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Live Updates

EURAUD: eyes on Greece and then the RBA

Updated -  Jul 3, 2015 12:45:59 AM By Chris Tedder

It’s been another eventful day for the Australia dollar following the release of softer than expected domestic retail sales numbers. Retail sales increased a measly 0.3% m/m in May, after falling a revised 0.1% in April. The market was expecting sales to have increased 0.5% over the month, thus the aussie sunk on the back of the figures. In fact, AUDUSD was hit very hard, considering the numbers only just missed expectations. However, the Australia [...] Continue Reading


Gold: moment of truth

Updated -  Jul 2, 2015 12:10:00 PM By Fawad Razaqzada

We have repeatedly commented that gold’s near term outlook does not look bright because of the apparent lack of interest from investors worried about the crisis in Greece. Whereas the European stock markets have fallen quite dramatically in response to the deteriorating Greek situation, the precious metal has barely shown much reaction. Admittedly, this has been in part because of the strength of the US dollars, which has been climbing steadily higher this week in [...] Continue Reading


Are things turning sour for the US economy?

Updated -  Jul 2, 2015 11:50:00 AM By Kathleen Brooks

In a holiday-shortened week, the US economy is generating quite a few headlines to chew over during the 4th July celebrations. The first is the state of the US labour market. Although the economy created more than 200k jobs for the second consecutive month, the fourth +200k reading this year, there were a couple of things that may sound a word of warning. Watch for downward revisions: Firstly, the two month payroll net [...] Continue Reading


S&P 500: The Fundamental and Technical Risks to the Rally

Updated -  Jul 2, 2015 11:20:00 AM By Matt Weller, CMT

The Fundamental View There’s no two ways about it: betting against the S&P 500 uptrend has been a fool’s errand over the last few years. It’s now been nearly four years since the S&P 500 last saw a 10% pullback, the third-longest streak in the last half century and well beyond the historical average of one such correction per year. Some traders may argue that this means that a drop is long overdue, but that [...] Continue Reading


NFP Instant Reaction: You Are Now Entering the Twilight Zone

Updated -  Jul 2, 2015 9:15:00 AM By Matt Weller, CMT

“There is a fifth dimension beyond that which is known to man. It is a dimension as vast as space and as timeless as infinity. It is the middle ground between light and shadow, between science and superstition, and it lies between the pit of man’s fears, and the summit of his knowledge. This is the dimension of imagination. It is an area which we call ... The Twilight Zone.” Traders no doubt feel like [...] Continue Reading


AUD/USD on the brink ahead of NFP

Updated -  Jul 2, 2015 6:55:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

The US monthly jobs report will be released a day earlier than usual today and analysts are feeling bullish as expectations are that the headline nonfarm payrolls number probably increased by a good 230 thousand in June. The unemployment rate is likely to have fallen back to 5.4% from 5.5% in May, while the average hourly earnings are seen increasing by 0.2% versus a gain of 0.3% previously. As ever, my colleague Matt Weller has [...] Continue Reading


AUDJPY attempts to break back into bullish territory

Updated -  Jul 2, 2015 1:42:50 AM By Chris Tedder

It has been an interesting session in Asia, with big moves across numerous assets classes. In the FX market, a rally in the US dollar in the overnight sessions initially continued in Asia, before tapering off mid-way through the session. One of the big movers overnight was USDJPY, with the pair rallying through 123.00 and onto a high just below 123.50. This retracement in the yen added to positive investor sentiment in Japan, sending the [...] Continue Reading


NZDJPY: the kiwi stumbles, yet again

Updated -  Jul 1, 2015 10:22:11 PM By Chris Tedder

The NZ dollar has once again been assaulted on the back of soft economic data. This time around a disappointing dairy auction has poisoned investor sentiment surrounding the commodity currency. GlobalDairyTrade’s Price Index dropped for eighth time in a row at its latest auction, falling 5.9% as milk powder prices plummeted. The news isn’t good for the already stressed NZ dollar and it has pushed NZDUSD to a new five-year low. The kiwi was already [...] Continue Reading


NFP Prep: Data Points to Potential Blockbuster Jobs Report

Updated -  Jul 1, 2015 1:55:00 PM By Matt Weller, CMT

The June Non-Farm Payroll report will be released tomorrow at 8:30 ET (12:30 GMT, 1:30pm BST), with expectations centered on a headline print of 231k after last month’s stellar 280k reading. My model suggests that the report could exceed these expectations,with leading indicators suggesting a June headline NFP reading of 263K. The model has been historically reliable, showing a correlation coefficient of 0.90 with the unrevised NFP headline figure dating back to 2001 (1.0 [...] Continue Reading


AUD/NZD: break of 1.13 hurdle points to further gains

Updated -  Jul 1, 2015 12:40:00 PM By Fawad Razaqzada

The AUD/NZD has staged a massive rally since bottoming out at just above parity back in April. It has gained some 1350+ pips in the process. Most of the gains have been due to a weaker NZD rather than a stronger AUD. The NZD has fallen off a cliff after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand made a U-turn in its policy stance. Worried about the increases in house prices in Auckland in particular, the [...] Continue Reading


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Disclaimer: The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient. Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warranty that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.

Futures, Options on Futures, Foreign Exchange and other leveraged products involves significant risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Increasing leverage increases risk. Spot Gold and Silver contracts are not subject to regulation under the U.S. Commodity Exchange Act. Contracts for Difference (CFDs) are not available for US residents. Before deciding to trade forex and commodity futures, you should carefully consider your financial objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained herein is intended as general information about the subject matter covered and is provided with the understanding that FOREX.com is not rendering investment, legal, or tax advice. You should consult with appropriate counsel or other advisors on all investment, legal, or tax matters. FOREX.com is regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) in the US, by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) in the UK, the Australian Securities and Investment Commission (ASIC) in Australia, the Financial Services Agency (FSA) in Japan, the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada (IIROC) in Canada and the Securities and Futures Commission of Hong Kong (SFC) in Hong Kong. Please read Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options.

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