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AUDJPY: the party may be over

Updated -  Feb 26, 2015 10:31:51 PM By Chris Tedder

It has been a busy day in Asia after even busier sessions in North America and Europe. There has been a deluge of economic data from Japan, as well as some important moves in the FX market. This helped to push AUDJPY away from a key resistance zone around the top of its long-term downward channel. The aussie is back on the back foot today as investors price-in a greater chance of monetary policy [...] Continue Reading

EURJPY: Still Trapped in Triangle

Updated -  Feb 26, 2015 3:20:45 PM By Neal Gilbert

The latter half of the North American trading session was much less thrilling than the first as the USD pwned everything else to start the day only to settle down substantially to end it. As much as the USD gained against everything, it seemed like the EUR lost just as much vs. the majors; the EUR/USD being the prime example. However, the EUR/JPY, which has been trapped in a triangle pattern similar to [...] Continue Reading

GBPUSD: Bulls on the Run After Failing to Hold Break Above Key 1.5480 Level

Updated -  Feb 26, 2015 3:05:00 PM By Matt Weller, CMT

Over the last few weeks, there’s been plenty of volatility in stock, bond and commodity markets, but for the most part, currencies stubbornly stayed within their recent ranges. That all changed this morning, when just a modest beat on US Core CPI reinvigorated dollar bulls and led to a big breakout in the dollar index (see this morning’s report, “Could the Dollar Index Join the Century Club?” for more). This morning’s big move in [...] Continue Reading

IBEX: Spanish bulls raging through bear territory

Updated -  Feb 26, 2015 12:25:00 PM By Fawad Razaqzada

It has been an interesting day in the markets as stocks and the dollar rallied, European benchmark government bond yields hit fresh record lows and the euro dropped to 1.1200. The single currency’s drop follows its failure to move noticeably higher after Greece’s bailout programme was extended. It was thus only a matter of time before the sellers would return to take advantage of the interest rate differential between the Eurozone and the [...] Continue Reading

EURUSD: Beware the Bounce!

Updated -  Feb 26, 2015 10:15:39 AM By Neal Gilbert

The early portion of the North American trading session has been quite exhilarating thus far with a bevy of inflationary indicators suggesting that our worst fears aren’t a reality in both the US and Canada. Core Consumer Price Indexes in both nations were better than anticipated which gave both the USD and the CAD a boost against all of the other major currencies; none more so than the EUR/USD which FINALLY broke through major support [...] Continue Reading

USD: Could the Dollar Index Join the Century Club?

Updated -  Feb 26, 2015 9:10:00 AM By Matt Weller, CMT

It’s been a busy morning for US dollar traders, with an onslaught of data releases all hitting at 8:30 ET. In probably the most important report, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) fell by -0.7%, more than the 0.6% that traders and economists had been expecting. However, the Core CPI figure, which filters out volatile energy and food prices, actually came in above expectations at 0.2%. Given the Federal Reserve’s repeated comments that the fall in [...] Continue Reading

NZD/USD: could US CPI crush expectations and the Kiwi?

Updated -  Feb 26, 2015 7:00:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

Today’s US Consumer Price Index reading at 13:30 GMT will be closely watched by market participants. The headline CPI figure is expected to show a reading of -0.6% for January, which, if correct, would move the year-on-year rate to just below zero and thus into deflation. The core CPI however is seen edging up 0.1% month-over-month after a flat reading in December. This would leave the year-over-year CPI steady at 1.6%. If the actual numbers [...] Continue Reading

AUD tanks as soft CAPEX data weighs on the rate outlook

Updated -  Feb 25, 2015 9:23:48 PM By Chris Tedder

The Australian dollar is taking a hammering in Asia on the back of soft capital expenditure figures from the private sector. The figures are disappointing enough to tip the scales back in favour of further monetary policy loosening from the RBA next week. Prior to the data the OIS market appeared to be pricing in around a 40% chance of an interest rate cut next week, but that has jumped to just over 50% at [...] Continue Reading

Australia’s CAPEX data to help guide the RBA’s decision next week

Updated -  Feb 25, 2015 6:19:40 PM By Chris Tedder

Australia is set to release private capital expenditure figures for last quarter at 1130AEST (0030GMT) today. The data will help the market determine whether the Reserve Bank of Australia will cut interest rates at its monetary policy meeting on Tuesday. At present, OIS pricing indicates that there’s around a 40% chance that the bank will lob another 25bps off the official cash rate, which is down from an over 70% chance just a couple of [...] Continue Reading

AUS200: Still Going…

Updated -  Feb 25, 2015 3:44:23 PM By Neal Gilbert

The North American trading session was largely an uneventful walk down Wall Street as the recent run of ever advancing equities continued for an 11th straight day, but then came the end of the day. What started out as a boring day in the green ended in slight red or virtually unchanged as stocks fell in the last hour of trading. Leading in to that though, Federal Reserve Chairwoman Janet Yellen’s testimony before Congress failed [...] Continue Reading

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Disclaimer: The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient. Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warranty that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.

Futures, Options on Futures, Foreign Exchange and other leveraged products involves significant risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Increasing leverage increases risk. Spot Gold and Silver contracts are not subject to regulation under the U.S. Commodity Exchange Act. Contracts for Difference (CFDs) are not available for US residents. Before deciding to trade forex and commodity futures, you should carefully consider your financial objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained herein is intended as general information about the subject matter covered and is provided with the understanding that is not rendering investment, legal, or tax advice. You should consult with appropriate counsel or other advisors on all investment, legal, or tax matters. is regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) in the US, by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) in the UK, the Australian Securities and Investment Commission (ASIC) in Australia, the Financial Services Agency (FSA) in Japan, the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada (IIROC) in Canada and the Securities and Futures Commission of Hong Kong (SFC) in Hong Kong. Please read Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options.


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