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Research Results

Results for 'GBP/USD'

58 articles with this tag name

Yellen vs. Carney and the impact on GBPUSD

Updated  Mar 20, 2014 7:30:00 AM

Janet Yellen’s first press conference as Fed governor on Wednesday caused a stir in the markets, which has lasted into Thursday. Yellen suggested that there may be a shorter period of time between ending tapering and starting to hike rates, which triggered a sharp sell-off in risky assets, the dollar surged and Treasury yields also jumped more than 10 basis points. This was reminiscent of the market swoon post Bernanke’s comments in June last  [...] Continue Reading ...

Yellen at Congress

Updated  Feb 11, 2014 11:55:27 AM

Yellen at Congress Global markets are taking new Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen’s testimony in stride this morning as her prepared remarks indicated that the plan to taper Quantitative Easing is proceeding along its intended path.  Risk related products like US equities, EUR, GBP, AUD, NZD, CAD, and even Gold rallied once an initial selloff subsided.  After some soap box grandstanding by the members of the committee, they allowed Yellen to speak and  [...] Continue Reading ...

UK Inflation Report: Forward Guidance 2.0

Updated  Feb 12, 2014 6:55:00 AM

Well done Mr Carney. After some less than inspiring performances in his initial couple of Inflation Reports, the BOE’s communications department has surpassed itself and the Governors remarks were well laid out and easy for the market to read. Here are some of the highlights from the latest Inflation Report: Economic outlook: Forward Guidance: Forward Guidance 2.0: The BOE used this Inflation Report to unveil the evolution of forward guidance, which  [...] Continue Reading ...

UK Inflation Report: Carney’s chance to make forward guidance work

Updated  Feb 10, 2014 12:20:00 PM

On Wednesday 12th February the Bank of England will release its first Inflation Report of 2014. This report includes the Bank’s latest inflation and growth forecasts, but the market will be most interested in what BOE Governor Mark Carney has to say about the Bank’s policy of Forward Guidance. Back in August, when the Bank first announced forward guidance, it predicted that the unemployment rate would not fall to the 7% threshold for three  [...] Continue Reading ...

Triangulating the NZD/USD

Updated  Jan 28, 2014 12:01:22 PM

The relative calming of global markets that started yesterday carried through the evening and is permeating the North American trading session as well so far this morning.  While overnight data did little to rankle markets, US data is providing a little more oomph to get things rolling.  To start the day off, the historically unpredictable US Durable Goods Orders could be described as Durable BAD Orders as it declined 4.3% on expectations of a 1.8%  [...] Continue Reading ...

The UK data plays into Mark Carney’s hands

Updated  Feb 19, 2014 5:20:00 AM

Mark Carney’s wishes may have come true. After the UK economy started to look too strong for forward guidance version one, it has cooled down a bit in recent months, which helps to justify forward guidance 2.0. Yesterday we had cooing in inflation pressure, today it was the labour market’s chance to come off the boil. The unemployment rate actually rose in December to 7.2% from 7.1%. This may be down to a statistical  [...] Continue Reading ...

The end of forward guidance and GBP

Updated  Jan 24, 2014 4:55:00 AM

The big news overnight was Mark Carney’s admission to Jeremy Paxman on BBC’s Newsnight that forward guidance was a dud. The Bank governor hinted that the unemployment rate threshold would be disbanded with, most likely at next month’s presentation of the Inflation Report. The market had expected the threshold would be decreased since the unemployment rate fell to 7.1% in December. Now it looks like the Bank will move to a broader threshold that could  [...] Continue Reading ...

Tags: BOE, currency, GBP/USD

Opening range suggests key US & UK economic data this week may whipsaw GBPUSD

Updated  Mar 26, 2014 6:00:00 PM

Let’s face it, the whole purpose of doing any form of analysis, whether that is technical, fundamental or statistical, is to try to identify higher probability trading opportunities. As many of you know, one of my favorite strategies is the utilization of a European opening range and while it will typically focus on EURUSD it can be applied to any of the European majors. Earlier today we highlighted a potential GBPUSD scenario on Twitter  [...] Continue Reading ...

NZD/JPY: Ready to Be Carried?

Updated  Mar 14, 2014 11:47:10 AM

Risk markets are trying to mount a recovery on the last trading day in North America this morning after yesterday afternoon’s wobbly price action.  News out of the Ukraine hasn’t changed much since yesterday, so as has been the theme since Ukraine became a talking point, a day full of selling is followed with a day full of buying.  The EUR/USD retook 1.39; the GBP/USD surged back above 1.66; and the AUD/USD bounced off 0.90;  [...] Continue Reading ...

NZD, Easy as ABC...?

Updated  Feb 21, 2014 12:08:58 PM

NZD, Easy as ABC...? Wild swings in currencies and equities have defined the North American trading session so far this morning on the back of renewed optimism in Ukraine.  Markets were relatively subdued overnight despite the release of less than stellar data from the UK and a downgrade of Ukraine by Standard and Poor’s rating agency.  Much of the North American data was ignored though as US data notched another weather-related disappointment in Existing  [...] Continue Reading ...

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