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Live Updates

DAX turns lower on concerns over end of QE, health of European banks

Updated -  Oct 30, 2014 8:20:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

Stocks took their time but are now sharply lower on the day. This is possibly a delayed response to yesterday’s news that the Fed has ended QE, as after all today's European earnings results and economic data have been decent. There are doubts about the European Central Bank’s ability to support the markets in the same way that the Fed has with their use of unconventional policy tools. On top of this, there are renewed [...] Continue Reading

AUDNZD tests a key resistance zone after the RBNZ magnifies a NZD sell-off

Updated -  Oct 30, 2014 12:14:08 AM By Chris Tedder

It’s been a massive day for the kiwi, with the commodity currency dropping around 2% against the USD in just two hours this morning. Latter in the session NZDUSD regained some lost ground after data showed that the RBNZ didn’t intervene to weaken the kiwi last month. The bank sold net NZD30m last month, after selling a massive NZD521m in August – the biggest amount since July 2007. Meanwhile, the Australian dollar has been [...] Continue Reading

The RBNZ has entered wait-and-see mode

Updated -  Oct 29, 2014 6:20:35 PM By Chris Tedder

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand completely dropped its tightening bias at today’s monetary policy meeting. The bank noted that a period of assessment remains appropriate before considering further policy adjustment, dropping a line from September’s statement that stated that further tightening was expected and necessary to keep future average inflation near the 2% target mid-point and ensure that the economic expansion can be sustained. We suggested this may happen in our RBNZ preview [...] Continue Reading

North American Wrap: The King is Dead…

Updated -  Oct 29, 2014 3:54:59 PM By Neal Gilbert

The King is Dead… The North American trading session was pretty copacetic to start, but got much more interesting as the day wore on specifically due to the elephant in the room named the Federal Reserve. While most investors and pundits had a general idea what the Fed would be doing today, the brevity of it all still had a large impact on markets as the preparation for what’s to come next from the monetary [...] Continue Reading

Fed Instant Reaction: Almost, but Not Quite, Entirely As Expected

Updated -  Oct 29, 2014 2:20:00 PM By Matt Weller, CMT

The Federal Reserve’s October monetary policy statement just hit the wires, and traders generally got what they were expecting from the world’s largest central bank. As widely anticipated, the Fed stuck to its foreshadowed timeline by tapering the final $15B in monthly asset purchase; at this point, continuing the quantitative easing program would likely have caused more harm (in terms of lost credibility and increased uncertainty) than good. Despite the decision to wind down [...] Continue Reading

Crude oil rallies as inventories increase less than expected

Updated -  Oct 29, 2014 12:27:58 PM By Fawad Razaqzada

Crude oil prices have risen for a second straight day. As well as a weaker dollar and technical buying, oil prices have found some support from the better than expected stockpiles data that was released this afternoon. According to the US Department of Energy, oil inventories climbed by just shy of 2.1 million barrels in the week ending October 24. This increase was significantly lower than the prior week’s 7.1 million build and also below [...] Continue Reading

NZD/USD: Banking on Volatility

Updated -  Oct 29, 2014 11:33:01 AM By Neal Gilbert

The day that investors around the world have been waiting for since the start of the week is finally upon us and the Federal Reserve will be making their monetary policy decision a little later this afternoon. Overwhelming expectations expect the Fed to taper away the final $15 billion from their Quantitative Easing program, but maintain an air of caution by cementing the notion that they will remain as accommodative as possible for an extended [...] Continue Reading

AUD/CAD holding below key resistance area

Updated -  Oct 29, 2014 9:55:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

With the markets fully focused on the outcome of the FOMC tonight, it may be best to avoid looking at assets which will be directly impacted by the Fed’s decision. In this regard, one currency pair that has caught my eye is the AUD/CAD, which could be on the verge of resuming its downward trend. Although the AUD has strengthened recently, so has the CAD after the Bank of Canada dropped the “neutral” policy wording [...] Continue Reading

USDJPY: “Fed” Up With Consolidation at 108.00

Updated -  Oct 29, 2014 8:50:00 AM By Matt Weller, CMT

It’s been a quiet start to the forex trading week across the board, and no pair shows that phenomenon more than USDJPY. After gapping above 108.30 to start the week, the pair has dropped back down to consolidate around the 108.00 handle for the last three days. Short-term traders are no doubt frustrated with the lack of volatility thus far, but one way or another, market movement is likely to pick up with the release [...] Continue Reading

Will the RBNZ drop its tightening bias?

Updated -  Oct 29, 2014 3:05:22 AM By Chris Tedder

A its last meeting the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) chose to leave the official cash rate at 3.5%. Prior to this the RBNZ raised interest rates at every policy meeting since its first hike of recent times in March. The bank was concerned about the threat of house price inflation and was encouraged by strong construction growth and a robust export market. However, NZ’s inflation outlook has softened significantly recently and the [...] Continue Reading

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Disclaimer: The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient. Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warranty that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.

Futures, Options on Futures, Foreign Exchange and other leveraged products involves significant risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Increasing leverage increases risk. Spot Gold and Silver contracts are not subject to regulation under the U.S. Commodity Exchange Act. Contracts for Difference (CFDs) are not available for US residents. Before deciding to trade forex and commodity futures, you should carefully consider your financial objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained herein is intended as general information about the subject matter covered and is provided with the understanding that is not rendering investment, legal, or tax advice. You should consult with appropriate counsel or other advisors on all investment, legal, or tax matters. is regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) in the US, by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) in the UK, the Australian Securities and Investment Commission (ASIC) in Australia, the Financial Services Agency (FSA) in Japan, the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada (IIROC) in Canada and the Securities and Futures Commission of Hong Kong (SFC) in Hong Kong. Please read Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options.


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