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Live Updates

EM Rundown: CNY in IMF SDR? YES.

Updated -  Nov 30, 2015 3:00:00 PM By Matt Weller, CMT

In a week full of market-moving three-letter acronyms (ECB, NFP RBA, PMI, and GDP from Australia and Canada), many traders may not be intimately familiar with the three-letter acronym that’s grabbing all the headlines today. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) maintains a stockpile of foreign exchange reserve assets called Special Drawing Rights (SDR). In essence, SDRs represent a basket of other widely-used currencies that was created back in the late ‘60s to supplement a [...] Continue Reading

Nasdaq 100: sharp move imminent, but in which direction?

Updated -  Nov 30, 2015 1:25:00 PM By Fawad Razaqzada

The Nasdaq 100 has been repeatedly hitting resistance around the July high of 4693, although it did manage to climb above here for a few days at the start of November. However, that breakout lacked conviction and the bulls were unable to hold their nerves for too long. As a result, it fell back all the way near resistance-turned-support around 4455 by mid-November. Here, the tech-heavy index found support, leading to another rally towards 4693 [...] Continue Reading

Is EUR/USD on sale for Cyber Monday?

Updated -  Nov 30, 2015 8:30:00 AM By Matt Weller, CMT

In what’s become a 21st century tradition, workers across the United States and elsewhere are shuffling to their desks with only one thing in mind today: shopping. “Cyber Monday” is likely to eclipse “Black Friday” in online sales for the first time ever, with over $3 billion in online sales expected. For forex traders however, the bigger question is whether EUR/USD is on sale, or whether it could get discounted even more in the coming [...] Continue Reading

Crude volatility here to stay as traders eye OPEC

Updated -  Nov 30, 2015 7:50:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

Last week was a volatile one for crude oil. Brent and WTI prices rose in the first three days of the week but then gave back much of those gains in the last two. Nevertheless both contracts managed to eke out gains for the week and it was the first positive week in four for Brent. And following a weaker start this morning, oil prices have turned slightly higher. The volatility therefore continues as Friday’s [...] Continue Reading

Gold: Black Friday Sees Metal Hit Fresh Multi-Year Low

Updated -  Nov 27, 2015 1:30:00 PM By Fawad Razaqzada

It has been a black Friday for gold because the yellow precious metal has dropped to its cheapest price level since February 2010. And the outlook does not look bright either as the ECB and Fed’s diverging policies mean that the attractiveness of both the US dollar and stocks could increase further. This won’t be good news for the so-called safe haven precious metal, which, unlike equities and bonds, pays no dividends, offers no yield [...] Continue Reading

USD/CHF hits best level since Aug 2010

Updated -  Nov 27, 2015 7:15:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

The stellar US October jobs report and continued hawkish talk from the US Federal Reserve, combined with dovish central banks elsewhere has seen the dollar rise strongly this month. The Dollar Index has now climbed back to the 100 level and the EUR/USD is hovering just above the lows hit earlier this year. But it is not just the euro that the greenback has crushed. The GBP/USD is now just shy of the 1.50 handle [...] Continue Reading

GBP/JPY: Coiling for breakout?

Updated -  Nov 26, 2015 1:15:00 PM By Fawad Razaqzada

Understandably, it has been a very slow day in FX markets due to the Thanksgiving holiday in the US and the lack of any major economic data elsewhere. That being said, there have been sharp moves in some selected markets such as the Turkish Lira, which extended its decline for the fourth consecutive day after Russia imposed restrictions on food imports from Turkey in retaliation over downing of its fighter jet. Elsewhere, commodities have had [...] Continue Reading

DAX surges on speculation ECB will surprise next week

Updated -  Nov 26, 2015 6:50:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

It might be a data-void session and investors in the US are away for Thanksgiving holiday, but European stocks are again in a rally mode, following on from yesterday's strong gains. Evidently, traders are speculating that a beefed-up version of ECB QE is forthcoming in a week’s time, so they are buying benchmark government bonds, causing yields to fall further into the negative. The resulting lower yields and weaker euro is boosting the appeal of [...] Continue Reading

CAD/JPY potentially poised for a prodigious period

Updated -  Nov 25, 2015 3:05:00 PM By Matt Weller, CMT

Markets are calming down as US traders filter out for the Thanksgiving holiday, but there is one little-followed pair that could be shaping up for a big move as we head into next week. CAD/JPY has been consolidating in an increasingly tight range for the last three months, bounded on the top by the 93.25 barrier and on the bottom by rising trend line support (currently around 91.75). This price action has created a clear [...] Continue Reading

ECB drives EUR/USD below 1.0600, but US data fails to extend the selloff

Updated -  Nov 25, 2015 9:05:00 AM By Matt Weller, CMT

It’s been quite a busy morning for EUR/USD traders, despite the impending US holiday. The fireworks kicked off at the start of today’s European session, when a report from Reuters revealed that ECB policymakers were weighing more unconventional monetary policy tweaks in an effort to stave off deflationary pressures in the Eurozone. The two specific policies that the ECB is reportedly mulling over include a two-tiered bank charge to help the (primarily German [...] Continue Reading

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Disclaimer: The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient. Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warranty that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.

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