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The S&P 500 looks set to open lower today. Given that this morning’s earnings results have been mostly better than expected and the fact that there was some mixed-bag data from Asia and Europe overnight, the weakness can at least be partly blamed on profit-taking. Indeed with shares on Wall Street rallying in each of the last six trading days, the odds for a pullback of some sort is correspondingly increasing each day. Also weighing [...] Continue Reading


USD/CNH Reaches New 14-Month Highs as Rally Continues Unabated

Updated -  Apr 23, 2014 8:40:00 AM By Matt Weller

In today’s Asian session, traders got their first glimpse into how the world’s second-largest economy has been performing in April. To wit, China’s HSBC Flash Manufacturing PMI figure came in at 48.3, painting the same subdued picture that it has for the past few months. China bulls may take solace in the fact that this was the first time the measure has improved since back in October 2013, but traders will want to see if [...] Continue Reading


USDJPY weakness: could it hurt other markets?

Updated -  Apr 23, 2014 8:00:00 AM By Kathleen Brooks

This morning USDJPY has come under pressure, and has fallen below its 50-day moving average at 102.38. This is another set-back in USDJPY’s recovery, and suggests that the recent rally was half-hearted at best since the bulls could not push this pair above a key resistance level at 102.48 – the base of the daily cloud. Below the cloud suggests a technical downtrend. Inter-market relationships So what is weighing on the USD? Economic [...] Continue Reading


The RBA can breathe a sigh of relief

Updated -  Apr 23, 2014 12:16:16 AM By Chris Tedder

It turns out that inflation in Australia isn’t running as hot as the market had previously anticipated, which is good news for the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). The RBA has made it very clear that it prefers to remain on the sidelines in the near-term and let prior easing find its way into the real economy. Another very strong inflation reading for last quarter (Q4 inflation rose 0.8%) would have cast doubt over the [...] Continue Reading


The RBNZ is preparing for back-to-back interest rate hikes

Updated -  Apr 22, 2014 8:13:12 PM By Chris Tedder

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) is widely expected to follow up last month’s hike in the official cash rate (OCR) with another rate hike this Thursday (0900 NZST). Swap markets are pricing in around a 97% chance that the RBNZ will raise the OCR by 25 bps to 3.00%, despite less than impressive inflation data for last quarter and falling dairy prices. Consumer prices rose a measly 0.3% q/q last quarter, missing an [...] Continue Reading


EURGBP may test 2014 low on the back of key data & events this week

Updated -  Apr 22, 2014 4:35:00 PM By Chris Tevere, CMT

EURGBP has come back onto our radar after failing repeatedly into the 100-day sma earlier in April and then more recently breaking below its prior low around 0.8230. What’s more, should 0.82 the figure give way, it could lead to a retest of the key 0.8160/70 zone which sees a convergence of the 2014 low, 61.8% retracement of 2012-13 advance & the October 2012 high. This, combined with a few noteworthy economic data/events due out later [...] Continue Reading


USD/CAD: The Long View Remains Bullish

Updated -  Apr 22, 2014 2:15:00 PM By Matt Weller

When market volatility dies down, it’s often worthwhile to take a step back and look at the long-term trends, rather than getting bogged down in tiny 20-pip swings. With its recent lackluster price action, the USD/CAD provides the perfect case study to put that perspective into action. The USD/CAD has been trapped within a meaningless 40-pip range just above 1.1000 thus far this week, but by taking a look at the last few years of [...] Continue Reading


NZDUSD sees another Positive Reversal pattern…Key pivot 0.8625

Updated -  Apr 22, 2014 1:30:00 PM By Chris Tevere, CMT

Nearly two weeks ago we stated that “Kiwi continued to advance this week and overnight it ended up achieving our noted positive reversal objective at 0.8687. Accordingly, with the objective attained and little to propel NZDUSD in the near-term, we’re sidelined…That being said, for those of you who are more courageous, there are a few technical signs beginning to emerge which suggest NZDUSD may see another short-term correction back lower”. Sure enough, NZDUSD corrected nearly [...] Continue Reading


Commodities tumble as investors pile into equities

Updated -  Apr 22, 2014 12:30:00 PM By Fawad Razaqzada

Precious metals and crude oil prices are lower today, with gold falling 1% and WTI shedding 1.7%. Although the crisis in Ukraine is far from over, Thursday’s agreement between Russia and the West to end the violence in eastern parts of Ukraine is a step in the right direction. Some of the investors who had bought gold and oil in anticipation that the situation there would get worse are probably now unwinding those positions. Traders [...] Continue Reading


Is the FTSE about to stage a more meaningful rally?

Updated -  Apr 22, 2014 9:00:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

The FTSE has risen after the Easter holiday and is tracking Monday’s gains is the US where the S&P 500 achieved its first five-day winning streak since October. With the lack of economic data, and no fresh news regarding Ukraine, all the focus is on individual companies. Sentiment is boosted, above all, by the generally positive US first quarter earnings results. Last week banking giants Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley were among the companies whose [...] Continue Reading


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Disclaimer: The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient. Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warranty that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.

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