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NZDUSD: Historical Template Points to Possible Retreat to .8600

Updated -  Jul 11, 2014 4:00:00 PM By Matt Weller

The New Zealand dollar has been a standout performer in the currency market over the past five weeks, with the exchange rate rising over 400 pips since early June. The primary fundamental catalyst for this move has been the RBNZ’s obstinate decision to stick with its aggressive rate hike path and ignore the recent drop in dairy prices and manufacturing activity. However from a technical standpoint, the NZDUSD’s chart looks ominously similar to the rally [...] Continue Reading


Crude oil could bounce back next week

Updated -  Jul 11, 2014 12:20:00 PM By Fawad Razaqzada

Both the major crude oil contracts have sold off again and are set to close sharply lower for a third week running. Oil prices have been driven lower as the conflicts in Iraq have not had any actual impact on supply, while in Libya the government has resumed control of two major oil terminals that were occupied by the rebels for several months. Although it would take time for Libya to ramp up production and [...] Continue Reading


S&P technicals looking a little shaky as earnings kick into higher gear

Updated -  Jul 11, 2014 8:30:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

Financial markets are calmer on this last day of the week, with US index futures pointing to a slightly firmer open on Wall Street. Concerns over Portugal’s banking sector have diminished, with the benchmark PSI-20 index up some 2 percent. Other European markets have likewise recouped some of the losses from yesterday and volatility is moderating. Banco Espirito Santo's shares were again suspended earlier, but have now re-opened and are currently up 3%. With today [...] Continue Reading


CADJPY is looking shaky ahead of Canada’s jobs numbers

Updated -  Jul 10, 2014 11:17:51 PM By Chris Tedder

CADJPY is starting to look somewhat vulnerable from a technical perspective after being rejected by an important resistance zone around the pair’s 61.8% retracement level from this year’s high. The pair has been struggling all week due to widespread yen strength and some mixed economic data out of Canada, and now price is holding just above a key support zone ahead of the release of Canada’s jobs numbers for June. The technical weakness in [...] Continue Reading


European stocks pare losses, but concerns over Portuguese bank linger

Updated -  Jul 10, 2014 11:30:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

The global stock markets have pared some of their losses from earlier in the session but still remain in the red going into the European close. Stocks were sharply lower earlier, led by Europe where concerns about the health of Banco Espirito Santo (BES) dented market sentiment with bank shares losing ground across the board. Trading in shares of Portugal’s largest bank, along with its biggest shareholder Espírito Santo Financial Group (ESFG), were halted after [...] Continue Reading


Is Bearish Sector Rotation a Harbinger for a Potential Pullback in S&P500?

Updated -  Jul 10, 2014 11:10:00 AM By Matt Weller

At first blush, this week’s drop in global stock indices looks like just another pullback within the long-term uptrend. And in all likelihood it is. But the recent dip gives us the opportunity to delve into a potentially bearish development simmering beneath the surface of the stock market’s rally as we head into the meat of the Q2 earnings season. Sector rotation is a method of examining stock markets that goes beyond traditional technical analysis. [...] Continue Reading


USDCAD: All Eyes on Critical 1.07 Level Ahead of Employment

Updated -  Jul 10, 2014 9:25:00 AM By Matt Weller

At the start of this week, we asked if USDCAD could be the “Mecca” of G10 volatility this week. While that prediction has hardly come to fruition (the pair has been contained to just a 70-pip range thus far this week), the fundamental and technical picture is starting to look more constructive ahead of tomorrow’s Canadian employment report. Tackling the fundamental side of the ledger first, data out of the Great White North has [...] Continue Reading


Precious metals surge on haven buying

Updated -  Jul 10, 2014 8:15:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

Precious metals have surged higher, even though the Indian government may have disappointed a few by refusing to reduce the import duty on the metal as it unveiled the 2014/5 budget today. It looks like the price of gold has been driven, above all, by safe haven buying as other risk assets such as stocks have dropped sharply and extended their recent weakness. The stock market has sold off mainly on concerns about the health [...] Continue Reading


The Aussie reacts to Australia’s jobs report and China’s trade numbers

Updated -  Jul 10, 2014 12:10:24 AM By Chris Tedder

There was some volatility in the Australian dollar today which was the result of mixed Australian labour market figures and Chinese trade data. At first, the Aussie jumped higher on the back of June’s jobs report out of Australia, but the initial euphoria quickly wore off and it sank below pre-report levels. The commodity currency was then hit again by some slightly disappointing trade figures out of China. The resulting sell-off saw AUDUSD dip below [...] Continue Reading


It’s going to be a big day for AUDJPY

Updated -  Jul 9, 2014 7:08:22 PM By Chris Tedder

Since its attempted break out in May, AUDJPY has been drifting broadly sideways. The pair has been in consolidation mode as it waits for something to break it out of its recent trading pattern. The amount of potential market moving economic data out of China, Australia and Japan today may provide the push that AUDJPY needs. Japan’s data deluge First up, Japan releases a slew of economic data at 2350GMT today. The deluge includes [...] Continue Reading


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Disclaimer: The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient. Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warranty that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.

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