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Live Updates

RMB is under pressure ahead of the Fed’s policy meeting

Updated -  Jul 26, 2015 10:19:03 PM By Chris Tedder

There’s some downward pressure building on the yuan ahead of this week’s meeting at the FOMC. USDCNY is hovering somewhat close to the ceiling set by the PBOC’s placement of the reference rate (see figure 1) and the spread between offshore and onshore yuan (see figure 2) is nearing levels last seen when the CNY was consistently testing the top of its trading range late in 2015/early 2015. This suggests that downward pressure on the [...] Continue Reading

A Gold-en Anchor on Prices

Updated -  Jul 24, 2015 9:10:00 AM By Matt Weller, CMT

By far the biggest storyline in the markets this week has been the precipitous fall in the price of gold. After closing just below key support at the 1140 level last week, bullish traders panicked this week, driving the yellow metal down by a whopping 5% from last Friday’s close as of writing. Interestingly, today’s drop has occurred despite a disappointing drop in China’s Markit Flash Manufacturing PMI data. The broad measure of manufacturing [...] Continue Reading

WTI’s Trapdoor Gives Way, Potential for a Move Down to 46.50 Next?

Updated -  Jul 23, 2015 3:20:00 PM By Matt Weller, CMT

Drivers around the world are rejoicing as oil extends its recent drop today. After pausing just above the $50.00 level for the early part of this week, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil broke down to a new 3-month low on the back of a surprise build in oil inventories yesterday. The weekly US government crude oil inventory report showed that supplies of so-called black gold rose by 2.5M barrels last week, the largest inventory [...] Continue Reading

USDCHF: Four-Decade Low in US Jobless Claims Could Overcome Bearish Technicals

Updated -  Jul 23, 2015 8:50:00 AM By Matt Weller, CMT

Last week, we highlighted a confluence of key resistance levels in the .9600-50 zone on USDCHF (See “USDCHF: Two Swiss-Cheese Style Holes on the Way to Parity” for more). As anticipated, the pair edged up into that area and has since turned lower to fall over 100 pips from the high set earlier this week. Now, the question on traders’ minds is “Where will the pair head next?” Based on this morning’s US initial [...] Continue Reading

Kiwi jumps after the RBNZ cuts interest rates

Updated -  Jul 22, 2015 5:43:01 PM By Chris Tedder

The NZ dollar was propelled higher immediately after the RBNZ’s decision to cut interest rates as the bank wasn’t dovish enough for the market, despite the fact that 25bps was taken off the official cash rate for the second month in a row and the bank noted that further policy easing seemed likely. It appears the market was ultra-dovish in the lead up to this meeting, with some participants expecting the bank to lob 50bps [...] Continue Reading

AUDNZD at a Critical Crossroads Ahead of Tonight’s RBNZ Meeting

Updated -  Jul 22, 2015 3:00:00 PM By Matt Weller, CMT

Kiwi traders are gearing up for the results of this month’s RBNZ meeting, which will be released at 21:00 GMT (17:00 ET). As my colleague Chris Tedder noted in his full RBNZ preview, the market has completely priced in a rate cut, with some aggressive traders even placing bets that the central bank could opt for a “double” cut (50bps) as the NZ economy struggles to create growth amidst collapsing dairy prices. Of course, [...] Continue Reading

BOE = (B)reak (O)ut (E)vent for GBPUSD

Updated -  Jul 22, 2015 9:00:00 AM By Matt Weller, CMT

With Australia’s highly-anticipated Q2 CPI report coming out broadly in-line with expectations at 0.7% q/q, traders honed in on the other major economic announcement of the last 24 hours, the minutes from the most recent Bank of England meeting. While the central bank voted unanimously to leave interest rates unchanged at 0.5%, there was a distinct hawkish shift within the bank’s monetary policy committee. According to the minutes, “For a number of members, the [...] Continue Reading

EUR/USD bears in control again; lower low awaited

Updated -  Jul 22, 2015 8:40:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

The one hour chart of the EUR/USD shows that it may have formed a near-term double top at 1.0965. This points to further price weakness and we may after all see the world’s most heavily traded FX pair break below May’s low and key support of 1.0820 before heading significantly lower in the coming weeks. Thus going forward the key levels to watch are 1.0965 to the upside and 1.0820 to the downside; a break [...] Continue Reading

FTSE down on commodity market rout, Arm

Updated -  Jul 22, 2015 7:30:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

The FTSE is trading lower for a second consecutive day, tracking losses across the wider European markets. Sentiment has turned a little sour after earnings from a few US household names disappointed expectations over the past couple of days, though overall Wall Street results have generally been decent so far. On top of this, the rout in the commodity markets continue to weigh on share prices of mining and energy companies which denominate the FTSE [...] Continue Reading

GBPAUD’s upward march continues

Updated -  Jul 22, 2015 12:26:18 AM By Chris Tedder

With the imminent threat of a Grexit dissipating, yield disparities are back in focus and dominating the FX market. This makes currencies with hawkish central bank backing an attractive option for investors, like the GBP. Last week the Bank of England (BOE) entertained the notion of higher interest rates and the market expects it to hike rates by 25 basis points in the next six months. This is in complete contrast to the Australian dollar [...] Continue Reading

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Disclaimer: The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient. Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warranty that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.

Futures, Options on Futures, Foreign Exchange and other leveraged products involves significant risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Increasing leverage increases risk. Spot Gold and Silver contracts are not subject to regulation under the U.S. Commodity Exchange Act. Contracts for Difference (CFDs) are not available for US residents. Before deciding to trade forex and commodity futures, you should carefully consider your financial objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained herein is intended as general information about the subject matter covered and is provided with the understanding that is not rendering investment, legal, or tax advice. You should consult with appropriate counsel or other advisors on all investment, legal, or tax matters. is regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) in the US, by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) in the UK, the Australian Securities and Investment Commission (ASIC) in Australia, the Financial Services Agency (FSA) in Japan, the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada (IIROC) in Canada and the Securities and Futures Commission of Hong Kong (SFC) in Hong Kong. Please read Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options.


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