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Live Updates

AUD/USD on the brink ahead of NFP

Updated -  Jul 2, 2015 6:55:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

The US monthly jobs report will be released a day earlier than usual today and analysts are feeling bullish as expectations are that the headline nonfarm payrolls number probably increased by a good 230 thousand in June. The unemployment rate is likely to have fallen back to 5.4% from 5.5% in May, while the average hourly earnings are seen increasing by 0.2% versus a gain of 0.3% previously. As ever, my colleague Matt Weller has [...] Continue Reading


AUDJPY attempts to break back into bullish territory

Updated -  Jul 2, 2015 1:42:50 AM By Chris Tedder

It has been an interesting session in Asia, with big moves across numerous assets classes. In the FX market, a rally in the US dollar in the overnight sessions initially continued in Asia, before tapering off mid-way through the session. One of the big movers overnight was USDJPY, with the pair rallying through 123.00 and onto a high just below 123.50. This retracement in the yen added to positive investor sentiment in Japan, sending the [...] Continue Reading


NZDJPY: the kiwi stumbles, yet again

Updated -  Jul 1, 2015 10:22:11 PM By Chris Tedder

The NZ dollar has once again been assaulted on the back of soft economic data. This time around a disappointing dairy auction has poisoned investor sentiment surrounding the commodity currency. GlobalDairyTrade’s Price Index dropped for eighth time in a row at its latest auction, falling 5.9% as milk powder prices plummeted. The news isn’t good for the already stressed NZ dollar and it has pushed NZDUSD to a new five-year low. The kiwi was already [...] Continue Reading


NFP Prep: Data Points to Potential Blockbuster Jobs Report

Updated -  Jul 1, 2015 1:55:00 PM By Matt Weller, CMT

The June Non-Farm Payroll report will be released tomorrow at 8:30 ET (12:30 GMT, 1:30pm BST), with expectations centered on a headline print of 231k after last month’s stellar 280k reading. My model suggests that the report could exceed these expectations,with leading indicators suggesting a June headline NFP reading of 263K. The model has been historically reliable, showing a correlation coefficient of 0.90 with the unrevised NFP headline figure dating back to 2001 (1.0 [...] Continue Reading


AUD/NZD: break of 1.13 hurdle points to further gains

Updated -  Jul 1, 2015 12:40:00 PM By Fawad Razaqzada

The AUD/NZD has staged a massive rally since bottoming out at just above parity back in April. It has gained some 1350+ pips in the process. Most of the gains have been due to a weaker NZD rather than a stronger AUD. The NZD has fallen off a cliff after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand made a U-turn in its policy stance. Worried about the increases in house prices in Auckland in particular, the [...] Continue Reading


USDCHF Tags a Nearly 1-Month High on ADP, Greece

Updated -  Jul 1, 2015 9:15:00 AM By Matt Weller, CMT

The constant barrage of Greek headlines continues unabated, with the latest batch of rumors suggesting variously that the “no” votes for this weekend’s referendum are gaining momentum, that the Greek government will cancel this weekend’s referendum, that a breakthrough deal between Greece and her creditors is imminent, and that the two sides are further apart than ever (see my colleague Kathleen Brooks’ note from earlier today for the latest analysis of the ever-changing situation [...] Continue Reading


EUR “carries” on as normal

Updated -  Jul 1, 2015 9:10:00 AM By Kathleen Brooks

An eerie calm has descended on the markets. News that the Greek PM had made an about-turn and decided that maybe he could accept his creditors’ demands after all, has unleashed a European stock market rally, which has pushed the EUR lower. This rally could be given another boost if, as rumours suggest, Greece’s referendum on the bailout terms is scrapped. EUR weakness = stock market strength A rallying European stock market is [...] Continue Reading


S&P futures higher on renewed Greece hopes

Updated -  Jul 1, 2015 7:50:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

Yesterday saw the S&P 500 post its first quarterly drop in nearly three years. As well as the crisis in Greece and the stock market turmoil in China, investors are growing worried about the impact of the strong dollar on company earnings and US exports, and as the Federal Reserve looks set to be the first major central bank to hike rates later this year. Although interest rates are likely to rise only gradually to [...] Continue Reading


AUDUSD: life in no man’s land

Updated -  Jul 1, 2015 1:01:50 AM By Chris Tedder

The Australian dollar has been on the front foot lately as investors brush aside some risk-off sentiment from earlier in the week. It seems the market isn’t as concerned about the possibility of a Grexit as initially thought, at least not yet, and the expected negative impact on Australian economy of such an event would be fairly limited. It’s worth noting that the still high yielding Australian dollar is an attractive option for cash leaving [...] Continue Reading


The Nikkei 225 hit a speed bump

Updated -  Jun 30, 2015 10:28:41 PM By Chris Tedder

Japanese stocks are recovering from their worst sell-off in six months as bargain hunters enter the market. The index suffered heavily on Monday as investor sentiment soured after it became clear that Greece was going to miss last night’s payment to the IMF. In fact, every major equity market in the world felt the repercussions of a possible Grexit, and there was a strong push to the safe-haven yen. While the yen has retained [...] Continue Reading


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Disclaimer: The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient. Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warranty that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.

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