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Live Updates

What’s next for bruised buck bulls?

Updated -  Aug 27, 2015 3:30:00 PM By Matt Weller, CMT

The white-knuckle roller coaster ride that is this week’s markets continues today. Equities rallied across the board, with European indices rising 3+% and US bourses tracking about 1% higher as of writing. Yields in the US, UK, Germany, and Japan are all ticking higher today, showing modest selling of safe-haven bonds across the globe (this same sentiment is reflected in gold’s lackluster trade today). Meanwhile, oil prices have exploded higher today, with the benchmark WTI [...] Continue Reading

Stocks surge… but are we climbing a wall of worry?

Updated -  Aug 27, 2015 1:00:00 PM By Fawad Razaqzada

The stock market volatility has been a dominant theme this week. After that vicious sell-off on Monday, the markets have bounced back strongly thanks in part to the PBOC’s decision to further loosen monetary policy. Concerns over the health of the US economy have also eased somewhat following the release of mostly better than expected data this week. The latest readings on consumer confidence, durable goods orders and now GDP have all topped expectations. But [...] Continue Reading

EUR/USD: A top thrill 450-pip round trip

Updated -  Aug 27, 2015 8:45:00 AM By Matt Weller, CMT

“Zero to 120 MPH in less than 4 seconds. A few seconds later, you’re 420 feet in the air. In the race for pure adrenaline thrills, there is one winner: Top Thrill Dragster. Nothing else compares to this high-horsepower shot into the sky. From a standing start you’re launched forward, then straight up, then straight down and back to the finish line. The ride may be over in 17 seconds, but it’ll stay with you [...] Continue Reading

Crude: short squeeze rally or bear trend resumption?

Updated -  Aug 27, 2015 7:00:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

The price of oil has risen for the third consecutive day. Since hitting a low of $42.20 on Monday, Brent has risen by $2.80 to a high so for of $45.00. In percentage terms, it has gained a good 6.5%. WTI has slightly underperformed in nominal terms as it has ‘only’ gained $2.60 from its low on Monday but because it has risen from a lower base, it has outperformed on a percentage basis – [...] Continue Reading

Australia’s mixed CAPEX data and the risk proxy, AUDJPY

Updated -  Aug 26, 2015 11:45:06 PM By Chris Tedder

The mining sector in Australia is weighing heavily on overall capital expenditure and investment. Australian private capital expenditure fell a seasonally adjusted 4.0% in Q2, missing an expected 2.5% q/q fall. Buildings and structures fell 5.6% and equipment, plant and machinery dropped 1.2% last quarter. Since the same period last year total new CAPEX has fallen a disheartening 10.5%, led by a 16.7% decline in building and structure spending over the same period. The [...] Continue Reading

Why “we’re all USD/JPY traders now”

Updated -  Aug 26, 2015 2:15:00 PM By Matt Weller, CMT

“We’re all Keynseians now” – Milton Friedman The above quote is often misattributed to US President Richard Nixon, when he closed the gold convertibility window. Regardless, the phrase “We are all _____ now” has since become part of the lexicon for anyone trying to make a broad generalization about the current zeitgeist. Amidst the recent global market turmoil, I’d like to postulate that “We are all USD/JPY traders now.” That’s because USD/JPY has become [...] Continue Reading

Gold: is the selling overdone?

Updated -  Aug 26, 2015 1:00:00 PM By Fawad Razaqzada

From its opening price of about $1145 today, gold has dropped almost $30 to a low so far of $1117. It has therefore shed its entire gains made since the beginning of the US stock market meltdown on Wednesday of last week. On the one hand, gold’s counter-intuitive price action this week strongly suggests that the metal is heading to significantly lower levels. After all, the 1000 point drop in the Dow Jones Industrial Average [...] Continue Reading

GBP/USD: Bears’ turn for a day in the sun

Updated -  Aug 26, 2015 8:50:00 AM By Matt Weller, CMT

Amidst the rollercoaster ride that unexpected seized most global markets over the last few days, trade in GBP/USD has remained relatively sanguine. Cable rallied “just” 80 pips on Monday, while the dollar lost far more value against the euro and yen, before reversing that move on Tuesday to trade back at the 1.5700 level. As of writing, it looks like GBP/USD is finally ready for its day in the sun, and so far, the sun [...] Continue Reading

Has USD/JPY formed a major top?

Updated -  Aug 26, 2015 6:50:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

The USD/JPY’s strong correlation with the equity markets, if sustained, point to significantly lower levels for the major indices, especially the Nikkei. That’s because the USD/JPY’s monthly chart (in figure 1) suggests a major top may have been formed around the 124/26 area. Although the markets may swing wildly going forward, it will essentially be in a downward trending environment – at least judging by the behaviour of the USD/JPY currency pair and until proven [...] Continue Reading

NZDUSD flatlines as investors tread carefully

Updated -  Aug 26, 2015 12:58:49 AM By Chris Tedder

It has been a very interesting session in Asia, dominated by uncertainty. Equity markets are unsure of which direction to head in Asia, with many of the main exchanges spending most of the session bouncing between gains and losses. After falling around 22% in the past four days, the Shanghai Composite Index jumped between red and black during its morning session, despite the PBoC’s decision to loosen monetary policy after the market closed yesterday.  [...] Continue Reading

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Disclaimer: The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient. Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warranty that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.

Futures, Options on Futures, Foreign Exchange and other leveraged products involves significant risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Increasing leverage increases risk. Spot Gold and Silver contracts are not subject to regulation under the U.S. Commodity Exchange Act. Contracts for Difference (CFDs) are not available for US residents. Before deciding to trade forex and commodity futures, you should carefully consider your financial objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained herein is intended as general information about the subject matter covered and is provided with the understanding that is not rendering investment, legal, or tax advice. You should consult with appropriate counsel or other advisors on all investment, legal, or tax matters. is regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) in the US, by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) in the UK, the Australian Securities and Investment Commission (ASIC) in Australia, the Financial Services Agency (FSA) in Japan, the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada (IIROC) in Canada and the Securities and Futures Commission of Hong Kong (SFC) in Hong Kong. Please read Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options.


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