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Live Updates

Relief rally in AUD after Stevens’ speech

Updated -  Jul 22, 2014 12:51:18 AM By Chris Tedder

There was relief rally in the Australian dollar after RBA Governor Stevens failed to comment about the commodity currency or monetary policy during his speech in Sydney. We suggested this may happen in this morning’s report, but we still think the aussie is looking top heavy, especially if we see a weaker than expected set of inflation figures out of Australia tomorrow. In the meantime, we continue to think that AUDUSD may trade in a [...] Continue Reading

AUDUSD backed off an important short-term resistance zone around 0.9400, with investor sentiment faltering on geopolitical concerns in the absence of any major market moving economic data or events overnight. Investors are similarly cautious about weaker than expected Australian inflation numbers tomorrow which is contributing to the aussie’s fall. The market is also eagerly waiting for a speech by RBA Governor Stevens at the Anika Foundation Luncheon in Sydney at 1300AEST (0300GMT) today. Will [...] Continue Reading

EM Rundown: Geopolitics to Trump Data

Updated -  Jul 21, 2014 1:55:00 PM By Matt Weller

With no major economic data on the calendar and sunny summer weather beckoning outside, it almost feels as if traders are stretching the weekend out for another day before trading can start in earnest tomorrow. To wit, the EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD have been contained to sub-50 pip ranges, and even the Russian ruble, which has been the focus of the biggest fundamental developments today, has only fallen about 25 pips against the US dollar [...] Continue Reading

Crude oil stable following recent volatility

Updated -  Jul 21, 2014 1:00:00 PM By Fawad Razaqzada

Crude oil is stable following Friday’s sell-off. Last week,Brent found some support from the escalation of conflicts between Israel and Palestine, and as fears over further sanctions on Russia grew following the crash of the Malaysian Airlines plane in Eastern Ukraine. This week, geopolitical tensions are again likely to remain the main source of direction for oil prices. However the fact that there have been no further disruptions to the supply of oil despite the [...] Continue Reading

Fundamental round-up: Russian sanctions, more bark than bite

Updated -  Jul 21, 2014 11:35:00 AM By Kathleen Brooks

What a difference a week makes. After pro-Russian rebels shot down a civilian airliner in the Ukraine last week, the focus has shifted to geopolitical concerns and the prospect of mounting tensions between Russia and the rest of the developed world. The US, Australia, the UK and Germany have used strong language to pin the blame for the atrocity on Putin, however the EU has stopped short of following suit. EU Foreign ministers are [...] Continue Reading

Preparing for “Super Earnings Tuesday”

Updated -  Jul 21, 2014 9:30:00 AM By Kathleen Brooks

This Tuesday, 22nd July, the market will be waiting for 38 US companies to report earnings. This is the peak of earnings season and the outcome could be crucial for the direction of US stock markets over the coming weeks and months. To give you a flavour of the companies reporting, they include: We think that a few companies are worth watching closely in the next 24 hours: McDonald’s: This is blue chip company, [...] Continue Reading

USDMXN: What Does the Wedge Say?

Updated -  Jul 21, 2014 8:30:00 AM By Matt Weller

It’s been a particularly groggy start to the week with a complete data void and Japan out on holiday. The only meaningful data to come out of today’s European session was the release of German PPI, which did little to dispel deflationary fears by printing at 0.0% m/m vs. 0.1% expected. Unfortunately, this announcement had only a limited effect on the market as most currencies continue to consolidate within last week’s range. With no economic [...] Continue Reading

Gold’s love affair with Fibonacci

Updated -  Jul 21, 2014 6:30:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

Gold is one of the most difficult assets to analyse from a fundamental point of view. There are so many variables that affect its price that for some it becomes almost impossible to have a strong conviction about the trend at any one moment in time. What’s more, some of the well-known variables that affect its price work with varying degrees of success from time to time. For example, the record low interest rate environment [...] Continue Reading

GBPNZD’s big week may help determine near-term price action

Updated -  Jul 21, 2014 12:26:15 AM By Chris Tedder

It’s a big week for the GBP and the NZD with the release of the Bank of England’s (BoE) meeting from its policy meeting on July 10 and a monetary policy meeting at the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ), as well as the release of important economic data from both countries (eyes on UK GDP figures). Both central bank events are going to be crucial for their respective currencies. The market will be assessing [...] Continue Reading

EURJPY: Risk Aversion Selling May Target 2014 Lows Next Week

Updated -  Jul 18, 2014 2:45:00 PM By Matt Weller

Traders the world over have been stymied by the euro’s resilience over the past two months. Despite a package of unprecedented easing programs from the ECB (not to mention the potential for outright quantitative easing if economic data continues to deteriorate), the world’s most widely-traded currency pair, EURUSD, has stubbornly held in the 1.3500-1.3700 range. If we look beyond just the EURUSD though, there are signs that the long-awaited euro weakness may be just around [...] Continue Reading

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Disclaimer: The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient. Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warranty that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.

Futures, Options on Futures, Foreign Exchange and other leveraged products involves significant risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Increasing leverage increases risk. Spot Gold and Silver contracts are not subject to regulation under the U.S. Commodity Exchange Act. Contracts for Difference (CFDs) are not available for US residents. Before deciding to trade forex and commodity futures, you should carefully consider your financial objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained herein is intended as general information about the subject matter covered and is provided with the understanding that is not rendering investment, legal, or tax advice. You should consult with appropriate counsel or other advisors on all investment, legal, or tax matters. is regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) in the US, by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) in the UK, the Australian Securities and Investment Commission (ASIC) in Australia, the Financial Services Agency (FSA) in Japan, the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada (IIROC) in Canada and the Securities and Futures Commission of Hong Kong (SFC) in Hong Kong. Please read Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options.


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