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EUR/JPY: Draghi’n the euro down

Updated -  Sep 3, 2015 9:00:00 AM By Matt Weller, CMT

The release of this morning’s European Central Bank (ECB) monetary policy statement was predictably uneventful, with the central bank leaving its main refinancing rate at 0.05%, its deposit rate at 0.20%, and its marginal lending facility at 0.30%. That said, the ongoing press conference with ECB President Mario Draghi has still managed to inject some volatility into the markets. There were a number of headlines from the first half of Draghi’s speech: In case you’re [...] Continue Reading


GBP/USD extends fall as UK services growth disappoints

Updated -  Sep 3, 2015 7:20:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

The pound has extended its falls, hitting its lowest level against the US dollar since early June, after growth in the UK services sector unexpectedly moved down a notch in August, according to the closely-watched purchasing managers' index (PMI) by Markit. Although activity in the UK’s dominant sector rose as the PMI was above 50, the 55.6 reading was lower than July’s 57.4 and below analyst expectations of 57.6. The PMIs for the manufacturing and [...] Continue Reading


Investor sentiment teeters on a knife-edge

Updated -  Sep 3, 2015 1:32:16 AM By Chris Tedder

It has been a choppy day for equity markets in Asia, with mixed results. China and Hong Kong are offline today, creating thin conditions and leaving investors without a major gauge of overall investor sentiment. Turmoil in Chinese stock markets and concern about its growth prospects have been at the forefront of investor sentiment lately, so markets are somewhat lacking overall direction today. The Nikkei is benefiting from a weakening of the yen in [...] Continue Reading


Will EUR/GBP bulls be singing “The (.7390) ceiling can’t hold us”?

Updated -  Sep 2, 2015 3:05:00 PM By Matt Weller, CMT

“Can we go back, this is the momentTonight is the night, we’ll fight 'til it’s overSo we put our hands up like the ceiling can’t hold usLike the ceiling can’t hold us” Macklemore, “Can’t Hold Us” We’ve looked at pound sterling from a couple of different directions so far this week (see here and here for more), but EUR/GBP may offer the most interesting setup, especially with the European Central [...] Continue Reading


Crude resume decline as inventories rise: bad news for CAD

Updated -  Sep 2, 2015 11:35:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

Crude traders have been given a rollercoaster ride. After surging some 25% in the space of just three days, prices collapsed by a huge 8 per cent yesterday. This morning saw both Brent and WTI contracts regain some ground but prices came under renewed selling pressure in the afternoon following the release of the official US stockpiles report from the EIA. The report showed, among other things, a sharp build of 4.7 million barrels in [...] Continue Reading


GBP/JPY: Double top may spell double trouble

Updated -  Sep 2, 2015 8:55:00 AM By Matt Weller, CMT

As the sun rises a hump day in the US, traders are ramping up for a busy final 48 hours of economic data. Earlier this morning, payroll provider ADP released its estimate of the August non-farm employment change, with the widely-watched leading indicator for NFP coming in at 190k, slightly below the 200k reading expected. In another mosquito-bite-sized annoyance for dollar bulls, the July ADP employment report was revised lower by 8k jobs, leaving the [...] Continue Reading


FTSE stable as investor focus shifts from China to US

Updated -  Sep 2, 2015 7:40:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

The FTSE managed to bounce back this morning alongside the wider European stock markets after renewed concerns about China, the world’s second largest economy, had weighed heavily on the stocks markets on Tuesday. Traders took profit on their short positions that had been opened the previous day and bargain hunters picked up mining stocks while Ashtead Group, which hires out industrial equipment, gained in excess of 5 per cent thanks to a record profit in [...] Continue Reading


AUD looks vulnerable after dismal GDP data

Updated -  Sep 2, 2015 12:04:27 AM By Chris Tedder

The Australian economy only grew 0.2% q/q last quarter, missing an expected 0.4% expansion and the slowest rate of growth since Q1 2013. A slowdown in China is weighing heavily on Australia’s massive mining base, dragging down exports and limiting overall economic growth. Only household and government spending kept the economy heading in the right direction in Q2. There’s not much light on the horizon either, with growth expected to remain below trend for [...] Continue Reading


USDJPY spikes back above 120!

Updated -  Sep 1, 2015 8:31:28 PM By Chris Tedder

After rising back above 120.00 late last month, USDJPY soon went back on the defensive, but a massive charge from bulls in Asia may have changed all that. The yen has been surging higher recently amid souring global investor sentiment, as it remains the safe haven currency of choice for investors fleeing commodity-backed currencies directly exposed to softening economic conditions in China, but USDJPY is back on the offensive in Asia. The US dollar [...] Continue Reading


USD/CAD: Bulls’ case suffers a setback, but still holds water ahead of data

Updated -  Sep 1, 2015 2:10:00 PM By Matt Weller, CMT

Last week, we speculated that USD/CAD could serve as a possible bull haven amidst the ongoing market turmoil. As it turns out, our timing could hardly have been worse, as it came right in the middle of one of the biggest 3-day rallies in inversely-correlated oil prices. From Thursday’s trough to yesterday’s peak, WTI rallied a staggering 26%, unwinding a month’s worth of selling in less than 72 hours. In addition to oil’s big [...] Continue Reading


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Disclaimer: The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient. Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warranty that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.

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