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Updated May 9, 2013 9:20:00 AM
US weekly initial jobless claims released this morning unexpectedly declined to a new multi-year low of 323k from the prior week’s upwardly revised 327k (prev 324k). Markets were anticipating an increase to 335k and the drop showed continued improvement in labor markets as this was the third consecutive week of declining jobless claims. The 4-week moving average which acts to smooth the more volatile weekly figures also fell for the third straight week, dropping to [...] Continue Reading ...
Updated May 9, 2013 3:00:00 AM
US stocks continue to extend record highs and the party might not yet be over. Even though the global economic backdrop is shaky, investors are still piling into equities. Even more interestingly, the cyclical, or risky, sectors of the S&P 500 are starting to out-perform the defensive sectors of the market. When this happens it suggests two things: 1, investors are more confident and 2, the markets may see another leg higher. As you [...] Continue Reading ...
Updated May 22, 2013 11:00:00 AM
When stock markets are at record highs it can be a stressful time as history tells us that bull runs always come to an end. In the past, a lead indicator of market sentiment has been the gold/ silver ratio. This is the gold price divided by the price of silver, when it is moving higher the gold price is outpacing gains in silver, and vice versa. Since gold is considered a safe haven [...] Continue Reading ...
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