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Research Results

Results for 'EUR/CHF'

8 articles with this tag name

EURCHF: will the SNB defend the 1.20 peg?

Updated -  Aug 27, 2014 10:05:00 AM


Since the Swiss National Bank (SNB) imposed its peg in EUR/CHF, this cross has only traded below 1.20 a handful of times, and each time it has bounced off this important level of support. In the three years that the peg has been in place, the market hasn’t tested the SNB’s resolve with any gusto. The market has seemed to accept that you don’t push EUR/CHF below 1.20, otherwise the SNB will act and you  [...] Continue Reading


EURCHF Pressing 20-Month Lows, But 1.20 Floor Remains Firm

Updated -  Aug 19, 2014 8:40:00 AM


Volatility in EURCHF has been extremely compressed over the past few years, so we wouldn’t have blamed any traders for avoiding opening this note altogether. For those who have made it this far though, the recent price action is presenting a rare trading opportunity in the typically quiet pair. At the end of last week, EURCHF ticked down below the 1.2100 handle for the first time since January 2013. The primary catalyst for this  [...] Continue Reading


ECB Pin Action: Will Draghi’s Dovishness Force the SNB into Action?

Updated -  Jun 5, 2014 9:35:00 AM


For once, the marquee trading event of the week lived up to the hype. In its much-anticipated monetary policy meeting, the ECB chose to cut its official interest rate to record lows and became the first major central bank to take deposit rates negative, meaning that banks now must pay to deposit their funds with the ECB. While much of this bold action had already been priced in by the market, the fireworks truly  [...] Continue Reading


EUR/CHF: 100-Day MA Providing a Strong Barrier

Updated -  May 1, 2014 8:20:00 AM


The EUR/CHF, a currency pair renowned for having low volatility under normal conditions, is trading particularly quietly today with both the Eurozone and Switzerland on holiday for May Day. Late last week, Swiss National Bank President Thomas Jordan reiterated the central bank’s dedication toward maintaining the 1.20 floor in order to ward off deflation. Just as it has in the past, the bank pledged that it would purchase “foreign currency in unlimited quantities” if  [...] Continue Reading


EUR/CHF Showing Signs of Near-Term Top – What Does that Mean for Risk?

Updated -  Apr 10, 2014 8:00:00 AM


Volatility in the EUR/CHF has been subdued for years now, ever since the Swiss National Bank set an explicit floor at 1.20 in the pair. Despite the low volatility, the pair can still provide a useful barometer of risk sentiment in the market. Because the Swiss franc is still seen as a safe haven currency, the EUR/CHF tends to fall when traders are pessimistic about the global economy and rise when traders are feeling more  [...] Continue Reading


Research Note: December ECB Policy Decision

Updated -  Dec 7, 2011 3:15:00 PM


December ECB Policy Decision Summary Outlook: On Thursday, December 8 at 0745ET/1245GMT the ECB is expected to cut rates 25 bps to 1.00%, according to the vast majority of forecasts in Bloomberg surveys. A handful of estimates are split between a steady 1.25% rate and a 50 bp cut to 0.75%. We think the ECB will cut by 25 bps, but also that there is a greater potential for 50 bps than the surveys suggest.  [...] Continue Reading


Weekly Strategy-Buying EUR/CHF on SNB raising the floor, possible negative rates

Updated -  Dec 1, 2011 5:30:00 PM


The Swiss government today gave indications it might adopt negative interest rates to assist the Swiss National Bank (SNB) in its efforts to weaken the Swiss franc (CHF). Negative rates, last used in the 1980's, would impose a cost on anyone holding CHF deposits or long-CHF FX positions, likely provoking an exodus from the currency. Additionally, there has been repeated talk in recent weeks that the SNB may announce it is raising the floor in  [...] Continue Reading


Weekly Strategy-Selling EUR/CHF on EU Summit Relief Rally

Updated -  Jul 21, 2011 3:30:00 PM


Weekly Strategy update Aug 2, 2011 1200 ET: EUR/CHF has dropped below 1.10 and nearly reached the bear flag measured move objective around 1.0910/20... At this stage we would suggest taking profit on the remaining 50% short established at an average rate of 1.1805. At the minimum, stops should be lowered to 1.1060 to lock in the gains. Short-term charts look to show a potential descending wedge formation, which usually terminates with a break higher.  [...] Continue Reading

Tags: CHF, EUR, EUR/CHF

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