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Research Results

Results for 'BOE'

46 articles with this tag name

Why women are to blame for today’s spike in the pound

Updated -  Jul 15, 2014 7:40:00 AM

The pound is the strongest performer in the G10 space so far today and recently made a fresh high ahead of the UK lunchtime. The key driver of the pound was stronger than expected inflation data, with headline CPI rising to its highest level since January and core CPI rising to 2%, the Bank of England’s target rate. So why did inflation jump from 1.5% to 1.9% when the market was expecting 1.6%? The Office  [...] Continue Reading

Central bank watch: three key speeches to look out for this week

Updated -  Jul 14, 2014 12:10:00 PM

This week there is some juicy economic data that could move markets; however it may be central bank testimony that ends up being more important for investors. Like it or loathe it, the relative stance of the world’s major central banks is the chief driver of markets right now, which is why we are keeping a close eye on three of the world’s most important central bankers in the coming days. 1, ECB’s Mario  [...] Continue Reading

BOE Preview: Will the MPC Tweak its Statement?

Updated -  Jul 9, 2014 2:45:00 PM

This week’s outlook for sterling begins and ends with tomorrow’s BOE monetary policy “decision” and statement. The “decision” is in quotation marks because there’s unlikely to be any deliberation at all: the BOE will almost certainly leave interest rates unchanged at 0.50% and the Asset Purchase Facility at £375B per year. However, whether and how the central bank chooses to tweak its statement could have a big effect on traders’ interest rate expectations. About  [...] Continue Reading

GBPUSD: Cable Rally Showing Signs of Cracking

Updated -  Jul 8, 2014 2:20:00 PM

After a string of strong economic reports last week, the UK suffered a fundamental setback earlier today. Both Industrial Production and Manufacturing Production missed expectations substantially last month;  IP came in at -0.7% vs. 0.2% expected and 0.3% (revised) last month, whereas MP dropped -1.3% against an anticipated 0.4% and a revised 0.3% last month. These disappointing readings have taken the luster off cable, but looking at the chart, the GBPUSD rally had already stalled  [...] Continue Reading

How the housing market could get in the way of the sterling ascendency

Updated -  Jul 2, 2014 7:05:00 AM

The pound is at a 6-year high versus the USD again today as the UK‘s construction sector PMI beat expectations and rose to its highest level for four months. This is the second consecutive positive data surprise in as many days and points to robust GDP figures for Q2. So can the GBP rally last? Factors that could drive sterling going forward: Positives: Negatives: Sterling and the housing market: The housing  [...] Continue Reading

Can Carney Coerce GBPCHF to the Channel Cap?

Updated -  Jun 26, 2014 8:45:00 AM

Today’s big news (besides the USA’s massive World Cup match against Germany of course) was BOE Governor Carney’s announcement of new macroprudential measures at the bank’s biannual Financial Stability Report press conference. These new measures are targeted specifically at limiting home price appreciation as the bank is growing more and more concerned with a budding housing bubble in the UK.  First, the BOE will place limits on the percentage of high loan-to-income mortgages that UK  [...] Continue Reading

Has sterling’s rally stalled?

Updated -  Jun 25, 2014 6:40:00 AM

The pound reacted badly to BOE Carney’s comments to the UK Parliament on Tuesday, GBPUSD fell below 1.70, and so far it has stayed there. The BOE Governor was accused of being an “unreliable boyfriend”, flip-flopping between hawkish and dovish comments from week to week. For anyone who has had the misfortune to have an unreliable boyf, they should know how cable traders must be feeling. In fairness GBPUSD was looking a little out of  [...] Continue Reading

GBP/USD clears major psychological barrier, paves way for more potential gains

Updated -  Jun 19, 2014 6:30:00 AM

The GBP/USD’s advance continues and this morning the currency pair is finding itself above the psychological 1.70 barrier. The pound is boosted above all by a hawkish Bank of England, and a stronger UK economy, while the dollar continues to be shot down by a dovish Federal Reserve. The greenback has dropped sharply in the aftermath of the FOMC policy announcement last night. Although the Fed cut QE by another $10bn to $35bn, this was  [...] Continue Reading

BOE minutes back up Carney, but sterling takes a knock

Updated -  Jun 18, 2014 6:50:00 AM

After BOE Governor Mark Carney’s shift to a more hawkish stance on interest rate policy, announced during his speech at the Mansion House last week, the minutes of the June meeting were always going to be under scrutiny. However, even though the minutes did suggest that the shift to a more hawkish stance was a multi-lateral event, the minutes were not hawkish enough for the FX market and the pound is now the weakest performer  [...] Continue Reading

Crude concerns and the Carney effect still dominate the markets

Updated -  Jun 16, 2014 8:10:00 AM

After last week’s volatility, we are starting to wonder if “sell in May and go away” could be turned on its head and instead things could get more interesting this summer. A couple of themes appear to be developing, which could determine the direction of markets in the coming months:   1, Crude concerns: While the market has been able to shrug off geopolitical risks for most of this year, a continuous drip-feed of concern  [...] Continue Reading

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