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Live Updates

OPEC unlikely to cut production ceiling; lower prices may prevail

Updated -  Nov 26, 2014 1:30:00 PM By Fawad Razaqzada

Crude oil traders are now in wait-and-see mode as the OPEC mulls a production cut. Yesterday, a meeting between some large oil producing nations including Russia, Mexico, Venezuela and Saudi Arabia failed to find a solution in terms of production cut. In truth, an agreement was never likely to be reached prior to the actual OPEC meeting on Thursday anyway. The situation is really complex this time with the likes of Iran, Iraq and Libya [...] Continue Reading


It’s a bad day for turkeys, and the UK economy

Updated -  Nov 26, 2014 11:45:00 AM By Kathleen Brooks

The US is hungrily waiting for Thanksgiving on Thursday. From a financial market perspective, this is reflected in low volumes in both FX and equities. While this helped to push European equities up to 2-month highs this morning, the upside has been capped and we have drifted lower throughout the European afternoon. The dollar is also drifting lower. Volumes are only going to get worse on Thursday and Friday with no economic data scheduled for [...] Continue Reading


November Month-End Model Signals Potential USD Weakness

Updated -  Nov 26, 2014 11:15:00 AM By Matt Weller, CMT

Background: Traders often discuss how ‘month end’ flows may impact a currency or a currency pair during the last few day(s) of the month. These flows are caused by global portfolio managers rebalancing their existing currency hedges. If the value of one country’s equity and bond markets increases, these fund managers typically look to sell or hedge their elevated risk in that country’s currency and rebalance their exposure back to an underperforming country’s currency. The [...] Continue Reading


EUR/JPY: the pair to watch as US goes on holiday

Updated -  Nov 26, 2014 10:15:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

Today it has been all about the dollar as three days’ worth of US macroeconomic pointers were published in the space of just a few hours to avoid conflicts with Thursday’s Thanksgiving holiday. The US data dump led to a volatile afternoon session for the major currency pairs denominated in the buck. With the US data out of the way now, speculators may wish to consider some currency crosses instead, for example the EUR/JPY. This [...] Continue Reading


EURGBP: Downtrend Resuming After Today’s Turbulence?

Updated -  Nov 26, 2014 8:55:00 AM By Matt Weller, CMT

While many US traders are anxiously watching the status of their flights on the biggest travel day of the year, European traders have seen a bit of turbulence in today’s European session. First, traders got a glimpse of the revision to Q3 UK GDP, which came out at 0.7% q/q as expected, marking the 6th consecutive quarter this specific reading has been 0.7% or 0.8%. While some of the report’s details were less-than-stellar, traders have [...] Continue Reading


RBA ponders cutting the OCR; OECD recommends the bank raise it

Updated -  Nov 26, 2014 12:57:44 AM By Chris Tedder

The Organisation for Economic Development has recommended that the Reserve Bank of Australia begins tightening interest rates from Q2 next year in order to prevent property prices rising to risky levels. Meanwhile, RBA deputy governor Lowe told a room full of economists last night that if further rates cut are required, they should be somewhat successful in stimulating economic activity. Just last month Lowe said that “the longer it (low rates) runs without a pick-up [...] Continue Reading


The PBoC takes the wind out of the yuan’s sails

Updated -  Nov 25, 2014 9:11:53 PM By Chris Tedder

The yuan has been steadily trending higher against the USD since April but the People’s Bank of China’s decision to unexpectedly cut interest rates last week and recent US dollar strength has reversed USDCNY’s trajectory. The pair has now reached its 100-day, a break of which would be a bullish technical indicator. On Friday, the PBoC unexpectedly announced that it was cutting its benchmark rate for the first time since 2012. China’s central bank [...] Continue Reading


AUDUSD’s “Spidey Sense” is Tingling

Updated -  Nov 25, 2014 1:55:00 PM By Matt Weller, CMT

Much like my wife, markets almost never give clear, unambiguous signals. Last week’s surprise decision by the PBOC to cut interest rates for the first time in more than two years provides the perfect example. Immediately following the decision, traders bid up the AUDUSD, reasoning that more stimulus in China should benefit the country’s imports and by extension, trading partners like Australia and New Zealand. However, an opposing narrative has emerged this week, helped [...] Continue Reading


Gold and silver at key technical junctures

Updated -  Nov 25, 2014 12:50:00 PM By Fawad Razaqzada

Gold and silver were both trading higher earlier today, but as I go to press they have turned mixed with the former turning flat. The metals found support from a weaker dollar which fell on the back of some mixed-bag US data. Among the data highlights, consumer sentiment took a surprise tumble in November while the third quarter GDP was unexpectedly revised higher. The Conference Board’s composite index based on a survey of about 5 [...] Continue Reading


USDJPY: Strong GDP Fails to Invigorate Buck Bulls

Updated -  Nov 25, 2014 9:10:00 AM By Matt Weller, CMT

To avoid conflicts with Thursday’s Thanksgiving holiday in the US, a week’s worth of US economic data is being released over just today and tomorrow’s trading sessions. This veritable raft of US data includes high-impact releases like Preliminary GDP (just released); the S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index, Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index, and Conference Board Consumer Confidence survey (later today); and US Durable Goods Orders, Initial Unemployment Claims, Personal Spending and Income data, Chicago PMI, New [...] Continue Reading


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Disclaimer: The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient. Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warranty that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.

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