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Research Results

Results for 'GBP/USD'

60 articles with this tag name

November Month-End Model Signals Potential USD Weakness

Updated -  Nov 26, 2014 11:15:00 AM


Background: Traders often discuss how ‘month end’ flows may impact a currency or a currency pair during the last few day(s) of the month. These flows are caused by global portfolio managers rebalancing their existing currency hedges. If the value of one country’s equity and bond markets increases, these fund managers typically look to sell or hedge their elevated risk in that country’s currency and rebalance their exposure back to an underperforming country’s currency. The  [...] Continue Reading


Blizzards, Beaches, and the Rising US Dollar Tide

Updated -  Nov 18, 2014 9:20:00 AM


Blizzards, Beaches, and the Rising US Dollar Tide For those who have never sat on a beach and watched the ocean tide come in, it’s a practice I wholeheartedly recommend. The gradual rise in overall water levels is almost imperceptible, but as each wave recedes, another one rises to take its place and extend the peak water level ever-so-slightly. Perhaps it’s the unusually early blizzard bombarding our Michigan office today, but it’s particularly  [...] Continue Reading


CPI gives GBP a boost, but it’s only temporary

Updated -  Nov 18, 2014 5:50:00 AM


The pound has bounced this morning and made fresh highs of the day after CPI was stronger than expected. The October reading rose to 1.3%, the market had expected it to remain at 1.2%. Considering the Bank of England Governor Mark Carney was dovish in last week’s Quarterly Inflation Report and said that there was a risk that inflation could fall below 1% in the coming months, was he being too cautious? Call of  [...] Continue Reading


GBPUSD: is 1.50 on the cards after Carney?

Updated -  Nov 13, 2014 5:50:00 AM


In the aftermath of the latest Bank of England Quarterly Inflation Report (QIR) released on Wednesday, the pound has breached an important technical level. GBPUSD has taken the hit after Mark Carney stuck to a dovish tone during his press conference on Wednesday, and this pair has passed through a key support level at 1.5770 – the low from 12th September 2013. A bearish close for GBPUSD on Wednesday suggests that there is further downside  [...] Continue Reading


Initial thoughts on BOE Inflation Report

Updated -  Nov 12, 2014 7:40:00 AM


Today’s BOE inflation report has weighed heavily on the pound, which is making fresh lows of the day as I type this report. They key things to point out: The market reaction: The market has decided this report is dovish, mostly due to the reduction in inflation forecasts. Although the Governor is hoping that inflation won’t fall below 1%, he is prepping the market for the possibility in the next 6 months. If  [...] Continue Reading


Initial thoughts on BOE Inflation Report

Updated -  Nov 12, 2014 7:35:00 AM


Today’s BOE inflation report has weighed heavily on the pound, which is making fresh lows of the day as I type this report. They key things to point out: The market reaction: The market has decided this report is dovish, mostly due to the reduction in inflation forecasts. Although the Governor is hoping that inflation won’t fall below 1%, he is prepping the market for the possibility in the next 6 months. If  [...] Continue Reading


UK employment data: a tiny something to get excited about

Updated -  Nov 12, 2014 6:50:00 AM


For the first time since 2009, UK wage packets are above inflation. Although wage growth (ex-bonuses) are a paltry 1.3%, inflation is falling at a fast enough rate for customers to finally break just about even. After years of high inflation and falling wages we could be at a sweet spot for the Bank of England. Falling CPI at the same time that wages are finally rising on the back of a tightening labour  [...] Continue Reading


Will the BOE admit they got it wrong again?

Updated -  Nov 11, 2014 2:55:00 PM


On Wednesday 12th November the Bank of England will deliver its final Inflation Report of the year, and all eyes will be on potential changes to the growth and inflation forecasts. Forecast revisions In the August report the BOE expected GDP of 3.5% for this year, 3.1% for 2015 and 2.6% in 2016. However, after a weaker than expected Q3 reading for UK GDP of 0.7%, versus BOE forecasts of 0.9%, and some  [...] Continue Reading


Will This Week’s Data Take GBPUSD to a New 14-Month Low?

Updated -  Nov 5, 2014 1:00:00 PM


The US elections are now behind us, and as widely anticipated, Republicans have solidified their lead in the House of Representatives and seized control of the Senate. For the next two years, the legislative branch of the government will be controlled by the Republican majority, whereas the executive branch (President) is Democratic. While the Republicans’ strong performance may lead to some progress on trade and energy policies among others, the gridlock that has ensnared Washington  [...] Continue Reading


Could GBPUSD Be Forming a Bottom?

Updated -  Oct 28, 2014 2:30:00 PM


Just a few month ago, on the unfathomably unpredictable planet we call Earth, traders were arguing whether the Federal Reserve or Bank of England (or both!) would raise interest rates this year. Flashing forward to the present day on the same erratic planet, and some traders have already started to ponder whether both the Fed and BOE could hold off on raising interest rates until early 2016! In the week’s marquee economic event, the  [...] Continue Reading


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