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Live Updates

AUD/NZD: break of 1.13 hurdle points to further gains

Updated -  Jul 1, 2015 12:40:00 PM By Fawad Razaqzada

The AUD/NZD has staged a massive rally since bottoming out at just above parity back in April. It has gained some 1350+ pips in the process. Most of the gains have been due to a weaker NZD rather than a stronger AUD. The NZD has fallen off a cliff after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand made a U-turn in its policy stance. Worried about the increases in house prices in Auckland in particular, the [...] Continue Reading


USDCHF Tags a Nearly 1-Month High on ADP, Greece

Updated -  Jul 1, 2015 9:15:00 AM By Matt Weller, CMT

The constant barrage of Greek headlines continues unabated, with the latest batch of rumors suggesting variously that the “no” votes for this weekend’s referendum are gaining momentum, that the Greek government will cancel this weekend’s referendum, that a breakthrough deal between Greece and her creditors is imminent, and that the two sides are further apart than ever (see my colleague Kathleen Brooks’ note from earlier today for the latest analysis of the ever-changing situation [...] Continue Reading


EUR “carries” on as normal

Updated -  Jul 1, 2015 9:10:00 AM By Kathleen Brooks

An eerie calm has descended on the markets. News that the Greek PM had made an about-turn and decided that maybe he could accept his creditors’ demands after all, has unleashed a European stock market rally, which has pushed the EUR lower. This rally could be given another boost if, as rumours suggest, Greece’s referendum on the bailout terms is scrapped. EUR weakness = stock market strength A rallying European stock market is [...] Continue Reading


S&P futures higher on renewed Greece hopes

Updated -  Jul 1, 2015 7:50:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

Yesterday saw the S&P 500 post its first quarterly drop in nearly three years. As well as the crisis in Greece and the stock market turmoil in China, investors are growing worried about the impact of the strong dollar on company earnings and US exports, and as the Federal Reserve looks set to be the first major central bank to hike rates later this year. Although interest rates are likely to rise only gradually to [...] Continue Reading


AUDUSD: life in no man’s land

Updated -  Jul 1, 2015 1:01:50 AM By Chris Tedder

The Australian dollar has been on the front foot lately as investors brush aside some risk-off sentiment from earlier in the week. It seems the market isn’t as concerned about the possibility of a Grexit as initially thought, at least not yet, and the expected negative impact on Australian economy of such an event would be fairly limited. It’s worth noting that the still high yielding Australian dollar is an attractive option for cash leaving [...] Continue Reading


The Nikkei 225 hit a speed bump

Updated -  Jun 30, 2015 10:28:41 PM By Chris Tedder

Japanese stocks are recovering from their worst sell-off in six months as bargain hunters enter the market. The index suffered heavily on Monday as investor sentiment soured after it became clear that Greece was going to miss last night’s payment to the IMF. In fact, every major equity market in the world felt the repercussions of a possible Grexit, and there was a strong push to the safe-haven yen. While the yen has retained [...] Continue Reading


Gold: Safe Haven No More?

Updated -  Jun 30, 2015 2:25:00 PM By Matt Weller, CMT

One of the big themes we’ve been exploring this week as the Greek debt negotiations deteriorate (see my colleague Kathleen Brooks’ latest analysis of the situation here) is the appeal of so-called “safe haven” assets. Most traditional safe haven assets are acting as expected, with money flowing into the Japanese yen, US dollar, US Treasury bonds, and the Swiss franc (though the SNB’s decision to intervene in its currency may redirect some [...] Continue Reading


USD/JPY at key technical juncture

Updated -  Jun 30, 2015 11:15:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

The USD/JPY managed to bounce off the pivotal 122.00 mark this morning, though it still remains under pressure amid safe haven flows due, above all, to the on-going situation in Greece. Traders are also exercising some caution ahead of the US nonfarm payrolls and other key data on Thursday, which explains why price has failed to rally more profoundly. After all, today’s US data releases were not bad with the consumer confidence index, for [...] Continue Reading


AUDJPY: Traders YE(ar)N for a Safe Haven

Updated -  Jun 30, 2015 9:10:00 AM By Matt Weller, CMT

Greece’s debt drama stretched further into its third act today, with optimists still holding out hope that a last-second bailout deal could be cobbled together. Greek Finance Minister Yanis Varoufakis has already categorically confirmed that Greece won't make its payment today, but there were some hopeful signs from the Mediterranean nation. Despite harsh rhetoric over the weekend, Eurogroup President Jean-Claude Juncker has apparently offered a last-minute solution to Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras in exchange [...] Continue Reading


Greece won’t pay... now what?

Updated -  Jun 30, 2015 8:10:00 AM By Kathnleen Brooks

Greece has reached D-day, they literally will default (or fall into arrears, in IMF parlance) if they don’t pay up some EUR 1.6 bn by midnight Athens time tonight. There have been various rumours all morning that another last minute deal may be on the table, but news of this deal seems to have fizzled out, and even Angela Merkel said that the only offer that she knows from Greece is from last Friday. This [...] Continue Reading


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Disclaimer: The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient. Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warranty that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.

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