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Research Results

Results for 'BOE'

48 articles with this tag name

Bank of England to markets: “Hold your horses”

Updated -  Jul 23, 2014 8:20:00 AM


The minutes from the BOE meetings have become the most important way for the market to gauge the Bank’s sentiment and make predictions about its next move. After feeling pretty confident in recent weeks that Mark Carney and co. had shifted to a more hawkish policy stance, the market rushed to price in two rate hikes by the end of Q1 2015, the latest minutes have left the market scratching its head once more. How  [...] Continue Reading


EURGBP: 2012 low in sight?

Updated -  Jul 23, 2014 7:20:00 AM


The pound fell back this morning after the Bank of England’s last policy meeting minutes revealed the MPC was a lot less hawkish than some had anticipated. For example, there were warnings that the outlook for the housing market is slightly less strong, that the MPC sees “tentative signs of modest output slowdown” in the second half of the year, and that the weakness of wages despite strong rises in employment was “becoming more striking.”  [...] Continue Reading


BOE Minutes Preview: Real Wages are Really Important

Updated -  Jul 22, 2014 3:00:00 PM


Trade in GBPUSD has been undeniably lackluster to start this week, with rates contained to just a 60-pip range thus far, but volatility in the GBPUSD will almost certainly pick up substantially heading into the latter half of the week. While classic stalwarts like Retail Sales (Thursday) and Preliminary GDP (Friday) are sure to be market-moving one way or another, tomorrow’s BOE Minutes may be the most important event for traders to monitor.   A  [...] Continue Reading


GBP/USD upward trend still intact, but bulls need to show presence pretty soon

Updated -  Jul 22, 2014 12:30:00 PM


About a month ago now, we took a long-term view on the GBP/USD and suggested that there could be significant gains on the way for the currency pair. At the time, the Cable had just breached 1.7040/5 which was previously a significant resistance level and also the 2009 high. From there, it went up by another 150 pips before the rally exhausted around 1.7190. As can be seen on the daily chart, this 1.7190  [...] Continue Reading


GBPNZD’s big week may help determine near-term price action

Updated -  Jul 21, 2014 12:26:15 AM


It’s a big week for the GBP and the NZD with the release of the Bank of England’s (BoE) meeting from its policy meeting on July 10 and a monetary policy meeting at the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ), as well as the release of important economic data from both countries (eyes on UK GDP figures). Both central bank events are going to be crucial for their respective currencies. The market will be assessing  [...] Continue Reading

Tags: BOE, Chris Tedder, FX, GBP, NZD, RBNZ

Why women are to blame for today’s spike in the pound

Updated -  Jul 15, 2014 7:40:00 AM


The pound is the strongest performer in the G10 space so far today and recently made a fresh high ahead of the UK lunchtime. The key driver of the pound was stronger than expected inflation data, with headline CPI rising to its highest level since January and core CPI rising to 2%, the Bank of England’s target rate. So why did inflation jump from 1.5% to 1.9% when the market was expecting 1.6%? The Office  [...] Continue Reading


Central bank watch: three key speeches to look out for this week

Updated -  Jul 14, 2014 12:10:00 PM


This week there is some juicy economic data that could move markets; however it may be central bank testimony that ends up being more important for investors. Like it or loathe it, the relative stance of the world’s major central banks is the chief driver of markets right now, which is why we are keeping a close eye on three of the world’s most important central bankers in the coming days. 1, ECB’s Mario  [...] Continue Reading


BOE Preview: Will the MPC Tweak its Statement?

Updated -  Jul 9, 2014 2:45:00 PM


This week’s outlook for sterling begins and ends with tomorrow’s BOE monetary policy “decision” and statement. The “decision” is in quotation marks because there’s unlikely to be any deliberation at all: the BOE will almost certainly leave interest rates unchanged at 0.50% and the Asset Purchase Facility at £375B per year. However, whether and how the central bank chooses to tweak its statement could have a big effect on traders’ interest rate expectations. About  [...] Continue Reading


GBPUSD: Cable Rally Showing Signs of Cracking

Updated -  Jul 8, 2014 2:20:00 PM


After a string of strong economic reports last week, the UK suffered a fundamental setback earlier today. Both Industrial Production and Manufacturing Production missed expectations substantially last month;  IP came in at -0.7% vs. 0.2% expected and 0.3% (revised) last month, whereas MP dropped -1.3% against an anticipated 0.4% and a revised 0.3% last month. These disappointing readings have taken the luster off cable, but looking at the chart, the GBPUSD rally had already stalled  [...] Continue Reading


How the housing market could get in the way of the sterling ascendency

Updated -  Jul 2, 2014 7:05:00 AM


The pound is at a 6-year high versus the USD again today as the UK‘s construction sector PMI beat expectations and rose to its highest level for four months. This is the second consecutive positive data surprise in as many days and points to robust GDP figures for Q2. So can the GBP rally last? Factors that could drive sterling going forward: Positives: Negatives: Sterling and the housing market: The housing  [...] Continue Reading


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