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Research Results

Results for 'GBP/USD'

67 articles with this tag name

Mutiny at the Bank of England

Updated -  Aug 20, 2014 6:15:00 AM


The hawks at the Bank of England have started to spread their wings. At last two members of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) have broken ranks with the Governor for the first time since 2011. The longest period of unity in the MPC’s history has been shattered, now things at the BOE will start to get interesting. The fact that two members have voted for a rate hike already is significant for a few  [...] Continue Reading


GBPUSD: Mark Carney to the rescue

Updated -  Aug 18, 2014 5:40:00 AM


After a dismal performance last week, the pound was one of the weakest performers in the global FX space and only managed to beat the Turkish lira and Israeli shekel, the pound is back. It has bounced off its 200-day sma support at 1.6667, which has fuelled some speculation that a recovery could be on the cards. A long wait for BOE minutes Whether or not we extend gains this week could depend  [...] Continue Reading


Currency focus: is the attack on GBP justified?

Updated -  Aug 15, 2014 7:10:00 AM


The pound was one of the weakest performers in the FX space last week. To put this into perspective, it fell against all the other G10 currencies, on a broader basis, the Russian ruble and Argentinian peso out-performed the pound last week. The only other currencies that were weaker than the pound were the Israeli shekel and the Turkish lira. The latter was sold after Prime Minister Erdogan won the country’s first direct Presidential election,  [...] Continue Reading


Are the stars aligned for the dollar?

Updated -  Aug 14, 2014 8:55:00 AM


Two events have occurred over the last 24 hours that could trigger another leg higher for the dollar: 1, The BOE has back-tracked from an early rate increase and now it may not be the first of the major central banks to hike interest rates. This has weighed heavily on the pound. 2, German yields have fallen to record lows as the market prices in the prospect of QE from the ECB after  [...] Continue Reading


GBPUSD: testing critical support at 1.6664

Updated -  Aug 14, 2014 5:50:00 AM


The selling pressure on the pound has not eased as we move into Thursday and the sell-off that started in July could be about to gather pace if GBPUSD fails to hold above support at 1.6664 – the 200-day sma. If we get a daily close below this level then the technical and fundamental backdrop would both start to look grave for sterling. The pound and the BOE Although GBPUSD has fallen more than  [...] Continue Reading


BOE Inflation Report – it’s all about the money, money, money…

Updated -  Aug 13, 2014 7:30:00 AM


What a difference 2 months’ make. Back in June, Mark Carney went out of his way to say that rates could rise sooner than expected, today, during his third Inflation Report of the year, he said that “now is not the time for a rate increase”, and when it is the time rate hikes will be slow and steady. Carney was called an unreliable boyfriend for his switch in tone towards rate hikes, but,  [...] Continue Reading


What to expect from the BOE’s Inflation Report

Updated -  Aug 12, 2014 7:20:00 AM


There is a double whammy of event risk for the UK on Wednesday. First up the employment data for June and July is released at 0930 BST/ 0430 ET, then one hour later Mark Carney will deliver the third Bank of England Inflation Report of 2014. The latter could give the market another steer on when to expect interest rates to rise. The former will be important to see if the labour market can continue  [...] Continue Reading


GBPUSD: is the break below 1.68 fatal?

Updated -  Aug 11, 2014 6:30:00 AM


This is a big week for the pound, on Wednesday we have a double whammy of fundamental risk: the latest employment report and the August Inflation Report. After nursing some heavy losses in recent weeks, GBPUSD is down 2.2% versus the USD in the past month, the long-term uptrend in the pound is starting to look shaky. Can the BOE boost the pound’s fortunes? Until a few weeks ago the pound was one  [...] Continue Reading


GBP/USD struggling to hold onto gains despite UK PMI surprise

Updated -  Aug 5, 2014 8:35:00 AM


*** Please note: I will be on holiday from Monday 11th August, so won’t be sending out any reports from then until my return on 1st September *** Such is the US dollar’s strength currently that even an eight month high UK services PMI reading is unable to underpin the GBP/USD. After an initial bounce on the back of the cheerful data, the Cable has relinquished about half of its gains already and has  [...] Continue Reading


GBPUSD: Is the Uptrend Coming to an End?

Updated -  Jul 30, 2014 1:20:00 PM


We already discussed the traditional technical outlook for GBPUSD earlier this week (see “GBPUSD Bulls Standing on the Precipice” for more), but we wanted to revisit the pair and evaluate the health of the uptrend more objectively. In a sideways market, technical traders often look at the price relative to static support or resistance areas to determine whether the instrument is breaking out. This same principle can be adapted to evaluate whether a  [...] Continue Reading


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