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Research Results

Results for 'BOE'

50 articles with this tag name

Central bank watch: three key speeches to look out for this week

Updated -  Jul 14, 2014 12:10:00 PM

This week there is some juicy economic data that could move markets; however it may be central bank testimony that ends up being more important for investors. Like it or loathe it, the relative stance of the world’s major central banks is the chief driver of markets right now, which is why we are keeping a close eye on three of the world’s most important central bankers in the coming days. 1, ECB’s Mario  [...] Continue Reading

BOE Preview: Will the MPC Tweak its Statement?

Updated -  Jul 9, 2014 2:45:00 PM

This week’s outlook for sterling begins and ends with tomorrow’s BOE monetary policy “decision” and statement. The “decision” is in quotation marks because there’s unlikely to be any deliberation at all: the BOE will almost certainly leave interest rates unchanged at 0.50% and the Asset Purchase Facility at £375B per year. However, whether and how the central bank chooses to tweak its statement could have a big effect on traders’ interest rate expectations. About  [...] Continue Reading

GBPUSD: Cable Rally Showing Signs of Cracking

Updated -  Jul 8, 2014 2:20:00 PM

After a string of strong economic reports last week, the UK suffered a fundamental setback earlier today. Both Industrial Production and Manufacturing Production missed expectations substantially last month;  IP came in at -0.7% vs. 0.2% expected and 0.3% (revised) last month, whereas MP dropped -1.3% against an anticipated 0.4% and a revised 0.3% last month. These disappointing readings have taken the luster off cable, but looking at the chart, the GBPUSD rally had already stalled  [...] Continue Reading

How the housing market could get in the way of the sterling ascendency

Updated -  Jul 2, 2014 7:05:00 AM

The pound is at a 6-year high versus the USD again today as the UK‘s construction sector PMI beat expectations and rose to its highest level for four months. This is the second consecutive positive data surprise in as many days and points to robust GDP figures for Q2. So can the GBP rally last? Factors that could drive sterling going forward: Positives: Negatives: Sterling and the housing market: The housing  [...] Continue Reading

Can Carney Coerce GBPCHF to the Channel Cap?

Updated -  Jun 26, 2014 8:45:00 AM

Today’s big news (besides the USA’s massive World Cup match against Germany of course) was BOE Governor Carney’s announcement of new macroprudential measures at the bank’s biannual Financial Stability Report press conference. These new measures are targeted specifically at limiting home price appreciation as the bank is growing more and more concerned with a budding housing bubble in the UK.  First, the BOE will place limits on the percentage of high loan-to-income mortgages that UK  [...] Continue Reading

Has sterling’s rally stalled?

Updated -  Jun 25, 2014 6:40:00 AM

The pound reacted badly to BOE Carney’s comments to the UK Parliament on Tuesday, GBPUSD fell below 1.70, and so far it has stayed there. The BOE Governor was accused of being an “unreliable boyfriend”, flip-flopping between hawkish and dovish comments from week to week. For anyone who has had the misfortune to have an unreliable boyf, they should know how cable traders must be feeling. In fairness GBPUSD was looking a little out of  [...] Continue Reading

Research Note: ECB/ BOE meetings

Updated -  Apr 4, 2012 6:00:00 AM

ECB preview The next ECB meeting will take place on Wednesday 4 April 2012. Interest rates will be announced at 1245BST/ 0745ET, which will be followed by a press conference at 1330BST/ 0830 ET held by ECB President Mario Draghi. This meeting is taking place one day earlier than normal because of the Easter holiday. We agree with consensus in anticipating that rates will remain unchanged at a historically low 1%. Since rates are  [...] Continue Reading

Research Note: February BOE and ECB Meetings

Updated -  Feb 8, 2012 3:45:00 PM

February BOE and ECB Meetings Summary Outlook: On Thursday, Feb. 9 at 0700ET/1200GMT the Bank of England is set to announce its policy decision, followed at 0745ET/1245GMT by the European Central Bank’s interest rate decision and the 0830ET/1330GMT ECB press briefing. Below is our outlook for those events. BOE Outlook: The BOE’s MPC is unanimously expected to hold interest rates steady at 0.5%, according to Bloomberg surveys of analysts and our own view. The MPC  [...] Continue Reading

Research Note: ECB Interest Rate Decision

Updated -  Jan 11, 2012 4:05:00 PM

ECB Interest Rate Decision Summary Outlook: On Thursday, January 12 at 0745ET/1245GMT the ECB is expected to hold rates steady at 1.00%, according to Bloomberg surveys. However, we think there is a slightly less than even chance they cut rates by a further 25 bps to 0.75%, a record low for the benchmark refinance rate. If they do, markets are likely to react quite negatively on the EUR, both on the surprise factor and on  [...] Continue Reading

June ECB and BOE Meetings—Thursday, June 9, 2011

Updated -  Jun 8, 2011 3:55:00 PM

Research Note: June ECB and BOE Meetings Summary Outlook: On Thursday, June 9, at 0700EDT/1100GMT the Bank of England is unanimously expected to hold rates steady at 0.50% and make no change to its asset purchase program, according to a Bloomberg survey of market analysts. Typically, when no changes are made to BOE policy, no statement is issued, and so we would expect the BOE decision to be uneventful. At 0745EDT/1145GMT the ECB is also  [...] Continue Reading


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