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USD/JPY: a warning or two for bulls

Updated -  May 28, 2015 7:00:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

The USD/JPY currency pair may go on to rise to significantly higher levels over time because of the growing disparity between interest rates in the US and Japan. But in the immediate near term, the risks for a potential correction are high given the extent of the recent upsurge. Traders may simply choose to book some profit now following a 5-day rally. This, combined with the potential withdrawal of bids near key resistance levels, may [...] Continue Reading


GBPCAD: Double Top Danger

Updated -  May 27, 2015 2:16:42 PM By Neal Gilbert

Since the conclusion of the election in the UK a couple weeks ago that was anticipated to be a political mess but ended up being a resounding victory for the conservative Tories, the GBP has been on a roll. Coupled with the negative economic results in the US, investors were flocking to the Pound Sterling as the gem of the currency world as the pre-selling before the election got a little ahead of itself. However, [...] Continue Reading


USDCAD Bulls in Control Above 1.2400

Updated -  May 27, 2015 2:00:00 PM By Matt Weller, CMT

As my colleague Fawad Razaqzada noted earlier today, oil is testing some key support levels around 58.00 (for WTI) and 63.00 (for Brent) ahead of tomorrow’s always-critical EIA oil inventories report. The recent weakness in oil prices has spilled over (no pun intended) into the forex market, where the oil-dependent Canadian dollar, Norwegian krone, and Russian ruble are all falling against the US dollar. With an uneventful Bank of Canada meeting now [...] Continue Reading


Crude testing key levels ahead of oil inventories data

Updated -  May 27, 2015 12:50:00 PM By Fawad Razaqzada

The crude oil slump has continued for a fourth day in the case of WTI and second day for Brent. Both oil contracts have been weighed down by a sharp rally in the dollar which continues to exert strong pressure on commodities across the board. The greenback has now risen in seven out of the past eight trading sessions. Chiefly responsible for the stronger dollar has been the recent hawkish remarks from the Fed, and [...] Continue Reading


AUDJPY: Time to Rally?

Updated -  May 27, 2015 11:43:50 AM By Neal Gilbert

It has been a quiet morning in regards to North American markets as the economic calendar was mostly blasé thanks to no US news being released and only the Bank of Canada’s non-action with which to contend. While the BoC had the potential to rile things up a bit, they kept everything the same and even followed the Federal Reserve’s lead in calling low inflation levels transitory due to “sharply lower energy prices.” The main [...] Continue Reading


Could the Fed’s Promise of “Gradual” Tightening Mean 0.125% Rate Hikes?

Updated -  May 27, 2015 9:40:00 AM By Matt Weller, CMT

Regardless of their preferred asset class, the single most important question on traders’ minds is “When will the Federal Reserve start raising interest rates?” Investors and analysts (yours truly included) filter each new data point through the lens of the Fed’s interest rate policy and try to determine whether each report means the central bank is marginally more likely to raise interest rates in September, December, or next year. However, as we’ve argued in our [...] Continue Reading


GBP/JPY: take two

Updated -  May 27, 2015 7:30:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

The GBP/JPY last week peaked above the December high of 189.70, and for a time traded at its highest level since September 2008. But the pound sold off and subsequently the GBP/JPY fell back all the way to 187.85 before bouncing back. The cross has now recovered and it may go on to break out decisively at the second time of asking, particularly as the USD/JPY is also hitting fresh multi-year highs. The [...] Continue Reading


GBPUSD: Fed Speaks, Market Listens

Updated -  May 26, 2015 3:47:41 PM By Neal Gilbert

Dollar bulls are back in the saddle again on the first full trading day of this holiday shortened week as speeches from important Federal Reserve members has sparked a bit of USD love. Harkening back to late last week, Fed Chairwoman Janet Yellen didn’t mince any words in suggesting that rates will most likely be hiked this year, and Vice Chairman Stanley Fischer echoed that same sentiment shortly before lunchtime here in the US today.  [...] Continue Reading


EURUSD: Traders Sell First and Ask Questions Later

Updated -  May 26, 2015 2:30:00 PM By Matt Weller, CMT

Last week, we discussed 3 technical reasons that EURUSD support at 1.1050 support could give way, but even we were caught off guard by the ferocity of the selloff over the last week. The world’s most widely-traded currency pair started last week all the way up at 1.1450, but in less than a week and a half, EURUSD has shed nearly 600 pips to trade all the way down at 1.0870 as of writing. [...] Continue Reading


Gold on shaky footing as dollar surges

Updated -  May 26, 2015 11:50:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

Gold has been absolutely battered today. It has already shed some $20 from its opening price and as we go to press it is still hovering near the day’s lows. The considerably stronger dollar is chiefly responsible for this latest slide in the price of gold and other buck-denominated commodities. The greenback has found renewed strength in recent days thanks to a combination of stronger US data and a hawkish tone from the Federal Reserve. [...] Continue Reading


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Disclaimer: The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient. Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warranty that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.

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