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Research Results

Results for 'USD/NOK'

5 articles with this tag name

What Do Collapsing Oil Prices Mean for FX?

Updated  Nov 4, 2014 8:45:00 AM

As my colleague Fawad Razaqzada noted earlier today, oil prices are extending their recent collapse heading into today’s US session. The primary factors driving oil lower are the same ones your Economics 101 teacher droned on about during the first week of class: high supply (from Saudi Arabia increasing production) and low demand (from slowing economic growth in the Eurozone and China). In our view, the path of least resistance remains to the downside  [...] Continue Reading ...

USDNOK: Krone Crumbling on Collapsing Crude

Updated  Jul 15, 2014 2:00:00 PM

The recent freefall in Scandanavian currencies has been one of the most underreported stories in the FX market over the past couple of weeks. With both the Norges bank and the Riksbank swerving sharply to the dovish end of the central bank spectrum, traders have relentlessly sold both countries’ currencies. My colleague Fawad Razaqzada already touched on the Swedish krona today, but it’s also worthwhile to catch up with Sweden’s western neighbor. For  [...] Continue Reading ...

USDNOK Rallying on Falling Oil Prices, but Gas May Soon Run Out

Updated  Jul 2, 2014 8:45:00 AM

The USDNOK has been in rally mode for the last two weeks, when the Norges Bank explicitly pushed back its timeline for hiking interest rates to the end of next year (vs. the middle of 2015 previously). In fact, the central bank even hinted that it may have to cut interest rates in the interim to revive economic growth. Another fundamental factor that has been weighing on the Norwegian krone is the falling price  [...] Continue Reading ...

US CPI Clears Subdued Expectations as USDNOK Bull Flag Nears Support

Updated  Nov 20, 2014 8:50:00 AM

With global central banks collectively shifting their focus to inflation, or the lack thereof, traders were awaiting today’s US CPI release with bated breath. Expectations were very subdued heading into the report, with economists expecting -0.1% contraction m/m (or 1.6% on a y/y basis), and while the actual CPI release was hardly stellar, it did manage to clear this low hurdle. October CPI printed at 0.0% m/m (1.7% y/y), while Core CPI came out  [...] Continue Reading ...

The “kNOK-On” Effects of Oil’s Drop

Updated  Nov 13, 2014 3:15:00 PM

The big story in global markets today is yet another leg lower in oil prices. As my colleague Fawad Razaqzada discussed earlier, WTI oil was testing key support in the 75.00-76.00 zone, while the Brent contract was pressing against key psychological support at 80.00 ahead of today’s crude oil inventory data. Interestingly, the report actually showed that inventories declined by 1.7M barrels, compared to a rise of 0.7M expected, but as always, the  [...] Continue Reading ...

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