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EURGBP Vulnerable, Bears Eyeing 6-Year Lows at .7760

Updated -  Dec 24, 2014 1:00:00 PM By Matt Weller, CMT

EURGBP Vulnerable, Bears Eyeing 6-Year Lows at .7760 Last week, we outlined the bearish case for EURGBP, concluding “If we do see rates drop through [the bottom of the symmetrical triangle pattern at .7840], a continuation down to key support at the six-year low around .7760 is possible” (see “EURGBP: Euro Getting Pound-ed by Rival” below for more). That anticipated break occurred late last week, and after an oversold bounce on Monday, it looks [...] Continue Reading


GBP/AUD: The End of a Trend?

Updated -  Dec 24, 2014 12:04:55 PM By Neal Gilbert

Throughout the last month and a half there has been a glorious trend occurring in the GBP/AUD that was extremely consistent and strong, but recently the trend line that has supported it has been broken. Predictably, as we approach the end of the year liquidity has dropped, strength of trends has dwindled, and markets have taken to more sideways price action. Does that mean that the trend in GBP/AUD is due for a turn? Perhaps, [...] Continue Reading


USDCHF: Parity in Play?

Updated -  Dec 24, 2014 8:45:00 AM By Matt Weller, CMT

Yesterday, we discussed how the SNB’s decision to cut Swiss interest rates to negative had only a short-lived effect on EURCHF (see “The SNB Gave EURCHF its Heart but EURCHF Gave it Away” for more). The impact was minimal because both the Eurozone and Switzerland now have negative interest rates and dovish central banks, to say nothing of the likelihood that the SNB’s decision was already priced into the market. That said, Switzerland’s decision [...] Continue Reading


S&P 500 extends Santa Rally; potential for another 55-65 points in near term

Updated -  Dec 24, 2014 7:40:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

*** Please note today will be my last until my return on January 5. Wishing you a Merry Christmas and a happy New Year! *** Santa took his time but has finally arrived and is delivering the perfect gift for investors in the US where the leading indices are trading at record highs as the year-end approaches. Undoubtedly, there has been an element or two of the usual window dressing at this late stage in [...] Continue Reading


EUR/USD: is 1.20 now the next stop?

Updated -  Dec 24, 2014 6:30:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

*** Please note today will be my last until my return on January 5. Wishing you a Merry Christmas and a happy New Year! *** It is understandably a very quiet day with the stock markets in Italy and Germany closed for the Christmas Eve. Elsewhere, most traders are probably out today too although that does not necessarily mean the markets won’t move. In fact, the lack of volume means there could be bouts of [...] Continue Reading


DOW: Somebody’s on the Nice List

Updated -  Dec 23, 2014 5:40:50 PM By Neal Gilbert

Funny story…A couple of days ago, I happened upon a website that allows you to program in your kid’s name to a short video from Santa Clause that tells them if they’re on the Naughty or Nice list. That very same day, my six year old daughter had been acting like Santa’s evil anagram spawn, so I programmed the jolly old fellow to put her on the Naughty list. Yeah, yeah, yeah, I’m a horrible [...] Continue Reading


DOW: Somebody’s on the Nice List

Updated -  Dec 23, 2014 3:45:38 PM By Neal Gilbert

Funny story…A couple of days ago, I happened upon a website that allows you to program in your kid’s name to a short video from Santa Clause that tells them if they’re on the Naughty or Nice list. That very same day, my six year old daughter had been acting like Santa’s evil anagram spawn, so I programmed the jolly old fellow to put her on the Naughty list. Yeah, yeah, yeah, I’m a horrible [...] Continue Reading


The SNB Gave EURCHF its Heart, but EURCHF Gave it Away

Updated -  Dec 23, 2014 1:45:00 PM By Matt Weller, CMT

“Last Christmas I gave you my heartBut the very next day you gave it awayThis year to save me from tearsI'll give it to someone special” - Wham! No doubt had your fill of the song “Last Christmas” by the iconic 1980s UK musical duo Wham! by now. The song is told from the perspective of a spurned lover who was rejected one day after finally getting up the courage to profess [...] Continue Reading


Crude oil showing signs of steadiness despite Saudi’s verbal assault

Updated -  Dec 23, 2014 12:00:00 PM By Fawad Razaqzada

Crude oil prices have been receiving a barrage of bad news of late, most notably from the Saudi oil minister who yesterday said his country will never cut oil production. Ali al-Naimi went on as far as to say that the OPEC will not cut production even if the price of oil falls to $20 a barrel. Clearly that low a price level will force many producers to exit the market which would thus cause [...] Continue Reading


NZD/USD: It Just Might Rally

Updated -  Dec 23, 2014 10:39:06 AM By Neal Gilbert

North American markets are feeling pretty good about themselves this morning as the final revision for US GDP was higher than even the most optimistic Wall Street prognosticators expected. The 5.0% growth rate for Q3 2014 was the best result in over a decade and prompted the Dow to rise above 18,000 for the first time ever. The USD is also performing well against all her rivals, but there was other news that came out [...] Continue Reading


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Disclaimer: The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient. Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warranty that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.

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