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Live Updates

China’s potential growth dilemma

Updated -  Apr 16, 2014 12:44:42 AM By Chris Tedder

A slew of high-profile economic figures were released from China today, with mixed results. China’s GDP growth slowed sharply in Q1, falling to its lowest level in six quarters. Yet, the world’s second largest economy grew slightly more than the market was expecting at 7.4% y/y (expected 7.3%, prior 7.7%), but below Beijing’s annual growth target of 7.5%. The market is asking: is today’s data going to prompt policy makers to boost stimulus or [...] Continue Reading

The kiwi took a battering after NZ’s Q1 inflation data missed estimates. Consumer prices rose 0.3% q/q, less than an expected 0.5% increase (prior 0.1%), which casts some doubt over the market’s assumptions about the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s (RBNZ) tightening cycle. The market is pricing in some fairly aggressive monetary policy tightening from the RBNZ in the next couple of years, underpinned by predicted strong growth and inflation. While today’s figures aren’t [...] Continue Reading

North American Wrap-up: The Ukraine Fade

Updated -  Apr 15, 2014 4:26:02 PM By Neal Gilbert

The Ukraine Fade North American markets started out on the right foot today, but were quickly swept off it due to escalating tensions in eastern Ukraine. While markets have been largely ignoring the situation in Russia’s former province since Crimea was annexed, the actions of today refused to be ignored. For those who missed it, Ukrainian military forces ousted Russian supporters from government buildings and airports conspicuously close to the border with their larger neighbor, [...] Continue Reading

Signs of a Bullish Turn in GBP/AUD?

Updated -  Apr 15, 2014 1:50:00 PM By Matt Weller

Nearly a month ago, we highlighted the uncanny convergence of multiple bearish technical signals (see “GBP/AUD: Six Technical Signs of a Longer-Term Top” for more). Since then, the GBP/AUD has collapsed around 400 pips, and though we still haven’t reached the intermediate target near 1.7600, there is a growing body of technical evidence that suggests the pair may have seen a near-term bottom. First, and perhaps most importantly, rates have broken above the bearish [...] Continue Reading

This strange new world of risk aversion

Updated -  Apr 15, 2014 12:30:00 PM By Kathleen Brooks

Tuesday saw some interesting price action; European stocks fell sharply on the back of a few factors and were led lower by Italy’s FTSE MIB, which fell more than 2%. However, at the same time as Italian stocks were being sold sharply, investors were buying Italian bonds and 10-year GBT yields actually fell. As you can see in the chart below, the FTSE MIB (white line) usually moves in the opposite direction to bond [...] Continue Reading

Gold off lows as key support holds – for now

Updated -  Apr 15, 2014 11:00:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

It is difficult to pinpoint what exactly caused today’s sharp sell-off in gold prices but it has been partly due to the earlier rally in equity markets. On top of this, the dollar extended its gains after yesterday’s publication of the US retail sales number which showed a healthy increase of 1.1% in March. The sell-off has been exacerbated by the fact the metal was unable to hold its own above key $1315 support level [...] Continue Reading

NZD/USD Bulls Growing Weary at 3-Year Highs

Updated -  Apr 15, 2014 8:15:00 AM By Matt Weller

Since bottoming at .8050 in early February, the NZD/USD has formed one of the strongest trends in the currency market. Just last week, rates ticked above the .8700 handle for the first time since July 2011, though the pair was unable to finish the week above that level. Now, in the midst of a likely quiet pre-holiday trading week, technical signs suggest the bulls are growing weary and the bears may now have their time [...] Continue Reading

FTSE in focus ahead of Chinese data; US earnings kick into higher gear

Updated -  Apr 15, 2014 8:00:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

Yesterday saw the global stock markets make a reversal as better-than-expected US retail sales and Citigroup’s first quarter earnings results offset concerns over Ukraine where the crisis continues to escalate. The prospects of further stimulus from the ECB have also soothed the nerves after Mario Draghi stepped up his verbal intervention over the weekend by suggesting some sort of non-standard policy measures such as quantitative easing could be unleashed if the euro continued to appreciate [...] Continue Reading

CPI plays second fiddle to wage data

Updated -  Apr 15, 2014 5:55:00 AM By Kathleen Brooks

Consumer prices for March fell back to 1.6% from 1.7%, as the market expected, which is the lowest level of price growth since 2009. The key driver of weaker prices was motor fuel. If you felt that you left the forecourt with a slightly heavier wallet than you expected, you weren’t imaging things – petrol prices remained unchanged between February and March this year, which compares with a 2.2p per litre increase a year ago. [...] Continue Reading

The RBA has its eyes on the labour market and the Aussie

Updated -  Apr 15, 2014 1:27:54 AM By Chris Tedder

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) reiterated in the minutes from its policy meeting earlier this month that the most prudent course was likely to be a period of stability in interest rates. At the meeting the bank left the official cash rate at a record low 2.5%. The minutes indicate the bank remains concerned about the health of Australia’s labour market, even after February’s strong employment report. February’s shock employment report wasn’t a [...] Continue Reading

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Disclaimer: The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient. Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warranty that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.

Futures, Options on Futures, Foreign Exchange and other leveraged products involves significant risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Increasing leverage increases risk. Spot Gold and Silver contracts are not subject to regulation under the U.S. Commodity Exchange Act. Contracts for Difference (CFDs) are not available for US residents. Before deciding to trade forex and commodity futures, you should carefully consider your financial objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained herein is intended as general information about the subject matter covered and is provided with the understanding that is not rendering investment, legal, or tax advice. You should consult with appropriate counsel or other advisors on all investment, legal, or tax matters. is regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) in the US, by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) in the UK, the Australian Securities and Investment Commission (ASIC) in Australia, the Financial Services Agency (FSA) in Japan, the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada (IIROC) in Canada and the Securities and Futures Commission of Hong Kong (SFC) in Hong Kong. Please read Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options.


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