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Research Results

Results for 'GBP/USD'

68 articles with this tag name

UK economic rebound fails to excite the markets

Updated -  Jul 25, 2014 6:20:00 AM


This morning we had confirmation of another solid quarter of growth for the UK. Q2 GDP rose by 0.8%, the same pace at Q1. This is encouraging as there were plenty of headwinds to knock the economy off course, including geopolitical fears, rising expectations of a UK interest rate increase and a surge in the pound. Our annual rate of growth is now 3.1%, up from 3% in Q1. To put this in some  [...] Continue Reading


Bank of England to markets: “Hold your horses”

Updated -  Jul 23, 2014 8:20:00 AM


The minutes from the BOE meetings have become the most important way for the market to gauge the Bank’s sentiment and make predictions about its next move. After feeling pretty confident in recent weeks that Mark Carney and co. had shifted to a more hawkish policy stance, the market rushed to price in two rate hikes by the end of Q1 2015, the latest minutes have left the market scratching its head once more. How  [...] Continue Reading


BOE Minutes Preview: Real Wages are Really Important

Updated -  Jul 22, 2014 3:00:00 PM


Trade in GBPUSD has been undeniably lackluster to start this week, with rates contained to just a 60-pip range thus far, but volatility in the GBPUSD will almost certainly pick up substantially heading into the latter half of the week. While classic stalwarts like Retail Sales (Thursday) and Preliminary GDP (Friday) are sure to be market-moving one way or another, tomorrow’s BOE Minutes may be the most important event for traders to monitor.   A  [...] Continue Reading


GBP/USD upward trend still intact, but bulls need to show presence pretty soon

Updated -  Jul 22, 2014 12:30:00 PM


About a month ago now, we took a long-term view on the GBP/USD and suggested that there could be significant gains on the way for the currency pair. At the time, the Cable had just breached 1.7040/5 which was previously a significant resistance level and also the 2009 high. From there, it went up by another 150 pips before the rally exhausted around 1.7190. As can be seen on the daily chart, this 1.7190  [...] Continue Reading


GBP/USD: Is the Cable pausing for breath ahead of breakout?

Updated -  Jul 16, 2014 11:20:00 AM


The pound lost some ground this morning in reaction to the UK labour market data. As expected, the unemployment rate fell to 6.5% in May from 6.6% in April, while jobless claims dropped by 36,300 applications last month which was better than expected. However, earnings growth was again weaker, which remains one of the main reasons why the Bank of England has kept interest rates at record lows. In the 3 months to May, wages  [...] Continue Reading


Why women are to blame for today’s spike in the pound

Updated -  Jul 15, 2014 7:40:00 AM


The pound is the strongest performer in the G10 space so far today and recently made a fresh high ahead of the UK lunchtime. The key driver of the pound was stronger than expected inflation data, with headline CPI rising to its highest level since January and core CPI rising to 2%, the Bank of England’s target rate. So why did inflation jump from 1.5% to 1.9% when the market was expecting 1.6%? The Office  [...] Continue Reading


Central bank watch: three key speeches to look out for this week

Updated -  Jul 14, 2014 12:10:00 PM


This week there is some juicy economic data that could move markets; however it may be central bank testimony that ends up being more important for investors. Like it or loathe it, the relative stance of the world’s major central banks is the chief driver of markets right now, which is why we are keeping a close eye on three of the world’s most important central bankers in the coming days. 1, ECB’s Mario  [...] Continue Reading


GBPUSD: Cable Rally Showing Signs of Cracking

Updated -  Jul 8, 2014 2:20:00 PM


After a string of strong economic reports last week, the UK suffered a fundamental setback earlier today. Both Industrial Production and Manufacturing Production missed expectations substantially last month;  IP came in at -0.7% vs. 0.2% expected and 0.3% (revised) last month, whereas MP dropped -1.3% against an anticipated 0.4% and a revised 0.3% last month. These disappointing readings have taken the luster off cable, but looking at the chart, the GBPUSD rally had already stalled  [...] Continue Reading


How the housing market could get in the way of the sterling ascendency

Updated -  Jul 2, 2014 7:05:00 AM


The pound is at a 6-year high versus the USD again today as the UK‘s construction sector PMI beat expectations and rose to its highest level for four months. This is the second consecutive positive data surprise in as many days and points to robust GDP figures for Q2. So can the GBP rally last? Factors that could drive sterling going forward: Positives: Negatives: Sterling and the housing market: The housing  [...] Continue Reading


GBP/USD faces testing few days

Updated -  Jul 1, 2014 11:50:00 AM


The Cable goes from strength to strength and today it found additional buoyancy from the manufacturing sector. While the UK’s manufacturing PMI for June was ahead of expectations at 57.5, in the US, the PMI came in at 55.3, which was lower than expected and below the May’s reading of 55.4. Several other US macro pointers also disappointed, including the latest figures on construction spending and the result of the IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism survey. As  [...] Continue Reading


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