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Live Updates

EURUSD: prepping for CPI

Updated -  Nov 27, 2014 11:10:00 AM By Kathleen Brooks

The bond market seems to be pricing in the prospect of QE from the European Central Bank in the coming months after a weaker than expected reading of German CPI. Spanish and Italian yields have fallen today, while German and French bond yields fell to record lows earlier. But, the EUR and Greek bond yields are bucking the trend. Greek concerns are brewing While other Eurozone members states are seeing their yields fall, [...] Continue Reading


Crude oil drops as OPEC decides against cutting production quota

Updated -  Nov 27, 2014 10:15:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

So, as we had expected the OPEC decided against trimming it is production quota of 30 million barrels of oil per day and prices have unsurprisingly extended their falls as a result. The Brent contract has so far fallen to a low of $74.35, thereby taking out the key psychological $75.00 level. WTI slipped below the $71.00 handle immediately after the news was announced. Given that much of the news was already priced in, [...] Continue Reading


DAX could break to fresh record as it hovers near major resistance area

Updated -  Nov 27, 2014 6:25:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

European stocks are higher today, led by gains in Germany once again. At the time of this writing, the benchmark DAX index is up a good 0.9%, supported by speculation that the European Central Bank may introduce full-scale QE at some point early next year. Yesterday, the ECB Vice President Vitor Constancioy stated that the central bank is prepared to start buying sovereign bonds in Q1 should economic conditions warrant it. This was the first [...] Continue Reading


AUD regains some lost ground on encouraging CAPEX data

Updated -  Nov 26, 2014 11:19:17 PM By Chris Tedder

The Australian dollar has managed to break through an important resistance zone around 0.8555 against the USD on the back of better than expected Australian private capital expenditure numbers. Private CAPEX rose 0.2% in Q3, defying predictions of a horrible 1.9% drop. The better numbers came from an unexpected surge in equipment, plant and machinery spending in the three months to September. The ABS also noted that corporates plan to increase capital expenditure to $153 [...] Continue Reading


NZDUSD’s rally is tarnished by softer than expected trade numbers

Updated -  Nov 26, 2014 8:37:03 PM By Chris Tedder

New Zealand’s trade deficit missed expectations in October, led by a strong surge imports. The trade deficit narrowed to 908m in October, which is more than the 642m deficit that the market was expecting. Also, September’s trade balance was revised lower to -1,367m. The annual trade balance fell into deficit territory for the first time this year at -107m. The good news is that the surge in imports highlights some underlying strength in domestic [...] Continue Reading


OPEC unlikely to cut production ceiling; lower prices may prevail

Updated -  Nov 26, 2014 1:30:00 PM By Fawad Razaqzada

Crude oil traders are now in wait-and-see mode as the OPEC mulls a production cut. Yesterday, a meeting between some large oil producing nations including Russia, Mexico, Venezuela and Saudi Arabia failed to find a solution in terms of production cut. In truth, an agreement was never likely to be reached prior to the actual OPEC meeting on Thursday anyway. The situation is really complex this time with the likes of Iran, Iraq and Libya [...] Continue Reading


It’s a bad day for turkeys, and the UK economy

Updated -  Nov 26, 2014 11:45:00 AM By Kathleen Brooks

The US is hungrily waiting for Thanksgiving on Thursday. From a financial market perspective, this is reflected in low volumes in both FX and equities. While this helped to push European equities up to 2-month highs this morning, the upside has been capped and we have drifted lower throughout the European afternoon. The dollar is also drifting lower. Volumes are only going to get worse on Thursday and Friday with no economic data scheduled for [...] Continue Reading


November Month-End Model Signals Potential USD Weakness

Updated -  Nov 26, 2014 11:15:00 AM By Matt Weller, CMT

Background: Traders often discuss how ‘month end’ flows may impact a currency or a currency pair during the last few day(s) of the month. These flows are caused by global portfolio managers rebalancing their existing currency hedges. If the value of one country’s equity and bond markets increases, these fund managers typically look to sell or hedge their elevated risk in that country’s currency and rebalance their exposure back to an underperforming country’s currency. The [...] Continue Reading


EUR/JPY: the pair to watch as US goes on holiday

Updated -  Nov 26, 2014 10:15:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

Today it has been all about the dollar as three days’ worth of US macroeconomic pointers were published in the space of just a few hours to avoid conflicts with Thursday’s Thanksgiving holiday. The US data dump led to a volatile afternoon session for the major currency pairs denominated in the buck. With the US data out of the way now, speculators may wish to consider some currency crosses instead, for example the EUR/JPY. This [...] Continue Reading


EURGBP: Downtrend Resuming After Today’s Turbulence?

Updated -  Nov 26, 2014 8:55:00 AM By Matt Weller, CMT

While many US traders are anxiously watching the status of their flights on the biggest travel day of the year, European traders have seen a bit of turbulence in today’s European session. First, traders got a glimpse of the revision to Q3 UK GDP, which came out at 0.7% q/q as expected, marking the 6th consecutive quarter this specific reading has been 0.7% or 0.8%. While some of the report’s details were less-than-stellar, traders have [...] Continue Reading


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Disclaimer: The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient. Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warranty that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.

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