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The dollar: a year in review

Updated -  Dec 19, 2014 10:10:00 AM By Kathleen Brooks

With only a couple of weeks left until the end of the year it is worth evaluating FX performance this year. As you can see in the chart below, the USD has been a stand-out performer in both the G10 and EM FX spaces. The gains in the buck have also been impressive, highlighting the momentum gained by the buck in recent months. Looking at the G10 space first, the sharpest sell off has [...] Continue Reading


DJIA: Santa rally well and truly underway

Updated -  Dec 19, 2014 7:34:54 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

US stock index futures are pointing to a slightly higher open on Wall Street today. On Wednesday, we reported that stocks could bounce back as the Fed prepared to deliver its last policy statement of the year. Not only were we expecting a slightly less hawkish tone from the Fed than was expected, but we were also wary of a technical bounce. Sure enough, the Fed did sound a little dovish as it  [...] Continue Reading


The BoJ holds firm

Updated -  Dec 19, 2014 1:51:45 AM By Chris Tedder

The Bank of Japan retained it plans to increase Japan’s monetary base by around 80 trillion yen a year as it grapples with stagnant inflation. It noted that exports have shown signs of improvement in recent months, which is an important avenue for growth. The market wasn’t expecting the BoJ to ease any further at today’s meeting. After all, it announced a massive new bout of stimulus in October which hasn’t had time to take [...] Continue Reading


GBPAUD Peeking Out to a New 5-Year High – Could 1.94 Be Next?

Updated -  Dec 18, 2014 1:40:00 PM By Matt Weller, CMT

As we wind down another thrilling year, there are no shortage of clear trends in the forex market, but one of our favorites is in GBPAUD. Though economic data has out of the UK has been mixed lately, the Australian dollar has been persistently battered by disappointing news out of Australia itself and China, the country’s biggest trading partner (see my colleague Chris Tedder’s note, “It has been a busy week for AUD, yet [...] Continue Reading


The calm after the storm: digesting this week’s major market moves

Updated -  Dec 18, 2014 10:10:00 AM By Kathleen Brooks

It’s become a bit of a tradition for investment banks and trading houses to give their “outrageous” predictions for the year ahead. Around about this time of year you see plenty of predictions that no one really expect to come true. This year I have seen everything from chocolate becoming the new caviar, to Iran flooding the oil markets and UKIP getting into power in the UK. However, events in financial markets over the last [...] Continue Reading


EURGBP: Euro Getting Pound-ed by Rival

Updated -  Dec 18, 2014 9:15:00 AM By Matt Weller, CMT

Even with the benefit of a full night’s rest, traders are still struggling to digest the Fed’s latest missive (see “Fed Instant Reaction Reaction: ‘Considerable’ Confusion” for more). Indeed, the only clear takeaway is that the central bank’s action will, as ever, be entirely dependent on incoming economic data. For equity traders, that was clearly enough, as US equities saw their best day of the year yesterday and are pointing to another strong open [...] Continue Reading


EURCHF: after the SNB, what next?

Updated -  Dec 18, 2014 7:50:00 AM By Kathleen Brooks

The SNB’s surprise move has capped off an eventful week for the markets. The swissie had come under renewed pressure in recent days, but the SNB’s latest move has moved EURCHF out of the danger zone. Read our explainer below, to find out more. What is the SNB doing? In a surprise move, on Thursday the SNB announced that it was cutting interest rates into negative territory. The SNB’s 3-month libor target rate [...] Continue Reading


Is AUDNZD heading below 1.0500?

Updated -  Dec 17, 2014 8:52:34 PM By Chris Tedder

It has been a horrendous couple of months for AUDNZD, with the pair falling from its highest level this year to its lowest level in 9 years. The ultimate commodity pairing is now testing a very important support zone between 1.0430 and 1.0500. The pair has never been lower than 1.0430, thus a break here would put it into uncharted territory and may precede a push towards parity. Will it get to 1.000? The [...] Continue Reading


NZ’s GDP numbers almost save the kiwi

Updated -  Dec 17, 2014 6:28:13 PM By Chris Tedder

The NZ economy is the standout economy this year with a predicted real growth rate of 3.5% y/y, which is considerably higher than any member of the G10. The only G10 economies to come even remotely close are the UK and Canada, with predicted growth rates of 3.0% and 2.4% respectively. NZ’s Q3 growth data was released today, and sure enough the numbers would be envy of other advanced economies. NZ’s economy grew a seasonally [...] Continue Reading


Fed Instant Reaction: “Considerable” Confusion

Updated -  Dec 17, 2014 3:00:00 PM By Matt Weller, CMT

In our Fed preview earlier this morning, we argued that the market’s reaction to today’s Federal Reserve statement could be a binary outcome dependent on just two words: considerable time (see “Fed Up with ‘Considerable Time’” for more). As it turned out, the Fed managed to avoid this binary outcome by moving (NOT removing) the “considerable time” pledge within the statement itself. Seemingly in attempt to satisfy both hawks and doves, the new statement [...] Continue Reading


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Disclaimer: The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient. Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warranty that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.

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