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GBPCHF: Blazing a New Trail

Updated -  Apr 1, 2015 5:07:24 PM By Neal Gilbert

The end of April Fool’s Day in North America was rather tepid even though both US equity markets as well as the USD tried to battle back from early declines. Stocks ended up down on the day despite that puncher’s mentality, but were well off the lows established in early trade. The USD as well shook off early weakness and found support in currencies like the USD/JPY around previous established price levels, but an overwhelming [...] Continue Reading

GBPJPY Slices Through 3-Year Bullish Trend Line Support – Could 173.00 Be Next?

Updated -  Apr 1, 2015 1:45:00 PM By Matt Weller, CMT

With today’s UK Manufacturing PMI report coming out rather “ho-hum” at 54.4 against expectations of a 54.5 reading and a 54.0 print last month, FX traders have had little reason to push the pound sustainably higher or lower: the currency initially dipped in the wake of the report before recovering its losses a few hours later. With GBPUSD still trapped below major previous-support-turned-resistance in the 1.49-1.50 zone, the medium-term outlook remains bearish for that pair, [...] Continue Reading

Gold: All That Glitters…

Updated -  Apr 1, 2015 12:07:48 PM By Neal Gilbert

Trading has gotten off on the wrong foot for those who are inclined to prefer the US equity markets and the USD this morning as both are getting pummeled in the face of US economic data that hasn’t given anyone reason to be optimistic. To start the bad news, the oft cited labor release of ADP Employment Change fell down to 189k whereas 227k was expected. Ever since ADP changed their calculation formula to more [...] Continue Reading

AUDUSD: Could We See a Pre-NFP Bounce to .7700?

Updated -  Apr 1, 2015 9:45:00 AM By Matt Weller, CMT

While US economic data broadly deteriorated through Q1, the lone bright spot was the labor market. Through the first three months of the year, US Non-Farm Payrolls increased by a whopping 863k jobs, while other measures of economic activity including PMI surveys, retail sales, durable goods orders and inflation readings have all turned lower. After today’s weaker-than-anticipated ADP employment report (189k vs. 227k eyed), traders are starting to worry that the last “leg” of the [...] Continue Reading

Thin markets + lots of economic data = volatility in Asia

Updated -  Apr 1, 2015 12:09:44 AM By Chris Tedder

It has been a very interesting session in Asia as thin conditions and lots of economic data played havoc with the FX market. NZDUSD was hit early on by the thin conditions and some rumours that the RBNZ may have played in the market in March, with the pair plummeting to 0.7740 before widespread USD weakness helped it to regain its lost ground. Meanwhile, the yen was able to largely brush aside a weaker than [...] Continue Reading

Does GBPAUD have the legs to test 2.000 again?

Updated -  Mar 31, 2015 9:45:32 PM By Chris Tedder

GBPAUD bounced off the base of its long-term upward channel, supported by strong UK economic data and widespread aussie weakness. This resulted in a strong rally in GBPAUD and the pair is now flirting with a resistance zone around 1.9500. A break here could be enough to push the pair to an all-important psychological resistance zone around 2.0000 Source: However, some stronger than expected Chinese and Australian economic data today has resulted in a [...] Continue Reading

EURJPY: Supporting the Cause

Updated -  Mar 31, 2015 4:52:25 PM By Neal Gilbert

The North American trading day ended on a sour note as US equities attempted to climb in to the green in the second half of trade, but fell faster toward the end of the day than at any other time. The approximate 1% drop in both the Dow and S&P 500 also provided a bad taste for the end of the first quarter which seemed to be all over the place; up one day, down [...] Continue Reading

Market Mythbusting: The “Strong” Correlation between USD and US Stocks

Updated -  Mar 31, 2015 2:40:00 PM By Matt Weller, CMT

“There’s no place like home. There’s no place like home. There’s no place like home.” Dorothy, “The Wizard of Oz” At the deus ex machina conclusion of the 1939 movie The Wizard of Oz, the protagonist Dorothy learns that her magical silver shoes will take her wherever she wants to go as long as she repeats her destination three times. In many regards, it seems like some traders think they have their own version [...] Continue Reading


Updated -  Mar 31, 2015 11:53:04 AM By Neal Gilbert

The first half of North American trade has been a mixed bag of tricks for traders so far as usual correlations aren’t behaving so well. While the EUR/USD has fallen lower on renewed concerns about Greece, but the typically correlated GBP/USD made a valiant run above the 1.48 level that it has been straddling so far this week. The USD/JPY also continues to hover near 120 even though US stock markets are generally down on [...] Continue Reading

EM Rundown: TRYing to Get the Lights Back On in Turkey

Updated -  Mar 31, 2015 8:45:00 AM By Matt Weller, CMT

It’s been a relatively quiet start to what could be a very interesting week in the FX market. While many traders are already looking ahead to a long holiday weekend, there is one big fly in the Easter Ham ointment: Friday’s non-farm payroll report. Major European banks and even the US stock market will be closed on Friday, but the Bureau of Labor Statistics will still release its marquee employment report, so traders are still [...] Continue Reading

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Disclaimer: The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient. Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warranty that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.

Futures, Options on Futures, Foreign Exchange and other leveraged products involves significant risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Increasing leverage increases risk. Spot Gold and Silver contracts are not subject to regulation under the U.S. Commodity Exchange Act. Contracts for Difference (CFDs) are not available for US residents. Before deciding to trade forex and commodity futures, you should carefully consider your financial objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained herein is intended as general information about the subject matter covered and is provided with the understanding that is not rendering investment, legal, or tax advice. You should consult with appropriate counsel or other advisors on all investment, legal, or tax matters. is regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) in the US, by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) in the UK, the Australian Securities and Investment Commission (ASIC) in Australia, the Financial Services Agency (FSA) in Japan, the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada (IIROC) in Canada and the Securities and Futures Commission of Hong Kong (SFC) in Hong Kong. Please read Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options.


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