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Research Results

Results for 'GBP/USD'

63 articles with this tag name

June Month-End Dollar Selling May be Dwarfed by Greek Drama

Updated -  Jun 29, 2015 1:50:00 PM


Background: Traders often refer the impact of ‘month end flows’ on different currency pairs during the last few days of the month. In essence, these money ‘flows’ are caused by global fund managers and investors rebalancing their currency exposure based on market movements over the last month. For example, if the value of one country’s equity and bond markets increases, these fund managers typically look to sell or hedge their now-elevated exposure to that country’s  [...] Continue Reading


GBP/USD: has the Cable stretched too far?

Updated -  Jun 22, 2015 12:15:00 PM


Today has been all about the European stock markets which have closed sharply higher on hopes for a Greek deal this week. The FX markets have been far less volatile, although the dollar has gained some ground on the back of some decent US economic data, namely the latest existing home sales which climbed by a good 5.1% in May to an annualised rate of 5.35 million. It was better than the 5.27 million  [...] Continue Reading


FOMC: A Little Something for Everyone, but Not Enough For Anyone

Updated -  Jun 17, 2015 2:40:00 PM


Heading into today’s highly-anticipated FOMC meeting, we highlighted three major areas of focus in our preview report. With 2.5 of the key elements now revealed, the message is thoroughly mixed. As everyone in the trading world expected, the Federal Reserve left its main Fed Funds rate unchanged in the 0.00-0.25% range, but as ever, the market is looking ahead to the future. On that front, the central bank’s outlook remains as data-dependent and  [...] Continue Reading


GBP/USD: May high in sight as wage growth hits 4-year high

Updated -  Jun 17, 2015 7:20:00 AM


The pound has surged higher on the back of some really good earnings news from the UK which has raised expectations for an earlier-than-expected Bank of England rate hike. Although the unemployment rate remained unchanged at 5.5% in the three months to April and the number of people claiming unemployment-related benefits fell only and by a less-than-forecast 6,500 in May, these numbers were overshadowed by news that wages rose at their strongest pace since August  [...] Continue Reading


Thoughts on UK CPI: disinflation hard to shake off …

Updated -  Jun 16, 2015 4:55:00 AM


So, the UK CPI release for May was in-line with expectations, however, the big story of the morning is not that the UK exited deflation last month, rising from -0.1% to 0.1% in May, instead it is that producer prices remained mired in negative territory and even house prices disappointed, although that may be temporary. Digging into the CPI data, the largest upward contribution came from airfares, which the Office for National Statistics (ONS) attributed  [...] Continue Reading


GBPUSD: 1.5560-70 in focus as credit rating and Greek fears take hold

Updated -  Jun 15, 2015 6:10:00 AM


Sterling doesn’t seem fazed by the latest mutterings from Standard & Poor’s the credit rating agency. Late last week the S&P said that a referendum on the UK’s EU membership could hurt the UK’s credit rating as it may make it difficult for the UK to fund its deficit and a referendum could damage its trade relationships within the UK. These are all relevant fears, but with the election out of the way, politics is  [...] Continue Reading


GBP/USD testing key resistance ahead of US data

Updated -  Jun 10, 2015 1:10:00 PM


The GBP/USD is up for a third consecutive session, extending its gains from the base of 1.5170 formed on June 1. The upsurge has been primarily driven by a weaker US dollar rather than a stronger pound, with the dollar index now down for a third straight day. But the pound has also gained some ground on the back of some mixed bag UK economic data of late. Today’s numbers showed manufacturing production unexpectedly fell  [...] Continue Reading


GBP/USD down but not out (yet)

Updated -  Jun 3, 2015 6:40:00 AM


The GBP/USD has relinquished about 50% of the sharp gains made in the prior session. Sterling fell across the board this morning on news that activity in the dominant UK services sector slowed down in May from an eight-month high in April. The PMI dropped to 56.5, down 3 whole points from 59.5 recorded in April, easily missing expectations of 59.2. The services sector disappointment comes a day after the construction sector PMI surprised to  [...] Continue Reading


GBPUSD Testing 1.5190 Support after Longest Bearish Streak since Last July

Updated -  Jun 1, 2015 9:00:00 AM


The US dollar is gaining a bit of ground at the start of a very busy week for economic data. In case you missed our data previews in Friday’s Week Ahead preview report, note that this week’s major global releases include US ISM Manufacturing PMI (today), the RBA monetary policy decision and statement, UK construction PMI, Eurozone CPI (all Tuesday), Eurozone PMIs and retail sales data, an ECB press conference, UK Services PMI, the  [...] Continue Reading


The dollar is king for May, but can it last?

Updated -  May 29, 2015 9:40:00 AM


As we end May in a rather rainy and blustery fashion here in London, the dollar is having a bad end to the trading month. The latest economic data hasn’t helped things; the US economy shrank 0.7% in the first quarter.  Although this was less than the -0.9% decline expected, it suggests that the US economy is still under the first-quarter weather-related curse that we saw last year. The immediate rush to safe havens  [...] Continue Reading


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