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NZD/USD: 5 Reasons for a Potential Fall

Updated -  Nov 21, 2014 3:05:57 PM By Neal Gilbert

Throughout the month of November, the NZD has been able to do something that very few other currencies around the world have been able to do, gain value against the USD. The outright love of everything USD isn’t something that is unfamiliar to traders out there as US data has been performing admirably and the Federal Reserve has set themselves up for future rate hikes by eliminating the last vestiges of Quantitative Easing. If fact, [...] Continue Reading

AUDNZD: Turning Higher off 200-Day MA Support near 1.0900?

Updated -  Nov 21, 2014 9:25:00 AM By Matt Weller, CMT

After seeing a massive downtrend throughout 2011, 2012, and 2013, AUDNZD is finally showing signs of stabilizing this year. For the first half of the year, the pair consolidated within the 375-pip range from 1.0550 to 1.0925, forming a potential base for a longer-term rally. Then, in July, the pair broke up into its next 375-pip range, where rates have been consolidating between previous-resistance-turned-support at 1.0925 and 1.1300 for the last four months. Over the [...] Continue Reading

The dollar index takes a stab at 88.00 resistance

Updated -  Nov 21, 2014 6:50:00 AM By Kathleen Brooks

The dollar is in demand today as the euro and the pound give back their recent gains, this was triggered by ECB President Mari Draghi who was speaking at the European Banking Conference in Frankfurt. He focused on inflation and said that some inflation expectations are excessively low. This is significant since the ECB’s mandate is to promote price stability in the medium-term. If inflation expectations are also falling then the ECB should feel motivated [...] Continue Reading

One to watch: GBPAUD is looking shaky

Updated -  Nov 20, 2014 11:30:04 PM By Chris Tedder

GBPAUD has hit some sticky ground around its 50% retracement zone from this month’s high after a stunning rally earlier in the week. This morning we noted that EURAUD has reached a critical juncture, and the same thing can be said of this pair. Both pairs have been propelled higher by an army of bulls this week and both are now looking a little shaky. While the technical outlook for GBPAUD is more neutral [...] Continue Reading

EURAUD makes another run at its 200-day SMA

Updated -  Nov 20, 2014 8:08:24 PM By Chris Tedder

It has been an interesting week for EURAUD, with the pair doing a very abrupt about-face as the euro proved more resistant to USD strength. Also, falling iron ore prices and disappointing Chinese economic data has hit the Australian dollar. The end result has been a significant rally in EURAUD which has pushed the pair off a key support zone just above 1.4200, through its 100-day SMA and on to its 200-day SMA. This [...] Continue Reading

CADJPY Blasts Out of the Atmosphere, Canadian CPI on Tap

Updated -  Nov 20, 2014 2:45:00 PM By Matt Weller, CMT

One theme we’ve been consistently highlighting over the last few weeks is policymakers’ (and thus traders’) increasing focus on inflation reports. With price pressures in many developed markets rapidly falling toward outright deflation, many central banks are pondering additional monetary stimulus to help support their moribund economies. Tomorrow, Statistics Canada will release its measure of CPI inflation (Oct), with traders and economists expecting a -0.3% m/m contraction on the headline figure, but a 0.2% m/m [...] Continue Reading

Crude oil steadies as OPEC meeting nears

Updated -  Nov 20, 2014 1:15:00 PM By Fawad Razaqzada

With just a week to go until the next OPEC meeting, crude oil prices are showing signs of steadiness. The market is seemingly throwing the ball in the cartel’s court and is demanding the production quota to be trimmed meaningfully. This implies that in the event the OPEC fails to agree on cutting its output, prices are likely to extend their falls. For now though, oil traders appear to be happy with the extent of [...] Continue Reading

EURUSD: a tale of two charts

Updated -  Nov 20, 2014 11:20:00 AM By Kathleen Brooks

This cross is mostly trading sideways this afternoon even though the US had a trio of positive data releases including a surge in the Philly Fed, stronger than expected existing home sales and an uptick in CPI. EURUSD is managing to cling above 1.25; however, we continue to think that this is just a pullback and does not suggest an end to the downtrend for this pair. Figure 1 below shows the extent of [...] Continue Reading

US CPI Clears Subdued Expectations as USDNOK Bull Flag Nears Support

Updated -  Nov 20, 2014 8:50:00 AM By Matt Weller, CMT

With global central banks collectively shifting their focus to inflation, or the lack thereof, traders were awaiting today’s US CPI release with bated breath. Expectations were very subdued heading into the report, with economists expecting -0.1% contraction m/m (or 1.6% on a y/y basis), and while the actual CPI release was hardly stellar, it did manage to clear this low hurdle. October CPI printed at 0.0% m/m (1.7% y/y), while Core CPI came out [...] Continue Reading

FTSE down as manufacturing PMIs disappoint

Updated -  Nov 20, 2014 7:40:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

The FTSE is tracking the major global indices lower. As we go to press, the UK benchmark is down almost 50 points or about 0.7% at 6550 and threatening to break further lower. Sentiment has taken a knock from the weaker PMI figures out of China and the Eurozone. Unsurprisingly, it is the commodity-linked stocks that dominate the bottom half of the FTSE with Anglo American, Rio Tinto and BHP Billiton being the worst performing [...] Continue Reading

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Disclaimer: The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient. Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warranty that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.

Futures, Options on Futures, Foreign Exchange and other leveraged products involves significant risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Increasing leverage increases risk. Spot Gold and Silver contracts are not subject to regulation under the U.S. Commodity Exchange Act. Contracts for Difference (CFDs) are not available for US residents. Before deciding to trade forex and commodity futures, you should carefully consider your financial objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained herein is intended as general information about the subject matter covered and is provided with the understanding that is not rendering investment, legal, or tax advice. You should consult with appropriate counsel or other advisors on all investment, legal, or tax matters. is regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) in the US, by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) in the UK, the Australian Securities and Investment Commission (ASIC) in Australia, the Financial Services Agency (FSA) in Japan, the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada (IIROC) in Canada and the Securities and Futures Commission of Hong Kong (SFC) in Hong Kong. Please read Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options.


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