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What Can USDCHF Tell Us About the EURUSD Breakdown?

Updated -  Jul 24, 2014 9:00:00 AM By Matt Weller

The market has been enamored with this week’s price action in EURUSD, which unexpectedly peeked down to a new 2014 low under the key 1.3475-1.3500 support zone on Tuesday. However, as we roll into today’s North American session, the pair is fighting its way back toward 1.3500 on the back of decent PMI readings from the Eurozone. For the currency union as a whole, the Manufacturing PMI figure rose to 51.9, in-line with expectations, [...] Continue Reading


FTSE boosted by strong PMIs, looks set to test 6865/80 for umpteenth time

Updated -  Jul 24, 2014 7:40:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

Following a sluggish start, the FTSE has turned higher along with the other European markets. Sentiment has been boosted, above all, by the surprisingly good economic data from China and Europe and as corporate earnings from the US continues to surprise to the upside with Facebook posting strong quarterly numbers overnight. Compared to some of the other European indices, the FTSE’s gains have been somewhat mild however. Not only is this because of the direct [...] Continue Reading


China’s manufacturing data lifts investor sentiment

Updated -  Jul 23, 2014 11:41:26 PM By Chris Tedder

The strongest reading of Chinese private sector manufacturing PMI in 18 months has given the Australian dollar another boost, following yesterday’s rally on the back of stronger than expected Australian inflation data, and helped to strengthen the yuan and equity markets throughout Asia. HSBC China July Manufacturing PMI jumped to 52.0 from 50.7, beating an expected rise to 51.0. Digging into the data it’s encouraging to note that most of the 11 sub-indices improved significantly [...] Continue Reading


RBNZ raises rates; signals for a pause in its tightening cycle

Updated -  Jul 23, 2014 7:45:56 PM By Chris Tedder

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) raised the official cash rate to 3.5% from 3.25% as expected. We were also expecting the bank to fire a warning shot at the kiwi and signal that it plans to pause its tightening cycle. The bank did exactly this, although Governor Wheeler’s language used to describe the NZ dollar was even more aggressive than we forecast. The RBNZ is likely cheering the impact this had on the [...] Continue Reading


EURAUD Has 1-Year Lows in Sight

Updated -  Jul 23, 2014 2:35:00 PM By Matt Weller

Yesterday, my colleague Kathleen Brooks discussed the bizarre breakdown in EURUSD. Despite broad-based USD weakness and a lack of negative news out of Europe, the world’s most widely-traded currency pair fell through a key support zone in the 1.3475-1.3500 area to hit a new yearly low. When a currency pair makes a surprising move with no obvious catalyst, it can mean one of two things: that the move is a temporary mispricing that will [...] Continue Reading


AUDNZD: Can the RBNZ Put the Brakes on the Rally?

Updated -  Jul 23, 2014 1:35:00 PM By Matt Weller

Much like the USDJPY, which we discussed at length earlier today, the AUDNZD has been rangebound for most of 2014. In its case, the antipodean pairing has been finding consistent support in the 1.05-1.06 area and resistance between 1.09 and 1.10. While sideways trade is hardly ideal for longer-term buyers or sellers, bulls will certainly agree that 2014 has been an improvement over 2012 and 2013, when the typically-staid pair fell over 2400 pips in [...] Continue Reading


Time for USDJPY Traders to Wake Up?

Updated -  Jul 23, 2014 1:05:00 PM By Matt Weller

Out of all the major currency pairs, the USDJPY has undoubtedly been one of the dullest thus far this year. The pair has been trapped within a tight range from roughly 101.00 to 104.00 since mid-January, driving the average weekly range (ATR) to levels not seen since before the introduction of Abenomics in Q3 2012. Just when traders thought it couldn’t get any worse, bears began stepping in at lower and lower levels, and starting [...] Continue Reading


Crude oil rises on another sharp inventories drawdown, geopolitical uncertainty

Updated -  Jul 23, 2014 1:00:00 PM By Fawad Razaqzada

Crude oil is higher today with Brent currently trading at $107.80 and WTI at just shy of $103.00. Brent has risen on continued geopolitical uncertainty and concerns over further sanctions on Russia. A day after the pro-Russian rebels handed over the black boxes of the crashed Malaysia Airlines flight MH17, today they have downed two Ukrainian warplanes in the east of Ukraine. On top of this, there’s been no let-up in the Gaza conflict between [...] Continue Reading


Bank of England to markets: “Hold your horses”

Updated -  Jul 23, 2014 8:20:00 AM By Kathleen Brooks

The minutes from the BOE meetings have become the most important way for the market to gauge the Bank’s sentiment and make predictions about its next move. After feeling pretty confident in recent weeks that Mark Carney and co. had shifted to a more hawkish policy stance, the market rushed to price in two rate hikes by the end of Q1 2015, the latest minutes have left the market scratching its head once more. How [...] Continue Reading


EURGBP: 2012 low in sight?

Updated -  Jul 23, 2014 7:20:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

The pound fell back this morning after the Bank of England’s last policy meeting minutes revealed the MPC was a lot less hawkish than some had anticipated. For example, there were warnings that the outlook for the housing market is slightly less strong, that the MPC sees “tentative signs of modest output slowdown” in the second half of the year, and that the weakness of wages despite strong rises in employment was “becoming more striking.” [...] Continue Reading


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Disclaimer: The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient. Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warranty that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.

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