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Golden times ahead for the yellow precious metal?

Updated -  Oct 13, 2015 12:50:00 PM By Fawad Razaqzada

Unlike crude oil, gold has been able to hold its own pretty well so far this week. At the time of this writing on Tuesday evening, the precious metal was trading around $1165 per troy ounce after recovering its earlier losses. It was thus 5 bucks shy of the key short-term resistance and August high at $1170. The precious metal is continuing to benefit from the weakness in US dollar and safe haven buying due [...] Continue Reading

GBP/CHF: Sterling pounded as UK slips into deflation again

Updated -  Oct 13, 2015 7:45:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

The pound has fallen across the board on disappointment the UK has slipped back into deflation for the second time this year, pushing investors’ expectations about an interest rate rise further out. The Office for National Statistics (ONS) reported that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) measure of inflation fell to -0.1 per cent in September compared to a year-earlier period. This surprised analysts who had expected the CPI to remain flat at 0 per cent. [...] Continue Reading

AUD/USD in focus as traders await key data

Updated -  Oct 12, 2015 12:35:00 PM By Fawad Razaqzada

The AUD/USD has managed to recoup more than 450 pips after hitting a low of about 0.6905 in September. It has been supported by three main factors: (1) a general depreciation of the US dollar after the Federal Reserve refused to hike interest rates in September and the subsequent deterioration in US data; (2) the Reserve Bank of Australia dropping its verbal intervention on the Aussie and (3) a rally across some of the key [...] Continue Reading

EUR/USD poised for a rally?

Updated -  Oct 12, 2015 7:15:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

Understandably, it has been a quiet session in the FX markets so far today due to the holidays in Japan, the US and Canada, and the lack of any major European economic data. Last week was a bad one for Eurozone data, most notably Germany, so this week’s numbers will probably garner more attention than usual. Amid the lack of any noticeable economic growth so far, there have been suggestions that the European Central Bank [...] Continue Reading

Crude oil prices gushing higher

Updated -  Oct 9, 2015 6:30:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

WTI crude oil prices surged higher at the start of the week before falling slightly on Wednesday on the back the latest weekly EIA crude oil stocks data which showed a surprise build of 3.1 million barrels for the week ending October 2. But speculators have been quick to dismiss that small but noticeable rise on seasonal factors, as after all the end of the summer driving season means there will always be less demand [...] Continue Reading

Gold ready to shine?

Updated -  Oct 8, 2015 11:45:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

Due to the complexity of understanding its physical demand and supply aspects, let alone obtaining credible data on the metal, most speculative market participants are continuing to use the dollar as a gauge for the direction of gold’s short-term price outlook. On that front, the greenback managed to regain some lost ground this morning most notably against the British pound after a dovish Bank of England’s policy statement and on the back of a sharp [...] Continue Reading

GBP/CAD: Sterling pounded by a dovish BoE

Updated -  Oct 8, 2015 8:10:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

The pound has relinquished its earlier sharp gains and turned lower across the board. The Bank of England’s somewhat downbeat assessment of the UK economy and its outlook on inflation has caused the market to think that a rate hike is not even in the radar for most of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) members, except Ian McCafferty of course. The BoE also sounded worried about the impact of the stronger pound on inflation as [...] Continue Reading

Nasdaq 100 repeating technical pattern bodes ill for bulls

Updated -  Oct 7, 2015 1:30:00 PM By Fawad Razaqzada

*** My colleague Matt Weller will be off on holiday for a couple of weeks, so I thought I should write the first paragraph of this report in his style which may (or may not) bring a smile to his face before he jets off!*** “Eat, Sleep, Rave, Repeat was a 2013 single by Fatboy Slim and Riva Starr which featured vocals from Beardyman. The catchy song is not on any of my [...] Continue Reading

GBP/USD: Bulls get a day in the sun on M&A speculation, economic data

Updated -  Oct 7, 2015 8:50:00 AM By Matt Weller, CMT

The big news in global markets today is Anheuser-Busch InBev’s higher buyout offer to SABMiller. After the British-domiciled SABMiller turned down offers of £38 and £40 per share earlier, AB InBev raised its latest proposal to £42.15/share for a total value of $104B. If accepted and approved by anti-trust regulators (a big risk to any potential merger), the deal would create an international behemoth responsible for about one-third of global beer supply. Not surprisingly, [...] Continue Reading

Dollar Index points to further weakness for greenback

Updated -  Oct 7, 2015 8:10:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

The dollar has had a volatile few days. Following the publication of the poor monthly US jobs report on Friday, it initially fell sharply before rebounding equally strongly – most notably against the yen. The USD/JPY’s v-shaped recovery can be explained away by the positively-correlated stock markets which have rallied significantly on hopes that the Federal Reserve will now delay raising interest rates until at least the start of next year in order to support [...] Continue Reading

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Disclaimer: The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient. Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warranty that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.

Futures, Options on Futures, Foreign Exchange and other leveraged products involves significant risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Increasing leverage increases risk. Spot Gold and Silver contracts are not subject to regulation under the U.S. Commodity Exchange Act. Contracts for Difference (CFDs) are not available for US residents. Before deciding to trade forex and commodity futures, you should carefully consider your financial objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained herein is intended as general information about the subject matter covered and is provided with the understanding that is not rendering investment, legal, or tax advice. You should consult with appropriate counsel or other advisors on all investment, legal, or tax matters. is regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) in the US, by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) in the UK, the Australian Securities and Investment Commission (ASIC) in Australia, the Financial Services Agency (FSA) in Japan, the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada (IIROC) in Canada and the Securities and Futures Commission of Hong Kong (SFC) in Hong Kong. Please read Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options.


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