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Live Updates

Bank of England to markets: “Hold your horses”

Updated -  Jul 23, 2014 8:20:00 AM By Kathleen Brooks

The minutes from the BOE meetings have become the most important way for the market to gauge the Bank’s sentiment and make predictions about its next move. After feeling pretty confident in recent weeks that Mark Carney and co. had shifted to a more hawkish policy stance, the market rushed to price in two rate hikes by the end of Q1 2015, the latest minutes have left the market scratching its head once more. How [...] Continue Reading


EURGBP: 2012 low in sight?

Updated -  Jul 23, 2014 7:20:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

The pound fell back this morning after the Bank of England’s last policy meeting minutes revealed the MPC was a lot less hawkish than some had anticipated. For example, there were warnings that the outlook for the housing market is slightly less strong, that the MPC sees “tentative signs of modest output slowdown” in the second half of the year, and that the weakness of wages despite strong rises in employment was “becoming more striking.” [...] Continue Reading


Inflation heats up in Australia; kills calls for another rate cut

Updated -  Jul 23, 2014 1:05:35 AM By Chris Tedder

Suring consumer prices in Q2 have severely, likely fatally, damaged the case for another cut to the official cash rate in Australia this year. Core CPI is running significantly hotter than the market expected and is uncomfortably close to the top of the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) target range. This restricts the ability of the bank to ease policy further and reduce the impact of a stubbornly high Australian dollar. Core inflation heats [...] Continue Reading


The RBNZ is expected to hike rates, before shifting into neutral

Updated -  Jul 22, 2014 10:41:41 PM By Chris Tedder

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) is expected to hike the official cash rate to 3.5% from 3.25% at its policy meeting on Thursday. The bank has increased the cash rate at its last three meetings in response to strong non-tradables inflation and robust growth, which has put the RBNZ on the path towards normalising monetary policy. However, falling commodity prices, particularly for milk and logs, and a stubbornly strong NZ dollar have cast [...] Continue Reading


BOE Minutes Preview: Real Wages are Really Important

Updated -  Jul 22, 2014 3:00:00 PM By Matt Weller

Trade in GBPUSD has been undeniably lackluster to start this week, with rates contained to just a 60-pip range thus far, but volatility in the GBPUSD will almost certainly pick up substantially heading into the latter half of the week. While classic stalwarts like Retail Sales (Thursday) and Preliminary GDP (Friday) are sure to be market-moving one way or another, tomorrow’s BOE Minutes may be the most important event for traders to monitor. A [...] Continue Reading


GBP/USD upward trend still intact, but bulls need to show presence pretty soon

Updated -  Jul 22, 2014 12:30:00 PM By Fawad Razaqzada

About a month ago now, we took a long-term view on the GBP/USD and suggested that there could be significant gains on the way for the currency pair. At the time, the Cable had just breached 1.7040/5 which was previously a significant resistance level and also the 2009 high. From there, it went up by another 150 pips before the rally exhausted around 1.7190. As can be seen on the daily chart, this 1.7190 [...] Continue Reading


Time to get interested in NZDUSD?

Updated -  Jul 22, 2014 10:55:00 AM By Kathleen Brooks

We have mentioned for a while now that the G10 FX market is starting to get interested in relative yield differentials. On the back of this theme, we think that the NZD could rally against the USD in the short term, as disappointing US inflation data may support the Fed maintaining its dovish rhetoric, at least in the near-term. On Wednesday night at 2200 BST/ 1700 ET, the RBNZ is expected to hike interest [...] Continue Reading


NZDJPY: Don’t Fight the …RBNZ?

Updated -  Jul 22, 2014 8:35:00 AM By Matt Weller

In a generally quiet week for economic data, the marquee event could be the RBNZ’s monetary policy decision. My colleague Chris Tedder noted earlier this week that the central bank is likely to hike the official cash rate by 25bps to 3.50%, but that a rate hike is already fully priced in by the market. Instead, the value of the New Zealand dollar is likely to hinge on RBNZ Governor Wheeler’s accompanying statement: if [...] Continue Reading


EURUSD: looking for a daily close below 1.3477

Updated -  Jul 22, 2014 7:35:00 AM By Kathleen Brooks

After a summer stuck in a stubborn range, the EUR has started to come under pressure and could be about to embark on a leg lower. The single currency is one of the weakest performers against the greenback in the G10 today. The low so far on Tuesday is 1.3478 – one point above the lowest level since February 3rd at 1.3477. 1.3477 could be a sticky level; however, a daily close below this level [...] Continue Reading


Nasdaq 100 could hit 4000 this week if tech earnings beat expectations

Updated -  Jul 22, 2014 7:15:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

Today, risk is back on the menu as far as stocks are concerned. Both European markets and the major US index futures are higher, pointing to a positive open on Wall Street later this afternoon. There are two main drivers behind the firmer sentiment today. Firstly, geopolitical concerns have eased a tad after the pro-Russian rebels in Ukraine finally handed over the black boxes from the downed flight MH17. Secondly, investors are positioning themselves up [...] Continue Reading


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Disclaimer: The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient. Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warranty that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.

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