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NZDJPY: is it time for bulls to get excited?

Updated -  Sep 15, 2014 8:11:07 PM By Chris Tedder

The NZ dollar was the currency that no one wanted to touch due the market revaluating the RBNZ’s planned tightening cycle on the back of softer economic data, cooling inflation and falling commodity prices. Meanwhile, economic data in the US was getting stronger and the Fed more hawkish, thus the market had to revaluate its stance on US interest rates. This sent the US dollar soaring across the board, but especially against the beleaguered kiwi. [...] Continue Reading

EM Rundown: USDRUB Blasts Off as Ukraine Ceasefire Starts to Fray

Updated -  Sep 15, 2014 2:40:00 PM By Matt Weller, CMT

If traders were to create a (false) dichotomy between weeks when G10 currencies are more volatile and weeks when emerging market currencies are more interesting, this week would undoubtedly fall into the former category. With BOE Minutes, monetary policy decision from the Fed and SNB, the ECB’s TLTRO auction, and of course, Scotland’s highly-anticipated independence referendum, there should be plenty of action in the major currency pairs. That said, there have been some [...] Continue Reading

NZD/USD bounces off key support, but downward trend not over

Updated -  Sep 15, 2014 1:05:00 PM By Fawad Razaqzada

The NZD/USD currency pair has bounced back after it fell overnight to its lowest level since February on the back of the disappointing Chinese data that was released at the weekend. The FX pair has been supported in part by the mixed-bag data out of the US where the industrial production surprisingly fell 0.1% in August while the Empire State Manufacturing Index unexpectedly jumped to its highest level since October 2009. The mixed US data [...] Continue Reading

EUR/USD: TLTRO risk could trigger another leg lower

Updated -  Sep 15, 2014 9:50:00 AM By Kathleen Brooks

Both the fundamental and the technical pictures seem to be stacking up against this pair today. From a fundamental perspective, positive Euro area data surprises are lagging behind those in the US. While the Eurozone saw its trade surplus contract, the US Empire manufacturing survey (a good early indicator of manufacturing strength) rose to its highest level in 5 years. Although US industrial production missed expectations, the run of data out of the US in [...] Continue Reading

GBPJPY Getting “Turnt Up”

Updated -  Sep 15, 2014 9:20:00 AM By Matt Weller, CMT

As my college-aged cousin informed me this weekend, getting “turnt up” is the latest slang that kids are using these days to describe partying. Personally, I was still catching up to “putting on the ritz” to attend a classy “soiree.” Regardless, his comment prompted me to scan my forex charts and see which currency pair is getting “turnt up” the most, which naturally led me to GBPJPY. Of course, the Japanese yen was sold off [...] Continue Reading

Crude oil demand worries grow, but techs point to a possible bounce

Updated -  Sep 15, 2014 7:30:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

As the new week gets underway, crude oil prices are again under pressure with Brent down 0.5 and WTI off by 1 per cent. Both oil contracts are weighed down by weaker demand and excessive supply fears. These concerns have been brought to the forefront after some of the major oil agencies such as the EIA, IEA and OPEC last week reduced their global demand outlook. China’s surprisingly weak industrial data that was released at [...] Continue Reading

FTSE 100 Movers and Shakers:

Updated -  Sep 15, 2014 5:40:00 AM By Kathleen Brooks

Last week the FTSE posted its biggest weekly drop in a month, as Scottish tensions spurred volatility. Figure 1:  [...] Continue Reading

AUDUSD’s poor start to the week; eyes on 0.9000

Updated -  Sep 15, 2014 12:44:55 AM By Chris Tedder

It’s shaping up to be another tough week for the Australian dollar. AUDUSD is falling under the weight of disappointing Chinese economic data, strong US economic data, and softening commodity prices. The commodity currency has also had a target on its back for a long time, thus there’s no shortage of bears waiting to attack. Last week, strong jobs, retail sales and confidence figures added fuel to the USD rally. When combined with other [...] Continue Reading

Has the EUR fallen far enough?

Updated -  Sep 12, 2014 10:20:00 AM By Kathleen Brooks

The EUR decline has started to stall and EURUSD is moving sideways after the bears decided to take a breather at 1.2860 – the low from 9th September. This pair was starting to look overextended, so, for now, it looks like the EUR has fallen far enough, but that does not mean that another leg lower may not be around the next corner. The fundamental picture could turn decidedly bearish for this pair next [...] Continue Reading

USDCAD: Spoiled Dollar Bulls Not Impressed By Strong Retail Sales

Updated -  Sep 12, 2014 8:55:00 AM By Matt Weller, CMT

Like the proverbial overweight only child getting a third piece of birthday cake, USD bulls are getting spoiled. Today’s release of the August Retail Sales report showed that the US economy continues to grow strongly. The headline reading came out in-line with (elevated) expectations at 0.6% m/m, but the Core reading, which filters out volatile automobile sales, was better than anticipated at 0.3% vs. 0.2% eyed. Perhaps most importantly, last month’s disappointing flat reading in [...] Continue Reading

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Disclaimer: The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient. Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warranty that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.

Futures, Options on Futures, Foreign Exchange and other leveraged products involves significant risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Increasing leverage increases risk. Spot Gold and Silver contracts are not subject to regulation under the U.S. Commodity Exchange Act. Contracts for Difference (CFDs) are not available for US residents. Before deciding to trade forex and commodity futures, you should carefully consider your financial objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained herein is intended as general information about the subject matter covered and is provided with the understanding that is not rendering investment, legal, or tax advice. You should consult with appropriate counsel or other advisors on all investment, legal, or tax matters. is regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) in the US, by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) in the UK, the Australian Securities and Investment Commission (ASIC) in Australia, the Financial Services Agency (FSA) in Japan, the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada (IIROC) in Canada and the Securities and Futures Commission of Hong Kong (SFC) in Hong Kong. Please read Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options.


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