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Live Updates

Crude oil extends decline on on-going supply worries

Updated -  Feb 9, 2016 8:00:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

The sharp rebound in oil prices from the middle of January proved to be short-lived as we and many other analysts had expected. Oil prices are now down for the fourth day and second consecutive week. A barrel of WTI crude oil costs less than 30 dollars again, while Brent costs less than $33, at the time of this writing. Oil traders have been discouraged by the lack of any breakthrough in talks between some [...] Continue Reading


GBP/USD – poised to resume major bearish trend?

Updated -  Feb 8, 2016 4:30:00 PM By James Chen, CMT

GBP/USD began the new trading week on Monday by extending its recent retreat from last week’s one-month high above 1.4600, which is also where its 50-day moving average was situated. This retreat follows a sharp rally within the past couple of weeks that represented an upside pullback within the larger bearish trend. While significantly lowered expectations of a US Federal Reserve rate hike in the foreseeable future may have capped the dollar’s strength for the [...] Continue Reading


EM Rundown: Which emerging markets will capitalize on falling currencies?

Updated -  Feb 8, 2016 3:15:00 PM By Matt Weller, CMT

As we noted earlier this morning, it’s shaping up as a classic “risk-off” day as global stocks, oil and high-yielding bonds continue to sell off in the US afternoon session. Naturally, that also means that emerging market currencies are having a rough go of it as well, with widely-followed EM currencies like the Turkish lira, South African rand, and Mexican peso all losing ground against the dollar. While the greenback fell relatively sharply across [...] Continue Reading


Gold shines at new seven-month high on sharp plunge in equities

Updated -  Feb 8, 2016 1:30:00 PM By James Chen, CMT

The further plunge in global equity markets that has marked the beginning of this new trading week has understandably helped to prop up certain assets that are considered safer alternatives to volatile stocks. These “safe haven” instruments include the Japanese yen and gold. In the case of gold, this persistent volatility in equities has been joined by a recent drop in the value of the US dollar along with lowered expectations of further Fed rate [...] Continue Reading


S&P 500 hovering dangerously above key support

Updated -  Feb 8, 2016 12:00:00 PM By Fawad Razaqzada

As we noted earlier, global equities have plunged today amid growing growth concerns and continues weakness in oil prices. In the US, the major indices are off by over 2-3 per cent each, led by sharp falls in consumer discretionary and financial sectors. The selling pressure could exacerbate if the indices break support. For the S&P 500, the key support is around 1820/30, which is where it bounced from in mid-January off. However, that [...] Continue Reading


USD/JPY: Things could get ugly if we break major support at 116.00

Updated -  Feb 8, 2016 10:00:00 AM By Matt Weller, CMT

After Friday’s not-as-bad-as-it-appeared NFP report, traders were optimistic that we would see risk sentiment return with Chinese markets on holiday this week, but so far those hopes have not been realized. It’s been an ugly start to the week for so-called “risk assets,” with global stocks, oil, and high-yield bonds all on the back foot at the start of the US session. Beyond oil, one of the best indicators of global trader sentiment [...] Continue Reading


STOCKS: Banks battered as growth concerns intensify; DAX breaks key level

Updated -  Feb 8, 2016 7:20:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

European stocks have been battered this morning, with banks taking the brunt of the sell-off. Sentiment continues to remain downbeat because of growing concerns about the global economy, which is not looking healthy at all at the moment with growth in China slowing down and the US struggling. In addition, oil prices have been unable to further extend their recent gains and are now down for the third consecutive session with WTI trading at $30 [...] Continue Reading


WTI still in its bearish channel despite week-long rollercoaster ride

Updated -  Feb 5, 2016 3:30:00 PM By Matt Weller, CMT

It’s been a roller coaster ride of a week for all major asset classes, but the moves in oil were perhaps the most harrowing. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil opened Monday’s trade near 34.00, fell by over 13% I the first two days of the week to bottom in the mid-29.00s, surged all the way back to a high near 33.50 yesterday, and finally turned lower today to trade back below 31.00 as of [...] Continue Reading


NFP Recap: Not as bad as it looks…

Updated -  Feb 5, 2016 9:15:00 AM By Matt Weller, CMT

As the monthly tradition dictates, traders eagerly awaited today’s US jobs report with the (lack of) patience of a kid on Christmas. When the report was finally unveiled, it was by no means the anticipated “Red Ryder Carbine Action 200-shot Range Model air rifle with a compass in the stock and this thing which tells time (a sundial)” that Ralphie Parker desperately wanted in the classic 1983 film “A Christmas Story,” but it’s hardly as [...] Continue Reading


Gold’s impressive surge continues ahead of NFP

Updated -  Feb 5, 2016 6:40:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

Gold’s 10 per cent rally since early December has certainly been impressive, but not a surprise given the on-going stock market turmoil and dollar weakness. The precious metal obviously pays no interest or dividends, and costs money to store. But then again with central bank currency war being at full throttle, yields are universally low or come with undesirably high risks. Given the current level of investor pessimism about the global economy, investors are unsurprisingly [...] Continue Reading


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