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USDRUB: Will the Russian authorities intervene?

Updated -  Nov 28, 2014 7:50:00 AM By Kathleen Brooks

The Ruble has been the worst performing currency in the expanded majors’ space this week, falling more than 5% versus the USD and the EUR. If you thought things were bad for the RUB on the back of the Western sanctions, yesterday’s news that Opec would not cut its oil production was another hammer blow to the RUB. RUB and oil Interestingly the RUB had rallied at the early part of this week [...] Continue Reading

Gold lower as Swiss referendum looms; key level being tested

Updated -  Nov 28, 2014 7:25:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

As reflected in the falling price of gold over the past three sessions, traders are clearly not feeling confident that Switzerland will vote ‘Yes’ on Sunday’s referendum on the Swiss National Bank’s gold reserves. The proposal would require the SNB to hold gold reserves equivalent to 20% of its total assets. Not only that, but all Swiss gold held with foreign central banks would need to be repatriated and the SNB would never be allowed [...] Continue Reading

Recap: Swiss gold referendum: what does this mean for EURCHF?

Updated -  Nov 28, 2014 6:05:00 AM By Kathleen Brooks

On Sunday 30th November the Swiss people will go to the polls to decide on a referendum on the Swiss Central Bank’s (the SNB) gold reserves. The proposal put forward by the right wing Swiss People’s Party would require the SNB to hold gold reserves equivalent to 20% of their total assets, all Swiss gold held with foreign central banks would need to be repatriated, and the SNB would need to commit to never selling [...] Continue Reading

More soft Japanese economic data sinks the yen

Updated -  Nov 27, 2014 9:37:38 PM By Chris Tedder

USDJPY jumped through 118.00 on the back of soft Japanese economic indicators and falling oil prices that support the case for even more monetary easing from the Bank of Japan in the second half of 2015. The market already had its doubts before the release of today’s data about the ability of the BoJ’s fresh stimulus to boost inflation to the bank’s 2% target, and October’s inflation and other economic figures have likely turned even [...] Continue Reading

EURUSD: prepping for CPI

Updated -  Nov 27, 2014 11:10:00 AM By Kathleen Brooks

The bond market seems to be pricing in the prospect of QE from the European Central Bank in the coming months after a weaker than expected reading of German CPI. Spanish and Italian yields have fallen today, while German and French bond yields fell to record lows earlier. But, the EUR and Greek bond yields are bucking the trend. Greek concerns are brewing While other Eurozone members states are seeing their yields fall, [...] Continue Reading

Crude oil drops as OPEC decides against cutting production quota

Updated -  Nov 27, 2014 10:15:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

So, as we had expected the OPEC decided against trimming it is production quota of 30 million barrels of oil per day and prices have unsurprisingly extended their falls as a result. The Brent contract has so far fallen to a low of $74.35, thereby taking out the key psychological $75.00 level. WTI slipped below the $71.00 handle immediately after the news was announced. Given that much of the news was already priced in, [...] Continue Reading

DAX could break to fresh record as it hovers near major resistance area

Updated -  Nov 27, 2014 6:25:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

European stocks are higher today, led by gains in Germany once again. At the time of this writing, the benchmark DAX index is up a good 0.9%, supported by speculation that the European Central Bank may introduce full-scale QE at some point early next year. Yesterday, the ECB Vice President Vitor Constancioy stated that the central bank is prepared to start buying sovereign bonds in Q1 should economic conditions warrant it. This was the first [...] Continue Reading

AUD regains some lost ground on encouraging CAPEX data

Updated -  Nov 26, 2014 11:19:17 PM By Chris Tedder

The Australian dollar has managed to break through an important resistance zone around 0.8555 against the USD on the back of better than expected Australian private capital expenditure numbers. Private CAPEX rose 0.2% in Q3, defying predictions of a horrible 1.9% drop. The better numbers came from an unexpected surge in equipment, plant and machinery spending in the three months to September. The ABS also noted that corporates plan to increase capital expenditure to $153 [...] Continue Reading

NZDUSD’s rally is tarnished by softer than expected trade numbers

Updated -  Nov 26, 2014 8:37:03 PM By Chris Tedder

New Zealand’s trade deficit missed expectations in October, led by a strong surge imports. The trade deficit narrowed to 908m in October, which is more than the 642m deficit that the market was expecting. Also, September’s trade balance was revised lower to -1,367m. The annual trade balance fell into deficit territory for the first time this year at -107m. The good news is that the surge in imports highlights some underlying strength in domestic [...] Continue Reading

OPEC unlikely to cut production ceiling; lower prices may prevail

Updated -  Nov 26, 2014 1:30:00 PM By Fawad Razaqzada

Crude oil traders are now in wait-and-see mode as the OPEC mulls a production cut. Yesterday, a meeting between some large oil producing nations including Russia, Mexico, Venezuela and Saudi Arabia failed to find a solution in terms of production cut. In truth, an agreement was never likely to be reached prior to the actual OPEC meeting on Thursday anyway. The situation is really complex this time with the likes of Iran, Iraq and Libya [...] Continue Reading

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Disclaimer: The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient. Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warranty that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.

Futures, Options on Futures, Foreign Exchange and other leveraged products involves significant risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Increasing leverage increases risk. Spot Gold and Silver contracts are not subject to regulation under the U.S. Commodity Exchange Act. Contracts for Difference (CFDs) are not available for US residents. Before deciding to trade forex and commodity futures, you should carefully consider your financial objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained herein is intended as general information about the subject matter covered and is provided with the understanding that is not rendering investment, legal, or tax advice. You should consult with appropriate counsel or other advisors on all investment, legal, or tax matters. is regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) in the US, by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) in the UK, the Australian Securities and Investment Commission (ASIC) in Australia, the Financial Services Agency (FSA) in Japan, the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada (IIROC) in Canada and the Securities and Futures Commission of Hong Kong (SFC) in Hong Kong. Please read Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options.


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