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AUD/USD looking better than it has in over a year

Updated -  Dec 1, 2015 2:30:00 PM By Matt Weller, CMT

Earlier today, we noted that the Australian dollar was the only major currency that rose against the US dollar last month (see “November recap: USD reigns, but upstart Aussie takes the cake” for more), so we figured we’d take a closer look at the pair’s potentially significant long-term breakout. My colleague Fawad Razaqzada covered the fundamental situation Down Under earlier, noting that “the RBA kept interest rates and forward guidance effectively unchanged from [...] Continue Reading

AUD/CAD testing 2.5-year bear trend

Updated -  Dec 1, 2015 12:30:00 PM By Fawad Razaqzada

The AUD/CAD may not be on the watch list of many traders, but this cross may have formed a major low and about to make significant gains in the days and weeks to come. It has been supported not only by continued weakness in the CAD, owing to weaker oil prices and disappointing Canadian data, but also due to a stronger AUD. The Aussie was the only major currency last month that rose against the [...] Continue Reading

November recap: USD reigns, but upstart Aussie takes the cake

Updated -  Dec 1, 2015 8:20:00 AM By Matt Weller, CMT

For anyone trading FX through the month of November, the most obvious theme was the resurgence of the US dollar bullish trend. This move was driven almost exclusively by increasing expectations that the Federal Reserve would raise interest rates at its upcoming December meeting, and throughout the month, economic data continually reinforced this view. The dollar’s explosive November started out with the blowout October NFP report, which showed 271k new jobs created, carried through [...] Continue Reading

European stocks in wait-and-see mode ahead of ECB

Updated -  Dec 1, 2015 8:00:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

European stocks are trading mixed today. The UK’s FTSE is higher, boosted by relief that all seven UK lenders have passed the Bank of England’s latest stress tests. But the markets in the Eurozone are held back slightly, in part due to profit-taking ahead of the ECB meeting on Thursday. The stronger economic numbers from the single currency bloc, which have helped to underpin the euro, have also undermined some export-oriented stocks. As well as [...] Continue Reading

EM Rundown: CNY in IMF SDR? YES.

Updated -  Nov 30, 2015 3:00:00 PM By Matt Weller, CMT

In a week full of market-moving three-letter acronyms (ECB, NFP RBA, PMI, and GDP from Australia and Canada), many traders may not be intimately familiar with the three-letter acronym that’s grabbing all the headlines today. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) maintains a stockpile of foreign exchange reserve assets called Special Drawing Rights (SDR). In essence, SDRs represent a basket of other widely-used currencies that was created back in the late ‘60s to supplement a [...] Continue Reading

Nasdaq 100: sharp move imminent, but in which direction?

Updated -  Nov 30, 2015 1:25:00 PM By Fawad Razaqzada

The Nasdaq 100 has been repeatedly hitting resistance around the July high of 4693, although it did manage to climb above here for a few days at the start of November. However, that breakout lacked conviction and the bulls were unable to hold their nerves for too long. As a result, it fell back all the way near resistance-turned-support around 4455 by mid-November. Here, the tech-heavy index found support, leading to another rally towards 4693 [...] Continue Reading

Is EUR/USD on sale for Cyber Monday?

Updated -  Nov 30, 2015 8:30:00 AM By Matt Weller, CMT

In what’s become a 21st century tradition, workers across the United States and elsewhere are shuffling to their desks with only one thing in mind today: shopping. “Cyber Monday” is likely to eclipse “Black Friday” in online sales for the first time ever, with over $3 billion in online sales expected. For forex traders however, the bigger question is whether EUR/USD is on sale, or whether it could get discounted even more in the coming [...] Continue Reading

Crude volatility here to stay as traders eye OPEC

Updated -  Nov 30, 2015 7:50:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

Last week was a volatile one for crude oil. Brent and WTI prices rose in the first three days of the week but then gave back much of those gains in the last two. Nevertheless both contracts managed to eke out gains for the week and it was the first positive week in four for Brent. And following a weaker start this morning, oil prices have turned slightly higher. The volatility therefore continues as Friday’s [...] Continue Reading

Gold: Black Friday Sees Metal Hit Fresh Multi-Year Low

Updated -  Nov 27, 2015 1:30:00 PM By Fawad Razaqzada

It has been a black Friday for gold because the yellow precious metal has dropped to its cheapest price level since February 2010. And the outlook does not look bright either as the ECB and Fed’s diverging policies mean that the attractiveness of both the US dollar and stocks could increase further. This won’t be good news for the so-called safe haven precious metal, which, unlike equities and bonds, pays no dividends, offers no yield [...] Continue Reading

USD/CHF hits best level since Aug 2010

Updated -  Nov 27, 2015 7:15:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

The stellar US October jobs report and continued hawkish talk from the US Federal Reserve, combined with dovish central banks elsewhere has seen the dollar rise strongly this month. The Dollar Index has now climbed back to the 100 level and the EUR/USD is hovering just above the lows hit earlier this year. But it is not just the euro that the greenback has crushed. The GBP/USD is now just shy of the 1.50 handle [...] Continue Reading

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Disclaimer: The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient. Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warranty that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.

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