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Live Updates

Japan is dangerously close to deflationary territory

Updated -  Mar 27, 2015 12:30:25 AM By Chris Tedder

Core consumer price growth hit 0% during February in Japan once the effects of a higher sales tax are taken out. Headline consumer prices rose 2.2% y/y as expected but the core CPI rose 2.0% y/y, missing an expected 2.1% increase and slower than a 2.2% gain January (the BoJ estimates that a higher consumption tax adds around 2.0% to core inflation). Falling oil prices and lacklustre domestic demand are the main reasons for [...] Continue Reading


GBPUSD: Breaking the Ascending Triangle

Updated -  Mar 26, 2015 3:51:01 PM By Neal Gilbert

The second half of North American trade was notably more somber this afternoon as the world became aware of the events leading up to the Germanwings plane crash earlier this week. While financially important events, like speeches by central bankers, were happening, they all seemed to fade in to the background as more important societal elements were the main topic of discussion. Amidst all this contemplation of human depravity, US equity markets maintained their early [...] Continue Reading


Has the EUR/USD’s downtrend resumed?

Updated -  Mar 26, 2015 1:25:00 PM By Fawad Razaqzada

You may have seen a couple of tweets from us on the EUR/USD currency pair, highlighting the false breakout above the 1.1040 handle earlier today. As this could turn out to be a significant reversal in the trend, we thought we should send out a quick note with a chart to put some more colour behind this potentially bearish setup. My colleague Neal Gilbert has already covered the fundamental drivers of the USD in his [...] Continue Reading


USDCAD: Bottom Range Feeding

Updated -  Mar 26, 2015 11:43:26 AM By Neal Gilbert

The North American morning has been a little different than the past couple days in a variety of ways as equity markets are down, but rallying heading in to lunch and the USD is performing admirably after relinquishing more ground in European trade. Helping the US case is the fact that a majority of US data releases were pretty positive as Weekly Initial Jobless Claims and Markit Flash Services & Composite PMIs beat consensus expectations.  [...] Continue Reading


How strong is the relationship between the dollar and commodities?

Updated -  Mar 26, 2015 11:20:00 AM By Kathleen Brooks

The dollar and its relationship with commodities has been talked about a lot recently. The sharp dollar increase in the second half of the year was blamed for the large sell off in the price of oil and other commodities, now that the dollar has given back some of its recent gains, the dollar sell-off is being seen as a contributing factor to the increase in the oil price. However, it is never as [...] Continue Reading


Stocks: Wall Street set for another weaker open

Updated -  Mar 26, 2015 8:00:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

US stock index futures point to a weaker open on Wall Street today. Following the near 300-point drop yesterday, the Dow is currently another 120 points worse off at 17600. Sentiment has been hit by the increased military action in Yemen. Although Yemen itself plays no major role in the financial markets, this is yet another Middle Eastern nation to fall in the hands of the rebels. Significantly, the Houthis are Shia rebels and they [...] Continue Reading


USDJPY: as the dollar sells off, watch the cloud

Updated -  Mar 26, 2015 5:30:00 AM By Kathleen Brooks

It looks like a combination of weaker US economic data; tensions in the Middle East and a sharp decline in the dollar index have started to bite USDJPY, which has fallen below 118.50 on Thursday. It is also coming up to fiscal year end in Japan, which can have a positive impact on the yen. Key support ahead The biggest short –term risk to this pair from a technical perspective is a break [...] Continue Reading


Oil jumps as Saudi Arabia bombs Yemen

Updated -  Mar 26, 2015 12:42:31 AM By Chris Tedder

The price of oil has shot higher in Asia as Saudi Arabia and its allies began bombing targets in Yemen. Brent crude almost hit 60 and WTI smashed resistance around 50.00 and briefly hit 52.00, but both began to pullback late in the Asia session. Initially, the market was concerned about possible supply disruptions and the possibility of the conflict spreading throughout the Middle East, but some of these fears were eased when Asian importers [...] Continue Reading


USDJPY: decision time…

Updated -  Mar 25, 2015 9:50:35 PM By Chris Tedder

It has been an interesting month for USDJPY, with the pair bouncing off a key resistance zone just above 122.00 before sliding towards channel support. It’s now decision time for USDJPY; a break here could spark a larger sell-off. Is this the end of its upward trend? There are some technical signals that may highlight some underlying weakness in price. There is a bearish divergence between price and RSI and there was recently a [...] Continue Reading


Silver: key hurdles looming for shiny metal

Updated -  Mar 25, 2015 2:00:00 PM By Fawad Razaqzada

Silver has enjoyed a generous eleven per cent rally from its low this month. The grey precious metal has even outperformed gold, which has climbed by about 5 per cent from its base. Silver has obviously risen from a lower base which is why it appears to have done better in percentage terms. Unlike gold, silver has a dual role as a precious metal and also an industrial material. This makes silver more appealing when [...] Continue Reading


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Disclaimer: The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient. Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warranty that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.

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