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Research Results

Results for 'GBP/USD'

56 articles with this tag name

Can the Fed disrupt the GBPUSD rally?

Updated -  Jul 29, 2015 11:00:00 AM

Ahead of this evening’s FOMC meeting, the pound is the strongest performer in the G10 FX space. Sterling is still benefitting from the decent GDP figure released on Tuesday, which has triggered a 150 pip rally in two days, not bad for end of July markets. As we lead up to the FOMC meeting, GBPUSD is currently above the most recent peaks on 17th and 23rd July, and is at its highest level of  [...] Continue Reading

GBPUSD: Traders Take a Glass-Half-Full View of UK GDP

Updated -  Jul 28, 2015 8:25:00 AM

It’s been a generally quiet Tuesday in global markets, with the US dollar regaining some of yesterday’s lost ground, WTI edging higher after hitting a new 4-month low under 47.00, and gold marking time below 1100. The only economic data release of note was the UK’s preliminary GDP reading for Q2, which showed as-expected 0.7% growth quarter-over-quarter. While the headline GDP reading matched consensus, cable traders are taking a “glass half full” view of the  [...] Continue Reading

BOE = (B)reak (O)ut (E)vent for GBPUSD

Updated -  Jul 22, 2015 9:00:00 AM

With Australia’s highly-anticipated Q2 CPI report coming out broadly in-line with expectations at 0.7% q/q, traders honed in on the other major economic announcement of the last 24 hours, the minutes from the most recent Bank of England meeting. While the central bank voted unanimously to leave interest rates unchanged at 0.5%, there was a distinct hawkish shift within the bank’s monetary policy committee. According to the minutes, “For a number of members, the  [...] Continue Reading

GBP/USD still vulnerable even if BoE is turning hawkish

Updated -  Jul 20, 2015 7:30:00 AM

The pound was among the top performing currencies in G10 last week after the Bank of England Governor Mark Carney hinted that UK interest rates could start to rise soon, possibly at the start of 2016. The pound rallied across the board, even ending the week higher against the US dollar which itself has been supported after the Federal Reserve talked up the possibility of a 2015 lift off. As a result of guesstimating  [...] Continue Reading

Can rate expectations continue to fuel this GBP rally?

Updated -  Jul 17, 2015 7:40:00 AM

This question has now come centre stage for financial markets after Bank of England governor Mark Carney said that interest rates could rise at the “turn of the year”, which suggests that a rate rise is likely in December or January, it could even come earlier if the Bank wants to hike rates at the same time as the November Inflation Report. Looking for a winter rate hike This week has seen a  [...] Continue Reading

Preview: UK Summer Budget 2015

Updated -  Jul 7, 2015 1:00:00 PM

Wednesday’s emergency Budget comes on the back of the Conservative Party’s victory in May’s election. Although events in Greece are stealing the limelight, we still think that this week’s Budget has the potential to cause volatility in GBP markets. The backdrop: The Conservatives have been fairly transparent about their desire to eliminate the budget deficit by the 2018/19 fiscal year, and most of the plans for spending cuts have already been leaked to  [...] Continue Reading

June Month-End Dollar Selling May be Dwarfed by Greek Drama

Updated -  Jun 29, 2015 1:50:00 PM

Background: Traders often refer the impact of ‘month end flows’ on different currency pairs during the last few days of the month. In essence, these money ‘flows’ are caused by global fund managers and investors rebalancing their currency exposure based on market movements over the last month. For example, if the value of one country’s equity and bond markets increases, these fund managers typically look to sell or hedge their now-elevated exposure to that country’s  [...] Continue Reading

GBP/USD: has the Cable stretched too far?

Updated -  Jun 22, 2015 12:15:00 PM

Today has been all about the European stock markets which have closed sharply higher on hopes for a Greek deal this week. The FX markets have been far less volatile, although the dollar has gained some ground on the back of some decent US economic data, namely the latest existing home sales which climbed by a good 5.1% in May to an annualised rate of 5.35 million. It was better than the 5.27 million  [...] Continue Reading

FOMC: A Little Something for Everyone, but Not Enough For Anyone

Updated -  Jun 17, 2015 2:40:00 PM

Heading into today’s highly-anticipated FOMC meeting, we highlighted three major areas of focus in our preview report. With 2.5 of the key elements now revealed, the message is thoroughly mixed. As everyone in the trading world expected, the Federal Reserve left its main Fed Funds rate unchanged in the 0.00-0.25% range, but as ever, the market is looking ahead to the future. On that front, the central bank’s outlook remains as data-dependent and  [...] Continue Reading

GBP/USD: May high in sight as wage growth hits 4-year high

Updated -  Jun 17, 2015 7:20:00 AM

The pound has surged higher on the back of some really good earnings news from the UK which has raised expectations for an earlier-than-expected Bank of England rate hike. Although the unemployment rate remained unchanged at 5.5% in the three months to April and the number of people claiming unemployment-related benefits fell only and by a less-than-forecast 6,500 in May, these numbers were overshadowed by news that wages rose at their strongest pace since August  [...] Continue Reading

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