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Research Results

Results for 'BOE'

48 articles with this tag name

EURGBP: Bottoming Pattern Points to Bigger Rally if .7980 is Eclipsed

Updated -  Aug 12, 2014 2:35:00 PM


Last Wednesday, we discussed the potential for a EURGBP to form a meaningful bottom if rates could break above the key .7980 area (see “EURGBP: Why .7980 is the Most Important Number in Europe Right Now” below for more). Though rates inched above that level to close last week, this week’s price action has been extremely disappointing for the bulls, with rates pulling back to the mid-.7900s in lackluster trade. However, as my colleague Kathleen  [...] Continue Reading


What to expect from the BOE’s Inflation Report

Updated -  Aug 12, 2014 7:20:00 AM


There is a double whammy of event risk for the UK on Wednesday. First up the employment data for June and July is released at 0930 BST/ 0430 ET, then one hour later Mark Carney will deliver the third Bank of England Inflation Report of 2014. The latter could give the market another steer on when to expect interest rates to rise. The former will be important to see if the labour market can continue  [...] Continue Reading


GBPUSD: is the break below 1.68 fatal?

Updated -  Aug 11, 2014 6:30:00 AM


This is a big week for the pound, on Wednesday we have a double whammy of fundamental risk: the latest employment report and the August Inflation Report. After nursing some heavy losses in recent weeks, GBPUSD is down 2.2% versus the USD in the past month, the long-term uptrend in the pound is starting to look shaky. Can the BOE boost the pound’s fortunes? Until a few weeks ago the pound was one  [...] Continue Reading


UK economic rebound fails to excite the markets

Updated -  Jul 25, 2014 6:20:00 AM


This morning we had confirmation of another solid quarter of growth for the UK. Q2 GDP rose by 0.8%, the same pace at Q1. This is encouraging as there were plenty of headwinds to knock the economy off course, including geopolitical fears, rising expectations of a UK interest rate increase and a surge in the pound. Our annual rate of growth is now 3.1%, up from 3% in Q1. To put this in some  [...] Continue Reading


Bank of England to markets: “Hold your horses”

Updated -  Jul 23, 2014 8:20:00 AM


The minutes from the BOE meetings have become the most important way for the market to gauge the Bank’s sentiment and make predictions about its next move. After feeling pretty confident in recent weeks that Mark Carney and co. had shifted to a more hawkish policy stance, the market rushed to price in two rate hikes by the end of Q1 2015, the latest minutes have left the market scratching its head once more. How  [...] Continue Reading


EURGBP: 2012 low in sight?

Updated -  Jul 23, 2014 7:20:00 AM


The pound fell back this morning after the Bank of England’s last policy meeting minutes revealed the MPC was a lot less hawkish than some had anticipated. For example, there were warnings that the outlook for the housing market is slightly less strong, that the MPC sees “tentative signs of modest output slowdown” in the second half of the year, and that the weakness of wages despite strong rises in employment was “becoming more striking.”  [...] Continue Reading


BOE Minutes Preview: Real Wages are Really Important

Updated -  Jul 22, 2014 3:00:00 PM


Trade in GBPUSD has been undeniably lackluster to start this week, with rates contained to just a 60-pip range thus far, but volatility in the GBPUSD will almost certainly pick up substantially heading into the latter half of the week. While classic stalwarts like Retail Sales (Thursday) and Preliminary GDP (Friday) are sure to be market-moving one way or another, tomorrow’s BOE Minutes may be the most important event for traders to monitor.   A  [...] Continue Reading


GBP/USD upward trend still intact, but bulls need to show presence pretty soon

Updated -  Jul 22, 2014 12:30:00 PM


About a month ago now, we took a long-term view on the GBP/USD and suggested that there could be significant gains on the way for the currency pair. At the time, the Cable had just breached 1.7040/5 which was previously a significant resistance level and also the 2009 high. From there, it went up by another 150 pips before the rally exhausted around 1.7190. As can be seen on the daily chart, this 1.7190  [...] Continue Reading


GBPNZD’s big week may help determine near-term price action

Updated -  Jul 21, 2014 12:26:15 AM


It’s a big week for the GBP and the NZD with the release of the Bank of England’s (BoE) meeting from its policy meeting on July 10 and a monetary policy meeting at the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ), as well as the release of important economic data from both countries (eyes on UK GDP figures). Both central bank events are going to be crucial for their respective currencies. The market will be assessing  [...] Continue Reading

Tags: BOE, Chris Tedder, FX, GBP, NZD, RBNZ

Why women are to blame for today’s spike in the pound

Updated -  Jul 15, 2014 7:40:00 AM


The pound is the strongest performer in the G10 space so far today and recently made a fresh high ahead of the UK lunchtime. The key driver of the pound was stronger than expected inflation data, with headline CPI rising to its highest level since January and core CPI rising to 2%, the Bank of England’s target rate. So why did inflation jump from 1.5% to 1.9% when the market was expecting 1.6%? The Office  [...] Continue Reading


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