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Research Results

Results for 'AUD/USD'

64 articles with this tag name

Weekly Strategy-Sell AUD/USD for Another Wave of Risk Aversion

Updated  Oct 13, 2011 3:55:00 PM


AUD/USD has experienced an outsized rebound as markets were caught extremely short of risk following last weekend's pledge by German and French leaders to deliver a comprehensive solution to the Eurozone debt crisis. Whether or not they can actually come up with a credible plan remains to be seen, but regardless we think the global growth outlook is continuing to slow and that ultimately risk assets should move lower again. Our preference is to sell  [...] Continue Reading ...


This bout of volatility is both good and bad for AUD

Updated  Oct 16, 2014 8:57:28 PM


The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has been very vocal about the need for a lower exchange rate to support trade exposed sectors of the economy. The bank was constantly stating that the level of the aussie was unjustified and it was due for a significant correction lower. This argument was founded on the idea that AUD was, and still is according to the RBA, fundamentally overvalued. Glen Stevens and his colleagues on the board  [...] Continue Reading ...


The RBA’s game-changing policy meeting sinks the aussie

Updated  Feb 2, 2015 11:31:04 PM


The Reserve Bank of Australia cut the official cash rate to 2.25% from 2.5% as we expected, but the market wasn’t as sure the bank would move rates this month. The announcement gave AUD bears all the incentive they needed to resume mauling the currency. The ensuing sell-off in the Australian dollar has sent AUDUSD through 0.7800 and 0.7700 and onto its lowest level in over 5.5 years, before finally finding some support around 0.7650.  [...] Continue Reading ...


The RBA maintains the status quo, AUDUSD rallies

Updated  Dec 1, 2014 11:51:15 PM


The market was geared for more a dovish statement from the RBA prior to the conclusion of the bank’s policy meeting. The actual statement from Governor Stevens was very similar to prior statements and didn’t include any new hints pointing towards possible further policy easing, which helped to boost the Australian dollar through a resistance zone around 0.8500 against the USD. The RBA reiterated that the most likely course of action would be a  [...] Continue Reading ...


The RBA maintains the status quo

Updated  Nov 4, 2014 12:08:50 AM


The Reserve Bank of Australia left the official cash rate at a record low 2.5% as expected. The bank also reiterated once again that the most prudent course is likely to be a period of stability in interest rates. On the whole, the entire meeting proved to be largely a non-event for the market, although there was a slight relief rally in the Australian dollar. On the aussie, Governor Stevens stated that “the exchange  [...] Continue Reading ...


The PBoC’s decision to use its big guns saves AUDUSD

Updated  Nov 23, 2014 9:04:57 PM


The People’s Bank of China (PBoC) unexpectedly announced on Friday that it is cutting its benchmark rate for the first time since 2012, which sent investors flocking towards the commodity-backed Australian dollar. Prior to this, AUDUSD was hovering precariously close to an important support zone around 0.8600. If there pair fell through here there wouldn’t be much technical support until it reached an all-important support zone around 0.8550. China pulls out the big guns  [...] Continue Reading ...


The aussie’s big day

Updated  Jan 8, 2015 6:24:29 PM


It’s going to be a big day for the Australian dollar with the release of important economic data out of China and Australia later in the Asia session. The ABS is due to release Australia’s retail sales figures at 1130AEST (expected 0.2% m/m) and we are expecting China’s inflation figures for December at 1230AEST (0130GMT). Consumer prices are expected to jump 1.5% y/y, slightly higher than the prior month’s 1.4% y/y increase but below the  [...] Continue Reading ...


Softer inflation gives the RBA room to maintain loose policy

Updated  Oct 21, 2014 10:25:12 PM


A drop in inflation in Australia has provided the Reserve Bank of Australia with more room to leave interest rates at lows levels for an extended period of time. Consumer prices rose 0.5% q/q last quarter, bringing year-on-year growth to 2.3%. This is slightly better than an expected increase of 0.4% q/q and a headline rate of inflation of 2.25%. Overall inflation now sits at its lowest level since Q3 last year as prices  [...] Continue Reading ...


Risk adverse investors push Australian 10-year bond yields to a new record low

Updated  Jan 6, 2015 10:47:51 PM


A search for relatively high yielding safe haven assets has sent investors flocking to Australian government debt, pushing 10-year yields to a record low 2.66% at the time of writing. The prior all-time low of 2.7% was last seen during the height of the Greek debt crisis in 2012. This time around the risk adverse sentiment in the market stems from concern about the impact that low oil prices are having on producer economies, the  [...] Continue Reading ...


Research Note: U.S. May Employment Report

Updated  May 31, 2012 3:00:00 PM


Summary Outlook: On Friday, June 1 at 0830ET/1330GMT the US is forecast to report a change in non-farm payrolls (NFP) of +150K (prior +115K; range +225/+75K), a change in private payrolls of +160K (prior +130K; range +190K/+80K) and a steady unemployment rate of 8.1% (range 8.2/8.0%), according to Bloomberg market surveys. Recent employment data has been relatively mixed, however it broadly suggests continued softness in the labor market. While weekly initial jobless claims rose  [...] Continue Reading ...


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