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Live Updates

RBNZ derails NZDJPY’s rally

Updated -  Mar 5, 2015 6:38:32 PM By Chris Tedder

As my colleague Matthew Weller pointed out here, the RBNZ said it was looking into ways to tighten rules around lending for residential property investors by targeting rental properties. The bank is looking at making property investment a class of its own, as opposed to the current regime that doesn’t differentiate between owner-occupiers and rental properties. Also, the definition of ‘investor’ appears to be under scrutiny, with the RBNZ dumping the prior criteria [...] Continue Reading

Research Note: Februrary NFP Prep

Updated -  Mar 5, 2015 3:00:00 PM By Matt Weller, CMT & Neal Gilbert

By: Matt Weller, CMT, Senior Technical Analyst The February Non-Farm Payroll report will be released tomorrow at 8:30 ET (13:30 GMT), with expectations centered on a headline reading of 241k. My model suggests that the report could print a tick below these expectations,with leading indicators suggesting a February headline NFP reading of 220K. The model has been historically reliable, showing a correlation coefficient of .90 with the unrevised NFP headline figure dating back to 2001 [...] Continue Reading

ECB: Draghin the EUR lower…

Updated -  Mar 5, 2015 11:30:00 AM By Kathleen Brooks

Finally, a good news story for Mario Draghi. A fairly uneventful ECB meeting, apart from one irate local journalist in Nicosia, saw Draghi and co. announce no new monetary measures, instead the focus was on the details of the QE programme, as we had expected. But Draghi also received a boost from the latest round of ECB staff forecasts. The key points from this month’s press conference: The interesting things to note from [...] Continue Reading

USD Head and Shoulders above AUD

Updated -  Mar 5, 2015 11:20:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

Today’s focus has rightly been on the ECB and the euro. But that’s not to say the non-EU markets have been dull. The US dollar, for one, has rallied strongly against most major currencies while the Kiwi has slumped. And now the AUD/USD looks like it may be rolling over too despite the RBA’s decision not to cut interest rates and some mixed-bag Australian data this week. Granted, we don’t have any more Australian [...] Continue Reading

NZDUSD: Did the RBNZ Just Cap the Kiwi?

Updated -  Mar 5, 2015 8:45:00 AM By Matt Weller, CMT

Despite the broad-based strength in the US Dollar, the New Zealand dollar has managed to hold its own against the world’s reserve currency over the last few weeks. Unfortunately for kiwi bulls, that resilience may finally be coming to an end on the back of news that the RBNZ is mulling new rules to cut down on excessive property investment. Similar to its neighbor across the Tasman Sea, New Zealand is experiencing an awkward [...] Continue Reading

TRY-ing to break free…

Updated -  Mar 5, 2015 7:40:00 AM By Kathleen Brooks

The Turkish lira has fallen to another record low versus the USD on Thursday as President Erdogan and other government officials attempt to put pressure on the Turkish central bank to cut interest rates, and reverse last year’s hikes. Playing a dangerous political game: The market’s dislike of the TRY right now is two-fold: firstly lower interest rates tend to weaken a currency; secondly, the government is calling for lower interest rates at [...] Continue Reading

IBEX looking bullish ahead of ECB

Updated -  Mar 5, 2015 7:20:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

After a small hiccup at the start of this month, it looks like the European equity market bull trend has already resumed. Speculators are betting that the European Central Bank will not make any alterations to the €60 billion a month of bond purchases it is planning to launch this month, even if the Eurozone’s economic fundamentals have improved since the bank’s last meeting in January. Indeed, today’s meeting is unlikely to offer many surprises, [...] Continue Reading

Eventful day in Asia as EURNZD recovers from an all-time low

Updated -  Mar 4, 2015 11:16:10 PM By Chris Tedder

Earlier in today’ session we highlighted some possible short-term strength in AUDNZD after the pair was rejected below 1.0300 once again. Sure enough, the pair has rallied in Asia on the back of a widespread kiwi sell-off and some interesting comments from RBA deputy governor Lowe. He sparked a in AUD by stating that the commodity currency was closer to fair value than it had been in a couple of years and that central banks [...] Continue Reading

AUDNZD: why can’t a break of 1.0300 be sustained?

Updated -  Mar 4, 2015 7:49:52 PM By Chris Tedder

We have been a big AUDNZD bear since late 2012 when price was above 1.3000. Overwhelming fundamental weakness stemming from diverging monetary policy paths of Australia and New Zealand has been the driving force behind the sell-off. As the RBA continued to cut interest rates in 2012 and 2013 it looked more and more likely that the RBNZ would begin tightening monetary policy in early 2014. Sure enough the RBNZ hiked interest rates in March [...] Continue Reading

GBPUSD: Where’s the Net?

Updated -  Mar 4, 2015 3:29:47 PM By Neal Gilbert

After a blistering morning trading session, North American markets calmed themselves in the afternoon and began repairing some of the damage they had done. Equities found their lows after PMI data hit the wires, but meandered higher throughout; the USD had a banner day against the EUR and GBP; Gold kept trying to break through 1200; Oil tripped stops at 50.0 then set its sights on 52.0; and the CAD rightfully enjoyed strength against [...] Continue Reading

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Disclaimer: The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient. Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warranty that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.

Futures, Options on Futures, Foreign Exchange and other leveraged products involves significant risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Increasing leverage increases risk. Spot Gold and Silver contracts are not subject to regulation under the U.S. Commodity Exchange Act. Contracts for Difference (CFDs) are not available for US residents. Before deciding to trade forex and commodity futures, you should carefully consider your financial objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained herein is intended as general information about the subject matter covered and is provided with the understanding that is not rendering investment, legal, or tax advice. You should consult with appropriate counsel or other advisors on all investment, legal, or tax matters. is regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) in the US, by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) in the UK, the Australian Securities and Investment Commission (ASIC) in Australia, the Financial Services Agency (FSA) in Japan, the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada (IIROC) in Canada and the Securities and Futures Commission of Hong Kong (SFC) in Hong Kong. Please read Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options.


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