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Market review & outlook: Focus shifts back to the Fed

Updated -  Jul 22, 2016 1:40:00 PM By James Chen, CMT

Markets during the past week have been characterized mostly by a continued rally to new record highs for equity markets, most notably in the US where earnings season has entered full swing. Stock indexes have been buoyed by largely better-than-expected earnings reports, albeit on relatively low expectations. Also helping stocks to continue their climb recently have been the prevailing accommodative stances among major central banks, including those in the UK, Japan, and the Eurozone. Both [...] Continue Reading

DAX: Could underperforming EU stocks finally find some love?

Updated -  Jul 20, 2016 9:00:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

*** Please note: this will be my last report until I come back from holiday on August 8 2016*** The US earnings season has got off to a very good start with all the major investment banks reporting better than expected numbers – Morgan Stanley becoming the latest Wall Street giant to do so today. The focus will turn to the other key sectors now, including technology companies whose numbers will come out thick and [...] Continue Reading

AUD/USD retreats as RBA mulls further rate cut

Updated -  Jul 19, 2016 3:40:00 PM By James Chen, CMT

Early on Tuesday, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) released minutes of its most recent policy meeting. Speculation has subsequently increased that the central bank could move to lower interest rates below the current 1.75% early next month, which would place substantial pressure on the Australian dollar. Rates were cut to this record low level in May primarily as a reaction to surprisingly low inflation readings. The minutes of July’s meeting included the following statement: [...] Continue Reading

AUD/CAD drops to test key support

Updated -  Jul 19, 2016 1:45:00 PM By Fawad Razaqzada

This is a quick update about the AUD/CAD article we posted on Wednesday of last week (click HERE for details). Although oil prices have remained weak, the Canadian dollar has managed to hold its own relatively well compared to some of the other commodity currencies, with the Aussie and kiwi dollars both falling sharply in recent days on speculation about further rate cuts from their respective central banks. In contrast, the Bank of [...] Continue Reading

EUR/USD pressured amid strong dollar, ECB risk

Updated -  Jul 19, 2016 12:50:00 PM By James Chen, CMT

EUR/USD remained pressured on Tuesday as the dollar continued to strengthen on generally positive US economic data and the euro fell against several of its rivals ahead of Thursday’s much-anticipated rate decision and press conference by the European Central Bank (ECB). Although the ECB is not expected to make any major changes in monetary policy at this time, potentially following the Bank of England’s lead in its decision to defer any new easing this month, [...] Continue Reading

EUR/GBP: Dilemma for BoE as weaker pound could boost UK inflation further

Updated -  Jul 19, 2016 8:10:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

This morning’s data from Europe has been mixed: UK’s inflation figures were surprisingly strong, while a key German economic sentiment survey came in significantly weaker and Eurozone’s construction output shrunk more than expected. Yet, the EUR/GBP has so far been able to hold its own pretty well. It is no secret that many speculators anticipate that the recent growth in divergence between the Eurozone and UK monetary policies to narrow, thereby reducing the appeal of [...] Continue Reading

EUR/JPY resumes climb as yen retreats further and ECB decision looms

Updated -  Jul 18, 2016 3:00:00 PM By James Chen, CMT

EUR/JPY started the week in renewed rally mode as the safe haven yen retreated further after having temporarily surged earlier on news of the attempted coup in Turkey. The heightened risk appetite in the markets from the past week has extended to the beginning of this week, and the failed coup has been summarily shrugged off by the markets. As a result, the appeal of safe haven assets like gold and the Japanese yen has [...] Continue Reading

Could earnings propel Nasdaq 100 to new records?

Updated -  Jul 18, 2016 1:47:26 PM By Fawad Razaqzada

The second quarter earnings season has started brightly with the likes of Alcoa, JP Morgan and Citigroup all reporting numbers that were better than expected last week. The good run of form has continued at the start of the week as the Bank of America became the latest Wall Street giant to report forecast-beating numbers this morning, which caused its shares to climb some 4 per cent higher. This helped to keep the S&P 500 [...] Continue Reading

TRY this: GBP/TRY could be forming a major base

Updated -  Jul 18, 2016 7:50:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

The Turkish Lira slumped late in the day on Friday when news of what turned out to be an unsuccessful coup attempt in Turkey hit the wires. The lira was able to regain its poise at the open overnight, but volatility should remain high in the coming days nonetheless. Understandably, there is still a lot of uncertainty in Turkey and risks remain high we may see renewed capital flight from the country. In the medium-term, [...] Continue Reading

Market Review & Outlook: Stimulus Talk Moves Markets

Updated -  Jul 15, 2016 1:30:00 PM By James Chen, CMT

Stimulus Talk Moves Markets With central banks in renewed stimulus mode and market concerns over Brexit consequences having increasingly faded into the background, this past week has largely been one of expanded risk appetite for global financial markets. Stocks surged as yield-seeking investors bid up US equity markets to uncharted territory, with both the Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 reaching progressively higher all-time highs throughout the week. European stock markets also continued to [...] Continue Reading

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Disclaimer: The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient. Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warranty that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.

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