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Is the dollar vulnerable to rising volatility?

Updated -  Oct 2, 2014 7:55:00 AM By Kathleen Brooks

The powerful uptrend in the dollar had been the key theme for the FX market in Q3, however, its performance at the start of Q4 has been fragile compared to what we have come to expect, and it may start to unsettle markets. During Q3 the dollar was able to rally even though geopolitical risks were heating up as Russia/ Ukraine tension escalated. The dollar thrived as the Fed pondered its next move after [...] Continue Reading

FTSE approaching key levels as traders look forward to ECB, NFP

Updated -  Oct 2, 2014 7:30:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

The UK’s FTSE and other European indices are so far relatively stable compared to yesterday when the global markets tanked during New York hours which put considerable pressure on the S&P 500 and index futures around the globe. Sentiment is still decidedly bearish however and further falls could still be on the way. But ahead of the ECB press conference this afternoon and the US jobs data tomorrow, traders appear to be reducing some of [...] Continue Reading

USD flounders in Asia; AUD is bolstered by Australian economic data

Updated -  Oct 2, 2014 1:24:23 AM By Chris Tedder

It was always going to be an interesting trading session in Asia today. The market was digesting some disappointing US economic data overnight while preparing for a policy meeting at the ECB tonight, all while keeping an eye on protests in Hong Kong and analysing some important economic data out of Australia. The fact that China’s markets are offline, thinning liquidity, only intensified the situation. Strong AU data bolsters the aussie Australia’s economic data [...] Continue Reading

AUDNZD: bulls wrestle back control from the bears, for now

Updated -  Oct 1, 2014 9:06:53 PM By Chris Tedder

Just when it looked like bears may have been once again gaining the upper hand in the battle for AUDNZD, NZD got assaulted by soft dairy price data. The commodity currency was hit by a wave of sellers after a measure of dairy prices from GlobalDairyTrade (GDT) indicated there was significant weight on key dairy prices last month. The auction house stated that its price index fell 7.3% since the last index at the beginning [...] Continue Reading

AUDUSD: Goodbye Somber September, Hello Optimistic October!

Updated -  Oct 1, 2014 2:25:00 PM By Matt Weller, CMT

Beyond extreme Halloween enthusiasts, AUDUSD bulls are probably more excited than anyone to turn the calendar page over to October. The month of September did not treat the Aussie well at all, with the currency falling nearly 600 pips over the course of the month, though some traders are starting to wonder whether September’s swoon may have reached excessive levels. Unfortunately, October started off on the wrong foot from a fundamental perspective. As my colleague [...] Continue Reading

Crude oil bounces back after sharp drop

Updated -  Oct 1, 2014 1:25:00 PM By Fawad Razaqzada

Crude oil prices have bounced back after yesterday’s sudden plunge when the Brent contract dropped nearly $3 while WTI shed about $4. Crude’s battering yesterday came as a survey confirmed that not only the OPEC is producing more oil than is currently needed, but significantly that they are not doing anything about it. Indeed, the largest OPEC producer, Saudi Arabia, has increased its output even though production has returned to near normal levels in Libya. [...] Continue Reading

USD/JPY hits 110: will the rally pause for breath now?

Updated -  Oct 1, 2014 11:30:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

Overnight, the USD/JPY pair finally entered the key 110.00-110.65 technical area (see monthly chart in figure 1). The lower end of this range, i.e. 110, is a key psychological barrier while the 110.65 level was the high achieved back in August 2008. Around these levels one would expect to see some profit-taking, which in face may be part of the reasons why it has come under some downward pressure today. At this stage, it is [...] Continue Reading

USDRUB: “This is 40”

Updated -  Oct 1, 2014 8:50:00 AM By Matt Weller, CMT

A few years ago, I found myself in a common 21st century dilemma: I was staring at the RedBox display at our local convenience store, trying to decide among the (underwhelming) choices to rent for Friday movie night with my then-fiancé. Sensing my misgivings with the lackluster selection, she quickly took control and chose the movie This is 40, which turned out to be a worthwhile-if-predictable-pseudo-sequel-to-the-far-superior-prequel Knocked Up. Perhaps some Russian forex traders were more [...] Continue Reading

ECB preview: Will the ECB herald another leg lower for the EUR?

Updated -  Oct 1, 2014 6:30:00 AM By Kathleen Brooks

This Thursday we get the monthly ECB meeting. After surprising us with those rate cuts and a program of asset-backed security (ABS) purchases (basically QE-lite) last month, we doubt the ECB will pull the trigger on more policy actions at this meeting. Without any new policy actions to hide behind, the ECB could find itself with some tricky questions to answer. The first question could be around how the ECB plans to expand its [...] Continue Reading

AUD is hit by soft retail sales data

Updated -  Oct 1, 2014 12:53:33 AM By Chris Tedder

It seems the Australian dollar cannot catch a break. This time it was assaulted by sellers after disappointing retail sales figures out of Australia, despite better than expected Chinese Manufacturing PMI figures earlier in the session and news that China is loosening even more property restrictions. The path of least resistance for the battered commodity currency appears to still be firmly to the downside. However, while AUDUSD was hit hard by today’s aussie weakness, it [...] Continue Reading

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Disclaimer: The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient. Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warranty that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.

Futures, Options on Futures, Foreign Exchange and other leveraged products involves significant risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Increasing leverage increases risk. Spot Gold and Silver contracts are not subject to regulation under the U.S. Commodity Exchange Act. Contracts for Difference (CFDs) are not available for US residents. Before deciding to trade forex and commodity futures, you should carefully consider your financial objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained herein is intended as general information about the subject matter covered and is provided with the understanding that is not rendering investment, legal, or tax advice. You should consult with appropriate counsel or other advisors on all investment, legal, or tax matters. is regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) in the US, by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) in the UK, the Australian Securities and Investment Commission (ASIC) in Australia, the Financial Services Agency (FSA) in Japan, the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada (IIROC) in Canada and the Securities and Futures Commission of Hong Kong (SFC) in Hong Kong. Please read Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options.


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