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Research Results

Results for 'GBP/USD'

46 articles with this tag name

Will This Week’s Data Take GBPUSD to a New 14-Month Low?

Updated  Nov 5, 2014 1:00:00 PM

The US elections are now behind us, and as widely anticipated, Republicans have solidified their lead in the House of Representatives and seized control of the Senate. For the next two years, the legislative branch of the government will be controlled by the Republican majority, whereas the executive branch (President) is Democratic. While the Republicans’ strong performance may lead to some progress on trade and energy policies among others, the gridlock that has ensnared Washington  [...] Continue Reading ...

Will the BOE admit they got it wrong again?

Updated  Nov 11, 2014 2:55:00 PM

On Wednesday 12th November the Bank of England will deliver its final Inflation Report of the year, and all eyes will be on potential changes to the growth and inflation forecasts. Forecast revisions In the August report the BOE expected GDP of 3.5% for this year, 3.1% for 2015 and 2.6% in 2016. However, after a weaker than expected Q3 reading for UK GDP of 0.7%, versus BOE forecasts of 0.9%, and some  [...] Continue Reading ...

UK update: US CPI could determine the pound’s next move

Updated  Jan 13, 2015 6:10:00 AM

If you think that the UK is in a deflationary spiral, then look to Greece to get a sense of what true deflation looks like. UK headline CPI fell to a mere 0.5% annual rate last month, half the rate that it was in November. When prices fall at this pace it is bad news, but the UK could be getting off lightly. In Greece prices are falling at a 2.6% annualised rate as the  [...] Continue Reading ...

UK labour market dynamics support GBP surge

Updated  Feb 18, 2015 5:10:00 AM

The UK economy continues to go from strength to strength at the start of this year. The economy created a whopping 103K jobs in the three months to December, more than double the rate expected, the number of people claiming benefits has fallen to just 2.5% of the working age population and wages are on  the rise. This is good news for the consumer, and also for Prime Minister David Cameron as we lead up  [...] Continue Reading ...

UK employment data: a tiny something to get excited about

Updated  Nov 12, 2014 6:50:00 AM

For the first time since 2009, UK wage packets are above inflation. Although wage growth (ex-bonuses) are a paltry 1.3%, inflation is falling at a fast enough rate for customers to finally break just about even. After years of high inflation and falling wages we could be at a sweet spot for the Bank of England. Falling CPI at the same time that wages are finally rising on the back of a tightening labour  [...] Continue Reading ...

Re-cap: Autumn Statement: Osborne turns Scrooge as tax take declines

Updated  Dec 3, 2014 4:45:00 AM

Today is Osborne’s big day, if you missed this from earlier this week, get our take on what to expect and the potential impact on UK markets below.   The Autumn  statement ahead of a General Election is usually a treasure trove of giveaways as Chancellors’ desperately do their bit to woo the electorate. However, this Wednesday at approx. 1230 GMT/ 0730 ET when UK Chancellor George Osborne takes to the stage at the House of  [...] Continue Reading ...

NZDUSD: Two Potential Supports

Updated  Jan 13, 2015 10:51:34 AM

It has been a very interesting day so far in global markets despite there being a relative lack of major market moving data released.  The biggest news event has been UK CPI which declined to 0.5% and shoved the GBP/USD back below 1.51 briefly before bouncing.  Of course, most people can easily point to the fact that oil prices have fallen dramatically over the last few months and are contributing to the lack of inflation  [...] Continue Reading ...

NZDUSD: Pain in the Neckline?

Updated  Feb 23, 2015 11:17:34 AM

The start to the North American trading session has been generally viewed as positive thus far as there haven’t been any major hiccups heading in to it.  The scheduled delivery of Greece’s proposal to the Troika appears as if it is moving according to plan, and unless there is some sort of surprise tossed in to the mix, the market could continue to view this as a positive development.  Due to the guarded feeling many  [...] Continue Reading ...

November Month-End Model Signals Potential USD Weakness

Updated  Nov 26, 2014 11:15:00 AM

Background: Traders often discuss how ‘month end’ flows may impact a currency or a currency pair during the last few day(s) of the month. These flows are caused by global portfolio managers rebalancing their existing currency hedges. If the value of one country’s equity and bond markets increases, these fund managers typically look to sell or hedge their elevated risk in that country’s currency and rebalance their exposure back to an underperforming country’s currency. The  [...] Continue Reading ...

North American Wrap-up: Who You Gonna Call?

Updated  Oct 15, 2014 3:54:09 PM

Human sacrifice, dogs and cats living together, mass hysteria!” – Bill Murray, Ghostbusters That about sums up the way the market is feeling in North America today as the proverbial you-know-what is hitting the fan.  The US equity markets were the headline catching performers of the day as the Dow fell over 400 points (over 2.5%) and the S&P500 did it one better by falling nearly 3% before recovering in the afternoon session to both  [...] Continue Reading ...

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