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NZDUSD is bolstered by comments from the RBNZ

Updated -  Jul 29, 2015 12:12:06 AM By Chris Tedder

The NZ dollar was bolstered by an unlikely source, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ). Governor Wheeler noted during a speech earlier today that whilst further interest rate cuts are likely, the economy doesn’t require severe monetary policy loosening. This helped spark a rally in the kiwi, with NZDUSD jumping through 0.6700 on the back of the comments. The market still expects the RBNZ to lob another 25bps off the official cash rate [...] Continue Reading

China roundup: Beijing attempts to calm investors

Updated -  Jul 28, 2015 9:41:20 PM By Chris Tedder

It was another volatile month for China’s stock markets as the unwinding of positions bought with borrowed money continued. At the beginning of the final week of July the Shanghai Composite faced its second largest sell-off in history, with the index falling a staggering 8.5% in one day. In the weeks prior to this it looked like Beijing may have succeeded in reinvigorating the market, but it proved short-lived and the index has since erased [...] Continue Reading

FOMC Preview: An Appetizer Ahead of September’s Main Course

Updated -  Jul 28, 2015 3:05:00 PM By Matt Weller, CMT

It’s hard to believe that it’s been fully six weeks since the Fed’s last meeting, where the median central banker just barely maintained a preference for two rate hikes this year. In the accompanying Summary of Economic Projections (SEP), the central bank negatively revised its expectations for economic growth and unemployment, while leaving the inflation forecast essentially unchanged. Over the last month and a half, the US economy has given off a series of [...] Continue Reading

GBPUSD: Traders Take a Glass-Half-Full View of UK GDP

Updated -  Jul 28, 2015 8:25:00 AM By Matt Weller, CMT

It’s been a generally quiet Tuesday in global markets, with the US dollar regaining some of yesterday’s lost ground, WTI edging higher after hitting a new 4-month low under 47.00, and gold marking time below 1100. The only economic data release of note was the UK’s preliminary GDP reading for Q2, which showed as-expected 0.7% growth quarter-over-quarter. While the headline GDP reading matched consensus, cable traders are taking a “glass half full” view of the [...] Continue Reading

China bears resume mauling stocks, Beijing steps in

Updated -  Jul 28, 2015 12:24:07 AM By Chris Tedder

It has been a horrid start to the week for China’s equity markets as the market doubts the ability of Beijing to prevent a rout. The Shanghai Composite recorded its second largest sell-off in history on Monday, despite recent moves from Beijing to prevent such an event from happening. The index fell a staggering 8.5%, its sharpest slide since February 2007 when it fell around 8.8%, as leveraged retail investors fled the volatile market.  [...] Continue Reading

RMB is under pressure ahead of the Fed’s policy meeting

Updated -  Jul 26, 2015 10:19:03 PM By Chris Tedder

There’s some downward pressure building on the yuan ahead of this week’s meeting at the FOMC. USDCNY is hovering somewhat close to the ceiling set by the PBOC’s placement of the reference rate (see figure 1) and the spread between offshore and onshore yuan (see figure 2) is nearing levels last seen when the CNY was consistently testing the top of its trading range late in 2015/early 2015. This suggests that downward pressure on the [...] Continue Reading

A Gold-en Anchor on Prices

Updated -  Jul 24, 2015 9:10:00 AM By Matt Weller, CMT

By far the biggest storyline in the markets this week has been the precipitous fall in the price of gold. After closing just below key support at the 1140 level last week, bullish traders panicked this week, driving the yellow metal down by a whopping 5% from last Friday’s close as of writing. Interestingly, today’s drop has occurred despite a disappointing drop in China’s Markit Flash Manufacturing PMI data. The broad measure of manufacturing [...] Continue Reading

WTI’s Trapdoor Gives Way, Potential for a Move Down to 46.50 Next?

Updated -  Jul 23, 2015 3:20:00 PM By Matt Weller, CMT

Drivers around the world are rejoicing as oil extends its recent drop today. After pausing just above the $50.00 level for the early part of this week, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil broke down to a new 3-month low on the back of a surprise build in oil inventories yesterday. The weekly US government crude oil inventory report showed that supplies of so-called black gold rose by 2.5M barrels last week, the largest inventory [...] Continue Reading

USDCHF: Four-Decade Low in US Jobless Claims Could Overcome Bearish Technicals

Updated -  Jul 23, 2015 8:50:00 AM By Matt Weller, CMT

Last week, we highlighted a confluence of key resistance levels in the .9600-50 zone on USDCHF (See “USDCHF: Two Swiss-Cheese Style Holes on the Way to Parity” for more). As anticipated, the pair edged up into that area and has since turned lower to fall over 100 pips from the high set earlier this week. Now, the question on traders’ minds is “Where will the pair head next?” Based on this morning’s US initial [...] Continue Reading

Kiwi jumps after the RBNZ cuts interest rates

Updated -  Jul 22, 2015 5:43:01 PM By Chris Tedder

The NZ dollar was propelled higher immediately after the RBNZ’s decision to cut interest rates as the bank wasn’t dovish enough for the market, despite the fact that 25bps was taken off the official cash rate for the second month in a row and the bank noted that further policy easing seemed likely. It appears the market was ultra-dovish in the lead up to this meeting, with some participants expecting the bank to lob 50bps [...] Continue Reading

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Disclaimer: The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient. Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warranty that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.

Futures, Options on Futures, Foreign Exchange and other leveraged products involves significant risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Increasing leverage increases risk. Spot Gold and Silver contracts are not subject to regulation under the U.S. Commodity Exchange Act. Contracts for Difference (CFDs) are not available for US residents. Before deciding to trade forex and commodity futures, you should carefully consider your financial objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained herein is intended as general information about the subject matter covered and is provided with the understanding that is not rendering investment, legal, or tax advice. You should consult with appropriate counsel or other advisors on all investment, legal, or tax matters. is regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) in the US, by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) in the UK, the Australian Securities and Investment Commission (ASIC) in Australia, the Financial Services Agency (FSA) in Japan, the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada (IIROC) in Canada and the Securities and Futures Commission of Hong Kong (SFC) in Hong Kong. Please read Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options.


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