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Live Updates

FOMC Preview: When Will the Effect of Wicked Winter Weather Wane?

Updated -  Apr 28, 2015 9:15:00 AM By Matt Weller, CMT

The Federal Reserve’s Federal Open Market Committee kicks off their two-day meeting today amid little fanfare. While announcements from the world’s largest and most important central bank should never be ignored, it feels as if this week’s meeting is the perfect opportunity for the Fed to practice is oft-preached wait-and-see, data-dependent outlook. Already, the central bank has explicitly ruled out an interest rate hike at this meeting, and with no accompanying press conference scheduled, the [...] Continue Reading

GBP/USD bounces back despite UK GDP miss

Updated -  Apr 28, 2015 6:35:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

The GBP/USD fell sharply in the immediate aftermath of the UK GDP data, before bouncing back equally strongly to trade above the day’s earlier highs. The ONS reported that the UK economy grew only by 0.3% in the first quarter as opposed to 0.5% expected, held back by a 1.6% drop in construction output. Industrial output also fell slightly (-0.1%) while the key services sector expanded by half a per cent. On an annualised basis, [...] Continue Reading

USDJPY: Japan’s soft retail numbers may concern the BoJ

Updated -  Apr 27, 2015 11:15:57 PM By Chris Tedder

Japan released retail sales numbers for March earlier in the Asia session which were significantly softer than expected and raise doubts about the health of the economy. Retail sales fell 1.9% in March, completely missing an expected 0.6% gain. Retail trade is now down an alarming 9.7% y/y, the biggest decline on record. This raises questions about the health of the domestic economy as consumers remain unwilling to spend after last year’s hike in the [...] Continue Reading

AUDUSD: the bulls are gathering…

Updated -  Apr 27, 2015 8:18:25 PM By Chris Tedder

The US dollar was mauled by bears overnight on the back of softer than expected US economic data. A flash Services PMI reading for April dropped to 57.8, missing an expected smaller deterioration to 58.8 (prior 59.2). This has added weight to the growing belief that the Fed’s tone at this week’s FOMC policy meeting will be more dovish than at prior meetings, which is backed by other weak points in the economy and is [...] Continue Reading

Dow: Down, but Not Out

Updated -  Apr 27, 2015 4:27:03 PM By Neal Gilbert

After getting out to a great start in North American trade today, US stock markets spent the second half of trade falling back down to lower levels. Most of the decline was attributed to biotech stocks which led the way down and dragged everything else with it. Currencies remained mixed with the USD performing every which way as it increased against the CHF, but lost ground against most everything else. As the rest of the [...] Continue Reading

EM Rundown: Will USDRUB Bears Be Calling “Mayday” by May Day?

Updated -  Apr 27, 2015 3:10:00 PM By Matt Weller, CMT

Currency markets are off to a relatively slow start to the week, with the dollar generally inching lower vs. its major G10 counterparts. While not the focus of today’s report, it is worth noting that the trade-weighted dollar index is inching below its 50-day moving average at 97.00, suggesting that a deeper dip could be in the cards as we head into May. Speaking of May, many European banks will be closed on Friday for [...] Continue Reading

Gold and silver surge higher

Updated -  Apr 27, 2015 12:55:00 PM By Fawad Razaqzada

Precious metals have staged a sharp, unexpected, rally today. Gold hit an intraday low of around $1178 before climbing to a high so far of $1204. That is a jump of $26 or 2.2 per cent. Characteristically, silver’s upsurge has been even more pronounced with the grey metal having already climbed 4.9 per cent off its low. So, what is going on? Much has been said about the risks of Greece exiting the euro zone [...] Continue Reading

AUDCAD: Stevens vs. Poloz

Updated -  Apr 27, 2015 10:56:49 AM By Neal Gilbert

There has been very little action in the currency world at the start of the new week as most of the major currency pairs are lacking in the headline grabbing department. US equities, on the other hand, are racing out to record levels this morning potentially on expectations of solid earnings from Apple being released after the market closes this afternoon. Just because currencies aren’t providing any major talking points doesn’t mean there isn’t [...] Continue Reading

April Month-End Model Hints at Possible USD Selling

Updated -  Apr 27, 2015 9:00:00 AM By Matt Weller, CMT

Background: Traders often refer the impact of ‘month end flows’ on different currency pairs during the last few days of the month. In essence, these money ‘flows’ are caused by global fund managers and investors rebalancing their currency exposure based on market movements over the last month. For example, if the value of one country’s equity and bond markets increases, these fund managers typically look to sell or hedge their now-elevated exposure to that country’s [...] Continue Reading

EUR/USD looks vulnerable as it tests key trend line

Updated -  Apr 27, 2015 7:20:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

The FX markets have been fairly quiet thus far today and understandably so because of the lack of any major market moving events. But things could change dramatically from tomorrow onwards due to a number of high-impact economic reports from both the euro zone and the US later in the week. Wednesday will be a particularly busy day as for as economic data is concerned, for not only will we have the preliminary German CPI [...] Continue Reading

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Disclaimer: The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient. Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warranty that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.

Futures, Options on Futures, Foreign Exchange and other leveraged products involves significant risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Increasing leverage increases risk. Spot Gold and Silver contracts are not subject to regulation under the U.S. Commodity Exchange Act. Contracts for Difference (CFDs) are not available for US residents. Before deciding to trade forex and commodity futures, you should carefully consider your financial objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained herein is intended as general information about the subject matter covered and is provided with the understanding that is not rendering investment, legal, or tax advice. You should consult with appropriate counsel or other advisors on all investment, legal, or tax matters. is regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) in the US, by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) in the UK, the Australian Securities and Investment Commission (ASIC) in Australia, the Financial Services Agency (FSA) in Japan, the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada (IIROC) in Canada and the Securities and Futures Commission of Hong Kong (SFC) in Hong Kong. Please read Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options.


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