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Live Updates

China roundup: more red flags from the property market

Updated -  Aug 27, 2014 2:20:08 AM By Chris Tedder

More warning signs from China’s property market have kept investors on their toes this month. Economic data broadly improved but property data continues to point a slowdown in the still overheated real estate sector. While we can brush off slight weakness in some economy data, China’s cooling property market is arguably the biggest threat to global growth in the near-term. Construction and real estate sectors account for around 15% of GDP and are the [...] Continue Reading


AUD awaits Australia’s Q2 CAPEX data

Updated -  Aug 26, 2014 8:51:27 PM By Chris Tedder

It’s been a pretty quiet week for the Australian dollar due to a lack of local market moving events or headline economic data. The market’s attention has been offshore, with investors weighing the prospect of more supportive monetary policy action from Japan and Europe against a less dovish Fed. Nonetheless, the release of Q2’s private capital expenditure figures could prove to be a big deal for the Australian dollar. In that respect, it’s very [...] Continue Reading


AUDNZD: Wallaby-Kiwi Battle Line Drawn at 1.1200

Updated -  Aug 26, 2014 2:00:00 PM By Matt Weller

As my colleague Chris Tedder noted on Monday and earlier today, the New Zealand dollar’s had a tough start to the week. While some traders (including yours truly) were optimistic that the beleaguered currency may bounce back this week, the onslaught of negative economic data, not to mention the recent political turmoil ahead of next month’s elections, has driven the kiwi to a new 6-month low against the US dollar. While the [...] Continue Reading


FX: is volatility about to come back to the FX market?

Updated -  Aug 26, 2014 10:50:00 AM By Kathleen Brooks

FX volatility has fallen to record lows in recent months, which is one reason why trading conditions have been particularly boring, but could this be about to change? Listening to some of the speeches from Jackson Hole at the weekend, the annual conference of central bankers, monetary policy could be about to move down divergent paths in the coming months, and there could be implications for the FX market. On the one side you [...] Continue Reading


Will The S&P 500 Fall Victim to the Y2K Bug?

Updated -  Aug 26, 2014 9:20:00 AM By Matt Weller

Nearly 15 years ago, stock markets were the only topic of conversation in the US. The widely-followed S&P 500 index of large US companies was on its way to trade above 1500, while the tech-heavy NASDAQ index had surged to above 5,000. In retrospect, equity valuations were clearly in an unsustainable bubble, but euphoria and greed trumped all other considerations as stocks continued to trade higher. Just yesterday the S&P500 broke to an all-time high [...] Continue Reading


FX focus: dollar hesitates ahead of key resistance

Updated -  Aug 26, 2014 7:30:00 AM By Kathleen Brooks

The dollar is on everyone’s mind today, after a stunning 3.5% rally since July, the dollar index is taking a breather ahead of key resistance at 82.67 – the high from September 6th. In the short term, we wouldn’t be surprised if we get below this level as the dollar index looks a little over-extended to the upside, we still think that any pullback will be short lived. Key support levels include: However, last [...] Continue Reading


The NZ dollar is hit again!

Updated -  Aug 25, 2014 9:19:10 PM By Chris Tedder

It seems the NZ dollar cannot catch a break, with the commodity currency falling victim to another set of disappointing economic data out of NZ. This time around it was trade figures which sparked a sell-off in the NZD. NZ’s July trade balance dropped to -692m from a revised 242m, missing an expected deficit of 475m. Exports fell 3.3% y/y to NZD3.7bn, which was more than the market was expecting (exp. 3.98bn). Exports are [...] Continue Reading

Tags: FX, NZD/USD

EM Rundown: TRYing to Divine the CBRT’s Next Move

Updated -  Aug 25, 2014 2:40:00 PM By Matt Weller

The dog days of summer of winding down once again, though volatility in the forex market may not pick up until next week’s start of September data deluge. In the G10 FX space, most traders will be focused on US Durable Goods orders (Tuesday) and Eurozone CPI data (Friday), but there are three potentially market-moving announcements in the more widely-traded EM currencies as well. USDZAR: Will Q2 GDP Recover? After collapsing in the wake of [...] Continue Reading


EURUSD: The Night is Darkest Just Before the Dawn

Updated -  Aug 25, 2014 8:30:00 AM By Matt Weller

The final trading week before the unofficial end of summer (US Labor Day Holiday) has officially kicked off, and the initial gap lower in EURUSD fits this rest of the summer’s script to a “T”. Over the last two months, the world’s most widely-traded currency pair has collapsed nearly 500 pips in a straight line down, culminating in a 50-pip bearish gap to start this week. Rates are now trading at an 11-month low, [...] Continue Reading


USDJPY gaps higher; Nikkei rallies

Updated -  Aug 25, 2014 1:23:52 AM By Chris Tedder

A combination of yen weakness and US dollar strength has pushed USDJPY even higher. As we outlined this morning, the weekend’s events in Jackson Hole sent investors flocking to the USD and away from the yen. The ensuing yen weakness has helped to spark a rally in the Nikkei, with investors hoping that the lower exchange rate will breathe new life into Japan’s struggling export market. The sell-off in the yen was sparked by [...] Continue Reading


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Disclaimer: The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient. Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warranty that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.

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