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Dollar Index points to further weakness for greenback

Updated -  Oct 7, 2015 8:10:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

The dollar has had a volatile few days. Following the publication of the poor monthly US jobs report on Friday, it initially fell sharply before rebounding equally strongly – most notably against the yen. The USD/JPY’s v-shaped recovery can be explained away by the positively-correlated stock markets which have rallied significantly on hopes that the Federal Reserve will now delay raising interest rates until at least the start of next year in order to support [...] Continue Reading

BoJ Preview: not if, but when…

Updated -  Oct 6, 2015 7:31:58 PM By Chris Tedder

The Bank of Japan is expected to maintain its current pace of easing at its policy meeting this week, although there’s a chance the bank will surprise the market by expanding its massive bond buying program. The economy is struggling from a lack of domestic economy activity and global demand, putting it in a very vulnerable position amidst a tough time for the global economy. The current state of the economy is well below [...] Continue Reading

AUD/NZD: Bounce potential off 1.0900 support

Updated -  Oct 6, 2015 3:45:00 PM By Matt Weller, CMT

For nearly four months now, the antipodean pair has been clearly rangebound in the 500-pip range from 1.0900 to 1.1400 as traders weigh the relative monetary policies and economic indicators from the two closely-related countries. Of late, the kiwi has been the top dog, with AUD/NZD falling from the top of its range above 1.1300 down to test the bottom of the range at 1.0900 yesterday. That said, today’s RBA meeting may start to tip [...] Continue Reading

Crude oil on the verge of a big breakout

Updated -  Oct 6, 2015 10:50:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

Both crude oil contracts are up for the third consecutive day, with Brent currently trading above the psychologically-important and key resistance level of $50 and WTI above $47 a barrel. Oil prices have been supported by a number of factors lately, including the unwinding of bearish positions, a slightly weaker US dollar, the positive vibes arising from the rebounding stock markets and Russia’s military actions in Syria which has increased supply-side risks in the Middle [...] Continue Reading

AUD/USD above .7100 after optimistic RBA, but medium-term downtrend intact

Updated -  Oct 6, 2015 8:45:00 AM By Matt Weller, CMT

In what was otherwise a very quiet overnight session, the Australian dollar edged higher as the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) maintained a neutral bias in its monetary policy meeting. As widely expected, the RBA left its main interest rate unchanged at 2.0% and did not make any other changes to monetary policy. In its essentially unchanged statement, RBA head Glenn Stevens noted that “The global economy is expanding at a moderate pace” and that [...] Continue Reading

Gold traders still undecided about direction

Updated -  Oct 6, 2015 7:30:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

Friday saw a big reversal in the price of gold following the publication of the US jobs report for the month of September. It is fair to say that the jobs data surprised a few people and confused others, causing both the dollar and stock markets to initially drop while gold surged higher. The initial reaction to the poor US jobs report suggests that investor concerns about the weakening of global economic recovery intensified further, [...] Continue Reading

RBA Preview: is the bank going to reinstate its easing bias?

Updated -  Oct 5, 2015 5:50:42 PM By Chris Tedder

The Reserve Bank of Australia is under pressure to loosen monetary policy further due to the risks facing the Australian economy, although it’s unlikely to do so at its policy meeting today (announcement 0330GMT). While it’s true that parts of the economy are preforming well, the broader economy is exposed to falling commodity prices and worsening economic conditions in some of its main trading partners, especially China. This is outpacing an ongoing transition away from [...] Continue Reading

EM Rundown: Dollar at risk against major EM currencies

Updated -  Oct 5, 2015 2:45:00 PM By Matt Weller, CMT

With a plethora of major central bank announcements out of the G10 this week, traders will be more focused on developed markets than their emerging market rivals, so we wanted to take a moment to reset the technical outlooks for the major EM pairs we follow: USD/RUB: All eyes on 64.00 The ruble has been a punching bag in this article (and many others) for months now, but there are finally some potential rays of [...] Continue Reading

Nikkei: From false breaks come fast moves in the opposite direction

Updated -  Oct 5, 2015 1:00:00 PM By Fawad Razaqzada

The global stock markets have rebounded strongly over the past few days following the recent turmoil. With China on holiday, concerns about the health of the world’s second largest economy have been put on the backburner for the time being, while the faltering recovery in the US and elsewhere have raised hopes the Federal Reserve will hold off raising interest rates from their record low levels for a few more months at the very least. [...] Continue Reading

EUR/USD: Something’s got to give…

Updated -  Oct 5, 2015 9:00:00 AM By Matt Weller, CMT

Even with the benefit of a weekend to digest it, market participants are still struggling to put a bullish spin on Friday’s NFP report. In fact, for many traders, the disappointing jobs report has pushed expectations for interest rate “liftoff” into 2016: according to the CME’s FedWatch tool, fed funds futures traders are only pricing in a 30% chance of a rate hike this year, and the odds don’t break above 50% until March of [...] Continue Reading

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Disclaimer: The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient. Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warranty that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.

Futures, Options on Futures, Foreign Exchange and other leveraged products involves significant risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Increasing leverage increases risk. Spot Gold and Silver contracts are not subject to regulation under the U.S. Commodity Exchange Act. Contracts for Difference (CFDs) are not available for US residents. Before deciding to trade forex and commodity futures, you should carefully consider your financial objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained herein is intended as general information about the subject matter covered and is provided with the understanding that is not rendering investment, legal, or tax advice. You should consult with appropriate counsel or other advisors on all investment, legal, or tax matters. is regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) in the US, by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) in the UK, the Australian Securities and Investment Commission (ASIC) in Australia, the Financial Services Agency (FSA) in Japan, the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada (IIROC) in Canada and the Securities and Futures Commission of Hong Kong (SFC) in Hong Kong. Please read Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options.


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