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EURUSD Gaps Down After Syriza Victory – Could Bears Target 1.10 Next?

Updated -  Jan 25, 2015 5:35:00 PM By Matt Weller, CMT

For EURUSD, it never rains, but it pours. After last week’s announcement of a larger-than-expected QE program from the ECB, euro bulls were dealt another blow as Greece’s far-left Syriza party secured a victory in the country’s snap election. For those who don’t follow Greek politics closely (i.e. the vast majority of traders), Syriza campaigned on a platform of renegotiating the onerous austerity measures under which the Greek populace has been yoked since [...] Continue Reading

EURCZK: Next to Pull the Peg?

Updated -  Jan 23, 2015 3:17:32 PM By Neal Gilbert

You know, it can’t be easy being a central banker right about now. Currencies are swinging wildly on whims of individuals whom are likely growing gray hairs just thinking about what they should do next. As my colleague Matthew Weller outlined earlier, the central bank world appears to be at war with one another, with the biggest player, the Federal Reserve, maintaining neutrality. Of course, it could be argued that the Fed started this [...] Continue Reading

USD: “Losing” the Currency War?

Updated -  Jan 23, 2015 1:40:00 PM By Matt Weller, CMT

It’s been another incredible week for the world’s reserve currency, with the dollar index hitting a new 11-year high near 95.00. By now, we all know the catalyst for the latest dollar rally was yesterday’s announcement of a massive QE program from the European Central Bank, which had led to a 24-hour, 500-pip selloff in EURUSD at one point in today’s European session, though the pair has since stabilized in the 1.12s. The ECB’s [...] Continue Reading

EURUSD in freefall, is parity on the cards?

Updated -  Jan 23, 2015 11:20:00 AM By Kathleen Brooks

As we approached the European close last week, the EUR had fallen more than 3% versus the USD. The driver was the ECB’s decision to embark on a QE programme to combat deflationary forces at work in the Eurozone. In the past the EUR has rallied when the ECB had taken steps to help the struggling currency bloc, think back to the LTRO in early 2012 or the bailout announcements at the peak of the [...] Continue Reading

On Thursday, the European stock markets came to life after a hesitant start as investors had to wait until the start of the ECB press conference before pushing the “buy” button. And that they did as soon as Mario Draghi announced QE. Although question marks were immediately raised about the risk-sharing aspect of bond buying, the fact that these purchases will be a huge 60 billion euros per month until – and potentiallybeyond – September [...] Continue Reading

USDJPY: Not So Fast

Updated -  Jan 22, 2015 3:08:36 PM By Neal Gilbert

Much of the fervor around North America today had less to do with what was actually happening on this continent, and more with what was happening in Europe. Of course, by now everyone is aware that the European Central Bank introduced €60 billion per month of Quantitative Easing that was more than the €50 billion per month they leaked yesterday (if you’re not familiar then I encourage you to read this). In response to [...] Continue Reading

Gold: Ride the Bucking Bull to $1340 Next?

Updated -  Jan 22, 2015 1:40:00 PM By Matt Weller, CMT

Today’s “larger-than-expected” QE program from the ECB will no doubt influence markets for years to come, but one of the most obvious immediate impacts has been the strength in gold. The yellow metal tends to attract flows as a store of value in times of central bank profligacy, and the ECB’s latest announcement definitely qualifies. Last week, we highlighted a clear inverted Head-and-Shoulders pattern on Gold (see “Could This Bullish Technical Pattern Take Gold above [...] Continue Reading

WTI tumbles as excessive supply causes oil stocks to surge

Updated -  Jan 22, 2015 12:45:00 PM By Fawad Razaqzada

Crude oil prices have turned mixed after initially rallying on the back of recent comments from various oil ministers and also the International Energy Administration’s (IEA) chief economist. There seems to be a growing consensus that the current low oil prices is likely to be temporary as many shale oil producers will probably be forced to cut back production soon. This is likely to happen in the second half of the year, assuming oil prices [...] Continue Reading

AUDCAD: Parity or Parody?

Updated -  Jan 22, 2015 11:26:08 AM By Neal Gilbert

The day that every currency trader the world over had circled on their calendar has arrived as the European Central Bank has introduced their long anticipated Quantitative Easing program at their monthly meeting this morning. The pulling of the EUR/CHF peg by the Swiss National Bank last week only served to increase the excitement and tension around the ECB’s meeting, and the ECB served up a QE program that satiated the masses to the tune [...] Continue Reading

ECB: It’s QE, Jim, but not as we know it…

Updated -  Jan 22, 2015 9:40:00 AM By Kathleen Brooks

The ECB didn’t disappoint the market – it announced a QE programme that beat market expectations. The ECB played a canny game – on Wednesday sources said that the ECB would discuss a EUR 50 bn a month programme of asset purchases, so the announcement that the ECB would embark on EUR 60 bn of purchases per month was an easy way to “beat” expectations. But don’t be fooled, the ECB’s programme is nothing like [...] Continue Reading

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Disclaimer: The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient. Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warranty that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.

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