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Research Results

Results for 'USD/NOK'

6 articles with this tag name

USDNOK: Signs of a Bearish Reversal Off Key 7.8650 Barrier?

Updated  Jan 19, 2015 8:50:00 AM


It’s been a rather lackluster start to what promises to be an action-packed week for traders. The only economic reports of note were Eurozone current account data from November (worse than expected at a €18.1B surplus) and Swiss PPI (slightly better-than-expected, though of course, not particularly relevant given last week’s SNB decision). Unfortunately, trading conditions in today’s US session may prove to be even more lackluster, with equity and bond markets closed for the  [...] Continue Reading ...


USDNOK: Did 7.85 Mark a Near-Term Top?

Updated  Feb 4, 2015 2:50:00 PM


The big drop in oil prices over the past 8 months has created many winners and losers, but one of the biggest losers has undoubtedly been Norway. The northern European country derives around two-thirds of exports from oil from crude oil and petroleum products, representing 20% of GDP, so its economy is particularly sensitive to changes in the price of oil. Oil rallied strongly over the previous three days, but it is down over  [...] Continue Reading ...


US CPI Clears Subdued Expectations as USDNOK Bull Flag Nears Support

Updated  Nov 20, 2014 8:50:00 AM


With global central banks collectively shifting their focus to inflation, or the lack thereof, traders were awaiting today’s US CPI release with bated breath. Expectations were very subdued heading into the report, with economists expecting -0.1% contraction m/m (or 1.6% on a y/y basis), and while the actual CPI release was hardly stellar, it did manage to clear this low hurdle. October CPI printed at 0.0% m/m (1.7% y/y), while Core CPI came out  [...] Continue Reading ...


The “kNOK-On” Effects of Oil’s Drop

Updated  Nov 13, 2014 3:15:00 PM


The big story in global markets today is yet another leg lower in oil prices. As my colleague Fawad Razaqzada discussed earlier, WTI oil was testing key support in the 75.00-76.00 zone, while the Brent contract was pressing against key psychological support at 80.00 ahead of today’s crude oil inventory data. Interestingly, the report actually showed that inventories declined by 1.7M barrels, compared to a rise of 0.7M expected, but as always, the  [...] Continue Reading ...


NOK: Looking for a rate cut…

Updated  Dec 10, 2014 6:20:00 AM


With one day to go until the Norges bank makes its final monetary policy decision of the year, the market is dumping the NOK. EURNOK has surged to a 5-year high and the NOK has also fallen to a 9-month low vs. the SEK. The sell-off started after some weak inflation data was released this morning. While November CPI was only a notch weaker at 1.9% YoY, there was a shock decline for producer prices,  [...] Continue Reading ...


Is it time to cut the Nokkie some slack?

Updated  Jan 7, 2015 7:45:00 AM


USDNOK made another record high today, as the Nokkie further entrenches its position as the worst performer in the G10 FX space so far in 2015. The dip below $50 in Brent crude oil, a fresh  6-year low, earlier today was a reminder of how strongly correlated the NOK is to the oil price. But is it time for a break in the selling pressure, if only for the short term? Brent crude is  [...] Continue Reading ...


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