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Research Results

Results for 'BOE'

50 articles with this tag name

UK Inflation Report: Carney may admit the markets were right…

Updated -  Nov 12, 2013 12:15:00 PM


On Wednesday 13th November at 1030 GMT/ 0530 ET the Bank of England will present its final Inflation Report of the year. The stronger tone to growth in recent months, including the 17-year high in service sector sentiment and the better than expected employment data, has boosted expectations that the BOE may bring forward its forecast for an interest rate hike by at least a couple of quarters. Potential changes to the BOE’s forecasts  [...] Continue Reading


UK inflation weighs on GBP, but downside could be limited

Updated -  Nov 12, 2013 4:55:00 AM


The pound has fallen sharply after much weaker than expected UK inflation data for October. Headline prices fell to 2.2% from 2.7% in September.  We mentioned earlier the prospect of weaker inflation pressure last month on the back of falling petrol prices, however according to the ONS it was not only transport and motor fuels that weighed on inflation but also education and tuition fees that had the largest downward pressure on prices. The  [...] Continue Reading


GBPCHF achieved channel’s measured move projection ~1.4815

Updated -  Nov 11, 2013 12:40:00 PM


On November 5th we stated that GBPCHF’s “break above its previous high around 1.4640 (thus ending the downtrend which began in mid-September)…validates the channel breakout and projects a measure move objective of 1.4815. Interestingly, this target coincides with the prior 2013 highs from May & September between 1.4810/20.”  This technical bullish momentum combined with a surprise ECB rate cut (25bp) on Thursday saw GBPCHF achieve the noted 1.4815 level within a mere 48-hours of our  [...] Continue Reading


GBPUSD tests a key support zone before a big week

Updated -  Nov 10, 2013 11:26:08 PM


Last week was a massive week for the market, with central bank meetings throughout the world and game changing US economic data. The BoE meeting took a backseat to the ECB and US employment data, largely because the MPC didn’t alter monetary policy or release a statement, thus the market didn’t have anything new to go on. Nonetheless, the market, much like the BoE for that matter, will be looking to a plethora of economic  [...] Continue Reading

Tags: BOE, GBP, USD, Yellen

BOE DECISION: no surprises from Carney and co.

Updated -  Nov 7, 2013 7:20:00 AM


The November meeting came and went without any fanfare. As expected Mark Carney and co. at the MPC kept their powder dry and did not shift interest rates or asset purchases at this meeting. The BOE did not release a statement, instead leaving us with bated breath for next week’s Inflation Report. This report is likely to be markedly different from the last one in August, when the BOE announced its forward guidance programme.  [...] Continue Reading

Tags: BOE, currency, GBPUSD

BOE minutes: GBPUSD could be picked up on the dips

Updated -  Oct 23, 2013 6:20:00 AM


The tone to the BOE minutes from the October meeting was upbeat, suggesting that the Bank was happy with the progress made on the economic front and overall, the Committee was not too worried about the ensuing US government shut down and fiscal crisis. Here are the key points from the minutes: Distilling this down even further, the market is likely to concentrate on two points: 1, It’s good news that Gilt yields  [...] Continue Reading


Research Note: ECB/ BOE meetings

Updated -  Apr 4, 2012 6:00:00 AM


ECB preview The next ECB meeting will take place on Wednesday 4 April 2012. Interest rates will be announced at 1245BST/ 0745ET, which will be followed by a press conference at 1330BST/ 0830 ET held by ECB President Mario Draghi. This meeting is taking place one day earlier than normal because of the Easter holiday. We agree with consensus in anticipating that rates will remain unchanged at a historically low 1%. Since rates are  [...] Continue Reading


Research Note: February BOE and ECB Meetings

Updated -  Feb 8, 2012 3:45:00 PM


February BOE and ECB Meetings Summary Outlook: On Thursday, Feb. 9 at 0700ET/1200GMT the Bank of England is set to announce its policy decision, followed at 0745ET/1245GMT by the European Central Bank’s interest rate decision and the 0830ET/1330GMT ECB press briefing. Below is our outlook for those events. BOE Outlook: The BOE’s MPC is unanimously expected to hold interest rates steady at 0.5%, according to Bloomberg surveys of analysts and our own view. The MPC  [...] Continue Reading


Research Note: ECB Interest Rate Decision

Updated -  Jan 11, 2012 4:05:00 PM


ECB Interest Rate Decision Summary Outlook: On Thursday, January 12 at 0745ET/1245GMT the ECB is expected to hold rates steady at 1.00%, according to Bloomberg surveys. However, we think there is a slightly less than even chance they cut rates by a further 25 bps to 0.75%, a record low for the benchmark refinance rate. If they do, markets are likely to react quite negatively on the EUR, both on the surprise factor and on  [...] Continue Reading


June ECB and BOE Meetings—Thursday, June 9, 2011

Updated -  Jun 8, 2011 3:55:00 PM


Research Note: June ECB and BOE Meetings Summary Outlook: On Thursday, June 9, at 0700EDT/1100GMT the Bank of England is unanimously expected to hold rates steady at 0.50% and make no change to its asset purchase program, according to a Bloomberg survey of market analysts. Typically, when no changes are made to BOE policy, no statement is issued, and so we would expect the BOE decision to be uneventful. At 0745EDT/1145GMT the ECB is also  [...] Continue Reading

Tags: BOE, ECB, EUR

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