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Research Results

Results for 'BOE'

50 articles with this tag name

EURGBP – May be poised to test 2014 high & beyond

Updated -  Mar 24, 2014 5:30:00 PM


A little over 2 weeks ago we highlighted EURGBP and how it was breaking above key falling wedge resistance around 0.8280 – This move was affirmed by daily RSI as it too broke above corresponding wedge resistance. As a result, this formation suggested additional upside momentum could follow over the ensuing sessions. Sure enough, this proved correct as EURGBP broke above the top of the daily Ichimoku Cloud near 0.8315 and then the key 0.8350/60  [...] Continue Reading


Yellen vs. Carney and the impact on GBPUSD

Updated -  Mar 20, 2014 7:30:00 AM


Janet Yellen’s first press conference as Fed governor on Wednesday caused a stir in the markets, which has lasted into Thursday. Yellen suggested that there may be a shorter period of time between ending tapering and starting to hike rates, which triggered a sharp sell-off in risky assets, the dollar surged and Treasury yields also jumped more than 10 basis points. This was reminiscent of the market swoon post Bernanke’s comments in June last  [...] Continue Reading


AUD/CHF: Avoiding the Fed’s March Madness

Updated -  Mar 19, 2014 11:45:10 AM


Global markets are mixed in early North American trade as Dow, Nikkei, and DAX are higher while FTSE, S&P, and the Hang Seng are lower; not a lot of continuity either as none have had an extraordinarily high or low day.  Currency markets are performing in much the same manner; ranges are dominating as investors are squaring up their positions ahead of today’s major economic event, the Federal Open Market Committee decision. Janet Yellen’s first  [...] Continue Reading


UK Budget preview 2014:

Updated -  Mar 13, 2014 12:50:00 PM


This Wednesday 19TH March at 1230 GMT/ 0830 ET the UK Chancellor will deliver the budget for the 2014/15 financial year. Although the next general election is only a year away, this Budget is exciting virtually no curiosity and no freebies are anticipated. So what should we expect from this Budget and will there be a market impact? What to expect: The nature of coalition politics means that by the time Osborne gets  [...] Continue Reading


Further upside for Sterling?

Updated -  Mar 6, 2014 6:10:00 AM


Today’s Bank of England meeting is likely to pass without much fanfare. All economists surveyed by Bloomberg believe that the BOE will keep rates and asset purchases on hold today, and it is unlikely that the Bank will release a statement. This leaves the minutes from this meeting, released on 19th March, a much bigger risk event for the markets than the meeting itself. Fundamental risks: However, the fundamental backdrop for the UK  [...] Continue Reading


EUR/GBP: Will ECB or BOE Inject Volatility?

Updated -  Mar 5, 2014 10:40:00 AM


The EUR/GBP currency pair is entering an action-packed 24 hours. Earlier today, traders received Service PMI data from both regions, with the UK Services PMI report coming in slightly above expectations at 58.2 vs. 58.0 eyed (58.3 last month) and Eurozone Services PMI also beating expectations at 52.6 against an anticipated print of 51.7 (51.7 previously as well). While both reports came in strong, the growth rate in the UK continues to clearly outpace mainland  [...] Continue Reading


GBPAUD nearing key 1.8780/85 level, break above targets ~1.9085

Updated -  Feb 28, 2014 3:35:00 PM


GBPAUD has resumed the trend higher earlier today after it took out last week’s high around 1.8655. Currently, it is approaching the key 1.8780/85 level, which sees the convergence of the 61.8% retracement (1/24-2/12 decline) & key lows from the end of January, and should this give way it could spark a further move higher. Additionally, as we highlighted in our last update “daily RSI bottomed near the key 40 level…should it take out the  [...] Continue Reading


The UK data plays into Mark Carney’s hands

Updated -  Feb 19, 2014 5:20:00 AM


Mark Carney’s wishes may have come true. After the UK economy started to look too strong for forward guidance version one, it has cooled down a bit in recent months, which helps to justify forward guidance 2.0. Yesterday we had cooing in inflation pressure, today it was the labour market’s chance to come off the boil. The unemployment rate actually rose in December to 7.2% from 7.1%. This may be down to a statistical  [...] Continue Reading


Has Goldilocks returned to the UK economy?

Updated -  Feb 18, 2014 5:40:00 AM


For the first time since November 2009 inflation has fallen below the government’s target of 2%. The Office for National statistics (ONS) said that the fall in inflation pressure was not down to a single sector; rather it was price movements in recreational goods and services, furniture and household items, alcohol and tobacco that triggered the slow-down in the rate of price growth. In contrast, goods and services prices edged up, but not enough to  [...] Continue Reading


GBPUSD: can the Carney effect see off 1.6668 resistance?

Updated -  Feb 13, 2014 6:10:00 AM


The pound has been the best performer in the G10 versus the USD this week, rising some 1.44% on the back of Mark Carney’s less dovish than expected Inflation Report on Wednesday. GBPUSD is now testing key resistance at 1.6668 – the high of the year so far. The market is getting indigestion this morning around 1.6650, although the broader bullish trend remains in place from a technical perspective, which could open the way to  [...] Continue Reading


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