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Live Updates

Eventful day in Asia as EURNZD recovers from an all-time low

Updated -  Mar 4, 2015 11:16:10 PM By Chris Tedder

Earlier in today’ session we highlighted some possible short-term strength in AUDNZD after the pair was rejected below 1.0300 once again. Sure enough, the pair has rallied in Asia on the back of a widespread kiwi sell-off and some interesting comments from RBA deputy governor Lowe. He sparked a in AUD by stating that the commodity currency was closer to fair value than it had been in a couple of years and that central banks [...] Continue Reading

AUDNZD: why can’t a break of 1.0300 be sustained?

Updated -  Mar 4, 2015 7:49:52 PM By Chris Tedder

We have been a big AUDNZD bear since late 2012 when price was above 1.3000. Overwhelming fundamental weakness stemming from diverging monetary policy paths of Australia and New Zealand has been the driving force behind the sell-off. As the RBA continued to cut interest rates in 2012 and 2013 it looked more and more likely that the RBNZ would begin tightening monetary policy in early 2014. Sure enough the RBNZ hiked interest rates in March [...] Continue Reading

GBPUSD: Where’s the Net?

Updated -  Mar 4, 2015 3:29:47 PM By Neal Gilbert

After a blistering morning trading session, North American markets calmed themselves in the afternoon and began repairing some of the damage they had done. Equities found their lows after PMI data hit the wires, but meandered higher throughout; the USD had a banner day against the EUR and GBP; Gold kept trying to break through 1200; Oil tripped stops at 50.0 then set its sights on 52.0; and the CAD rightfully enjoyed strength against [...] Continue Reading

Choo Choo! USDCHF Train Still Heading North

Updated -  Mar 4, 2015 1:50:00 PM By Matt Weller, CMT

Three weeks ago, we mentioned that many traders were taking a “once bitten, twice shy” attitude toward the Swiss franc after the SNB’s historic decision to drop its cap on the franc in mid-January (See the second article, “Another Cup of Tea for EURCHF Bulls” here). EURCHF has since stalled out, perhaps on fears ahead of tomorrow’s ECB meeting and press conference, but USDCHF has continued to truck along, breaking above the 61.8% Fibonacci [...] Continue Reading

Crude inventories increase sharply…again

Updated -  Mar 4, 2015 12:30:00 PM By Fawad Razaqzada

Prior to the release of the latest crude supply data from the Energy Information Administration (EIA), WTI was higher on the day and for a time it was trading above $51 a barrel. Speculators were hoping that the recent trend of sharp increases in oil inventories would come to end after the American Petroleum Institute’s (API) stockpiles report last night had shown ‘only’ a 2.9 million increase in US oil inventories. The consensus forecast for [...] Continue Reading

ECB meeting preview: EUR falters as we get closer to QE

Updated -  Mar 4, 2015 11:10:00 AM By Kathleen Btooks

This week’s ECB meeting is likely to be less eventful compared to the last ECB meeting in January. Back then the ECB announced its first ever QE programme, at this month’s meeting we expect no such bomb shell, instead we expect the latest round of ECB staff economic forecasts and more information on what QE under the ECB will look like. Although we don’t expect anything new to come out of this meeting, Mario [...] Continue Reading

Bank of Canada Instant Reaction: Governor Poloz Tells It Like It Is

Updated -  Mar 4, 2015 11:08:43 AM By Neal Gilbert

The North American trading session has been quite exciting so far this morning as a variety of events have hit the wires that have immediate as well as long-term impacts on markets. As for the immediate, the usual barrage of pre-Non-Farm Payroll releases were unleashed which helped paint a clearer picture on how NFP may perform, but perhaps the biggest event of the day was the BoC’s decision to leave interest rates steady at 0.75% [...] Continue Reading

USDJPY: Could Friday’s NFP Report Interrupt the Tranquil Trading Seas?

Updated -  Mar 4, 2015 8:55:00 AM By Matt Weller, CMT

The data-heavy portion of the week has officially kicked off, and today’s economic figures have confirmed some of the recent trends we’ve been highlighting. As my colleague Chris Tedder noted earlier today, Australian GDP came out a tick weaker than expected, though the Australian dollar remains resilient and is actually trading higher than it was prior to the release. Meanwhile European data was mixed, with Service PMI figures coming in roughly in-line with [...] Continue Reading

EUR/USD on the verge of another breakdown

Updated -  Mar 4, 2015 7:01:29 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

The EUR/USD is on the verge of taking another leg lower, a day before the European Central Bank meeting. Although not much will be expected from this particular meeting, the focus will be on how the ECB will achieve the €60 billion a month of the QE stimulus programme it is planning to launch this month. Mario Draghi could put the final nail in the coffin for the euro if he sounds decidedly dovish at [...] Continue Reading

Underwhelming GDP data backs calls for another rate cut

Updated -  Mar 3, 2015 10:14:43 PM By Chris Tedder

The Australian economy grew at just 0.5% in Q4, missing a consensus estimate of 0.6% q/q. Although, Q3’s headline number was revised higher to 0.4% from 0.3% q/q, which neutralised the direct impact of today’s data on the Australian dollar. Nonetheless, the economy is moving ahead at a much slower pace than its long-run average, largely due to diminishing mining investment and still lacklustre levels of activity in most non-resource parts of the economy, underpinned [...] Continue Reading

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Disclaimer: The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient. Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warranty that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.

Futures, Options on Futures, Foreign Exchange and other leveraged products involves significant risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Increasing leverage increases risk. Spot Gold and Silver contracts are not subject to regulation under the U.S. Commodity Exchange Act. Contracts for Difference (CFDs) are not available for US residents. Before deciding to trade forex and commodity futures, you should carefully consider your financial objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained herein is intended as general information about the subject matter covered and is provided with the understanding that is not rendering investment, legal, or tax advice. You should consult with appropriate counsel or other advisors on all investment, legal, or tax matters. is regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) in the US, by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) in the UK, the Australian Securities and Investment Commission (ASIC) in Australia, the Financial Services Agency (FSA) in Japan, the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada (IIROC) in Canada and the Securities and Futures Commission of Hong Kong (SFC) in Hong Kong. Please read Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options.


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