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Live Updates

Choo Choo! USDCHF Train Still Heading North

Updated -  Mar 4, 2015 1:50:00 PM By Matt Weller, CMT

Three weeks ago, we mentioned that many traders were taking a “once bitten, twice shy” attitude toward the Swiss franc after the SNB’s historic decision to drop its cap on the franc in mid-January (See the second article, “Another Cup of Tea for EURCHF Bulls” here). EURCHF has since stalled out, perhaps on fears ahead of tomorrow’s ECB meeting and press conference, but USDCHF has continued to truck along, breaking above the 61.8% Fibonacci [...] Continue Reading


Crude inventories increase sharply…again

Updated -  Mar 4, 2015 12:30:00 PM By Fawad Razaqzada

Prior to the release of the latest crude supply data from the Energy Information Administration (EIA), WTI was higher on the day and for a time it was trading above $51 a barrel. Speculators were hoping that the recent trend of sharp increases in oil inventories would come to end after the American Petroleum Institute’s (API) stockpiles report last night had shown ‘only’ a 2.9 million increase in US oil inventories. The consensus forecast for [...] Continue Reading


ECB meeting preview: EUR falters as we get closer to QE

Updated -  Mar 4, 2015 11:10:00 AM By Kathleen Btooks

This week’s ECB meeting is likely to be less eventful compared to the last ECB meeting in January. Back then the ECB announced its first ever QE programme, at this month’s meeting we expect no such bomb shell, instead we expect the latest round of ECB staff economic forecasts and more information on what QE under the ECB will look like. Although we don’t expect anything new to come out of this meeting, Mario [...] Continue Reading


Bank of Canada Instant Reaction: Governor Poloz Tells It Like It Is

Updated -  Mar 4, 2015 11:08:43 AM By Neal Gilbert

The North American trading session has been quite exciting so far this morning as a variety of events have hit the wires that have immediate as well as long-term impacts on markets. As for the immediate, the usual barrage of pre-Non-Farm Payroll releases were unleashed which helped paint a clearer picture on how NFP may perform, but perhaps the biggest event of the day was the BoC’s decision to leave interest rates steady at 0.75% [...] Continue Reading


USDJPY: Could Friday’s NFP Report Interrupt the Tranquil Trading Seas?

Updated -  Mar 4, 2015 8:55:00 AM By Matt Weller, CMT

The data-heavy portion of the week has officially kicked off, and today’s economic figures have confirmed some of the recent trends we’ve been highlighting. As my colleague Chris Tedder noted earlier today, Australian GDP came out a tick weaker than expected, though the Australian dollar remains resilient and is actually trading higher than it was prior to the release. Meanwhile European data was mixed, with Service PMI figures coming in roughly in-line with [...] Continue Reading


EUR/USD on the verge of another breakdown

Updated -  Mar 4, 2015 7:01:29 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

The EUR/USD is on the verge of taking another leg lower, a day before the European Central Bank meeting. Although not much will be expected from this particular meeting, the focus will be on how the ECB will achieve the €60 billion a month of the QE stimulus programme it is planning to launch this month. Mario Draghi could put the final nail in the coffin for the euro if he sounds decidedly dovish at [...] Continue Reading


Underwhelming GDP data backs calls for another rate cut

Updated -  Mar 3, 2015 10:14:43 PM By Chris Tedder

The Australian economy grew at just 0.5% in Q4, missing a consensus estimate of 0.6% q/q. Although, Q3’s headline number was revised higher to 0.4% from 0.3% q/q, which neutralised the direct impact of today’s data on the Australian dollar. Nonetheless, the economy is moving ahead at a much slower pace than its long-run average, largely due to diminishing mining investment and still lacklustre levels of activity in most non-resource parts of the economy, underpinned [...] Continue Reading


All eyes back on the aussie!

Updated -  Mar 3, 2015 6:25:11 PM By Chris Tedder

The Australian dollar was given a leg-up yesterday by the RBA’s decision to remain on hold when the majority of market participants were expecting the bank to loosen monetary policy. The resulting rally in AUDUSD pushed it into a new trading range above 0.7800, with a current ceiling around 0.7450. However, this may change with the release of key Australian and Chinese economic data today, as well as a speech from Yellen. Later today [...] Continue Reading


NZDUSD: Fibonacci’s Paradise

Updated -  Mar 3, 2015 3:32:32 PM By Neal Gilbert

A strange thing happened on the way to the North American market close today as tradable markets started to reverse their morning directions. The USD and Gold were strong, then weak; equities were weak then strong; and Oil was fairly neutral. Needless to say, it wasn’t the best of days for those seeking to implement shorter term trending strategies as the daily whipsaw created havoc. The excitement likely won’t end though as we head in [...] Continue Reading


Wait a SEK…Did We Just See a Top in EURSEK?

Updated -  Mar 3, 2015 1:50:00 PM By Matt Weller, CMT

For most of the last two years, the Swedish krona has been one of the worst-performing G10 currencies, even managing to weaken by over 15% against the embattled euro since bottoming in early 2013. The krona’s poor performance has been driven by a number of fundamental factors, prominently including consistent deflation and related easing from the Riksbank, but the technical picture may finally be starting to turn in favor of the SEK. As the daily [...] Continue Reading


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Disclaimer: The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient. Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warranty that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.

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