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USD/CAD on the rebound as crude oil fails to rally

Updated -  Feb 10, 2016 12:40:00 PM By James Chen, CMT

Despite US government data on Wednesday showing a surprise draw in crude oil stockpiles of 754,000 barrels for last week, against previous expectations of over a 3-million-barrel build, oil prices failed to rally. Quite the opposite, the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) benchmark dropped to a new 12-year low around the $27 level. This drop extends Tuesday’s plunge, which indicates that the market has low confidence in a successful output deal among oil-producing nations materializing anytime [...] Continue Reading


WTI’s bounce short-lived as it hovers near 12-year lows

Updated -  Feb 10, 2016 11:40:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

West Texas Intermediate oil dropped to a fresh 12-year low at just below $27.50 this afternoon, thereby revisiting the low it had hit in January. Here, it bounced as traders took profit ahead of the official oil inventories data from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA). According to the EIA, oil stocks actually fell by 750 thousand barrels in the week ending February 5. This was clearly a surprise to the market as the American [...] Continue Reading


USD/JPY caught in central bank crosswinds, BOJ on intervention watch

Updated -  Feb 10, 2016 10:10:00 AM By Matt Weller, CMT

It’s been a busy day so far for central bankers, especially in Japan and the US. As we noted on Monday, the yen has seen massive safe haven / carry trade unwinding flows over the last two weeks, and as a result, USD/JPY is now falling for its 7th consecutive day to a new 15-month low under the 115.00 level. Unfortunately for the Bank of Japan, the last thing the Japanese economy needs is [...] Continue Reading


Stocks surge on short-covering; Deutsche boosts banks, DAX

Updated -  Feb 10, 2016 6:40:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

European stocks have bounced back sharply today, with the major indices rising between 1 and 3 per cent by mid-morning session. The equity market rally is in part because of short-side profit-taking following the recent acceleration in the downward trend. The lack of any major economic news so far this week means even the sellers are making a more sober assessment of the global economy and are wary of the possibility that Fed Chairwoman Janet [...] Continue Reading


GBP/JPY plummets back down to retest multi-year lows

Updated -  Feb 9, 2016 3:20:00 PM By James Chen, CMT

Late January saw a substantial rally for GBP/JPY that lifted off from nearly a two-year, hammer candle low around the 164.00 support target. This rally was extended at the end of January by the Bank of Japan’s interest rate cut into negative territory, which prompted the Japanese yen to depreciate sharply. As a result, the GBP/JPY currency pair reached a high just shy of 175.00 in the beginning of February, but then abruptly reversed course [...] Continue Reading


EUR/GBP at a 1-year high – bulls may eye .8000 next

Updated -  Feb 9, 2016 3:15:00 PM By Matt Weller, CMT

Earlier today, we talked about the recent strength of the euro in the context of EUR/USD, but the moves in EUR/GBP since the start of December have been even more impressive. Since bottoming near the .7000 handle in late November, the normally quiet pair has tacked on over 800 pips to hit a 1-year high above .7800. From a fundamental perspective, the huge rally in EUR/GBP shows an often overlooked truism: it’s not the [...] Continue Reading


USD/CHF’s triple top: confirmed

Updated -  Feb 9, 2016 11:10:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

With the EUR/USD rallying to above 1.1300 level today, the USD/CHF is unsurprisingly dropping like a stone. The two currency pairs are inversely-correlated of course because the SNB has more or less pegged its policy to that of the ECB. The Swiss franc is also a safe haven currency and it tends to do better during periods of market turmoil, such as now. Hence, the EUR/CHF has also fallen sharply over the past several days, [...] Continue Reading


EUR/USD: Could Yellen take us above 1.1400 next?

Updated -  Feb 9, 2016 9:05:00 AM By Matt Weller, CMT

As a trader, it’s difficult to predict the impact of a major trading hub being closed. More often than not, it leads to slow, lackluster trading conditions as traders focus on enjoying their time off; however, because there is less volume in the market, we occasionally witness explosive moves, especially when all traders try to exit their crowded trades at the same time. Less than halfway through the Chinese Lunar New Year celebrations (and associated [...] Continue Reading


Crude oil extends decline on on-going supply worries

Updated -  Feb 9, 2016 8:00:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

The sharp rebound in oil prices from the middle of January proved to be short-lived as we and many other analysts had expected. Oil prices are now down for the fourth day and second consecutive week. A barrel of WTI crude oil costs less than 30 dollars again, while Brent costs less than $33, at the time of this writing. Oil traders have been discouraged by the lack of any breakthrough in talks between some [...] Continue Reading


GBP/USD – poised to resume major bearish trend?

Updated -  Feb 8, 2016 4:30:00 PM By James Chen, CMT

GBP/USD began the new trading week on Monday by extending its recent retreat from last week’s one-month high above 1.4600, which is also where its 50-day moving average was situated. This retreat follows a sharp rally within the past couple of weeks that represented an upside pullback within the larger bearish trend. While significantly lowered expectations of a US Federal Reserve rate hike in the foreseeable future may have capped the dollar’s strength for the [...] Continue Reading


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