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USD/SEK: Post-Riksbank bounce only lasted a SEK

Updated -  Feb 11, 2016 10:10:00 AM By Matt Weller, CMT

Global markets went into a panic overnight as oil (WTI) took a tumble all the way down to the lower-26.00s, USD/JPY collapsed below 111.00 before an apparent “rate check” by the BOJ, and gold soared to 1240. Meanwhile, lost in the admittedly exciting roller coaster ride of volatility, the world’s oldest central bank surprised traders by cutting interest rates deeper into oversold territory. In today’s European session, Sweden’s Riksbank lowered its main repurchase rate [...] Continue Reading


Gold soars as risk appetite plunges

Updated -  Feb 11, 2016 7:00:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

Gold’s sharp rally off December’s low of $1046 has seen its price rise more than 17 per cent in the space of a few weeks. At the time of writing today, the precious metal was trading at just shy of $1230. Gold’s sudden waking from its slumber has caught many people by surprise, myself included. Likewise, the stock market plunge has lasted a lot longer than what most people had probably envisaged when it first [...] Continue Reading


DAX remains pressured after major breakdown

Updated -  Feb 10, 2016 4:40:00 PM By James Chen, CMT

Germany’s DAX index broke down late last week below a major support level at 9300. That breakdown was especially significant because the 9300 level had previously held up effectively for more than 14 months – most recently in August, September, and then three weeks ago in late January. Prior to that key support breakdown, Germany’s benchmark equity index had been falling in an increasingly bearish trend from the 11400-area highs back in the beginning of [...] Continue Reading


S&P 500: Massive, long-term support zone under threat

Updated -  Feb 10, 2016 2:45:00 PM By Matt Weller, CMT

At the beginning of last week, we provided a “check-up” midway through the Q4 earnings season for the S&P 500, concluding that the four biggest themes were “falling earnings and sales, weak performance out of the energy sector, continued improvement in margins, and the dramatic impact of the US Dollar.” We’ll provide a full summary of the reports when earnings season is winding down, but once again, it looks like large US companies will [...] Continue Reading


USD/CAD on the rebound as crude oil fails to rally

Updated -  Feb 10, 2016 12:40:00 PM By James Chen, CMT

Despite US government data on Wednesday showing a surprise draw in crude oil stockpiles of 754,000 barrels for last week, against previous expectations of over a 3-million-barrel build, oil prices failed to rally. Quite the opposite, the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) benchmark dropped to a new 12-year low around the $27 level. This drop extends Tuesday’s plunge, which indicates that the market has low confidence in a successful output deal among oil-producing nations materializing anytime [...] Continue Reading


WTI’s bounce short-lived as it hovers near 12-year lows

Updated -  Feb 10, 2016 11:40:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

West Texas Intermediate oil dropped to a fresh 12-year low at just below $27.50 this afternoon, thereby revisiting the low it had hit in January. Here, it bounced as traders took profit ahead of the official oil inventories data from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA). According to the EIA, oil stocks actually fell by 750 thousand barrels in the week ending February 5. This was clearly a surprise to the market as the American [...] Continue Reading


USD/JPY caught in central bank crosswinds, BOJ on intervention watch

Updated -  Feb 10, 2016 10:10:00 AM By Matt Weller, CMT

It’s been a busy day so far for central bankers, especially in Japan and the US. As we noted on Monday, the yen has seen massive safe haven / carry trade unwinding flows over the last two weeks, and as a result, USD/JPY is now falling for its 7th consecutive day to a new 15-month low under the 115.00 level. Unfortunately for the Bank of Japan, the last thing the Japanese economy needs is [...] Continue Reading


Stocks surge on short-covering; Deutsche boosts banks, DAX

Updated -  Feb 10, 2016 6:40:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

European stocks have bounced back sharply today, with the major indices rising between 1 and 3 per cent by mid-morning session. The equity market rally is in part because of short-side profit-taking following the recent acceleration in the downward trend. The lack of any major economic news so far this week means even the sellers are making a more sober assessment of the global economy and are wary of the possibility that Fed Chairwoman Janet [...] Continue Reading


GBP/JPY plummets back down to retest multi-year lows

Updated -  Feb 9, 2016 3:20:00 PM By James Chen, CMT

Late January saw a substantial rally for GBP/JPY that lifted off from nearly a two-year, hammer candle low around the 164.00 support target. This rally was extended at the end of January by the Bank of Japan’s interest rate cut into negative territory, which prompted the Japanese yen to depreciate sharply. As a result, the GBP/JPY currency pair reached a high just shy of 175.00 in the beginning of February, but then abruptly reversed course [...] Continue Reading


EUR/GBP at a 1-year high – bulls may eye .8000 next

Updated -  Feb 9, 2016 3:15:00 PM By Matt Weller, CMT

Earlier today, we talked about the recent strength of the euro in the context of EUR/USD, but the moves in EUR/GBP since the start of December have been even more impressive. Since bottoming near the .7000 handle in late November, the normally quiet pair has tacked on over 800 pips to hit a 1-year high above .7800. From a fundamental perspective, the huge rally in EUR/GBP shows an often overlooked truism: it’s not the [...] Continue Reading


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