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Live Updates

Stocks: resumption of new bearish or exiting long-term bullish trend?

Updated -  Oct 22, 2014 7:20:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

European stocks are trading a touch lower. Following such a sharp rally yesterday, a little bit of profit-taking should not come as a major surprise. But is it just “profit-taking” that we are witnessing today or the resumption of the longer term downward trend? Obviously no one knows the answer to that but we will probably have a better idea by the close of play. Let me explain. When major trends change, the retracements typically [...] Continue Reading

Softer inflation gives the RBA room to maintain loose policy

Updated -  Oct 21, 2014 10:25:12 PM By Chris Tedder

A drop in inflation in Australia has provided the Reserve Bank of Australia with more room to leave interest rates at lows levels for an extended period of time. Consumer prices rose 0.5% q/q last quarter, bringing year-on-year growth to 2.3%. This is slightly better than an expected increase of 0.4% q/q and a headline rate of inflation of 2.25%. Overall inflation now sits at its lowest level since Q3 last year as prices [...] Continue Reading

North American Wrap: What Downtrend?

Updated -  Oct 21, 2014 3:44:18 PM By Neal Gilbert

What Downtrend? North American markets were all in a tizzy last week as it seemed everything was crashing down around us simultaneously. Ebola was scary, ISIL was belligerent, Oil was bottoming out, and US data was missing expectations. RUN! Well, nary a week later, markets have rebounded from the lows and everyone seems to be a little more calm and levelheaded as volatility has subsided and the S&P500 has finished green for four straight [...] Continue Reading

Did Last Week Mark the Near-Term Panic Low in the DJIA?

Updated -  Oct 21, 2014 1:50:00 PM By Matt Weller, CMT

According to Web MD, some of the symptoms of panic attacks include “a racing heart, a sense of terror, and feeling unreal or detached from your surroundings” among others. While not nearly as serious as an actual panic attack, last week’s stock market rollercoaster likely caused most traders to display some of these symptoms last week. At one point last week, the widely-followed Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) index had fallen over 600 points in [...] Continue Reading

Silver: temporary respite or start of a recovery?

Updated -  Oct 21, 2014 12:55:00 PM By Fawad Razaqzada

Given the strong recovery in the stock markets and the firmer dollar, precious metals are holding up remarkably well today. Yesterday we looked at gold, which was chipping away at the key $1240/5 resistance area. Today, the yellow metal has continued to push higher and is currently holding above its 50-day moving average, which is another bullish development. Silver has risen in gold’s slipstream and is likewise not reacting negatively to the rallying stocks [...] Continue Reading

USD/CHF: Approaching Confluence

Updated -  Oct 21, 2014 10:51:06 AM By Neal Gilbert

Markets are in a bit of a better mood this morning as virtually all of the major equity indexes around the world either closed in the green or are currently levitating healthily in that area with the lone exception being the Japanese Nikkei index that closed down over 2%. The impetus for the Nikkei fall was likely due to the Chinese GDP release that was actually better than consensus, but was still the worst result [...] Continue Reading

NZDUSD: All Eyes on .8000

Updated -  Oct 21, 2014 8:30:00 AM By Matt Weller, CMT

As my colleague Chris Tedder noted earlier today, the big news in today’s Asian session was undoubtedly China’s quarterly data dump. The marquee GDP report came out 0.1% better than expected at 7.3% y/y, but this reading still represents a 5-year low for growth in the world’s second-largest economy. However, Industrial Production came out surprisingly strong at 8.0% y/y vs. 7.5% eyed and 6.9% last quarter, suggesting that demand for exports from the Middle [...] Continue Reading

EUR/USD drops on ECB bond buying report, downward trend may have resumed

Updated -  Oct 21, 2014 7:30:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

The EUR/USD has dropped sharply in the past hour or so and is in danger of resuming its long-term downward trend. Not only has it come under pressure from technical selling, but there’s also some fundamental news behind this latest move. According to a Reuters report, which cites “several sources familiar with the situation”, the European Central Bank is considering buying corporate bonds on the secondary market. The report suggests the ECB may decide on [...] Continue Reading

China Q3 GDP beats expectations, hits 5-yr low

Updated -  Oct 20, 2014 11:39:42 PM By Chris Tedder

China’s economic growth decelerated to its lowest level in five years last quarter, dragged down by a softening property market. Today’s numbers increase the likelihood that Beijing will do even more to support economic growth but it may not result in the mass easing that the market is hoping for, at least not yet. Despite the fact that China’s economy grew at its slowest pace since the height of the global financial crisis, Beijing appears [...] Continue Reading

AUDUSD levels to watch ahead of the RBA and China GDP

Updated -  Oct 20, 2014 7:34:14 PM By Chris Tedder

It’s going to be a big day for the Australian dollar as investors digest the RBA’s latest meeting minutes and Chinese GDP numbers. The former is expected to show that the RBA remains firmly in wait-and-see mode, while the latter is expected to show that the economy expanded around 7.2% y/y last quarter. Both of these events have the potential to move the Australian dollar for better or worse – keep an eye on possible [...] Continue Reading

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Disclaimer: The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient. Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warranty that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.

Futures, Options on Futures, Foreign Exchange and other leveraged products involves significant risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Increasing leverage increases risk. Spot Gold and Silver contracts are not subject to regulation under the U.S. Commodity Exchange Act. Contracts for Difference (CFDs) are not available for US residents. Before deciding to trade forex and commodity futures, you should carefully consider your financial objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained herein is intended as general information about the subject matter covered and is provided with the understanding that is not rendering investment, legal, or tax advice. You should consult with appropriate counsel or other advisors on all investment, legal, or tax matters. is regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) in the US, by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) in the UK, the Australian Securities and Investment Commission (ASIC) in Australia, the Financial Services Agency (FSA) in Japan, the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada (IIROC) in Canada and the Securities and Futures Commission of Hong Kong (SFC) in Hong Kong. Please read Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options.


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