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Live Updates

GBP/USD upward trend still intact, but bulls need to show presence pretty soon

Updated -  Jul 22, 2014 12:30:00 PM By Fawad Razaqzada

About a month ago now, we took a long-term view on the GBP/USD and suggested that there could be significant gains on the way for the currency pair. At the time, the Cable had just breached 1.7040/5 which was previously a significant resistance level and also the 2009 high. From there, it went up by another 150 pips before the rally exhausted around 1.7190. As can be seen on the daily chart, this 1.7190 [...] Continue Reading


Time to get interested in NZDUSD?

Updated -  Jul 22, 2014 10:55:00 AM By Kathleen Brooks

We have mentioned for a while now that the G10 FX market is starting to get interested in relative yield differentials. On the back of this theme, we think that the NZD could rally against the USD in the short term, as disappointing US inflation data may support the Fed maintaining its dovish rhetoric, at least in the near-term. On Wednesday night at 2200 BST/ 1700 ET, the RBNZ is expected to hike interest [...] Continue Reading


NZDJPY: Don’t Fight the …RBNZ?

Updated -  Jul 22, 2014 8:35:00 AM By Matt Weller

In a generally quiet week for economic data, the marquee event could be the RBNZ’s monetary policy decision. My colleague Chris Tedder noted earlier this week that the central bank is likely to hike the official cash rate by 25bps to 3.50%, but that a rate hike is already fully priced in by the market. Instead, the value of the New Zealand dollar is likely to hinge on RBNZ Governor Wheeler’s accompanying statement: if [...] Continue Reading


EURUSD: looking for a daily close below 1.3477

Updated -  Jul 22, 2014 7:35:00 AM By Kathleen Brooks

After a summer stuck in a stubborn range, the EUR has started to come under pressure and could be about to embark on a leg lower. The single currency is one of the weakest performers against the greenback in the G10 today. The low so far on Tuesday is 1.3478 – one point above the lowest level since February 3rd at 1.3477. 1.3477 could be a sticky level; however, a daily close below this level [...] Continue Reading


Nasdaq 100 could hit 4000 this week if tech earnings beat expectations

Updated -  Jul 22, 2014 7:15:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

Today, risk is back on the menu as far as stocks are concerned. Both European markets and the major US index futures are higher, pointing to a positive open on Wall Street later this afternoon. There are two main drivers behind the firmer sentiment today. Firstly, geopolitical concerns have eased a tad after the pro-Russian rebels in Ukraine finally handed over the black boxes from the downed flight MH17. Secondly, investors are positioning themselves up [...] Continue Reading


Relief rally in AUD after Stevens’ speech

Updated -  Jul 22, 2014 12:51:18 AM By Chris Tedder

There was relief rally in the Australian dollar after RBA Governor Stevens failed to comment about the commodity currency or monetary policy during his speech in Sydney. We suggested this may happen in this morning’s report, but we still think the aussie is looking top heavy, especially if we see a weaker than expected set of inflation figures out of Australia tomorrow. In the meantime, we continue to think that AUDUSD may trade in a [...] Continue Reading


AUDUSD backed off an important short-term resistance zone around 0.9400, with investor sentiment faltering on geopolitical concerns in the absence of any major market moving economic data or events overnight. Investors are similarly cautious about weaker than expected Australian inflation numbers tomorrow which is contributing to the aussie’s fall. The market is also eagerly waiting for a speech by RBA Governor Stevens at the Anika Foundation Luncheon in Sydney at 1300AEST (0300GMT) today. Will [...] Continue Reading


EM Rundown: Geopolitics to Trump Data

Updated -  Jul 21, 2014 1:55:00 PM By Matt Weller

With no major economic data on the calendar and sunny summer weather beckoning outside, it almost feels as if traders are stretching the weekend out for another day before trading can start in earnest tomorrow. To wit, the EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD have been contained to sub-50 pip ranges, and even the Russian ruble, which has been the focus of the biggest fundamental developments today, has only fallen about 25 pips against the US dollar [...] Continue Reading


Crude oil stable following recent volatility

Updated -  Jul 21, 2014 1:00:00 PM By Fawad Razaqzada

Crude oil is stable following Friday’s sell-off. Last week,Brent found some support from the escalation of conflicts between Israel and Palestine, and as fears over further sanctions on Russia grew following the crash of the Malaysian Airlines plane in Eastern Ukraine. This week, geopolitical tensions are again likely to remain the main source of direction for oil prices. However the fact that there have been no further disruptions to the supply of oil despite the [...] Continue Reading


Fundamental round-up: Russian sanctions, more bark than bite

Updated -  Jul 21, 2014 11:35:00 AM By Kathleen Brooks

What a difference a week makes. After pro-Russian rebels shot down a civilian airliner in the Ukraine last week, the focus has shifted to geopolitical concerns and the prospect of mounting tensions between Russia and the rest of the developed world. The US, Australia, the UK and Germany have used strong language to pin the blame for the atrocity on Putin, however the EU has stopped short of following suit. EU Foreign ministers are [...] Continue Reading


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Disclaimer: The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient. Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warranty that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.

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