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EM Rundown: USDRUB Bears Nonplussed by Russian Bank Collapse

Updated -  Dec 22, 2014 2:40:00 PM By Matt Weller, CMT

In typical Christmas week trade, the forex market has been generally quiet today as the US dollar is putting in a mixed performance against its G10 rivals. As my colleague Fawad Razaqzada noted earlier today, EURUSD is edging higher off a key long-term support level, but the world’s reserve currency is gaining ground elsewhere, including against the pound, yen, and commodity dollars. In the EM space, the dollar’s performance is similarly mixed as traders [...] Continue Reading

2014 has not been a gold-en year; outlook looks bleak for the yellow metal

Updated -  Dec 22, 2014 11:30:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

Gold has been oscillating around the $1200 handle for a number of days now, but with a slightly bearish bias. Generally neither the bulls, nor the bears have been in full control of things. In fact, this statement can be applied for the whole of 2014: although gold has fluctuated quite a bit over the past 12 months, it is down only 3.5 per cent year to date currently. Gold has been held back this [...] Continue Reading

USD/JPY: Historic Recurrence at 120?

Updated -  Dec 22, 2014 10:57:06 AM By Neal Gilbert

North American markets are feeling a little rambunctious this morning as the hangover from the Federal Reserve’s altering their emphatic language from “considerable time” to “patience.” So far, this is being viewed as a slightly more hawkish stance from the venerable institution as equities have continued to climb, oil continues to fall, and the USD enjoys some more strength. However, as the market prepares to be more “patient” does that mean that they [...] Continue Reading

AUDUSD Plumbing New Depths, 5-Year Low in Sight

Updated -  Dec 22, 2014 8:25:00 AM By Matt Weller, CMT

Last week, we highlighted a crystal-clear bullish channel in GBPAUD and discussed the technical setup that suggested rates could rise to 1.9335 next (see “GBPAUD Peeking Out to a New 5-Year High – Could 1.94 Be Next?” for more). As it turns out, there’s a similarly strong bearish channel on the more widely-traded AUDUSD, suggesting that the beleaguered pair may soon revisit its 5-year low at .8070. The bearish channel began back in mid-November, [...] Continue Reading

EUR/USD bounces off key support, but further losses could be on the way

Updated -  Dec 22, 2014 7:00:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

The EUR/USD has started the new trading week on the front foot. Though there are a few data releases this week that may provide some direction for the world’s most heavily-traded FX pair, the main risk event will be the voting in the Greek Presidential election on 29th December. Should the government’s candidate for president is rejected then a general election will be called for early next year. This could be a particularly bad outcome [...] Continue Reading

NZDJPY: saved at the last minute

Updated -  Dec 21, 2014 5:41:09 PM By Chris Tedder

For those of you still keeping an eye on the market this week, an interesting pair to look at is NZDJPY. It goes without saying that vol. is expected to be light this week due to usual Christmas slump, but this can present some opportunities. It’s also worth noting trading in times of low vol. can be risky; moves can be exaggerated, the instances of phantom moves can increase and volatility is somewhat unpredictable. In [...] Continue Reading

AUD/NZD testing key support

Updated -  Dec 19, 2014 12:25:00 PM By Fawad Razaqzada

The AUD/NZD pair is pressing against a major support area after a 7-week sell-off. As can be seen on the weekly chart, below, this currency pair is hovering dangerously around the 1.05 handle – the low it had reached back in January. Slightly below this key level is the 2005 low at 1.0425. This makes the 1.0425-1.0500 range a key support area. Therefore a potential break below here may lead to follow-up technical selling which [...] Continue Reading

The dollar: a year in review

Updated -  Dec 19, 2014 10:10:00 AM By Kathleen Brooks

With only a couple of weeks left until the end of the year it is worth evaluating FX performance this year. As you can see in the chart below, the USD has been a stand-out performer in both the G10 and EM FX spaces. The gains in the buck have also been impressive, highlighting the momentum gained by the buck in recent months. Looking at the G10 space first, the sharpest sell off has [...] Continue Reading

DJIA: Santa rally well and truly underway

Updated -  Dec 19, 2014 7:34:54 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

US stock index futures are pointing to a slightly higher open on Wall Street today. On Wednesday, we reported that stocks could bounce back as the Fed prepared to deliver its last policy statement of the year. Not only were we expecting a slightly less hawkish tone from the Fed than was expected, but we were also wary of a technical bounce. Sure enough, the Fed did sound a little dovish as it  [...] Continue Reading

The BoJ holds firm

Updated -  Dec 19, 2014 1:51:45 AM By Chris Tedder

The Bank of Japan retained it plans to increase Japan’s monetary base by around 80 trillion yen a year as it grapples with stagnant inflation. It noted that exports have shown signs of improvement in recent months, which is an important avenue for growth. The market wasn’t expecting the BoJ to ease any further at today’s meeting. After all, it announced a massive new bout of stimulus in October which hasn’t had time to take [...] Continue Reading

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Disclaimer: The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient. Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warranty that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.

Futures, Options on Futures, Foreign Exchange and other leveraged products involves significant risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Increasing leverage increases risk. Spot Gold and Silver contracts are not subject to regulation under the U.S. Commodity Exchange Act. Contracts for Difference (CFDs) are not available for US residents. Before deciding to trade forex and commodity futures, you should carefully consider your financial objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained herein is intended as general information about the subject matter covered and is provided with the understanding that is not rendering investment, legal, or tax advice. You should consult with appropriate counsel or other advisors on all investment, legal, or tax matters. is regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) in the US, by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) in the UK, the Australian Securities and Investment Commission (ASIC) in Australia, the Financial Services Agency (FSA) in Japan, the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada (IIROC) in Canada and the Securities and Futures Commission of Hong Kong (SFC) in Hong Kong. Please read Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options.


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