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RBNZ Instant Reaction: Priming the Pumps

Updated -  Jan 28, 2015 3:28:49 PM By Neal Gilbert

Many of the expectations heading in to the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s Monetary Policy Statement and Interest Rate Decision was that they would step away from their hawkish stance and lean a little more toward the doves. The genesis of that line of thought is largely due to the European Central Bank and their institution of Quantitative Easing which is having ripple effects throughout the monetary policy making world. Merely one hour earlier though, [...] Continue Reading

FOMC Statement Instant Reaction: Overseas Albatross Around the US Economy’s Neck?

Updated -  Jan 28, 2015 2:30:00 PM By Matt Weller, CMT

Earlier today, we noted that any traders expecting a meaningful change in monetary policy from the Fed was probably barking up the wrong tree. This morning’s note forecast that, “the Fed’s statement should reiterate that the central bank can ‘be patient in beginning to normalize the stance of monetary policy’ as the central banks punts the tough decision on whether to change its guidance to the March meeting, when it can be more fully [...] Continue Reading

NZDUSD: Central Bank Divergence

Updated -  Jan 28, 2015 11:54:12 AM By Neal Gilbert

Despite the lack of market moving economic releases being revealed this morning, it is still a buzzy morning in North American trade. The reason why spirits are high is due to the Federal Reserve making their monetary policy decision later this afternoon followed closely by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand throwing their opinion in to the fray as well. Combined with major earnings reports from Apple last night and Facebook later today, investors have [...] Continue Reading

WTI lower as crude stocks surpass 400m barrels for first time

Updated -  Jan 28, 2015 11:50:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

US crude oil has been unable to build on its gains from yesterday and at around $45 a barrel it remains near the lower end of its recent consolidative range, therefore in danger of breaking further lower. WTI has come under renewed selling pressure on concerns that the supply glut is here to stay for at least another good few months. Last night, the American Petroleum Institute (API) reported that US crude stocks increased by [...] Continue Reading

USDJPY: Will the Fed Provide a Shot of Adrenaline?

Updated -  Jan 28, 2015 8:40:00 AM By Matt Weller, CMT

The sun rises on a new trading day, and traders rolled out of bed particularly eagerly today in anticipation of the Fed’s monetary policy announcement. With a staggering number of central banks across the world turning more dovish over the past two weeks, traders are starting to wonder if the Fed can maintain its moderately hawkish posture. On one hand, economic data (particularly when it comes to the labor market) has been relatively solid [...] Continue Reading

Asia FX fight back: will more countries follow Singapore?

Updated -  Jan 28, 2015 8:05:00 AM By Kathleen Brooks

The Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) bit the bullet and joined a wave of other major global central banks by loosening monetary policy today. The MAS, who use the Singapore dollar as its main currency tool, has reduced the pace of appreciation for the SGD for the rest of this year. Today’s move suggests that the MAS may allow the SGD to appreciate by 1%, against the former rate of 2%. Although the timing [...] Continue Reading

Stocks lower on profit-taking; CAC testing key level

Updated -  Jan 28, 2015 6:20:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

The European stock markets are lower for a second consecutive session, which I think is driven mainly by speculators taking profit on their long positions opened in the run up to and after the ECB’s policy decision last week. Granted, the so-called ‘Grexit’ fears are back as the new Greek PM Tsipras seems determined to re-negotiate bailout terms for his country in a bid to relieve austerity. This has driven the yield on the benchmark [...] Continue Reading

Stock Take: Can Facebook continue Apple’s momentum?

Updated -  Jan 28, 2015 5:20:00 AM By Kathleen Brooks

After an initial positive open, the European markets are turning lower as they digest some unsettling news including: fighting talk from the Greek PM who said that the Greek government is going to re-negotiate debt relief and relieve austerity. While he said that Greece would not default, the Germans have appeared reluctant to give Greece any concessions. Greek bond yields have climbed back above 10% today, their highest level since 9th Jan, suggesting that fears [...] Continue Reading

Australia’s inflation numbers silence calls for a rate cut next week

Updated -  Jan 27, 2015 10:10:45 PM By Chris Tedder

Stronger than expected core inflation numbers for the final quarter of 2014 have helped to quash rumours that the RBA may cut the OCR at its monetary policy meeting next Tuesday, sparking a rally in the Australian dollar. AUDUSD jumped through 0.8000 shortly after the figures were released on Wednesday as OIS pricing indicated that the market cut its expectations for a 25 basis point cut next Tuesday to below 20% from above 40% yesterday. [...] Continue Reading

RBNZ Preview: Q4’s soft CPI numbers threaten NZ’s rate outlook

Updated -  Jan 27, 2015 6:40:58 PM By Chris Tedder

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand surprised the market last month by maintaining a more hawkish stance than the market was expecting. The introduction of one line in last month’s policy statement from Governor Wheeler expressing that further increases in the OCR will be required caught the market by surprise, despite the fact that the bank pushed out its expectations for interest rates by adjusting its 90-day bank bill forecasts, which indicate that the RBNZ [...] Continue Reading

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Disclaimer: The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient. Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warranty that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.

Futures, Options on Futures, Foreign Exchange and other leveraged products involves significant risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Increasing leverage increases risk. Spot Gold and Silver contracts are not subject to regulation under the U.S. Commodity Exchange Act. Contracts for Difference (CFDs) are not available for US residents. Before deciding to trade forex and commodity futures, you should carefully consider your financial objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained herein is intended as general information about the subject matter covered and is provided with the understanding that is not rendering investment, legal, or tax advice. You should consult with appropriate counsel or other advisors on all investment, legal, or tax matters. is regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) in the US, by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) in the UK, the Australian Securities and Investment Commission (ASIC) in Australia, the Financial Services Agency (FSA) in Japan, the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada (IIROC) in Canada and the Securities and Futures Commission of Hong Kong (SFC) in Hong Kong. Please read Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options.


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