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Research Results

Results for 'GBP/USD'

64 articles with this tag name

Why women are to blame for today’s spike in the pound

Updated  Jul 15, 2014 7:40:00 AM

The pound is the strongest performer in the G10 space so far today and recently made a fresh high ahead of the UK lunchtime. The key driver of the pound was stronger than expected inflation data, with headline CPI rising to its highest level since January and core CPI rising to 2%, the Bank of England’s target rate. So why did inflation jump from 1.5% to 1.9% when the market was expecting 1.6%? The Office  [...] Continue Reading ...

What to expect from the BOE’s Inflation Report

Updated  Aug 12, 2014 7:20:00 AM

There is a double whammy of event risk for the UK on Wednesday. First up the employment data for June and July is released at 0930 BST/ 0430 ET, then one hour later Mark Carney will deliver the third Bank of England Inflation Report of 2014. The latter could give the market another steer on when to expect interest rates to rise. The former will be important to see if the labour market can continue  [...] Continue Reading ...

USD: to break out, or not to break out…

Updated  May 28, 2014 9:10:00 AM

We mentioned earlier that today would all be about levels, there is limited economic data coming out of the US and no Fed speakers, which could leave the market free to focus on the technicals. One level that is sticking out like a sore thumb is 80.38 - the 200-day moving average in the dollar index. We crossed above this level earlier today as both EURUSD and GBPUSD came under sharp downside pressure. Figure  [...] Continue Reading ...

USD/JPY key levels to watch ahead of NFP

Updated  Oct 3, 2014 8:10:00 AM

So, the nonfarm payrolls report is due in less than half an hour and the market is expecting a 215,000 rise in the number of jobs gained in September with the unemployment rate seen unchanged at 6.1%. My colleagues Matt Weller and Neal Gilbert have already prepared their usual NFP preview and forecasts HERE – definitely worth a read. As they mention in their reports, the USD/JPY has one of the most reliable reactions  [...] Continue Reading ...

USD Bulls on Parade!

Updated  Jul 29, 2014 1:45:00 PM

Without a doubt, the defining theme for the month of July has been the greenback’s rampage higher. The USD index, which represents the value of the US Dollar against a weighted basket of the world’s most important currencies, rose from 79.75 at the start of the month to 81.25; while a roughly 2% move over the course of month may not sound particularly impressive, the broad-based rally has taken the dollar index to its highest  [...] Continue Reading ...

US Economy Sprinting to the 2014 Finish Line While Fed Tries to Catch Up

Updated  Jul 29, 2014 3:00:00 PM

** I originally published this piece as a Mid-Year Update for the US Economy at last week, but wanted to republish it here for anyone who may have missed it, especially with so many important economic reports coming out over the next 24 hours! ** If we think of 2014 as a track race, the US economy undoubtedly stumbled out of the starting blocks to begin the year. Heading into January, traders and  [...] Continue Reading ...

UK economic rebound fails to excite the markets

Updated  Jul 25, 2014 6:20:00 AM

This morning we had confirmation of another solid quarter of growth for the UK. Q2 GDP rose by 0.8%, the same pace at Q1. This is encouraging as there were plenty of headwinds to knock the economy off course, including geopolitical fears, rising expectations of a UK interest rate increase and a surge in the pound. Our annual rate of growth is now 3.1%, up from 3% in Q1. To put this in some  [...] Continue Reading ...

Tough Luck for North America

Updated  Jun 13, 2014 10:59:29 AM

*** Check out our new video series on YouTube called “The Lowdown” for more daily content! *** The triskaidekaphobic among us are probably pointing at their trading screens yelling “SEEEEEE!?!?!” with wide grins and manic giggles this morning as the first half of the North American trading session brought absolutely no luck to economic releases.  Both the US and Canada missed consensus on every single important figure, going 0 for 6 in the process.   [...] Continue Reading ...

STOCKS: European movers and shakers

Updated  May 28, 2014 4:50:00 AM

It’s all about levels today, as economic data plays second fiddle as corporate news is fairly thin on the ground. This has triggered some nervousness as we approach record highs. European markets have failed to go where their US counterparts went before, and are weaker today although the US markets made a fresh record high on Tuesday. 1,912 is the level to beat in the S&P 500, and momentum indicators suggest there could be  [...] Continue Reading ...

September Month-End Model Favors Slight USD Strength

Updated  Sep 29, 2014 8:30:00 AM

Background: Traders often discuss how ‘month end’ flows may impact a currency or a currency pair during the last few day(s) of the month. These flows are caused by global portfolio managers rebalancing their existing currency hedges. If the value of one country’s equity and bond markets increases, these money managers typically look to sell or hedge their elevated risk in that country’s currency and rebalance their exposure back to an underperforming country’s currency. The  [...] Continue Reading ...

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