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Live Updates

March Month-End Model Points to Possible USD Buying

Updated -  Mar 30, 2015 2:10:00 PM By Matt Weller, CMT

Background: Traders often refer the impact of ‘month end flows’ on different currency pairs during the last few days of the month. In essence, these money ‘flows’ are caused by global fund managers and investors rebalancing their currency exposure based on market movements over the last month. For example, if the value of one country’s equity and bond markets increases, these fund managers typically look to sell or hedge their now-elevated exposure to that country’s [...] Continue Reading


USDJPY: Temporarily Topped Out?

Updated -  Mar 30, 2015 11:10:55 AM By Neal Gilbert

The week has started out with a lot of USD strength as a complicated set of influences are converging simultaneously in global markets. Not only do we have the month end flows to contend with, but this is also jobs week in the US, and there is a holiday on Friday (Good Friday) that is being observed by virtually the entire developed world outside of the Bureau of Labor Statistics who has decided to release [...] Continue Reading


AUD starts the week on a sour note

Updated -  Mar 29, 2015 10:58:40 PM By Chris Tedder

Asia’s main commodity currencies are under pressure once more, with both AUDUSD and NZDUSD breaking important short-term support zones. This time around the sell-off is the result of tumbling commodity prices, with iron ore, Australia’s number one export, falling 4% at the end of last week to a six year low. Some producers are calling for a production cap to help stabilise prices. The ASX 200 also couldn’t escape the carnage with the index falling [...] Continue Reading


The Top 5 Tweets of the Week from @FOREXcom

Updated -  Mar 27, 2015 3:30:49 PM By Neal Gilbert

Are you following the FOREX.com Research Team on Twitter? If not, you are missing up to the minute updates about market moves, insight in to what, when, why, and where of market moves, as well as links to easily accessible published material as soon as it is finished. Just in case you missed some of our most popular tweets of the week, here’s a Top 5 countdown to catch you up to speed. 5. (tie) [...] Continue Reading


Can Janet Yellen put the dollar uptrend back on track?

Updated -  Mar 27, 2015 10:40:00 AM By Kathleen Brooks

When Fed chief Yellen speaks in San Francisco at 1945 GMT/ 1545 ET later today the markets may pay as much attention as they did during last week’s FOMC meeting as her topic is monetary policy. Back then she was very cautious on the outlook for rates, although the Fed mentioned that they would no longer be patient when it comes to rising rates, they weren’t impatient to raise them either. This caused a major [...] Continue Reading


S&P turns lower on the year

Updated -  Mar 27, 2015 8:45:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

The S&P has edged into the negative territory for the year. In contrast, European markets are sharply higher with the DAX up 21%, Euro Stoxx 50 and CAC both 17% higher, and the FTSE lagging behind with a gain of 4.5% year-to-date. In Japan, the Nikkei is up a good 11% so far this year. Clearly funds are flowing into regions where the central bank is still uber-dovish. Whereas the US Federal Reserve is preparing [...] Continue Reading


Japan is dangerously close to deflationary territory

Updated -  Mar 27, 2015 12:30:25 AM By Chris Tedder

Core consumer price growth hit 0% during February in Japan once the effects of a higher sales tax are taken out. Headline consumer prices rose 2.2% y/y as expected but the core CPI rose 2.0% y/y, missing an expected 2.1% increase and slower than a 2.2% gain January (the BoJ estimates that a higher consumption tax adds around 2.0% to core inflation). Falling oil prices and lacklustre domestic demand are the main reasons for [...] Continue Reading


GBPUSD: Breaking the Ascending Triangle

Updated -  Mar 26, 2015 3:51:01 PM By Neal Gilbert

The second half of North American trade was notably more somber this afternoon as the world became aware of the events leading up to the Germanwings plane crash earlier this week. While financially important events, like speeches by central bankers, were happening, they all seemed to fade in to the background as more important societal elements were the main topic of discussion. Amidst all this contemplation of human depravity, US equity markets maintained their early [...] Continue Reading


Has the EUR/USD’s downtrend resumed?

Updated -  Mar 26, 2015 1:25:00 PM By Fawad Razaqzada

You may have seen a couple of tweets from us on the EUR/USD currency pair, highlighting the false breakout above the 1.1040 handle earlier today. As this could turn out to be a significant reversal in the trend, we thought we should send out a quick note with a chart to put some more colour behind this potentially bearish setup. My colleague Neal Gilbert has already covered the fundamental drivers of the USD in his [...] Continue Reading


USDCAD: Bottom Range Feeding

Updated -  Mar 26, 2015 11:43:26 AM By Neal Gilbert

The North American morning has been a little different than the past couple days in a variety of ways as equity markets are down, but rallying heading in to lunch and the USD is performing admirably after relinquishing more ground in European trade. Helping the US case is the fact that a majority of US data releases were pretty positive as Weekly Initial Jobless Claims and Markit Flash Services & Composite PMIs beat consensus expectations.  [...] Continue Reading


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Disclaimer: The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient. Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warranty that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.

Futures, Options on Futures, Foreign Exchange and other leveraged products involves significant risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Increasing leverage increases risk. Spot Gold and Silver contracts are not subject to regulation under the U.S. Commodity Exchange Act. Contracts for Difference (CFDs) are not available for US residents. Before deciding to trade forex and commodity futures, you should carefully consider your financial objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained herein is intended as general information about the subject matter covered and is provided with the understanding that FOREX.com is not rendering investment, legal, or tax advice. You should consult with appropriate counsel or other advisors on all investment, legal, or tax matters. FOREX.com is regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) in the US, by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) in the UK, the Australian Securities and Investment Commission (ASIC) in Australia, the Financial Services Agency (FSA) in Japan, the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada (IIROC) in Canada and the Securities and Futures Commission of Hong Kong (SFC) in Hong Kong. Please read Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options.

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