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Live Updates

DAX – Inverted H&S pattern could lead to a test of 2014 high

Updated -  Apr 24, 2014 5:25:00 PM By Chris Tevere, CMT

• Has been trading in an Inverted Head & Shoulder throughout 2014• Found support in mid-March into the 38.2% retracement of advance• Broke above daily Ichimoku Cloud top at 9405 & gapped higher• Closed the gap higher earlier today• This was coincided by finding support into the 100-day sma• Inverted H&S neckline resides near 9700• Distance between the Head and the neckline is 800pts• Watch for potential daily [...] Continue Reading

USDMXN – Banxico rate decision tomorrow, could test key 13.1500 resistance

Updated -  Apr 24, 2014 2:15:00 PM By Chris Tevere, CMT

Towards the beginning of April USDMXN found support into the 12.96/9700 level, which saw the 38.2% retracement of the 2013-14 advance & the prior 2014 low, and has since rebounded to settle comfortably back above the psychological 13.0000 level – This has also been aided by poor economic data out of Mexico: • March CPI: 3.76% vs exp. 3.79% y/y, but down significantly from 4.23% in Feb.• Feb. Industrial Production: +0.7% vs. consensus +1.0% [...] Continue Reading

GBP/USD: Why Bulls Need to See a Close Above 1.6820 Soon

Updated -  Apr 24, 2014 2:05:00 PM By Matt Weller

While we’ve seen elevated volatility in some of the commodity dollars this week, trade in the European currencies has been surprisingly subdued. My colleague Kathleen Brooks discussed the current 7-year low in EUR/USD volatility earlier today, but we are also keeping a close eye on the GBP/USD. Cable has only seen a 78-pip range thus far this week; if that range holds through tomorrow’s close, it would mark the smallest weekly range, including gaps, [...] Continue Reading

Gold jumps but 200-day average limiting the upside – for now

Updated -  Apr 24, 2014 12:50:00 PM By Fawad Razaqzada

Gold prices were trading sharply lower first thing this morning as investors again showed a greater appetite for equities over the safe-haven metals after earnings results from Apple and Facebook both came in much better than expected last night. However, a sharp reversal followed in the afternoon which saw both gold and silver prices swing into the positive territory. It is difficult to pinpoint exactly what caused this reaction. Although some would point to news [...] Continue Reading

NASDAQ: what bubble?

Updated -  Apr 24, 2014 10:10:00 AM By Kathleen Brooks

Earlier this month it looked like stocks were about to hit the skids on the backs of fears about a bubble, particularly in the technology sector. However, in the last 24 hours the view has changed markedly. Both Facebook and Apple announced monster profits. Facebook saw revenues increase by a whopping 72% and daily users of Facebook rose to 802 million, with a 40% jump in mobile users. Apple also surprised the naysayers and reported [...] Continue Reading

USD/ZAR: Is the Recent Bounce Just Another "False Dawn" for Bulls?

Updated -  Apr 24, 2014 8:40:00 AM By Matt Weller

Two weeks ago, we highlighted the potential for a bottom to form near 10.35 on USD/ZAR (see “USD/ZAR: Could This Be a Near-Term Bottom?” for more). As it turned out, the pair did find floor near the highlighted level, and rates have since rallied back up to test the 10.60 level. That said, a much more important technical test looms before traders can shift back to an outright bullish bias. Yesterday, investors got [...] Continue Reading

US crude oil fundamentals point to lower prices

Updated -  Apr 24, 2014 8:20:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

The price of crude remains supported almost entirely by concerns over geopolitical tensions in Ukraine and Libya. After all, one would have expected oil prices to be much lower than they actually are given the excessive supply of US oil and weaker demand. Nine months of blockages at oilfields and export terminals by armed rebels has seen Libya’s crude output reduce to about 220,000 barrels per day from 1.4 million bpd before the troubles began [...] Continue Reading

EUR steady after volatility drops to a multi-year low

Updated -  Apr 24, 2014 6:30:00 AM By Kathleen Brooks

The FX market has failed to grab the headlines of late as stocks and earnings season hog the limelight. However, some interesting developments are taking place that are worth noting. In EURUSD two key things are worth pointing out: Why the drop in volatility? There could be two reasons for this: 1, the sovereign debt crisis is considered over by the markets, which has reduced expectations of a dramatic sell off in [...] Continue Reading

Technical update: Is AUDCAD running out of steam?

Updated -  Apr 24, 2014 2:04:14 AM By Chris Tedder

AUDCAD has been in a broad upward trend all year but this may be about to come to an end. There are some technical signs that the pair may be running on fumes. There has been a bearish crossover in daily MACD, the pair is looking oversold on a weekly chart and there is a potential bearish divergence between price action and daily RSI. In saying that, it may be too early to get overly [...] Continue Reading

AUDNZD gets hit by Australia’s CPI data and a rate hike by the RBNZ

Updated -  Apr 23, 2014 7:29:01 PM By Chris Tedder

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) raised the official cash rate by 25 bps to 3.00% as expected. The bank was unfazed by lower than expected inflation in Q1 and falling dairy prices over the last couple of months, as we suspected it would be. Over the medium-term inflation remains an issue for the RBNZ, with non-tradeables inflation gathering momentum and tradeables inflation only being held down by a strong exchange rate which the [...] Continue Reading

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Disclaimer: The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient. Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warranty that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.

Futures, Options on Futures, Foreign Exchange and other leveraged products involves significant risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Increasing leverage increases risk. Spot Gold and Silver contracts are not subject to regulation under the U.S. Commodity Exchange Act. Contracts for Difference (CFDs) are not available for US residents. Before deciding to trade forex and commodity futures, you should carefully consider your financial objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained herein is intended as general information about the subject matter covered and is provided with the understanding that is not rendering investment, legal, or tax advice. You should consult with appropriate counsel or other advisors on all investment, legal, or tax matters. is regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) in the US, by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) in the UK, the Australian Securities and Investment Commission (ASIC) in Australia, the Financial Services Agency (FSA) in Japan, the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada (IIROC) in Canada and the Securities and Futures Commission of Hong Kong (SFC) in Hong Kong. Please read Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options.


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