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Live Updates

RBA holds fire, for now

Updated -  Mar 2, 2015 11:21:43 PM By Chris Tedder

The Reserve Bank of Australia left the official cash rate (OCR) at 2.25% at its monetary policy meeting in Melbourne today. This came as a surprise to most of the market and resulted in a huge rally in the Australian dollar, but the announcement that it’s considering easing at later meetings may put a cap on the aussie’s rally. The decision to remain on hold today may mean that the RBA is growing more [...] Continue Reading

China roundup: the PBoC is scrambling to prevent a hard landing

Updated -  Mar 2, 2015 8:26:24 PM By Chris Tedder

The takeaway from February is that the PBoC has undoubtedly switched to an easing bias. Last month the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) announced two surprise moves aimed at fighting increasingly large capital outflows and a general slowdown in the domestic economy. Given the deluge of soft economic data out of the world’s second largest economy over the last few months and a rapid deterioration of China’s all-important property market, it was only a matter [...] Continue Reading

AUDUSD: How Low Can You Go?

Updated -  Mar 2, 2015 2:40:00 PM By Neal Gilbert

By this point, you have already probably heard that the Reserve Bank of Australia will be making a monetary policy decision this evening, and that they are expected by a majority of market participants to cut interest rates by 25 basis points. The big question in most investor’s minds as we head toward the decision is whether the RBA will maintain their neutral stance or will indicate that further cuts down the road are [...] Continue Reading

EM Rundown: China’s Economic Dragon Blowing Smoke

Updated -  Mar 2, 2015 2:20:00 PM By Matt Weller, CMT

It’s been an interesting start to what promises to be a interesting week in the FX market. The biggest story of Monday’s trade thus far has been the continued strength of the dollar despite disappointing data in the world’s largest economy. European currencies, including the Swiss franc and British pound, are getting hit particularly hard against the greenback. Shifting gears to the EM world, traders are still trying to digest the PBOC’s surprise rate [...] Continue Reading

Precious metals: alternative currency thesis called into question

Updated -  Mar 2, 2015 1:20:00 PM By Fawad Razaqzada

Precious metals are trading lower as I go to press. Despite China becoming the latest central bank to cut interest rates again over the weekend, gold and silver have not found much demand as alternative currencies. In fact, the Aussie dollar has also fallen while the stock markets have failed to move noticeably higher on the back of the PBOC’s move. This suggests that investors may have interpreted the PBOC’s move as a signal that [...] Continue Reading

Something up with the dollar?

Updated -  Mar 2, 2015 12:20:00 PM By Kathleen Brooks

One to ponder late on a Monday afternoon. After another set of economic data misses today from the US, with personal income, personal spending, construction spending and ISM manufacturing all disappointing expectations, why is the dollar still rising? These data misses have sent the Citigroup US economic surprise index tumbling to its lowest level since 2012. The FX market seems to be completely ignoring the downturn in the US data. In contrast to the [...] Continue Reading

GBPUSD: Support in Sight?

Updated -  Mar 2, 2015 11:21:15 AM By Neal Gilbert

The early portion of the North American trading day has been wrought with markets essentially doing their own thing as developments from around the globe have had regional effects. The Aussie dollar has been getting hammered ahead of the Reserve Bank of Australia interest rate decision this evening; equities are all over the place as Asia was up, Europe is down, and the Americas were weak at first, then rallying; the US dollar [...] Continue Reading

Stock Take: The changing FTSE landscape

Updated -  Mar 2, 2015 9:55:00 AM By Kathleen Brooks

This week we get the latest quarterly changes to the FTSE 100. This index is based on the market capitalisation of the 100 largest companies listed on the London Stock Exchange; as the value of a company changes, so can its position on the UK’s top flight index. So long, farewell… It looks like the 50% decline in the oil price is coming home to roost for Tullow Oil, after reporting its first [...] Continue Reading

EURUSD: Signs of Optimism at the Start of a New Week

Updated -  Mar 2, 2015 9:00:00 AM By Matt Weller, CMT

“With the new day comes new strength and new thoughts.” - Former US First Lady Eleanor Roosevelt Beyond providing a hopeful note at the start of the trading week, the above quote encapsulates the optimistic perspective of euro traders at the start of the week. As we noted in Friday’s Week Ahead report, the euro finished last week on a sour note, with EURUSD falling to its lowest level in a month. After [...] Continue Reading

EUR/GBP: proceed with caution

Updated -  Mar 2, 2015 7:07:48 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

The euro has found some support today on the back of mostly stronger-than-expected Eurozone data. Although the single currency bloc remained in deflation for the third time last month, the 0.3% year-over-year drop in the consumer price index (CPI) was a sharp improvement from the 0.6% reading in January and beat expectations of a 0.5% decline. On top of this, the unemployment rate unexpectedly fell to 11.2% in January from a downwardly revised 11.3% the [...] Continue Reading

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Disclaimer: The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient. Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warranty that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.

Futures, Options on Futures, Foreign Exchange and other leveraged products involves significant risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Increasing leverage increases risk. Spot Gold and Silver contracts are not subject to regulation under the U.S. Commodity Exchange Act. Contracts for Difference (CFDs) are not available for US residents. Before deciding to trade forex and commodity futures, you should carefully consider your financial objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained herein is intended as general information about the subject matter covered and is provided with the understanding that is not rendering investment, legal, or tax advice. You should consult with appropriate counsel or other advisors on all investment, legal, or tax matters. is regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) in the US, by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) in the UK, the Australian Securities and Investment Commission (ASIC) in Australia, the Financial Services Agency (FSA) in Japan, the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada (IIROC) in Canada and the Securities and Futures Commission of Hong Kong (SFC) in Hong Kong. Please read Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options.


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