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Precious metals: rallying dollar continues to undermine gold and silver

Updated -  Sep 30, 2014 11:45:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

The price of gold and silver fell once again this morning and as the metals broke below their recent range lows some follow-up technical selling was triggered which helped to further accelerate the downward move. Yet again, it was the broad-based dollar strength that undermined precious metals. The US currency has been climbing higher on expectations the Federal Reserve will be the first major central bank to raise interest rates in 2015. The greenback found [...] Continue Reading

Can anything stop the dollar in its tracks?

Updated -  Sep 30, 2014 8:40:00 AM By Kathleen Brooks

The dollar is back. After taking a breather on Monday, it is continuing to push northwards as we move into the last day of the month. September has been a stellar month for the greenback; the dollar index has risen by 3%, its best monthly performance for 2 years. What is more amazing is that the USD has risen even though the August payrolls report was much weaker than expected, and even though some Fed [...] Continue Reading

NZDJPY: Long-Term Chart Suggests Major Top Has Formed

Updated -  Sep 30, 2014 8:40:00 AM By Matt Weller, CMT

King Dollar remains on his throne for another day as all the other peasant currencies continue to battle for second place. While the dollar remains the strongest trend in the market, some traders are growing concerned that the greenback’s rally has gone too far, too fast. For those traders, it can be worthwhile to examine cross currency pairs to evaluate the relative strength and trends independent of the US dollar. One of the more interesting [...] Continue Reading

Has EUR/AUD resumed downward trend?

Updated -  Sep 30, 2014 7:10:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

The euro has been dealt another blow today after the release of some mixed bag Eurozone data. Though the numbers overall were not particularly bad – in fact there was some welcoming news from German retailers, for example – the market seems to have focused mainly on the slightly weaker-than-expected core CPI print, which probably raised expectations that the ECB may increase its stimulus programmes further to fight deflation threats. The EUR/USD dropped to its [...] Continue Reading

FTSE 100: Movers and shakers

Updated -  Sep 30, 2014 5:15:00 AM By Kathleen Brooks

The FTSE is little changed so far today, after a torrid start to the week. However, a move below 6,600 has proven to be elusive so far, and attempts to test this level on Friday and Monday were met with some small scale buying interest. This does not mean that a recovery is on the cards, just that the market may take a breather while we wait for key economic data this week, which could [...] Continue Reading

China roundup: it was a tough month for China

Updated -  Sep 30, 2014 1:52:46 AM By Chris Tedder

August was an eventful month for the world’s second largest economy as so-so economic data and a struggling property market prompted more easing from Beijing while protests in Hong Kong have sent investors flocking away from the renminbi. This has infected investor sentiment throughout Asia and especially in Asia’s major commodity currencies, and even promoted some major investment banks to downgrade their growth targets for China this year. In fact, it now looks increasing unlikely [...] Continue Reading

Mixed economic messages from Japan

Updated -  Sep 29, 2014 8:48:51 PM By Chris Tedder

There has been a slew of economic data released from Japan this morning that sent the market some mixed signals. As a result USDJPY has been a little jumpy in early Asia trade, yet the pair seems to have stabilized around 109.40 for the time being, with investors also keeping a close eye on the protests in Hong Kong. Japan’s miraculous jobless rate Japan’s jobless rate unexpectedly dropped to 3.5% in August (the market [...] Continue Reading

EM Rundown: Fragile Five Revived?

Updated -  Sep 29, 2014 2:55:00 PM By Matt Weller, CMT

Back in late January of this year, the so-called “Fragile Five” emerging markets (Brazil, Turkey, South Africa, India, and Indonesia) came under fire as traders sold their currencies in a mini-EM contagion. These currencies were specifically hard hit due to their current account deficits, which leaves them dependent upon foreign investment to fund their economies. Thankfully, bold actions by the Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey (CBRT) and South African Central Bank (SARB) were [...] Continue Reading

Crude oil’s bearish trend weakening

Updated -  Sep 29, 2014 12:25:00 PM By Fawad Razaqzada

The price of Brent oil is little-changed today after dropping to its lowest level since June 2012 last week. Once again investors are by and large ignoring the prospects of supply disruptions in the Middle East amid the US-led bombings of IS targets in the region. Likewise they seem little concerned about the fact oil production in Libya has fallen slightly: according to the National Oil Corp (NOC), the country's crude output has fallen by [...] Continue Reading

September Month-End Model Favors Slight USD Strength

Updated -  Sep 29, 2014 8:30:00 AM By Matt Weller, CMT

Background: Traders often discuss how ‘month end’ flows may impact a currency or a currency pair during the last few day(s) of the month. These flows are caused by global portfolio managers rebalancing their existing currency hedges. If the value of one country’s equity and bond markets increases, these money managers typically look to sell or hedge their elevated risk in that country’s currency and rebalance their exposure back to an underperforming country’s currency. The [...] Continue Reading

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Disclaimer: The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient. Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warranty that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.

Futures, Options on Futures, Foreign Exchange and other leveraged products involves significant risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Increasing leverage increases risk. Spot Gold and Silver contracts are not subject to regulation under the U.S. Commodity Exchange Act. Contracts for Difference (CFDs) are not available for US residents. Before deciding to trade forex and commodity futures, you should carefully consider your financial objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained herein is intended as general information about the subject matter covered and is provided with the understanding that is not rendering investment, legal, or tax advice. You should consult with appropriate counsel or other advisors on all investment, legal, or tax matters. is regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) in the US, by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) in the UK, the Australian Securities and Investment Commission (ASIC) in Australia, the Financial Services Agency (FSA) in Japan, the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada (IIROC) in Canada and the Securities and Futures Commission of Hong Kong (SFC) in Hong Kong. Please read Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options.


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