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Research Results

Results for 'BOE'

22 articles with this tag name

GBPNZD: the ultimate rally

Updated -  Jun 22, 2015 2:13:35 AM

It has been an incredible couple of months for GBPNZD, underpinned by an almost complete reversal in monetary policy expectations for the UK and NZ. It wasn’t long ago that Andy Haldane, chief economist at the Bank of England, suggested that the bank may have to cut interest rates in response to soft inflation. At the same time, New Zealand was still thought to be the front running post-GFC economy, with the Reserve Bank of  [...] Continue Reading

GBP/USD: May high in sight as wage growth hits 4-year high

Updated -  Jun 17, 2015 7:20:00 AM

The pound has surged higher on the back of some really good earnings news from the UK which has raised expectations for an earlier-than-expected Bank of England rate hike. Although the unemployment rate remained unchanged at 5.5% in the three months to April and the number of people claiming unemployment-related benefits fell only and by a less-than-forecast 6,500 in May, these numbers were overshadowed by news that wages rose at their strongest pace since August  [...] Continue Reading

GBPUSD: 1.5560-70 in focus as credit rating and Greek fears take hold

Updated -  Jun 15, 2015 6:10:00 AM

Sterling doesn’t seem fazed by the latest mutterings from Standard & Poor’s the credit rating agency. Late last week the S&P said that a referendum on the UK’s EU membership could hurt the UK’s credit rating as it may make it difficult for the UK to fund its deficit and a referendum could damage its trade relationships within the UK. These are all relevant fears, but with the election out of the way, politics is  [...] Continue Reading

UK vs. US: Who will bite the bullet first?

Updated -  May 19, 2015 11:05:00 AM

The timing of interest rate moves from the world’s major central banks is likely to be the key driver of financial markets in the coming months. This could have particular significance for the FX market due to the importance of yields on the value of currencies. GBPUSD could be significantly influenced by the timing of rate hikes from the Federal Reserve in the US and the Bank of England in the UK. This is  [...] Continue Reading

GBPNZD: up, up and…

Updated -  May 11, 2015 1:11:05 AM

It has been a very eventful session for the kiwi, with NZDUSD falling around 1.4%. Widespread risk-off sentiment and an increasingly dovish outlook surrounding NZ interest rates is dragging down the NZ dollar. Earlier this morning, news that some banks were anticipating looser monetary policy in NZ rattled the kiwi, before a general deterioration in investor sentiment in Asia pushed the commodity currency even lower. This thrust towards safe-haven currencies also hit the sterling, but  [...] Continue Reading

GBPUSD Up 600 Pips in Two Weeks – Time for a Pause or 1.53+ Next?

Updated -  Apr 24, 2015 9:20:00 AM

GBPUSD is putting the finishing touches on a stellar week. After dipping to 1.4860 on Tuesday, the pair has been on an absolute tear, rising a full 300 pips to trade at 1.5155 as of writing. In fact, the pair has traded higher 9 of the last 10 days and is up an incredible 600 pips over that period. As we noted on Wednesday, the latest fundamental catalyst for the bulls was the release  [...] Continue Reading

NZDUSD: Could We See a Sprint for .8000 Heading into May?

Updated -  Apr 22, 2015 10:55:00 AM

The US dollar is easing back a smidge in early US session trade, driven primarily by buying pressure in GBPUSD in the wake of slightly more bullish BOE minutes. As we noted yesterday, the BOE’s current quandary is to weigh how much of the ongoing slowdown in inflation is driven by transitory factors vs. more stubborn, longer-term deflationary forces, and based on today’s minutes, the committee sees the former explanation as more plausible. While  [...] Continue Reading

GBPUSD: BOE Minutes Could Determine if 1.50 Ceiling Holds

Updated -  Apr 21, 2015 2:00:00 PM

Like most major currency pairs, GBPUSD has been essentially rangebound for the past six weeks. Over that period, we’ve seen our fair share of disappointing data from both countries, and neither currency has been able to rise above the economic mediocrity. On Friday, it seemed as if the pound was finally on the verge of a breakout above the key 1.50 level, but sellers stepped in late in the day to push the pair back  [...] Continue Reading

GBPUSD: BOE a Dud, but Triangle Breakdown Still In Play

Updated -  Apr 9, 2015 9:25:00 AM

Heading into the penultimate day of the trading week, investors are still trying to digest yesterday’s confusing FOMC minutes, and the dollar is mixed as a result. Meanwhile, the British pound saw its own central bank “excitement” today with the conclusion of the Bank of England’s monthly monetary policy meeting. As expected, the central bank left interest rates unchanged at 0.5%, the same level that they’ve been pinned to since January 2009. The BOE  [...] Continue Reading

GBPAUD: political uncertainty threatens the sterling

Updated -  Apr 9, 2015 1:51:27 AM

The Bank of England’s meeting tonight is expected to be fairly uneventful, but this isn’t going to turn the market’s focus from the sterling. Political uncertainty, a current account deficit, soft wage growth and the threat of deflation are going to keep the BoE on the sidelines for the foreseeable future, and these factors are also weighing on the pound. Since the beginning of March the sterling has fallen around 3.3% against the US dollar,  [...] Continue Reading

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