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Live Updates

The kiwi’s woes continue

Updated -  Sep 23, 2014 9:49:57 PM By Chris Tedder

It was a dismal night for the kiwi, with NZDUSD smashing through a support zone around 0.81000 on the back of USD strength, fears about China’s economy and Fonterra’s decision to cut its forecast milk payout to NZ farmers. This weight on the kiwi is beginning measured against better than expected trade data and the National Party’s big win at the weekend’s elections, but this isn’t enough to save the commodity currency. Earlier today NZ [...] Continue Reading

Tags: AUD, FX, NZD

EURGBP: Will Euro Get Pounded to 6-Year Lows?

Updated -  Sep 23, 2014 2:25:00 PM By Matt Weller, CMT

Last week, we highlighted the key levels to watch on EURGBP ahead of the highly anticipated Scottish Independence referendum. As we all know by now, the Scots decided to stay in the UK in exchange for greater freedoms and more autonomy (the so-called “Devo Max” that my colleague Kathleen Brooks covered in depth on Friday). While the political balance of power in the UK is far from settled, traders have pushed the pound higher [...] Continue Reading

NZD/USD breaks key Fibonacci support area, paves way for more losses

Updated -  Sep 23, 2014 11:55:00 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

The NZD/USD’s downward move continues and today it has dropped to its lowest level since early February. After spending several days consolidating around 0.8125/35, which is a key Fibonacci support area, the Kiwi seems like it is ready to head further south. At the time of this writing the currency pair was just shy of reaching the February low at 0.8050. While a short-term bounce here is possible, say as a result of profit-taking, the [...] Continue Reading

EURUSD: Quietly Carving Out a Near-Term Bottom?

Updated -  Sep 23, 2014 8:20:00 AM By Matt Weller, CMT

It’s been a rough couple of months for EURUSD bulls. It seems like only yesterday when the world’s most widely-traded currency pair was knocking on the door of 1.40 and bulls assumed that the good times were here to stay. Flash forward four months: the pair has collapsed to nearly 1.28, a drop of almost 1,200 pips, and it has closed lower in 9 of the past 10 weeks. While traders should always be cautious [...] Continue Reading

Gold jumps on safe haven demand and as dollar, stocks fall

Updated -  Sep 23, 2014 7:20:48 AM By Fawad Razaqzada

Risk is off the menu today with stocks plunging and the safe haven yen and gold rising. It is not clear what exactly has caused this latest rise in risk aversion. After all, the conflicts in the Middle East had been on-going but ignored by the financial markets for months now and so the bombing of Syria by the US and its Arab allies is unlikely to be the sole reason boosting demand for safe [...] Continue Reading

China’s PMI surprise doesn’t change anything

Updated -  Sep 23, 2014 12:18:16 AM By Chris Tedder

The Australian dollar was briefly propelled higher by an unexpected increase in activity in China’s private manufacturing sector. HSBC’s reading of China’s flash September Manufacturing PMI jumped to 50.5, up from last month’s final reading of 50.2 and better than an expected fall to 50.0. The figures are mildly encouraging because they point to stabilisation in China’s manufacturing sector. The slightly positive surprise was enough to propel AUDUSD up to a resistance zone around [...] Continue Reading

AUDJPY hits a key support zone ahead of important Chinese data

Updated -  Sep 22, 2014 7:53:35 PM By Chris Tedder

It’s been a bad start to the week for the Australian dollar, with the commodity currency facing heaving selling pressure overnight that pushed it through 0.8900 against the US dollar (see my colleague Matt Weller’s report on AUDUSD). While the sell-off in AUDJPY was less extreme due to some mild yen strength, the pair has been brought to a key support zone (see chart). As we can see from the chart below, the support [...] Continue Reading

EM Rundown: Two Key Central Bank Meetings on Tap

Updated -  Sep 22, 2014 3:00:00 PM By Matt Weller, CMT

As we roll into a new trading week, the biggest story remains the uninterrupted rally in the world’s reserve currency. For the first time since President Nixon officially severed the US dollar’s fixed link to gold back in 1973, the US dollar index has risen for ten consecutive weeks. Of course, the dollar index only measures the greenback’s performance against G10 currencies, but the buck has also rallied against almost all the major emerging markets [...] Continue Reading

FTSE down on Tesco and as Scottish jubilations fade; key support being tested

Updated -  Sep 22, 2014 1:35:00 PM By Fawad Razaqzada

What a volatile few days it has been for the FTSE! At end of last week, the UK index staged a relief rally as the market priced in and then reacted to news of a No vote for Scottish independence. That rally quickly came to a halt on Friday at around the key 6890/6900 resistance area, leading to an equally sharp pullback that continued into today’s session. The selling was exacerbated by the fact [...] Continue Reading

AUDUSD Turns Negative for the Year on China Concerns

Updated -  Sep 22, 2014 9:00:00 AM By Matt Weller, CMT

It’s been another quiet start to the trading week, with by far the most interesting move developing in the AUDUSD. Just two weeks ago, we highlighted the big Head-and-Shoulders pattern on the pair, concluding that, “…bears may eventually look to target the 61.8% retracement of the H1 rally at .8980 or the measured move target projection of the H&S pattern at .8950” as a result of the pattern (see “AUDUSD on the Verge of [...] Continue Reading

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Disclaimer: The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient. Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warranty that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.

Futures, Options on Futures, Foreign Exchange and other leveraged products involves significant risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Increasing leverage increases risk. Spot Gold and Silver contracts are not subject to regulation under the U.S. Commodity Exchange Act. Contracts for Difference (CFDs) are not available for US residents. Before deciding to trade forex and commodity futures, you should carefully consider your financial objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained herein is intended as general information about the subject matter covered and is provided with the understanding that is not rendering investment, legal, or tax advice. You should consult with appropriate counsel or other advisors on all investment, legal, or tax matters. is regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) in the US, by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) in the UK, the Australian Securities and Investment Commission (ASIC) in Australia, the Financial Services Agency (FSA) in Japan, the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada (IIROC) in Canada and the Securities and Futures Commission of Hong Kong (SFC) in Hong Kong. Please read Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options.


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