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Wait a SEK…Did We Just See a Top in EURSEK?

Updated -  Mar 3, 2015 1:50:00 PM By Matt Weller, CMT

For most of the last two years, the Swedish krona has been one of the worst-performing G10 currencies, even managing to weaken by over 15% against the embattled euro since bottoming in early 2013. The krona’s poor performance has been driven by a number of fundamental factors, prominently including consistent deflation and related easing from the Riksbank, but the technical picture may finally be starting to turn in favor of the SEK. As the daily [...] Continue Reading

USDCAD: Heeding Poloz’ Call

Updated -  Mar 3, 2015 11:49:19 AM By Neal Gilbert

The North American trading session has been underwhelming for stocks and the USD so far as Canadian data has earned a majority of the attention in early trade. The lack of US data points has given way to Canadian GDP which improved 0.3% in the month of December when only a 0.2% rise was anticipated. In addition, the Annualized release that measured Q4 rose 2.4%, beating the 2.0% expected with the previous revised from 2.8% [...] Continue Reading

EUR/NZD: on the verge of breakdown towards 1.45?

Updated -  Mar 3, 2015 11:30:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

The EUR/NZD currency pair is on the verge of breaking to a fresh record low as the divergence in monetary policies between the RBNZ and ECB grows. While the benchmark interest rate in New Zealand is at an attractive 3.5 per cent, in the Eurozone the ECB charges just 0.05%. What’s more, the latter is about to launch its QE stimulus programme this month, which could weigh further on the euro. The growing interest rate [...] Continue Reading

Stock Take: Can Europe continue to outperform the US?

Updated -  Mar 3, 2015 9:40:00 AM By Kathleen Brooks

European stocks have had a blinding 2015 so far, the Eurostoxx index is up nearly 20% since early Jan, for all of the Eurozone’s problems the market is keeping faith with European equities. The reasons for the rally are well known: QE from the ECB and a falling EUR. But surely those things are priced in now? After weeks of people talking about money flowing out of the US and into Europe, has this theme [...] Continue Reading

5 Reasons the NASDAQ Could Keep on Rocking in the Free World

Updated -  Mar 3, 2015 9:00:00 AM By Matt Weller, CMT

Midway through last month, we highlighted the bullish breakout in the NASDAQ index, concluding that the index, “is starting to look like it may have a date with its all-time highs at 5048 sooner rather than later. As long as the index holds above previous-resistance-turned-support at 4800, the path of least resistance will remain higher” (See “NASDAQ: Party Like it’s 1999!” for more). By now, most Americans have been bombarded with headlines announcing yesterday’s [...] Continue Reading

FTSE bulls lacking conviction but remain in control

Updated -  Mar 3, 2015 7:15:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

…for now European stocks started the day modestly higher, before turning flat by midday. Equities have surged higher in recent weeks on hopes central banks’ record low interest rates – combined with the use of unconventional policy tools, such as quantitative easing – will continue to drive yield-seeking investors into the stock markets and provide stimulus for economic growth. This theme will likely remain in place for some time yet, with the ECB yet to [...] Continue Reading

RBA holds fire, for now

Updated -  Mar 2, 2015 11:21:43 PM By Chris Tedder

The Reserve Bank of Australia left the official cash rate (OCR) at 2.25% at its monetary policy meeting in Melbourne today. This came as a surprise to most of the market and resulted in a huge rally in the Australian dollar, but the announcement that it’s considering easing at later meetings may put a cap on the aussie’s rally. The decision to remain on hold today may mean that the RBA is growing more [...] Continue Reading

China roundup: the PBoC is scrambling to prevent a hard landing

Updated -  Mar 2, 2015 8:26:24 PM By Chris Tedder

The takeaway from February is that the PBoC has undoubtedly switched to an easing bias. Last month the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) announced two surprise moves aimed at fighting increasingly large capital outflows and a general slowdown in the domestic economy. Given the deluge of soft economic data out of the world’s second largest economy over the last few months and a rapid deterioration of China’s all-important property market, it was only a matter [...] Continue Reading

AUDUSD: How Low Can You Go?

Updated -  Mar 2, 2015 2:40:00 PM By Neal Gilbert

By this point, you have already probably heard that the Reserve Bank of Australia will be making a monetary policy decision this evening, and that they are expected by a majority of market participants to cut interest rates by 25 basis points. The big question in most investor’s minds as we head toward the decision is whether the RBA will maintain their neutral stance or will indicate that further cuts down the road are [...] Continue Reading

EM Rundown: China’s Economic Dragon Blowing Smoke

Updated -  Mar 2, 2015 2:20:00 PM By Matt Weller, CMT

It’s been an interesting start to what promises to be a interesting week in the FX market. The biggest story of Monday’s trade thus far has been the continued strength of the dollar despite disappointing data in the world’s largest economy. European currencies, including the Swiss franc and British pound, are getting hit particularly hard against the greenback. Shifting gears to the EM world, traders are still trying to digest the PBOC’s surprise rate [...] Continue Reading

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Disclaimer: The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient. Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warranty that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.

Futures, Options on Futures, Foreign Exchange and other leveraged products involves significant risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Increasing leverage increases risk. Spot Gold and Silver contracts are not subject to regulation under the U.S. Commodity Exchange Act. Contracts for Difference (CFDs) are not available for US residents. Before deciding to trade forex and commodity futures, you should carefully consider your financial objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained herein is intended as general information about the subject matter covered and is provided with the understanding that is not rendering investment, legal, or tax advice. You should consult with appropriate counsel or other advisors on all investment, legal, or tax matters. is regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) in the US, by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) in the UK, the Australian Securities and Investment Commission (ASIC) in Australia, the Financial Services Agency (FSA) in Japan, the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada (IIROC) in Canada and the Securities and Futures Commission of Hong Kong (SFC) in Hong Kong. Please read Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options.


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