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Live Updates

US Economy Sprinting to the 2014 Finish Line While Fed Tries to Catch Up

Updated -  Jul 29, 2014 3:00:00 PM By Matt Weller

** I originally published this piece as a Mid-Year Update for the US Economy at last week, but wanted to republish it here for anyone who may have missed it, especially with so many important economic reports coming out over the next 24 hours! ** If we think of 2014 as a track race, the US economy undoubtedly stumbled out of the starting blocks to begin the year. Heading into January, traders and [...] Continue Reading

USD Bulls on Parade!

Updated -  Jul 29, 2014 1:45:00 PM By Matt Weller

Without a doubt, the defining theme for the month of July has been the greenback’s rampage higher. The USD index, which represents the value of the US Dollar against a weighted basket of the world’s most important currencies, rose from 79.75 at the start of the month to 81.25; while a roughly 2% move over the course of month may not sound particularly impressive, the broad-based rally has taken the dollar index to its highest [...] Continue Reading

Crude oil ignoring geopolitical risks… at its peril?

Updated -  Jul 29, 2014 12:58:09 PM By Fawad Razaqzada

The global oil and equity markets are continuing to shrug off geopolitical risks stemming from the Middle East and Ukraine. Fears over the economic impact of sanctions imposed on Russia for its involvement in the crisis in Eastern Ukraine have so far been largely confined to domestic markets with Russian equities and the Ruble both tumbling. Despite the announcement of fresh EU sanctions today that target the country’s oil sector, defence equipment, technology and some [...] Continue Reading

European Wrap-Up: Legitimately Crying Over Spilt Milk Prices

Updated -  Jul 29, 2014 11:20:41 AM By Neal Gilbert

*** Check out our new video series on YouTube called “The Lowdown” for more daily content! *** European equity and currency markets diverged from one another today as the FTSE, DAX, and CAC all recovered from early squandering to finish comfortably in the green, while currencies like the EUR, GBP, and CHF languished against the USD. News events were nary a reason for most of these moves, at least out of Europe, as price [...] Continue Reading

Month-End FX Rebalancing May Reflect July’s Price Action: Lackluster

Updated -  Jul 29, 2014 9:20:00 AM By Matt Weller

Background: Traders often discuss how ‘month end’ flows may impact a currency or a currency pair during the last few day(s) of the month. These flows are caused by global portfolio managers rebalancing their existing currency hedges. If the value of one country’s equity and bond markets increases, these money managers typically look to sell or hedge their elevated risk in that country’s currency and rebalance their exposure back to an underperforming country’s currency. The [...] Continue Reading

As Nikkei rallies, upward pressure mounts for USD/JPY

Updated -  Jul 29, 2014 9:15:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

Back in May, we looked at the correlation between the Nikkei and USD/JPY and stated that both assets may have bottomed out and that some significant gains could be on the way. While we were correct about the Nikkei, the USD/JPY has lagged behind and has hardly moved since that time. Nevertheless the currency pair has been climbing higher in recent times and today it is up for an eight consecutive session with a [...] Continue Reading

EURAUD’s sell-off approaches a critical juncture

Updated -  Jul 29, 2014 12:25:43 AM By Chris Tedder

EURAUD has broken through a key long-term trend line. The move came after a sustained negative divergence between price action and RSI on a weekly chart. Yet, is the sell-off over? On very long-term charts price is looking weak, but on shorter timeframes price looks like it could rebound in the medium-term. Currently the pair is testing a critical support zone around its 38.2% retracement level from its 4-year high. A break would be bearish [...] Continue Reading

Tags: AUD, EUR, FX

AUDNZD looks good in the short-term, but not in the long-term

Updated -  Jul 28, 2014 8:57:42 PM By Chris Tedder

AUDNZD is approaching a key resistance zone around 1.1015/40, a break of which may see the pair make a run for the top of its long-term trading channel. Widespread New Zealand dollar weakness has been the driving force behind AUDNZD’s strength, while a stubbornly strong Australian dollar has protected the downside. This creates the perfect recipe for short-term strength in AUDNZD. NZ CPI data sparks the NZD sell-off The NZ dollar’s sell-off really kicked-off [...] Continue Reading

Given the completely barren economic calendar and typical summer Monday volume, it’s not surprising that both G10 and EM currencies are consolidating within last week’s ranges today. Thankfully, G10 volatility is sure to pick up heading into the latter half of the week with high-impact data releases out of the US, China, Eurozone, and Australia, among others. These reports will no doubt spill over into the EM FX markets, but there are also a couple [...] Continue Reading

European Wrap-Up: Sanctions Loom on Data-less Monday

Updated -  Jul 28, 2014 11:25:59 AM By Neal Gilbert

*** Check out our new video series on YouTube called “The Lowdown” for more daily content! *** The big news around European circles today was the sheer lack of any news to grapple upon as no important data was released until North America joined the lighted side of the globe. Asian markets started the week with no notable data releases, and Europe blindly followed. As for the North American data, the US Flash Markit [...] Continue Reading

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Disclaimer: The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient. Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warranty that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.

Futures, Options on Futures, Foreign Exchange and other leveraged products involves significant risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Increasing leverage increases risk. Spot Gold and Silver contracts are not subject to regulation under the U.S. Commodity Exchange Act. Contracts for Difference (CFDs) are not available for US residents. Before deciding to trade forex and commodity futures, you should carefully consider your financial objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained herein is intended as general information about the subject matter covered and is provided with the understanding that is not rendering investment, legal, or tax advice. You should consult with appropriate counsel or other advisors on all investment, legal, or tax matters. is regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) in the US, by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) in the UK, the Australian Securities and Investment Commission (ASIC) in Australia, the Financial Services Agency (FSA) in Japan, the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada (IIROC) in Canada and the Securities and Futures Commission of Hong Kong (SFC) in Hong Kong. Please read Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options.


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