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Live Updates

Australia’s inflation numbers silence calls for a rate cut next week

Updated -  Jan 27, 2015 10:10:45 PM By Chris Tedder

Stronger than expected core inflation numbers for the final quarter of 2014 have helped to quash rumours that the RBA may cut the OCR at its monetary policy meeting next Tuesday, sparking a rally in the Australian dollar. AUDUSD jumped through 0.8000 shortly after the figures were released on Wednesday as OIS pricing indicated that the market cut its expectations for a 25 basis point cut next Tuesday to below 20% from above 40% yesterday. [...] Continue Reading

RBNZ Preview: Q4’s soft CPI numbers threaten NZ’s rate outlook

Updated -  Jan 27, 2015 6:40:58 PM By Chris Tedder

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand surprised the market last month by maintaining a more hawkish stance than the market was expecting. The introduction of one line in last month’s policy statement from Governor Wheeler expressing that further increases in the OCR will be required caught the market by surprise, despite the fact that the bank pushed out its expectations for interest rates by adjusting its 90-day bank bill forecasts, which indicate that the RBNZ [...] Continue Reading

USDCHF: Will the Dam at .9070 Overflow?

Updated -  Jan 27, 2015 4:25:00 PM By Matt Weller, CMT

It’s been one of those trading days where all the excitement took place early in the session. US equities tanked this morning, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average down nearly 400 points at one point before moderating back to a still-large 300-point drop by the end of the day. Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index was holding at its 11-year high around 95.00 prior to the US open, but dollar bulls chose to book their profits [...] Continue Reading

USDCAD: Eventually, Gravity Wins

Updated -  Jan 27, 2015 3:48:10 PM By Neal Gilbert

There were many casualties in the run-up to the European Central Bank’s decision to introduce Quantitative Easing, and those casualties beget other casualties as well. The most shocking was the peg pulling disaster by the Swiss National Bank which has shaken the world of currency trading to the core, but other central banks have attempted to soften the blow on their own economies as well. The Bank of Canada is one such bank whom decided [...] Continue Reading

Silver’s technical signals point to a sharp move, but in which direction?

Updated -  Jan 27, 2015 1:00:00 PM By Fawad Razaqzada

From a purely technical point of view, silver is either on the verge of a major breakout or a breakdown: conflicting technical signals are being displayed on the charts of silver, which is why I am neutral at this stage. Without further ado, let’s take a quick look at the charts of silver, starting with the long-term weekly time frame: Figure 1: As can be seen from the weekly chart, above, silver has already [...] Continue Reading

DOW: Forecasting Overreaction?

Updated -  Jan 27, 2015 10:27:14 AM By Neal Gilbert

The east coast of the United States was stocking up for abject disaster this morning on forecasts of a record breaking blizzard scheduled to hit New York City, but as often happens with weather forecasts, the reality was a little different than the hype. Instead of experiencing up to three feet of snow, they were blanketed with a mere eight inches as travel bans were lifted across the area. The stock market appeared to be [...] Continue Reading

AUDNZD Pressing 1.0715 Resistance as Traders' RBNZ-Phobia Grows

Updated -  Jan 27, 2015 8:45:00 AM By Matt Weller, CMT

Last week, we noted the almost eerie synchronized easing from many of the world’s major central banks (see “USD: ‘Losing’ the Currency War” for more). The upshot of last week’s central bank actions, in particular the BOC’s shocking cut, is that traders are growing increasingly uneasy about all central bank meetings, regardless of the official “expectations.” After all, if the BOC can cut interest rates when 0 of 22 economists were expecting it, [...] Continue Reading

GBP/JPY down on UK GDP miss… but technicals point higher

Updated -  Jan 27, 2015 7:30:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

The pound has weakened only moderately in response to the UK fourth quarter GDP data, which came in slightly below expectations this morning. The UK economy expanded 0.5% last quarter, putting the annual rate at a good 2.7 per cent. The quarter-on-quarter growth however was below the expected reading of 0.6% and also lower than 0.7% recorded in Q3. Growth was led by a 0.8% increase in services and 1.3% in agriculture sectors. But output [...] Continue Reading

AUDUSD falls to a 5.5-year low ahead of Australia’s all-important CPI numbers

Updated -  Jan 26, 2015 9:15:40 PM By Chris Tedder

The Australian dollar fell to its lowest level since mid-2009 yesterday amidst a global commodity currency sell-off. Iron prices have retreated to multi-year lows as a slowdown in China hampers the demand outlook for the commodity. The resulting pressure on the Australian dollar has pushed it below an all-important psychological level around 0.8000, reducing the imputes for the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to lower interest rate further in response to soft domestic economic conditions [...] Continue Reading

EM Rundown: The Ukraine Conflict (Again) and Central Bank Meetings

Updated -  Jan 26, 2015 3:10:00 PM By Matt Weller

Markets are off to a bit of a slow start to the week as the Australia Day holiday and an utter lack of traditional economic data releases give traders little reason to adjust positions. In the G10 world, the data is expected to pick up throughout the rest of the week, with GDP data from the US and UK, Eurozone CPI, and central bank meetings in the US and New Zealand all on tap. The [...] Continue Reading

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Disclaimer: The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient. Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warranty that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.

Futures, Options on Futures, Foreign Exchange and other leveraged products involves significant risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Increasing leverage increases risk. Spot Gold and Silver contracts are not subject to regulation under the U.S. Commodity Exchange Act. Contracts for Difference (CFDs) are not available for US residents. Before deciding to trade forex and commodity futures, you should carefully consider your financial objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained herein is intended as general information about the subject matter covered and is provided with the understanding that is not rendering investment, legal, or tax advice. You should consult with appropriate counsel or other advisors on all investment, legal, or tax matters. is regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) in the US, by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) in the UK, the Australian Securities and Investment Commission (ASIC) in Australia, the Financial Services Agency (FSA) in Japan, the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada (IIROC) in Canada and the Securities and Futures Commission of Hong Kong (SFC) in Hong Kong. Please read Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options.


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