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Live Updates

Precious metals: alternative currency thesis called into question

Updated -  Mar 2, 2015 1:20:00 PM By Fawad Razaqzada

Precious metals are trading lower as I go to press. Despite China becoming the latest central bank to cut interest rates again over the weekend, gold and silver have not found much demand as alternative currencies. In fact, the Aussie dollar has also fallen while the stock markets have failed to move noticeably higher on the back of the PBOC’s move. This suggests that investors may have interpreted the PBOC’s move as a signal that [...] Continue Reading


Something up with the dollar?

Updated -  Mar 2, 2015 12:20:00 PM By Kathleen Brooks

One to ponder late on a Monday afternoon. After another set of economic data misses today from the US, with personal income, personal spending, construction spending and ISM manufacturing all disappointing expectations, why is the dollar still rising? These data misses have sent the Citigroup US economic surprise index tumbling to its lowest level since 2012. The FX market seems to be completely ignoring the downturn in the US data. In contrast to the [...] Continue Reading


GBPUSD: Support in Sight?

Updated -  Mar 2, 2015 11:21:15 AM By Neal Gilbert

The early portion of the North American trading day has been wrought with markets essentially doing their own thing as developments from around the globe have had regional effects. The Aussie dollar has been getting hammered ahead of the Reserve Bank of Australia interest rate decision this evening; equities are all over the place as Asia was up, Europe is down, and the Americas were weak at first, then rallying; the US dollar [...] Continue Reading


Stock Take: The changing FTSE landscape

Updated -  Mar 2, 2015 9:55:00 AM By Kathleen Brooks

This week we get the latest quarterly changes to the FTSE 100. This index is based on the market capitalisation of the 100 largest companies listed on the London Stock Exchange; as the value of a company changes, so can its position on the UK’s top flight index. So long, farewell… It looks like the 50% decline in the oil price is coming home to roost for Tullow Oil, after reporting its first [...] Continue Reading


EURUSD: Signs of Optimism at the Start of a New Week

Updated -  Mar 2, 2015 9:00:00 AM By Matt Weller, CMT

“With the new day comes new strength and new thoughts.” - Former US First Lady Eleanor Roosevelt Beyond providing a hopeful note at the start of the trading week, the above quote encapsulates the optimistic perspective of euro traders at the start of the week. As we noted in Friday’s Week Ahead report, the euro finished last week on a sour note, with EURUSD falling to its lowest level in a month. After [...] Continue Reading


EUR/GBP: proceed with caution

Updated -  Mar 2, 2015 7:07:48 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

The euro has found some support today on the back of mostly stronger-than-expected Eurozone data. Although the single currency bloc remained in deflation for the third time last month, the 0.3% year-over-year drop in the consumer price index (CPI) was a sharp improvement from the 0.6% reading in January and beat expectations of a 0.5% decline. On top of this, the unemployment rate unexpectedly fell to 11.2% in January from a downwardly revised 11.3% the [...] Continue Reading


Nothing can save the aussie today

Updated -  Mar 2, 2015 12:14:23 AM By Chris Tedder

It has been a horrible day for the Australian dollar as the market prepares for tomorrow’s policy meeting at the RBA. As we stated in our RBA preview, we expect the bank to cut the official cash rate by 25bps, bringing it to a record low 2.00%. The market is also coming around to the notion that the RBA will move to loosen monetary policy this month, which is preventing the Australian dollar from benefiting [...] Continue Reading


RBA Preview: interest rates and the aussie are expected to drop

Updated -  Mar 1, 2015 7:04:17 PM By Chris Tedder

It’s going to be such an eventful week for the Australian dollar that it may set the tone for weeks to come. There is a deluge of economic data due from Australia, China and the US, as well the constant threat of the storm clouds hanging over Europe. The most important event for the Australian dollar however, is a monetary policy meeting at the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) on Tuesday. To cut, or [...] Continue Reading


CBRT TRYing to Keep its Independence as Lira Hits All-Time Low

Updated -  Feb 27, 2015 9:30:00 AM By Matt Weller, CMT

So much for ducking out of the office early! Markets are keeping traders on their toes on the final trading day of the week. In today’s European session, traders got their latest insight into the inflation picture in the Eurozone, and the news was modestly positive. Inflation came out better-than-expected in Spain (-1.1% y/y), Italy (+0.3%) and most importantly, Germany (+0.9%), suggesting that the Eurozone economy may finally be turning the corner on its fight [...] Continue Reading


Brent-WTI price gap widest since Jan 2014

Updated -  Feb 27, 2015 7:50:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

Crude oil is trading higher on this last trading day of the week and the month. At a good $61 a barrel, Brent is also higher on the week but WTI is down as it hovers around the $49 level. The price differential between these two oil contracts has therefore grown to $12, the widest since January 2014. The widening of the price gap in part reflects the fact that the US oil output [...] Continue Reading


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Disclaimer: The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient. Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warranty that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.

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