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Research Results

Results for 'BOE'

27 articles with this tag name

UK vs. US: Who will bite the bullet first?

Updated -  May 19, 2015 11:05:00 AM


The timing of interest rate moves from the world’s major central banks is likely to be the key driver of financial markets in the coming months. This could have particular significance for the FX market due to the importance of yields on the value of currencies. GBPUSD could be significantly influenced by the timing of rate hikes from the Federal Reserve in the US and the Bank of England in the UK. This is  [...] Continue Reading


GBPNZD: up, up and…

Updated -  May 11, 2015 1:11:05 AM


It has been a very eventful session for the kiwi, with NZDUSD falling around 1.4%. Widespread risk-off sentiment and an increasingly dovish outlook surrounding NZ interest rates is dragging down the NZ dollar. Earlier this morning, news that some banks were anticipating looser monetary policy in NZ rattled the kiwi, before a general deterioration in investor sentiment in Asia pushed the commodity currency even lower. This thrust towards safe-haven currencies also hit the sterling, but  [...] Continue Reading


GBPUSD Up 600 Pips in Two Weeks – Time for a Pause or 1.53+ Next?

Updated -  Apr 24, 2015 9:20:00 AM


GBPUSD is putting the finishing touches on a stellar week. After dipping to 1.4860 on Tuesday, the pair has been on an absolute tear, rising a full 300 pips to trade at 1.5155 as of writing. In fact, the pair has traded higher 9 of the last 10 days and is up an incredible 600 pips over that period. As we noted on Wednesday, the latest fundamental catalyst for the bulls was the release  [...] Continue Reading


NZDUSD: Could We See a Sprint for .8000 Heading into May?

Updated -  Apr 22, 2015 10:55:00 AM


The US dollar is easing back a smidge in early US session trade, driven primarily by buying pressure in GBPUSD in the wake of slightly more bullish BOE minutes. As we noted yesterday, the BOE’s current quandary is to weigh how much of the ongoing slowdown in inflation is driven by transitory factors vs. more stubborn, longer-term deflationary forces, and based on today’s minutes, the committee sees the former explanation as more plausible. While  [...] Continue Reading


GBPUSD: BOE Minutes Could Determine if 1.50 Ceiling Holds

Updated -  Apr 21, 2015 2:00:00 PM


Like most major currency pairs, GBPUSD has been essentially rangebound for the past six weeks. Over that period, we’ve seen our fair share of disappointing data from both countries, and neither currency has been able to rise above the economic mediocrity. On Friday, it seemed as if the pound was finally on the verge of a breakout above the key 1.50 level, but sellers stepped in late in the day to push the pair back  [...] Continue Reading


GBPUSD: BOE a Dud, but Triangle Breakdown Still In Play

Updated -  Apr 9, 2015 9:25:00 AM


Heading into the penultimate day of the trading week, investors are still trying to digest yesterday’s confusing FOMC minutes, and the dollar is mixed as a result. Meanwhile, the British pound saw its own central bank “excitement” today with the conclusion of the Bank of England’s monthly monetary policy meeting. As expected, the central bank left interest rates unchanged at 0.5%, the same level that they’ve been pinned to since January 2009. The BOE  [...] Continue Reading


GBPAUD: political uncertainty threatens the sterling

Updated -  Apr 9, 2015 1:51:27 AM


The Bank of England’s meeting tonight is expected to be fairly uneventful, but this isn’t going to turn the market’s focus from the sterling. Political uncertainty, a current account deficit, soft wage growth and the threat of deflation are going to keep the BoE on the sidelines for the foreseeable future, and these factors are also weighing on the pound. Since the beginning of March the sterling has fallen around 3.3% against the US dollar,  [...] Continue Reading


GBPUSD makes fresh low as wage data disappoints

Updated -  Mar 18, 2015 6:40:00 AM


GBPUSD has fallen to a fresh near 5-year low on the back of disappointing labour market data. Labour market data, and particularly wage data, which slipped from 2.1% in Dec to 1.8% in Jan, put the boot in the pound. Excluding bonuses, wage data was even weaker at a mere 1.6% vs. 1.7% in Dec. Although the FX market has taken this report as another reason to sell the pound, which slipped below 1.4700  [...] Continue Reading


TIMBER! GBPUSD Bears Chop through 1.4950 Support

Updated -  Mar 12, 2015 3:00:00 PM


Today’s trading session started off on an optimistic note for pound bulls. GBPUSD had rallied over 100 pips from yesterday’s low under 1.5900, which happened to mark a potentially key long-term support level at the widely-watched 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of entire 2009-2014 rally. In addition the bullish technical setup, the pair was also getting some support from the fundamentals: the UK’s January trade balance came out better-than-expected at just a GBP 8.4B deficit, while US  [...] Continue Reading


UK labour market dynamics support GBP surge

Updated -  Feb 18, 2015 5:10:00 AM


The UK economy continues to go from strength to strength at the start of this year. The economy created a whopping 103K jobs in the three months to December, more than double the rate expected, the number of people claiming benefits has fallen to just 2.5% of the working age population and wages are on  the rise. This is good news for the consumer, and also for Prime Minister David Cameron as we lead up  [...] Continue Reading


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