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Research Results

Results for 'EUR/CHF'

6 articles with this tag name

Euro Vulnerable to a Near-Term Dip if Q2 GDP Disappoints

Updated -  Aug 13, 2015 9:20:00 AM

Early in tomorrow’s European session, the statistics agency Eurostat will release its flash estimate of
Q2 Eurozone GDP. After the first quarter’s solid, if unspectacular, 0.4% increase in the flash reading, traders are once again anticipating that the currency union’s economy grew by 0.4% q/q in the second quarter, which represents about a 1.5% annualized growth rate. You would be excused for expressing skepticism that the Eurozone grew at the same pace in Q2  [...] Continue Reading

Greek Pin Action: Will GBP Take on CHF’s Safe Haven Mantle?

Updated -  Jun 29, 2015 10:55:00 AM

As Greece’s debt negotiations deteriorated this weekend, traders piled in to buy the “safe-haven” Swiss franc. In turn, the rapid appreciation in the value of the franc prompted the Swiss National Bank (SNB) to intervene in the FX market to stabilize the gains in its currency. In explaining the move, SNB Chairman Thomas Jordan stated, "We have always said that we are active in the foreign exchange market if necessary…[a] situation like we experienced over  [...] Continue Reading

EURCHF: Is there Another Verse in the Bearish Song?

Updated -  Apr 16, 2015 3:20:00 PM

Two weeks ago today, we highlighted the importance of the 1.0400 level in EURCHF, concluding that, If EURCHF drops through support at 1.0400, a continuation down toward the 50% Fibonacci retracement at 1.0260 is possible by mid-April” (see “EURCHF: 3 Reasons Why the 1.0400 Level is Crucial” for more). Lo and behold, yesterday marked the middle of the month, and EURCHF came within 15 pips of the key 50% Fibonacci retracement at 1.0260 overnight.  [...] Continue Reading

Research Note: December ECB Policy Decision

Updated -  Dec 7, 2011 3:15:00 PM

December ECB Policy Decision Summary Outlook: On Thursday, December 8 at 0745ET/1245GMT the ECB is expected to cut rates 25 bps to 1.00%, according to the vast majority of forecasts in Bloomberg surveys. A handful of estimates are split between a steady 1.25% rate and a 50 bp cut to 0.75%. We think the ECB will cut by 25 bps, but also that there is a greater potential for 50 bps than the surveys suggest.  [...] Continue Reading

Weekly Strategy-Buying EUR/CHF on SNB raising the floor, possible negative rates

Updated -  Dec 1, 2011 5:30:00 PM

The Swiss government today gave indications it might adopt negative interest rates to assist the Swiss National Bank (SNB) in its efforts to weaken the Swiss franc (CHF). Negative rates, last used in the 1980's, would impose a cost on anyone holding CHF deposits or long-CHF FX positions, likely provoking an exodus from the currency. Additionally, there has been repeated talk in recent weeks that the SNB may announce it is raising the floor in  [...] Continue Reading

Weekly Strategy-Selling EUR/CHF on EU Summit Relief Rally

Updated -  Jul 21, 2011 3:30:00 PM

Weekly Strategy update Aug 2, 2011 1200 ET: EUR/CHF has dropped below 1.10 and nearly reached the bear flag measured move objective around 1.0910/20... At this stage we would suggest taking profit on the remaining 50% short established at an average rate of 1.1805. At the minimum, stops should be lowered to 1.1060 to lock in the gains. Short-term charts look to show a potential descending wedge formation, which usually terminates with a break higher.  [...] Continue Reading


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