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FX analysis: Brexit-Driven Rollercoaster Rocks Markets

Updated -  Jul 1, 2016 1:10:00 PM By James Chen, CMT

Needless to say, markets in the past week have been rocked to and fro by the prior week’s Brexit decision. In the aftermath of Britain’s historic vote to leave the European Union and the resulting political turmoil, global financial markets have reacted in extreme and varied ways. Immediately after last Friday’s stunning revelation of the UK’s vote in favor of a Brexit, markets responded generally in-line with prior projections. Sterling was expectedly hit the worst, [...] Continue Reading


Silver: precious metals soar as yields plunge

Updated -  Jul 1, 2016 7:45:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

Precious metals have lived up to expectations at these times of high uncertainty. Gold has managed to hold onto most of the Brexit-related gains made at the end of last week, while silver has actually made significantly more. Unlike the former, the latter has also many industrial uses and so when base metal like copper rally, silver benefits from this source, too. It is therefore also less sensitive to the “risk-on, risk-off” trade that the [...] Continue Reading


GBP/USD tumbles towards post-Brexit lows after Bank of England speech

Updated -  Jun 30, 2016 3:00:00 PM By James Chen, CMT

Bank of England (BoE) Governor Mark Carney made a speech on Thursday indicating that the central bank is likely to cut interest rates within the coming months in reaction to last week’s Brexit outcome that saw the UK vote to leave the European Union. Carney stressed that while the results of the referendum have been made clear, the full implications of a Brexit on the UK’s economy have not yet. Carney spoke earlier in a [...] Continue Reading


EUR/USD tests key level as Eurozone climbs out of deflation

Updated -  Jun 30, 2016 5:50:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

Inflation in the Eurozone moved in the positive territory after spending no less than four straights months below zero. According to the Eurostat, the headline ‘flash’ Consumer Price Index (CPI) measure of inflation rose 0.1 per cent in June from -0.1% in May on a year-over-year basis. Core CPI was up 0.9% versus 0.8% previously. Both measures topped expectations by 0.1 percentage points. There was good news from Germany, too, as the rate of unemployment [...] Continue Reading


Gold stays afloat despite risk-on markets

Updated -  Jun 29, 2016 6:00:00 PM By James Chen, CMT

Wednesday was another “risk-on” day for the global financial markets, extending Tuesday’s bullish reversal as Brexit worries continued to abate. US and UK stocks surged sharply as crude oil spiked up on a much larger-than-expected draw in US crude oil inventories (-4.1-million-barrel draw vs. -2.3 million expected) as reported by the US Energy Information Administration. Meanwhile, sterling and euro extended their respective rebounds from Tuesday, only days after both currencies plummeted when Brexit voters emerged [...] Continue Reading


EUR/CAD: one to watch

Updated -  Jun 29, 2016 12:55:00 PM By Fawad Razaqzada

Today’s biggest surprise was perhaps the rallying stock markets with the UK’s FTSE 100 climbing by a good 3.5%, led by stocks that had suffered heavily in the immediate aftermath of the Brexit vote. The FTSE was no doubt supported also by the rallying prices of commodities which helped the precious metals miner Fresnillo climb nearly 10% to top the index. Crude oil also jumped following the publication of the latest US stockpiles report, which [...] Continue Reading


FTSE not out of the woods yet

Updated -  Jun 29, 2016 7:00:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

The bigger the drop, the bigger the rebound. That is what has happened with the FTSE 100 index in the aftermath of the UK’s vote to leave the EU. In fact, the rebound has been so profound that the index has nearly made good all the losses suffered since the Brexit vote. Clearly, some investors who were lucky enough to come through the Brexit-stimulated drop relatively unscathed may now use this opportunity to either cut [...] Continue Reading


EUR/GBP maintains strength as sterling softness endures

Updated -  Jun 28, 2016 4:50:00 PM By James Chen, CMT

Although the euro and pound both suffered massive hits as a result of last week’s Brexit decision, the euro has fared substantially better than sterling in the aftermath of Thursday’s EU referendum. While both currencies were expected to plunge on a Brexit outcome, it was also projected that the British pound would endure a significantly more severe blow. This was indeed to be the case, as the EUR/GBP chart displays an exceptionally sharp surge from [...] Continue Reading


Risk on or risk off? Silver rises come rain or shine

Updated -  Jun 28, 2016 1:45:00 PM By Fawad Razaqzada

Is it really “risk-on” today, or are the sellers just taking a breather after what must have been a very rewarding period for them? In other words, are the buyers back in numbers or are the sellers just easing off the gas? While no one can answer these questions with certainty, it is likely that today’s apparent “risk-on” trade is a combination of the two: bargain hunting and profit-taking. This is what makes silver the [...] Continue Reading


EUR/JPY rebounds from lows but downside pressure remains

Updated -  Jun 28, 2016 1:20:00 PM By James Chen, CMT

Both sterling and the euro found some relief on Tuesday with relatively modest bounces as profit-taking on short positions occurred after recent sharp declines, and the markets took a tentative breather from Brexit concerns. As may have been expected on such a breather, global stocks also generally bounced and safe haven gold fell from its recent long-term highs. Another major safe haven asset, the Japanese yen, which had been in exceptionally high demand after the [...] Continue Reading


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Disclaimer: The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient. Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warranty that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.

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