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Live Updates

Gold jumps on safe haven demand and as dollar, stocks fall

Updated -  Sep 23, 2014 7:20:48 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

Risk is off the menu today with stocks plunging and the safe haven yen and gold rising. It is not clear what exactly has caused this latest rise in risk aversion. After all, the conflicts in the Middle East had been on-going but ignored by the financial markets for months now and so the bombing of Syria by the US and its Arab allies is unlikely to be the sole reason boosting demand for safe [...] Continue Reading

China’s PMI surprise doesn’t change anything

Updated -  Sep 23, 2014 12:18:16 AM By Chris Tedder

The Australian dollar was briefly propelled higher by an unexpected increase in activity in China’s private manufacturing sector. HSBC’s reading of China’s flash September Manufacturing PMI jumped to 50.5, up from last month’s final reading of 50.2 and better than an expected fall to 50.0. The figures are mildly encouraging because they point to stabilisation in China’s manufacturing sector. The slightly positive surprise was enough to propel AUDUSD up to a resistance zone around [...] Continue Reading

AUDJPY hits a key support zone ahead of important Chinese data

Updated -  Sep 22, 2014 7:53:35 PM By Chris Tedder

It’s been a bad start to the week for the Australian dollar, with the commodity currency facing heaving selling pressure overnight that pushed it through 0.8900 against the US dollar (see my colleague Matt Weller’s report on AUDUSD). While the sell-off in AUDJPY was less extreme due to some mild yen strength, the pair has been brought to a key support zone (see chart). As we can see from the chart below, the support [...] Continue Reading

EM Rundown: Two Key Central Bank Meetings on Tap

Updated -  Sep 22, 2014 3:00:00 PM By Matt Weller, CMT

As we roll into a new trading week, the biggest story remains the uninterrupted rally in the world’s reserve currency. For the first time since President Nixon officially severed the US dollar’s fixed link to gold back in 1973, the US dollar index has risen for ten consecutive weeks. Of course, the dollar index only measures the greenback’s performance against G10 currencies, but the buck has also rallied against almost all the major emerging markets [...] Continue Reading

FTSE down on Tesco and as Scottish jubilations fade; key support being tested

Updated -  Sep 22, 2014 1:35:00 PM By Fawad Razaqzada

What a volatile few days it has been for the FTSE! At end of last week, the UK index staged a relief rally as the market priced in and then reacted to news of a No vote for Scottish independence. That rally quickly came to a halt on Friday at around the key 6890/6900 resistance area, leading to an equally sharp pullback that continued into today’s session. The selling was exacerbated by the fact [...] Continue Reading

AUDUSD Turns Negative for the Year on China Concerns

Updated -  Sep 22, 2014 9:00:00 AM By Matt Weller, CMT

It’s been another quiet start to the trading week, with by far the most interesting move developing in the AUDUSD. Just two weeks ago, we highlighted the big Head-and-Shoulders pattern on the pair, concluding that, “…bears may eventually look to target the 61.8% retracement of the H1 rally at .8980 or the measured move target projection of the H&S pattern at .8950” as a result of the pattern (see “AUDUSD on the Verge of [...] Continue Reading

Silver hits lowest since July 2010, but is the selling overdone?

Updated -  Sep 22, 2014 7:30:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

Precious metals have extended their losses overnight, pressured by the lack of investment demand due to the still-buoyant equities, low and stable inflation in the major economies and of course the stronger US dollar. Although the US Federal Reserve last week reiterated that it expects rates will remain on hold for a considerable time after the end of QE program, FOMC members also projected a faster pace for rate hikes. This helped to boost both [...] Continue Reading

EURAUD hits some resistance

Updated -  Sep 22, 2014 12:24:57 AM By Chris Tedder

EURAUD has been a major beneficiary of widespread AUD weakness in the last couple of weeks. This has helped to propel the pair to a key resistance zone around its 100-day SMA, a break of which could highlight some technical strength in the pair. However, the pair is starting to look a little top heavy on shorter time frames - there is some bearish divergence between RSI and price on a 4-hr chart. Also, [...] Continue Reading

NZD jumps after Key’s big win

Updated -  Sep 21, 2014 7:22:35 PM By Chris Tedder

The NZ dollar is off to a good start this week, with the NZ elections providing the currency with a boost at the open. Over the weekend, the National Party won a resounding victory over its main rival, the Labour Party. The incumbent party looks to have won 48.1% of the vote, up 0.8% on the 2011 election. Meanwhile, the Labour Party only managed to secure around 24.7% of the vote, down 2.8% from the [...] Continue Reading

S&P500: Alibaba IPO Stokes Market Euphoria

Updated -  Sep 19, 2014 10:15:00 AM By Matt Weller, CMT

Global equity market are euphoric today after Scotland’s populace rejected independence, removing a major uncertainty from the global market landscape (for more on the impact of Scotland’s vote on the UK’s FTSE index, see my colleague Fawad Razaqzada’s piece from earlier today). Another cause célèbre for stocks is Alibaba’s highly-anticipated IPO, which is priced to be the largest public offering of all-time at $21.8B, dwarfing Facebook’s $16B IPO in 2012 and Visa’s $17.9B IPO [...] Continue Reading

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Disclaimer: The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient. Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warranty that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.

Futures, Options on Futures, Foreign Exchange and other leveraged products involves significant risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Increasing leverage increases risk. Spot Gold and Silver contracts are not subject to regulation under the U.S. Commodity Exchange Act. Contracts for Difference (CFDs) are not available for US residents. Before deciding to trade forex and commodity futures, you should carefully consider your financial objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained herein is intended as general information about the subject matter covered and is provided with the understanding that is not rendering investment, legal, or tax advice. You should consult with appropriate counsel or other advisors on all investment, legal, or tax matters. is regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) in the US, by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) in the UK, the Australian Securities and Investment Commission (ASIC) in Australia, the Financial Services Agency (FSA) in Japan, the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada (IIROC) in Canada and the Securities and Futures Commission of Hong Kong (SFC) in Hong Kong. Please read Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options.


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