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Live Updates

Should the markets be worried about Greek political turmoil?

Updated -  Jul 30, 2015 1:35:00 PM By Kathleen Brooks

In recent weeks the Greek crisis has receded into the distance, other concerns such as the volatility in the Chinese stock market and the timing of a potential first rate hike from the Federal Reserve have taken centre stage and the dominated market action. Understandably, once it looked like Greece would be able to secure a third bailout and accept its creditors conditions the markets started to look elsewhere for market-moving events. However, now the [...] Continue Reading

USDCAD: Under-the-Surface Strength in US GDP Could Target 11-Year High

Updated -  Jul 30, 2015 8:50:00 AM By Matt Weller, CMT

While it’s typically the marquee event for any given week (if not the whole month), yesterday’s FOMC monetary policy statement was a bit of a dud (see “FOMC Instant Reaction: “Nearly” There, but “Further” Improvement Needed” for more). The central bank made only small tweaks to its monetary policy statement, careful not to tip the scales in the increasingly important “September vs. December” debate over liftoff for interest rates. The dollar saw a bit [...] Continue Reading

AUDNZD’s comeback run

Updated -  Jul 30, 2015 1:09:37 AM By Chris Tedder

AUDNZD is making a comeback in Asia after suffering a huge sell-off in recent weeks. In mid-July the pair bounced off an important resistance zone around 1.1400 before drifting almost 500 pips lower to a support zone around 1.0900. Since then AUDNZD has regained some of this lost ground, despite softer than expected economic data out of Australia and mildly hawkish comments from RBNZ Governor Wheeler. Yesterday, Wheeler noted during a speech that whilst [...] Continue Reading

FOMC Instant Reaction: “Nearly” There, but “Further” Improvement Needed

Updated -  Jul 29, 2015 2:25:00 PM By Matt Weller, CMT

As we noted in our FOMC preview report, analysts and traders were unanimous in their expectation that the central bank would leave interest rates unchanged in the 0.00-0.25% range, and the Fed provided no surprises on that front. That said, the world’s most important central bank still gave traders plenty to chew over in its first monetary policy statement of Q3. First, the headlines from this month’s statement [emphasis mine]: Earlier today, analysts coalesced [...] Continue Reading

Can the Fed disrupt the GBPUSD rally?

Updated -  Jul 29, 2015 11:00:00 AM By Kathleen Brooks

Ahead of this evening’s FOMC meeting, the pound is the strongest performer in the G10 FX space. Sterling is still benefitting from the decent GDP figure released on Tuesday, which has triggered a 150 pip rally in two days, not bad for end of July markets. As we lead up to the FOMC meeting, GBPUSD is currently above the most recent peaks on 17th and 23rd July, and is at its highest level of [...] Continue Reading

Could the Fed Push USDJPY Above the “Kuroda Line”?

Updated -  Jul 29, 2015 10:10:00 AM By Matt Weller, CMT

It’s been a quiet overnight session for most major currencies as market participants refrained from placing large trades ahead of today’s FOMC meeting. As we noted yesterday, the central bank is unlikely to make any outright changes to monetary policy, but the wording of the accompanying statement could tilt the scales in the hotly-contested “September vs. December” (for the first rate hike) debate. Heading into the release, USDJPY may be the most important currency [...] Continue Reading

NZDUSD is bolstered by comments from the RBNZ

Updated -  Jul 29, 2015 12:12:06 AM By Chris Tedder

The NZ dollar was bolstered by an unlikely source, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ). Governor Wheeler noted during a speech earlier today that whilst further interest rate cuts are likely, the economy doesn’t require severe monetary policy loosening. This helped spark a rally in the kiwi, with NZDUSD jumping through 0.6700 on the back of the comments. The market still expects the RBNZ to lob another 25bps off the official cash rate [...] Continue Reading

China roundup: Beijing attempts to calm investors

Updated -  Jul 28, 2015 9:41:20 PM By Chris Tedder

It was another volatile month for China’s stock markets as the unwinding of positions bought with borrowed money continued. At the beginning of the final week of July the Shanghai Composite faced its second largest sell-off in history, with the index falling a staggering 8.5% in one day. In the weeks prior to this it looked like Beijing may have succeeded in reinvigorating the market, but it proved short-lived and the index has since erased [...] Continue Reading

FOMC Preview: An Appetizer Ahead of September’s Main Course

Updated -  Jul 28, 2015 3:05:00 PM By Matt Weller, CMT

It’s hard to believe that it’s been fully six weeks since the Fed’s last meeting, where the median central banker just barely maintained a preference for two rate hikes this year. In the accompanying Summary of Economic Projections (SEP), the central bank negatively revised its expectations for economic growth and unemployment, while leaving the inflation forecast essentially unchanged. Over the last month and a half, the US economy has given off a series of [...] Continue Reading

GBPUSD: Traders Take a Glass-Half-Full View of UK GDP

Updated -  Jul 28, 2015 8:25:00 AM By Matt Weller, CMT

It’s been a generally quiet Tuesday in global markets, with the US dollar regaining some of yesterday’s lost ground, WTI edging higher after hitting a new 4-month low under 47.00, and gold marking time below 1100. The only economic data release of note was the UK’s preliminary GDP reading for Q2, which showed as-expected 0.7% growth quarter-over-quarter. While the headline GDP reading matched consensus, cable traders are taking a “glass half full” view of the [...] Continue Reading

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Disclaimer: The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient. Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warranty that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.

Futures, Options on Futures, Foreign Exchange and other leveraged products involves significant risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Increasing leverage increases risk. Spot Gold and Silver contracts are not subject to regulation under the U.S. Commodity Exchange Act. Contracts for Difference (CFDs) are not available for US residents. Before deciding to trade forex and commodity futures, you should carefully consider your financial objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained herein is intended as general information about the subject matter covered and is provided with the understanding that is not rendering investment, legal, or tax advice. You should consult with appropriate counsel or other advisors on all investment, legal, or tax matters. is regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) in the US, by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) in the UK, the Australian Securities and Investment Commission (ASIC) in Australia, the Financial Services Agency (FSA) in Japan, the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada (IIROC) in Canada and the Securities and Futures Commission of Hong Kong (SFC) in Hong Kong. Please read Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options.


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