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Crude on a slippery rollercoaster ride to nowhere

Updated -  Aug 31, 2016 8:20:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

Over the past week and a half, crude oil prices have been on a rollercoaster ride. Within the large ranges, the force of gravity has generally worked against bullish speculators after the 3-week rally ended in mid-August when Brent hit $51 and WTI reached $49 a barrel again. The two oil contracts now find themselves at $48.20 and $45.95 a barrel, respectively. Still, compared to the lows of around $41.50 and $39.50 at the start [...] Continue Reading

USD/JPY poised for potential breakout on dollar-driven rally

Updated -  Aug 30, 2016 3:00:00 PM By James Chen, CMT

USD/JPY reached major resistance around the 103.00 level on Tuesday, establishing a new one-month high. This rise was driven both by a continued strengthening of the US dollar on increased expectations of a more-hawkish Fed, along with an extended pullback for the Japanese yen. The relatively hawkish comments from both Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen and Fed Vice Chair Stanley Fischer last Friday kept alive the possibility of a September rate hike as well as [...] Continue Reading

DAX: Hawkish Fed, dovish ECB good news for EU stocks

Updated -  Aug 30, 2016 8:40:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

Some of the mainland European stock indices eked out small gains last week despite the falls in US, UK and Japanese stock markets. However, at the start of this new week, global equities have rebounded across the board while the dollar has extended its gains further against a basket of foreign currencies. Sentiment in the stock markets therefore remains positive despite a slightly more hawkish Federal Reserve. This is mainly because of the fact that [...] Continue Reading

EUR/USD remains pressured on hawkish Fed ahead of jobs report

Updated -  Aug 29, 2016 4:10:00 PM By James Chen, CMT

To begin the new trading week, EUR/USD remained pressured as the dollar continued to be supported ahead of Friday’s potentially pivotal US jobs report for August. Last week saw a sharp pullback for the currency pair as dollar-strength dominated currency markets, particularly in the wake of last Friday’s hawkish undertones emanating from key Fed members. Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen remarked in last week’s Jackson Hole Economic Symposium that the case for a rate hike [...] Continue Reading

GBP/USD: Cable could snap back to reality

Updated -  Aug 25, 2016 7:10:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

The recent improvement in UK data has seen many investors and analysts, ourselves included, ask a rhetorical question with a hint of sarcasm “Brexit, what Brexit?” Traders have apparently reduced their net short positions from record high levels as they realised the fallout in the immediate aftermath of Brexit was not as bad as many had feared. Granted, not all the economic pointers have been great but on the whole July has been a good [...] Continue Reading

Crude turns positive ahead of oil data

Updated -  Aug 24, 2016 9:51:22 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

Oil prices swung wildly into the positive territory yesterday. The rally eventually came to a halt around the $50 handle for Brent and $48 for WTI, and both contracts have been trending lower from these levels until an hour or so ago. It looks like oil prices have now found some short-covering support ahead of today’s official US crude oil inventories report, due at 15:30 BST (10:30 ET). Evidently, yesterday’s upsurge was trigged by media [...] Continue Reading

DXY: Buck to 100 soon?

Updated -  Aug 23, 2016 12:50:00 PM By Fawad Razaqzada

Yesterday we looked at a long-term chart of the EUR/USD and highlighted the fact that the Fibre was testing a key resistance zone in the 1.1320-65 area (old support, underside of a broken bullish trend and 61.8% Fibonacci level). For more details, click HERE. Today, we are looking at the technical outlook for the Dollar Index, which is a measure of the buck relative to a basket of foreign currencies. The Dollar Index (DXY) [...] Continue Reading

DAX: Golden Cross for German stocks

Updated -  Aug 23, 2016 5:40:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

Bad news is good news for the markets that rely on central banks’ support. And so it proved again this morning’s as the latest European data disappointed expectations, yet the major stock indices rallied as if everything was just fine. The rationale is that weakness in data will ensure that the likes of the European Central Bank and the Bank of England will maintain their uber-dovish policy stance for longer. Their actions would keep bond [...] Continue Reading

EUR/USD technical outlook

Updated -  Aug 22, 2016 1:45:00 PM By Fawad Razaqzada

The EUR/USD has arrived at a critical technical juncture ahead of this week’s key fundamental events, which include among other things the Eurozone PMIs (Tuesday), German Ifo (Thursday), US GDP and the Jackson Hole Symposium (Friday). As can be seen from the daily chart, below, the bears have been managing to just about cling onto resistance in the 1.1320-65 area. As well as the underside of the broken trend line, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement [...] Continue Reading

GBP/USD shows signs of life

Updated -  Aug 22, 2016 8:03:40 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

The GBP/USD ended higher last week on the back of surprisingly stronger-than-expected UK economic data and as the dollar eased along with expectations about an imminent rate hike in the US. But the Cable did sell off heavily on Friday, which took some shine off the week’s rally. Apparently, Friday’s weakness in sterling was due to speculation about the time when UK Prime Minister Theresa May will trigger the Article 50 exit clause to start [...] Continue Reading

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Disclaimer: The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient. Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warranty that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.

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