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Research Results

Results for 'EUR/CHF'

10 articles with this tag name

ECB Pin Action: Will Draghi’s Dovishness Force the SNB into Action?

Updated -  Jun 5, 2014 9:35:00 AM

For once, the marquee trading event of the week lived up to the hype. In its much-anticipated monetary policy meeting, the ECB chose to cut its official interest rate to record lows and became the first major central bank to take deposit rates negative, meaning that banks now must pay to deposit their funds with the ECB. While much of this bold action had already been priced in by the market, the fireworks truly  [...] Continue Reading

EUR/CHF: 100-Day MA Providing a Strong Barrier

Updated -  May 1, 2014 8:20:00 AM

The EUR/CHF, a currency pair renowned for having low volatility under normal conditions, is trading particularly quietly today with both the Eurozone and Switzerland on holiday for May Day. Late last week, Swiss National Bank President Thomas Jordan reiterated the central bank’s dedication toward maintaining the 1.20 floor in order to ward off deflation. Just as it has in the past, the bank pledged that it would purchase “foreign currency in unlimited quantities” if  [...] Continue Reading

EUR/CHF Showing Signs of Near-Term Top – What Does that Mean for Risk?

Updated -  Apr 10, 2014 8:00:00 AM

Volatility in the EUR/CHF has been subdued for years now, ever since the Swiss National Bank set an explicit floor at 1.20 in the pair. Despite the low volatility, the pair can still provide a useful barometer of risk sentiment in the market. Because the Swiss franc is still seen as a safe haven currency, the EUR/CHF tends to fall when traders are pessimistic about the global economy and rise when traders are feeling more  [...] Continue Reading

EUR/CHF Turning Higher – Where to Next?

Updated -  Mar 26, 2014 8:45:00 AM

After plumbing its one-year lows earlier this month, the EUR/CHF has broken out to a new 5-week high this morning. The move does not appear to be driven by any particular economic reports, rather general “risk-on” sentiment as geopolitical tensions in the region continue to abate. News that Russia has bloodlessly captured the last Ukrainian military ship in Crimea has forward-looking traders anticipating a potential resolution in the region, leading to selling the safe  [...] Continue Reading

Let’s be (Swiss) Franc

Updated -  Mar 13, 2014 9:20:00 AM

In a rather under-the-radar fashion, the Swiss franc is quietly on track for its sixth consecutive bearish week against the US dollar. In fact, the both the widely-followed franc pairs are approaching very significant lows, with the USD/CHF hitting a fresh 2.5-year low this morning and the EUR/CHF approaching its lowest rate since January 2013. The historical view of the Swiss franc as a stalwart “safe haven” currency may be less relevant now that  [...] Continue Reading

EUR/CHF Down on Regional Risk Aversion, but Bottom May Be Near

Updated -  Feb 27, 2014 12:00:00 PM

As we noted earlier today, one of the biggest beneficiaries of the escalating tensions between Ukraine and Russia has been the Swiss Franc. In a bout of regional risk aversion, the EUR/CHF dropped to a new 10-month low, a fact I highlighted on twitter this morning: #EURCHF at nearly a 1yr low of 1.2170 as Ukraine concerns continue to drive safe-haven demand. Next support at 1.2130. #forex To elaborate on  [...] Continue Reading

EUR/CHF at a Crossroads

Updated -  Jan 23, 2014 11:31:55 AM

The first half of the North American trading session has been a wild ride so far as investors are trying to get a grip on all of the polarizing data that has been released over the last 24 hours.  The Bank of Canada left the “door slightly more open” to a rate cut yesterday while their Retail Sales surged today; HSBC Manufacturing PMI out of China fell below the all-important 50 level; European PMI’s  [...] Continue Reading

Research Note: December ECB Policy Decision

Updated -  Dec 7, 2011 3:15:00 PM

December ECB Policy Decision Summary Outlook: On Thursday, December 8 at 0745ET/1245GMT the ECB is expected to cut rates 25 bps to 1.00%, according to the vast majority of forecasts in Bloomberg surveys. A handful of estimates are split between a steady 1.25% rate and a 50 bp cut to 0.75%. We think the ECB will cut by 25 bps, but also that there is a greater potential for 50 bps than the surveys suggest.  [...] Continue Reading

Weekly Strategy-Buying EUR/CHF on SNB raising the floor, possible negative rates

Updated -  Dec 1, 2011 5:30:00 PM

The Swiss government today gave indications it might adopt negative interest rates to assist the Swiss National Bank (SNB) in its efforts to weaken the Swiss franc (CHF). Negative rates, last used in the 1980's, would impose a cost on anyone holding CHF deposits or long-CHF FX positions, likely provoking an exodus from the currency. Additionally, there has been repeated talk in recent weeks that the SNB may announce it is raising the floor in  [...] Continue Reading

Weekly Strategy-Selling EUR/CHF on EU Summit Relief Rally

Updated -  Jul 21, 2011 3:30:00 PM

Weekly Strategy update Aug 2, 2011 1200 ET: EUR/CHF has dropped below 1.10 and nearly reached the bear flag measured move objective around 1.0910/20... At this stage we would suggest taking profit on the remaining 50% short established at an average rate of 1.1805. At the minimum, stops should be lowered to 1.1060 to lock in the gains. Short-term charts look to show a potential descending wedge formation, which usually terminates with a break higher.  [...] Continue Reading


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