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Live Updates

WTI Stands for “Why The Impotence”

Updated -  Jul 31, 2014 8:35:00 AM By Matt Weller

One of the most reliable cause-and-effect relationships in all of global markets is that violence in the Middle East tends to lead to a spike in oil prices. As you might expect, the most direct explanation for this phenomenon comes from concerns about supply disruption in nearby oil-producing regions like Saudi Arabia, Iran, Russia, and the UAE. In addition, risk-averse firms also rush to hedge, or lock in, the current oil price fearing that it [...] Continue Reading

AUDNZD – has the reversal begun?

Updated -  Jul 31, 2014 12:10:17 AM By Chris Tedder

Earlier this week we highlighted the possibility of weakness in AUDNZD, after a short period of strength (see: AUDNZD looks good in the short-term, but not in the long-term). Sure enough the pair has pushed higher in the last few days, but now a string of disappointing Australian economic data has caused some to question the rally. As we explained earlier in the week, the long-term fundamentals don’t look good for AUDNZD. The divergence [...] Continue Reading

AUDUSD sinks on strong US GDP numbers

Updated -  Jul 30, 2014 8:31:40 PM By Chris Tedder

AUDUSD sank as stronger than expected GDP data out of the US sent investors flocking to the US dollar, with the economy growing at an annualised growth rate of 4% last quarter (exp. 3.0%). This highlights that the recovery is back on track after a dismal start to the year In Q1, poor weather, inventory rundowns and other factors resulted in a revised 2.1% annualised fall in GDP. Last quarter’s strong performance is partly [...] Continue Reading

EUR/CHF: the forgotten FX pair could make a spectacular comeback

Updated -  Jul 30, 2014 1:30:00 PM By Fawad Razaqzada

With the USD taking the limelight this week because of all the economic reports from the world’s largest economy, the EUR/CHF may not be on many people’s radars. But the forgotten currency pair could be among the non-USD pairs worth watching closely going forward because today it has taken out a downward-sloping trend line that had been in place since May 2013. This means that the long-term bearish trend has at least weakened, if not [...] Continue Reading

GBPUSD: Is the Uptrend Coming to an End?

Updated -  Jul 30, 2014 1:20:00 PM By Matt Weller

We already discussed the traditional technical outlook for GBPUSD earlier this week (see “GBPUSD Bulls Standing on the Precipice” for more), but we wanted to revisit the pair and evaluate the health of the uptrend more objectively. In a sideways market, technical traders often look at the price relative to static support or resistance areas to determine whether the instrument is breaking out. This same principle can be adapted to evaluate whether a [...] Continue Reading

For weeks now, both USD bulls and bears have had today marked on their calendars as one of the most important days for US economic data of the entire summer (see “USD Bulls on Parade!” for more). While we’re only in the eye of the economic data storm right now, the first round undoubtedly went to the bulls. ADP: Ho-Hum The first fundamental salvo came from the monthly ADP employment report at 8:15am ET [...] Continue Reading

The quiet before the storm? S&P future slightly higher ahead of key US data

Updated -  Jul 30, 2014 7:25:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

US index futures are slightly higher following the retreat on Wall Street yesterday, but they could move more sharply depending on the outcome of US data ahead of the opening bell. In Europe, it has been a quiet day so far due to the lack of top-tier economic data here and with some market participants occupied in trying to figure out the potential impact on European markets of the latest Western sanctions on Russia for [...] Continue Reading

USDJPY makes a run for it

Updated -  Jul 30, 2014 2:30:23 AM By Chris Tedder

A string of disappointing Japanese economic data and widespread US dollar strength has helped to push USDJPY through an important resistance line. Strong US economic data is helping to fuel dollar strength across the board as the market tightens its expectations on when the Fed will begin hiking interest rates (eyes on tonight’s US GDP data and FOMC statement; no press conference by Yellen). Meanwhile, soft economic figures out of Japan are casting doubt over [...] Continue Reading

One to watch: NZDJPY breaks its long-term upward trend line

Updated -  Jul 29, 2014 10:30:53 PM By Chris Tedder

The New Zealand dollar has had a terrible month and is the worst performing currency against the US dollar amongst its G10 counterparts. NZDUSD and NZDJPY have fallen around 3% and 2.5% in the last month respectively. A lot has been written about the spectacular fall of the kiwi and may be time for a period of consolidation. The sell-off was sparked by softer than expected inflation data and was fuelled by a more cautious [...] Continue Reading

US Economy Sprinting to the 2014 Finish Line While Fed Tries to Catch Up

Updated -  Jul 29, 2014 3:00:00 PM By Matt Weller

** I originally published this piece as a Mid-Year Update for the US Economy at last week, but wanted to republish it here for anyone who may have missed it, especially with so many important economic reports coming out over the next 24 hours! ** If we think of 2014 as a track race, the US economy undoubtedly stumbled out of the starting blocks to begin the year. Heading into January, traders and [...] Continue Reading

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Disclaimer: The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient. Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warranty that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.

Futures, Options on Futures, Foreign Exchange and other leveraged products involves significant risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Increasing leverage increases risk. Spot Gold and Silver contracts are not subject to regulation under the U.S. Commodity Exchange Act. Contracts for Difference (CFDs) are not available for US residents. Before deciding to trade forex and commodity futures, you should carefully consider your financial objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained herein is intended as general information about the subject matter covered and is provided with the understanding that is not rendering investment, legal, or tax advice. You should consult with appropriate counsel or other advisors on all investment, legal, or tax matters. is regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) in the US, by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) in the UK, the Australian Securities and Investment Commission (ASIC) in Australia, the Financial Services Agency (FSA) in Japan, the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada (IIROC) in Canada and the Securities and Futures Commission of Hong Kong (SFC) in Hong Kong. Please read Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options.


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