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Research Results

Results for 'BOE'

44 articles with this tag name

EURUSD – Achieves ATR target, may lead to subdued Euro price action on Friday

Updated -  May 15, 2014 5:25:00 PM


Just a quick update as EURUSD achieved the intraday Average True Range (ATR) intraday target of 1.3650 before rebounding higher. As demonstrated in the chart below, EURUSD peaked between 2:30-3am ET, and then broke below the range shortly thereafter. Interestingly, this move lower was already predicted by a bearish moving average signal as the 13-sma was below the 144 & 169 ema’s. Additionally, RSI continued to find resistance near the key 65 level and break  [...] Continue Reading


GBPUSD: 1.70 looks elusive as Carney shoots down pound

Updated -  May 14, 2014 12:20:00 PM


The Cable came under increased pressure following the publication of the Bank of England’s Inflation Report and Mark Carney’s speech. My colleague Kathleen Brooks has already covered the inflation report in depth here. The key takeaway point was that the central bank chief sounded rather dovish and as expected talked down sterling. Earlier this morning, we had already seen some solid UK jobs data, although the pound had reacted negatively as the numbers were  [...] Continue Reading


Carney hits the target with Inflation Report

Updated -  May 14, 2014 7:30:00 AM


During his first 10 months as Bank of England governor the jury has been out on Mark Carney, do we, or don’t we like him? He’s certainly not commanded the affection of Mervyn King, however things could be changing. Carney scored a PR goal at the May Inflation Report and may have worked his way into the UK public’s heart by bringing back the sporting analogy! Favoured by Sir Mervyn, who was fond of  [...] Continue Reading


Paltry wage growth weighs on the pound

Updated -  May 14, 2014 4:50:00 AM


The market is getting used to better than expected economic news out of the UK, which may be one reason why the pound sold off even though the UK’s unemployment rate for March fell to its lowest level since early 2009. The good news This morning’s labour market data showed a 25.1k fall in the number of people claiming jobless benefits, a 0.1% drop in the unemployment rate, a 283k increase in the  [...] Continue Reading


(G)rate expectations: Bank of England Inflation Report preview

Updated -  May 13, 2014 12:20:00 PM


On Wednesday 14th May the Bank of England will present its second Inflation Report of the year. The Report will include the latest growth and inflation forecasts, the market will also be looking out for the BOE’s thoughts on the timing of rate increases, the housing market and the strength of sterling. On balance we think that the Bank of England Governor will suggest that the BOE is in no hurry to raise interest  [...] Continue Reading


EURGBP breaks noted 0.8160/70 support…watching key events over next 72-hours

Updated -  May 12, 2014 2:45:00 PM


A few weeks ago we made the case for a potential test of the 2014 low around 0.8160, which also saw the 61.8% retracement (of the 2012-13 rally) & Oct. 2012 high, namely based upon our proprietary model as well as possibly diverging monetary policies in the 2H of 2014 – With the ECB likely to be more dovish and the BoE possibly more hawkish. Earlier today this finally materialized as EURGBP broke to a  [...] Continue Reading


GBPUSD: bullish trend persists, despite recent setback

Updated -  May 9, 2014 7:20:00 AM


GBPUSD may have fallen below 1.69 on Friday; however this could be a temporary move, as the technical indicators and fundamental back-drop still look supportive for this pair. On the technical side, we think that GBPUSD looks safe as long as it remains above some key support levels including: For now, this just looks like a normal pullback, and we think that the downside could be limited as we lead up to the Bank  [...] Continue Reading


GBPUSD: Can anything halt its ascendency?

Updated -  May 6, 2014 5:50:00 AM


The pound has risen to a fresh 5-year high today on the back of another strong PMI reading. The all-important service sector PMI rose to its highest level in 2014 so far in April, and  this data suggests that Q2 had a strong start after stellar growth in the first quarter. This data has coincided with the OECD’s latest global growth forecasts; while US, China and Japan’s growth forecasts were all cut, Europe saw growth  [...] Continue Reading


Fundamental Breakdown: USD saw a mixed performance in April

Updated -  May 1, 2014 12:05:00 PM


•  TRY strengthened as the CBT kept policy rates on hold – Improving their credibility & removing downside risks
•  GBP outperformed as the BoE appears to be the most hawkish of the major (G4) central banks
•  JPY caught a bid as the BoJ failed to introduce fresh stimulus & on slight risk aversion flows
•  CAD appreciated as Canadian economic data (namely employment, CPI and GDP) improved
•  EUR remained steady despite  [...] Continue Reading


GBPUSD achieves the ATR target in the post-Easter shortened week

Updated -  Apr 23, 2014 11:15:00 AM


Let’s face it, the whole purpose of doing any form of analysis, whether that is technical, fundamental or statistical, is to try to identify higher probability trading opportunities. As many of you know, one of my favorite strategies is the utilization of a European opening range and while it will typically focus on EURUSD it can be applied to any of the European majors. Ideally, if price is struggling near these events (typically spotted  [...] Continue Reading


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