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Live Updates

RBA ponders cutting the OCR; OECD recommends the bank raise it

Updated -  Nov 26, 2014 12:57:44 AM By Chris Tedder

The Organisation for Economic Development has recommended that the Reserve Bank of Australia begins tightening interest rates from Q2 next year in order to prevent property prices rising to risky levels. Meanwhile, RBA deputy governor Lowe told a room full of economists last night that if further rates cut are required, they should be somewhat successful in stimulating economic activity. Just last month Lowe said that “the longer it (low rates) runs without a pick-up [...] Continue Reading

The PBoC takes the wind out of the yuan’s sails

Updated -  Nov 25, 2014 9:11:53 PM By Chris Tedder

The yuan has been steadily trending higher against the USD since April but the People’s Bank of China’s decision to unexpectedly cut interest rates last week and recent US dollar strength has reversed USDCNY’s trajectory. The pair has now reached its 100-day, a break of which would be a bullish technical indicator. On Friday, the PBoC unexpectedly announced that it was cutting its benchmark rate for the first time since 2012. China’s central bank [...] Continue Reading

AUDUSD’s “Spidey Sense” is Tingling

Updated -  Nov 25, 2014 1:55:00 PM By Matt Weller, CMT

Much like my wife, markets almost never give clear, unambiguous signals. Last week’s surprise decision by the PBOC to cut interest rates for the first time in more than two years provides the perfect example. Immediately following the decision, traders bid up the AUDUSD, reasoning that more stimulus in China should benefit the country’s imports and by extension, trading partners like Australia and New Zealand. However, an opposing narrative has emerged this week, helped [...] Continue Reading

Gold and silver at key technical junctures

Updated -  Nov 25, 2014 12:50:00 PM By Fawad Razaqzada

Gold and silver were both trading higher earlier today, but as I go to press they have turned mixed with the former turning flat. The metals found support from a weaker dollar which fell on the back of some mixed-bag US data. Among the data highlights, consumer sentiment took a surprise tumble in November while the third quarter GDP was unexpectedly revised higher. The Conference Board’s composite index based on a survey of about 5 [...] Continue Reading

USDJPY: Strong GDP Fails to Invigorate Buck Bulls

Updated -  Nov 25, 2014 9:10:00 AM By Matt Weller, CMT

To avoid conflicts with Thursday’s Thanksgiving holiday in the US, a week’s worth of US economic data is being released over just today and tomorrow’s trading sessions. This veritable raft of US data includes high-impact releases like Preliminary GDP (just released); the S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index, Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index, and Conference Board Consumer Confidence survey (later today); and US Durable Goods Orders, Initial Unemployment Claims, Personal Spending and Income data, Chicago PMI, New [...] Continue Reading

DAX higher as German GDP left unrevised, but index looking overbought

Updated -  Nov 25, 2014 7:40:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

The European stock markets have opened higher today with the German DAX index once again being one of the top performers with a gain of 1%. Investors are relieved that Germany’s third quarter GDP was left unrevised, but more importantly that the admittedly-meagre 0.1% growth was fuelled by consumer spending. This component of the GDP climbed by an impressive 0.7 per cent, boosted in part by record low interest rates. The weaker euro has also [...] Continue Reading

Swiss gold referendum: what does this mean for EURCHF?

Updated -  Nov 25, 2014 7:20:00 AM By Kathleen Brooks

On Sunday 30th November the Swiss people will go to the polls to decide on a referendum on the Swiss Central Bank’s (the SNB) gold reserves. The proposal put forward by the right wing Swiss People’s Party would require the SNB to hold gold reserves equivalent to 20% of their total assets, all Swiss gold held with foreign central banks would need to be repatriated, and the SNB would need to commit to never selling [...] Continue Reading

There is clearly some disagreement within the BoJ about the use of extreme QE to spur consumer price growth. The BoJ’s meeting in the last week of October ended with the bank increasing its annual purchases of government debt to 80 trillion yen from 50 trillion and changing what it purchases to include EFTs tied to the JPX-Nikkei 400, but it was a very tightly contested decision. Only five of the nine members on the [...] Continue Reading

AUDNZD continues to test a key support zone

Updated -  Nov 24, 2014 6:52:28 PM By Chris Tedder

Last week AUDNZD briefly managed to push off a critical support zone around 1.0940/50, before sellers swamped the pair once more. Given the imbedded weakness in this pair it seems that it may only be a matter of time before AUDNZD breaks through the aforementioned support zone, but we cannot ignore the sheer strength of said support. All the talk of possible fundamental NZD weakness and AUD strength doing the rounds are making investors [...] Continue Reading

USD/CAD: Stuffing the Triangle Turkey

Updated -  Nov 24, 2014 2:32:03 PM By Neal Gilbert

The start of the short trading week for North America has been rather predictable so far as investors begin looking forward to the Thanksgiving holiday here in the US. Volatility has been reserved in the US equity markets, and currency markets are doing their best to remain relatively quiet as well. Traditionally, this is a very low key week with current trends typically continuing (or slight pullbacks within those trends) before we begin to hear [...] Continue Reading

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Disclaimer: The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient. Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warranty that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.

Futures, Options on Futures, Foreign Exchange and other leveraged products involves significant risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Increasing leverage increases risk. Spot Gold and Silver contracts are not subject to regulation under the U.S. Commodity Exchange Act. Contracts for Difference (CFDs) are not available for US residents. Before deciding to trade forex and commodity futures, you should carefully consider your financial objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained herein is intended as general information about the subject matter covered and is provided with the understanding that is not rendering investment, legal, or tax advice. You should consult with appropriate counsel or other advisors on all investment, legal, or tax matters. is regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) in the US, by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) in the UK, the Australian Securities and Investment Commission (ASIC) in Australia, the Financial Services Agency (FSA) in Japan, the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada (IIROC) in Canada and the Securities and Futures Commission of Hong Kong (SFC) in Hong Kong. Please read Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options.


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