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Live Updates

One to watch: EURNZD hits resistance

Updated -  Jul 27, 2014 8:03:38 PM By Chris Tedder

As the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) becomes less hawkish and more concerned about the stubbornly high NZ dollar, the greater the chance the bank will intervene to weaken the exchange rate. With this ever present threat the kiwi’s upside may be limited in the near-term. The RBNZ releases its figures for its dealing in the FX market on Wednesday, but these are only for June which is before the RBNZ started to aggressively [...] Continue Reading

Unexpected Hike Leads to Unexpected Reaction in USDRUB

Updated -  Jul 25, 2014 4:00:00 PM By Matt Weller

Earlier today, the Bank of Russia surprised traders by hiking its main interest rate by 50bps from 7.5% to 8.0%. Not one of the 23 economists polled in a pre-meeting survey by Bloomberg had expected an interest rate hike; in fact, one particularly bold economist was calling for a 25bp cut! What these economists failed to take into consideration was the interplay between economics and geopolitics. The international uproar over the downing of Malaysian Airlines [...] Continue Reading

IBEX: Spanish index outperforms but faces potential resistance

Updated -  Jul 25, 2014 11:00:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

The IBEX index has outperformed its European peers today, adding to the strong gains made yesterday when it rallied on the back of some cheerful news regarding Spain’s labour market and the better than expected European PMIs. The Spanish labour market showed signs of recovery at long last as it posted its first annual increase in jobs in six years while the unemployment numbers recorded their biggest fall since 2006. That caused the jobless [...] Continue Reading

NZD/USD attempting to break bullish trend

Updated -  Jul 25, 2014 10:00:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

The NZD/USD is attempting to take out a bullish trend line that has been in place since February. The Kiwi has weakened quite sharply in recent days after the RBNZ intervened verbally against the currency’s appreciation and delivered what appears to be the last rate hike for a long time on Wednesday. If the NZD/USD closes the session below the trend line (0.8550) then we could see significant falls next week as more buyers [...] Continue Reading

UK economic rebound fails to excite the markets

Updated -  Jul 25, 2014 6:20:00 AM By Kathleen Brooks

This morning we had confirmation of another solid quarter of growth for the UK. Q2 GDP rose by 0.8%, the same pace at Q1. This is encouraging as there were plenty of headwinds to knock the economy off course, including geopolitical fears, rising expectations of a UK interest rate increase and a surge in the pound. Our annual rate of growth is now 3.1%, up from 3% in Q1. To put this in some [...] Continue Reading

Inflation in Japan may have stalled for the time being

Updated -  Jul 24, 2014 9:12:46 PM By Chris Tedder

Consumer prices in Japan rose 3.6% in June from a year earlier, beating an expected 3.5% increase but slower than the prior month’s 3.7% jump. Surging food and utility prices distorted the headline figure, thus it’s useful to look at inflation when these prices are taken out. Excluding food prices, CPI rose 3.3% y/y (exp. 3.3%), and excluding food and energy prices, CPI jumped 2.3% y/y (exp. 2.3%). However, even these figures are misleading [...] Continue Reading

AUDUSD: Why .9450 is Such a Tough Nut to Crack

Updated -  Jul 24, 2014 1:45:00 PM By Matt Weller

In the days before ubiquitous computers, floor traders needed a simple way to calculate intraday levels of support and resistance. Enter pivot points. Pivot points use the high, low, and closing price of the previous day to project support and resistance levels for the current day. For instance, the central pivot point is calculated as the (high + low + close) / 3, or effectively the average price of the previous day. As a general [...] Continue Reading

Gold plunges on improved appetite for risk

Updated -  Jul 24, 2014 12:10:00 PM By Fawad Razaqzada

Just like the past few days, gold is once again weighed down by the deadly combination of stronger dollar and US equities. The greenback’s strength is bizarre given the big disappointment we had in terms of housing market data as new home sales plunged in June from an already low base the month before. Sales of new homes dropped to 406,000 annualised units in June from 442,000 in May (the original estimate for May was [...] Continue Reading

What Can USDCHF Tell Us About the EURUSD Breakdown?

Updated -  Jul 24, 2014 9:00:00 AM By Matt Weller

The market has been enamored with this week’s price action in EURUSD, which unexpectedly peeked down to a new 2014 low under the key 1.3475-1.3500 support zone on Tuesday. However, as we roll into today’s North American session, the pair is fighting its way back toward 1.3500 on the back of decent PMI readings from the Eurozone. For the currency union as a whole, the Manufacturing PMI figure rose to 51.9, in-line with expectations, [...] Continue Reading

FTSE boosted by strong PMIs, looks set to test 6865/80 for umpteenth time

Updated -  Jul 24, 2014 7:40:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

Following a sluggish start, the FTSE has turned higher along with the other European markets. Sentiment has been boosted, above all, by the surprisingly good economic data from China and Europe and as corporate earnings from the US continues to surprise to the upside with Facebook posting strong quarterly numbers overnight. Compared to some of the other European indices, the FTSE’s gains have been somewhat mild however. Not only is this because of the direct [...] Continue Reading

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Disclaimer: The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient. Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warranty that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.

Futures, Options on Futures, Foreign Exchange and other leveraged products involves significant risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Increasing leverage increases risk. Spot Gold and Silver contracts are not subject to regulation under the U.S. Commodity Exchange Act. Contracts for Difference (CFDs) are not available for US residents. Before deciding to trade forex and commodity futures, you should carefully consider your financial objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained herein is intended as general information about the subject matter covered and is provided with the understanding that is not rendering investment, legal, or tax advice. You should consult with appropriate counsel or other advisors on all investment, legal, or tax matters. is regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) in the US, by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) in the UK, the Australian Securities and Investment Commission (ASIC) in Australia, the Financial Services Agency (FSA) in Japan, the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada (IIROC) in Canada and the Securities and Futures Commission of Hong Kong (SFC) in Hong Kong. Please read Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options.


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