the North suggest that 90% of voters turned up, with 97% of the Scottish electorate registered to vote. This could be good for either side. The No camp is banking on it negating the SNP’s ground campaign and it may mean some “shy No’s”, if there are any, cast their votes. On the side [...] Continue Reading


Under-the-Radar Canadian Data has Big Implications for USDCAD

Updated -  Sep 18, 2014 3:10:00 PM By Matt Weller, CMT

Traders are (rightly) obsessed with the outcome of Scotland’s Independence vote today, but we’ve discussed the issue ad infinitum over the past week (see here, here, here, and here for a few examples) so rather than beating a dead horse, we’ll check in with USDCAD. While it’s been lost in the cacophony of data in other G10 countries, Canada will also be releasing a couple of market-moving reports tomorrow. At [...] Continue Reading


Appetite for stocks sends Dow to fresh record

Updated -  Sep 18, 2014 1:00:00 PM By Fawad Razaqzada

US stocks are up for a fourth day, extending their run after the Federal Reserve last night decided to keep the “considerable time” pledge until the first rate hike in the FOMC statement. This boosted stocks, sending the Dow and today the S&P to fresh record highs. Today’s mostly weaker data shows us why the Fed is still not as hawkish as some had thought they might have been. Although jobless claims were down by [...] Continue Reading


Scotland: is GBP too eager to price in a No victory?

Updated -  Sep 18, 2014 12:20:00 PM By Kathleen Brooks

The pound has climbed to a 2 week high and with only a few hours of voting for the Scottish referendum left the market seems happy to price in a victory for the No camp. We should find out in the early hours whether or not the market is right to be so optimistic at this early stage. Two things have boosted expectations, firstly the last poll before the vote that showed the No camp [...] Continue Reading


USDJPY Goes Parabolic – Could We See 1.10 Next Week?

Updated -  Sep 18, 2014 8:50:00 AM By Matt Weller, CMT

Just yesterday, we asked whether a “Fed-Fueled Fire” could drive USDJPY to a new 6-year high above 107.40 (see below for more). As it turns out, the Fed dumped a proverbial gallon of lighter fluid on the fire, and the ensuing bullish inferno has propelled USDJPY more than 150 pips higher. With the rally going full-on parabolic as we go to press, traders are wondering how far USDJPY could rise before taking a breather.  [...] Continue Reading


USD/CHF rally pauses as SNB disappoints, but bullish trend intact

Updated -  Sep 18, 2014 7:45:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

The Swiss National Bank today decided to maintain the ceiling on the franc at 1.20 per euro and its interest-rate target range at 0 to 0.25 per cent. This was in line with the expectations. However, hopes that the SNB would impose negative deposit rates (like the ECB) were not satisfied and this led to a sharp rally in the franc. Nevertheless, the Bank stressed its “utmost determination” to do what it takes to keep [...] Continue Reading


The ECB’s big TLTRO disappointment isn’t really that bad…

Updated -  Sep 18, 2014 7:20:00 AM By Kathleen Brooks

While the Scottish referendum is likely to dictate market direction for the next two days, this morning it was all about Europe. Back in June the ECB announced that it would launch another round of cheap loans for the banking sector to help boost lending to the real economy. These new loans are called the Targeted Long Term Refinancing Operation (TLTROs), and allow banks to borrow money just above the ECB’s main refinancing rate of [...] Continue Reading


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Disclaimer: The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient. Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warranty that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.

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