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Live Updates

GBPAUD Peeking Out to a New 5-Year High – Could 1.94 Be Next?

Updated -  Dec 18, 2014 1:40:00 PM By Matt Weller, CMT

As we wind down another thrilling year, there are no shortage of clear trends in the forex market, but one of our favorites is in GBPAUD. Though economic data has out of the UK has been mixed lately, the Australian dollar has been persistently battered by disappointing news out of Australia itself and China, the country’s biggest trading partner (see my colleague Chris Tedder’s note, “It has been a busy week for AUD, yet [...] Continue Reading

The calm after the storm: digesting this week’s major market moves

Updated -  Dec 18, 2014 10:10:00 AM By Kathleen Brooks

It’s become a bit of a tradition for investment banks and trading houses to give their “outrageous” predictions for the year ahead. Around about this time of year you see plenty of predictions that no one really expect to come true. This year I have seen everything from chocolate becoming the new caviar, to Iran flooding the oil markets and UKIP getting into power in the UK. However, events in financial markets over the last [...] Continue Reading

EURGBP: Euro Getting Pound-ed by Rival

Updated -  Dec 18, 2014 9:15:00 AM By Matt Weller, CMT

Even with the benefit of a full night’s rest, traders are still struggling to digest the Fed’s latest missive (see “Fed Instant Reaction Reaction: ‘Considerable’ Confusion” for more). Indeed, the only clear takeaway is that the central bank’s action will, as ever, be entirely dependent on incoming economic data. For equity traders, that was clearly enough, as US equities saw their best day of the year yesterday and are pointing to another strong open [...] Continue Reading

EURCHF: after the SNB, what next?

Updated -  Dec 18, 2014 7:50:00 AM By Kathleen Brooks

The SNB’s surprise move has capped off an eventful week for the markets. The swissie had come under renewed pressure in recent days, but the SNB’s latest move has moved EURCHF out of the danger zone. Read our explainer below, to find out more. What is the SNB doing? In a surprise move, on Thursday the SNB announced that it was cutting interest rates into negative territory. The SNB’s 3-month libor target rate [...] Continue Reading

Is AUDNZD heading below 1.0500?

Updated -  Dec 17, 2014 8:52:34 PM By Chris Tedder

It has been a horrendous couple of months for AUDNZD, with the pair falling from its highest level this year to its lowest level in 9 years. The ultimate commodity pairing is now testing a very important support zone between 1.0430 and 1.0500. The pair has never been lower than 1.0430, thus a break here would put it into uncharted territory and may precede a push towards parity. Will it get to 1.000? The [...] Continue Reading

NZ’s GDP numbers almost save the kiwi

Updated -  Dec 17, 2014 6:28:13 PM By Chris Tedder

The NZ economy is the standout economy this year with a predicted real growth rate of 3.5% y/y, which is considerably higher than any member of the G10. The only G10 economies to come even remotely close are the UK and Canada, with predicted growth rates of 3.0% and 2.4% respectively. NZ’s Q3 growth data was released today, and sure enough the numbers would be envy of other advanced economies. NZ’s economy grew a seasonally [...] Continue Reading

Fed Instant Reaction: “Considerable” Confusion

Updated -  Dec 17, 2014 3:00:00 PM By Matt Weller, CMT

In our Fed preview earlier this morning, we argued that the market’s reaction to today’s Federal Reserve statement could be a binary outcome dependent on just two words: considerable time (see “Fed Up with ‘Considerable Time’” for more). As it turned out, the Fed managed to avoid this binary outcome by moving (NOT removing) the “considerable time” pledge within the statement itself. Seemingly in attempt to satisfy both hawks and doves, the new statement [...] Continue Reading

Fed Up with “Considerable Time”?

Updated -  Dec 17, 2014 10:20:00 AM By Matt Weller, CMT

As strange as it sounds, the tone of trade for the rest of the week, and perhaps even the rest of the year, could hinge on just two words. The Federal Reserve will release its monetary policy statement and summary of economic projections at 2:00pm ET (19:00 GMT), followed by the press conference with Fed Chair Janet Yellen at 2:30pm ET (19:30 GMT), and traders will be hyper-focused on whether the central bank chooses to [...] Continue Reading

FTSE 100: Is the oil price drop good for stocks?

Updated -  Dec 17, 2014 9:40:00 AM By Kathleen Brooks

It’s been a bad first half of the day for European indices, with a sea of red across all European markets. The FTSE 100 has managed to fare the best, it is currently down 0.8%, which compares with a 1.75% fall for the FTSE MIB in Italy and a 1.14% decline for the Eurostoxx index. Interestingly, the drop has been across the board, with traditionally defensive sectors, which should do well during times of [...] Continue Reading

DJIA: potential for stocks to bounce back, FOMC eyed

Updated -  Dec 17, 2014 8:20:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

By the end of today’s session we may have a good idea in terms of whether the so-called “Santa Claus Rally” is still on for stocks. Not only do the major indices look oversold from a technical point of view, there is also the potential for the Federal Reserve to deliver a surprisingly dovish statement at the conclusion of the FOMC meeting this evening. Although the employment situation is continuing to improve, there is a [...] Continue Reading

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Disclaimer: The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient. Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warranty that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.

Futures, Options on Futures, Foreign Exchange and other leveraged products involves significant risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Increasing leverage increases risk. Spot Gold and Silver contracts are not subject to regulation under the U.S. Commodity Exchange Act. Contracts for Difference (CFDs) are not available for US residents. Before deciding to trade forex and commodity futures, you should carefully consider your financial objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained herein is intended as general information about the subject matter covered and is provided with the understanding that is not rendering investment, legal, or tax advice. You should consult with appropriate counsel or other advisors on all investment, legal, or tax matters. is regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) in the US, by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) in the UK, the Australian Securities and Investment Commission (ASIC) in Australia, the Financial Services Agency (FSA) in Japan, the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada (IIROC) in Canada and the Securities and Futures Commission of Hong Kong (SFC) in Hong Kong. Please read Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options.


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