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Research Results

Results for 'GBP/USD'

68 articles with this tag name

Scotland votes No, what now?

Updated -  Sep 19, 2014 2:30:00 AM


In the end, the referendum result ended up being a bigger win for the No camp than the late polls had predicted. The Yes campaign had gathered momentum in the last two weeks, but it burnt itself out by polling day. The final outcome was 55% for the No camp to 45% to the Yes camp. Sterling has had a good night and UK equity futures point to a 1% increase when European markets open.  [...] Continue Reading


Polls are closed! The No camp may have the edge in the Scottish independence race

Updated -  Sep 18, 2014 6:31:24 PM


The polling stations in Scotland closed at 2200BST and there appears to have been a massive turnout. Reports coming from the North suggest that 90% of voters turned up, with 97% of the Scottish electorate registered to vote. This could be good for either side. The No camp is banking on it negating the SNP’s ground campaign and it may mean some “shy No’s”, if there are any, cast their votes. On the side  [...] Continue Reading


Scotland: is GBP too eager to price in a No victory?

Updated -  Sep 18, 2014 12:20:00 PM


The pound has climbed to a 2 week high and with only a few hours of voting for the Scottish referendum left the market seems happy to price in a victory for the No camp. We should find out in the early hours whether or not the market is right to be so optimistic at this early stage. Two things have boosted expectations, firstly the last poll before the vote that showed the No camp  [...] Continue Reading


GBPUSD: can the recovery continue?

Updated -  Sep 17, 2014 11:22:00 AM


The next 48 hours could provide some potentially explosive events for this pair. First up, we get the FOMC meeting later today (check out our preview HERE) then we get the Scottish referendum result, which we are expecting at approx. 0700 BST on Friday morning. Is a sterling crisis waiting in the wings? Looking at the referendum first, a yes vote could trigger a decline back to 1.50 in this pair, while  [...] Continue Reading


GBPUSD: can the recovery continue?

Updated -  Sep 17, 2014 11:20:00 AM


The next 48 hours could provide some potentially explosive events for this pair. First up, we get the FOMC meeting later today (check out our preview HERE) then we get the Scottish referendum result, which we are expecting at approx. 0700 BST on Friday morning. Is a sterling crisis waiting in the wings? Looking at the referendum first, a yes vote could trigger a decline back to 1.50 in this pair, while  [...] Continue Reading


GBPUSD: Mind the Gap

Updated -  Sep 11, 2014 8:30:00 AM


The pound is among a handful of assets defying the strength of the dollar with GBP/USD climbing higher for a third day. But will the rally lose steam here or are there more gains to come? From a fundamental point of view, it depends largely on these major events/themes: the strength of the US dollar, the level of safe haven demand from European investors for the pound and the outcome of the Scottish independence referendum.  [...] Continue Reading


Scottish independence: GBP volatility ahoy!

Updated -  Sep 8, 2014 9:55:00 AM


The market is in panic mode at the start of a fresh week after the latest poll ahead of the Scottish referendum put the yes campaign (who wants independence) in the lead for the first time since the campaign began. Not even the announcement that another Royal baby is on the way could bury this news. After basically having it in the bag since the beginning, the no campaign has blown its comfortable lead; so  [...] Continue Reading


GBPUSD and the Scottish referendum

Updated -  Sep 2, 2014 8:40:00 AM


Currency traders woke up to a rather unsettling headline this morning – “Yougov poll finds rapid shift in favour of Scottish Independence”. For most of the campaign the FX market has shrugged off the risks of a win for the yes vote, as the no campaign had enjoyed a healthy lead; however, with just over three weeks to go until polling day the tide is starting to shift. While it is hard to pinpoint  [...] Continue Reading


GBPUSD: may not be able to brush off PMI woes for long

Updated -  Sep 1, 2014 5:55:00 AM


Although the UK manufacturing PMI for August fell to its lowest level since June last year, the pound’s reaction has been fairly muted, and GBPUSD remains at its highest level since 20th August. So why was the reaction so muted? From a fundamental perspective, GBPUSD’s reaction this morning wasn’t too surprising since consumer credit and mortgage approval data was better than expected. Since consumption and the housing market are important components of the UK  [...] Continue Reading


Mutiny at the Bank of England

Updated -  Aug 20, 2014 6:15:00 AM


The hawks at the Bank of England have started to spread their wings. At last two members of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) have broken ranks with the Governor for the first time since 2011. The longest period of unity in the MPC’s history has been shattered, now things at the BOE will start to get interesting. The fact that two members have voted for a rate hike already is significant for a few  [...] Continue Reading


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