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Live Updates

EURAUD makes another run at its 200-day SMA

Updated -  Nov 20, 2014 8:08:24 PM By Chris Tedder

It has been an interesting week for EURAUD, with the pair doing a very abrupt about-face as the euro proved more resistant to USD strength. Also, falling iron ore prices and disappointing Chinese economic data has hit the Australian dollar. The end result has been a significant rally in EURAUD which has pushed the pair off a key support zone just above 1.4200, through its 100-day SMA and on to its 200-day SMA. This [...] Continue Reading


CADJPY Blasts Out of the Atmosphere, Canadian CPI on Tap

Updated -  Nov 20, 2014 2:45:00 PM By Matt Weller, CMT

One theme we’ve been consistently highlighting over the last few weeks is policymakers’ (and thus traders’) increasing focus on inflation reports. With price pressures in many developed markets rapidly falling toward outright deflation, many central banks are pondering additional monetary stimulus to help support their moribund economies. Tomorrow, Statistics Canada will release its measure of CPI inflation (Oct), with traders and economists expecting a -0.3% m/m contraction on the headline figure, but a 0.2% m/m [...] Continue Reading


Crude oil steadies as OPEC meeting nears

Updated -  Nov 20, 2014 1:15:00 PM By Fawad Razaqzada

With just a week to go until the next OPEC meeting, crude oil prices are showing signs of steadiness. The market is seemingly throwing the ball in the cartel’s court and is demanding the production quota to be trimmed meaningfully. This implies that in the event the OPEC fails to agree on cutting its output, prices are likely to extend their falls. For now though, oil traders appear to be happy with the extent of [...] Continue Reading


EURUSD: a tale of two charts

Updated -  Nov 20, 2014 11:20:00 AM By Kathleen Brooks

This cross is mostly trading sideways this afternoon even though the US had a trio of positive data releases including a surge in the Philly Fed, stronger than expected existing home sales and an uptick in CPI. EURUSD is managing to cling above 1.25; however, we continue to think that this is just a pullback and does not suggest an end to the downtrend for this pair. Figure 1 below shows the extent of [...] Continue Reading


US CPI Clears Subdued Expectations as USDNOK Bull Flag Nears Support

Updated -  Nov 20, 2014 8:50:00 AM By Matt Weller, CMT

With global central banks collectively shifting their focus to inflation, or the lack thereof, traders were awaiting today’s US CPI release with bated breath. Expectations were very subdued heading into the report, with economists expecting -0.1% contraction m/m (or 1.6% on a y/y basis), and while the actual CPI release was hardly stellar, it did manage to clear this low hurdle. October CPI printed at 0.0% m/m (1.7% y/y), while Core CPI came out [...] Continue Reading


FTSE down as manufacturing PMIs disappoint

Updated -  Nov 20, 2014 7:40:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

The FTSE is tracking the major global indices lower. As we go to press, the UK benchmark is down almost 50 points or about 0.7% at 6550 and threatening to break further lower. Sentiment has taken a knock from the weaker PMI figures out of China and the Eurozone. Unsurprisingly, it is the commodity-linked stocks that dominate the bottom half of the FTSE with Anglo American, Rio Tinto and BHP Billiton being the worst performing [...] Continue Reading


Could inflation disrupt the USD’s party?

Updated -  Nov 20, 2014 12:00:00 AM By Kathleen Brooks

At 1330 GMT/ 0830 ET the latest US inflation data is scheduled to hit the wires. The market is expecting prices to fall by 0.1% in October, which could push the annual rate down to 1.6% from 1.7%. This would be the lowest level since March. The risk is to the downside after sharp falls in energy and food prices last month, there is also a disinflationary impulse across the world which we doubt that [...] Continue Reading


AUDUSD may be preparing to test its 4-year low

Updated -  Nov 19, 2014 11:22:56 PM By Chris Tedder

AUDUSD managed to largely ignore some disappointing Chinese manufacturing numbers but it couldn’t shake off widespread USD strength and falling iron ore prices. The pair is now only just holding above 0.8600. Below here there isn’t much technical support until we reach the 4-year low around 0.8540. Overnight the US dollar was bolstered by the release of the Fed’s minutes from its policy meeting last month. The minutes were fairly balanced and they didn’t [...] Continue Reading


Japan’s trade data highlights the benefits and problems of a weakening yen

Updated -  Nov 19, 2014 8:32:29 PM By Chris Tedder

The yen continues to weaken across the board as a result of the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) massive QQE programme. Late last month the BoJ kicked its quantitative easing programme into another gear, with the bank now looking to expand Japan’s monetary base by around 80 trillion yen annually. This much liquidity being forced into the market, largely through bond purchases, has encouraged even more bears to join the mauling of JPY. Exports sure [...] Continue Reading


Instant Reaction: Balanced FOMC Minutes Not Enough to Deter Dollar Bulls

Updated -  Nov 19, 2014 2:35:00 PM By Matt Weller, CMT

As my colleague Kathleen Brooks highlighted earlier today (see “Five Minute Preview: FOMC Minutes, October Meeting” for more), there were three primary topics to monitor: Growth, inflation, and the timing of the first interest rate hike. 1. Growth As anticipated, the central bank was generally satisfied with domestic economic growth, but expressed concerns about the global economy: “In discussing economic developments abroad, participants pointed to a somewhat weaker economic outlook and increased downside risks [...] Continue Reading


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Disclaimer: The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient. Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warranty that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.

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