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Research Results

Results for 'GBP/USD'

21 articles with this tag name

Dovish BOE comments + decent US GDP = GBP/USD 1.50?

Updated -  Nov 24, 2015 8:45:00 AM

In an otherwise quiet day in the foreign exchange market, GBP/USD has seen a relatively big drop amidst dovish comments from BOE policymakers and decent US data. During this morning’s European session, BOE Chief Economist Andy Haldane posted an annual report with his views on the Bank of England’s website. In those comments, Haldane highlighted that the risks to growth and inflation were skewed to the downside and crucially, that the Bank of England  [...] Continue Reading

GBP/USD: Low conviction dollar longs jump ship

Updated -  Nov 19, 2015 3:35:00 PM

It’s been a rough day for the US dollar, and the big drop in the greenback doesn’t stem from a clear bearish catalyst. This morning’s US economic data was fairly mixed, with initial jobless claims printing in-line with expectations at 271k, while the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing index ticked back into positive territory at 1.9 (from -4.5 last month and 0.1 expected). The upcoming “Black Friday” holiday provides a perfect metaphor to help explain today’s  [...] Continue Reading

GBP/USD could turn volatile as investors eye UK, US CPI

Updated -  Nov 16, 2015 1:10:00 PM

Last week, the British pound was among the strongest of currencies in G10. The week before, it was one of the weakest. Clearly, speculators who had established short positions in GBP, especially against the USD, after that surprisingly dovish Bank of England Inflation Report, used the opportunity of a mostly US data-void week to book profit on their positions throughout last week. In addition, we had some stronger employment data from the UK last Wednesday  [...] Continue Reading

GBP/USD bounces back on UK employment data; faces major resistance

Updated -  Nov 11, 2015 7:26:12 AM

Much like yesterday afternoon, it has been a relatively quiet day in the FX markets due to the lack of any significant Eurozone or US data, and as North American banks are closed in observance of Veterans Day. But luckily, we’ve had some important employment data from the UK which caused a bit of volatility in the pound. Although wage growth was slightly weaker than expected, the jobs figures were eye catching nonetheless for the  [...] Continue Reading

BOE’s “Super Thursday” lives up to its billing…for GBP bears

Updated -  Nov 5, 2015 8:40:00 AM

As my colleague Fawad Razaqzada noted earlier today, traders were waiting with bated breath for the Bank of England’s “Super Thursday” festivities to kick off the final rush of top-tier economic data ahead of the weekend. As it turns out, the event only lived up to its billing for bears, while bulls were left holding the bag. Predictably, the BOE left interest rates unchanged at 0.5% for the 80th consecutive month while also refraining from  [...] Continue Reading

GBP/USD tests key support as UK economic growth slows

Updated -  Oct 27, 2015 7:55:00 AM

As we go to press, the pound has managed to bounce back after its initial drop on the back of the UK GDP data. According to the ONS, economic growth slowed to half a per cent in the third quarter from a rate of 0.7% during the previous three months.  Analysts were expecting a more moderate slowdown to 0.6%, hence the initial negative reaction of the pound. On a year-over-year basis, GDP grew 2.3 per  [...] Continue Reading

GBP/USD: Bulls get a day in the sun on M&A speculation, economic data

Updated -  Oct 7, 2015 8:50:00 AM

The big news in global markets today is Anheuser-Busch InBev’s higher buyout offer to SABMiller. After the British-domiciled SABMiller turned down offers of £38 and £40 per share earlier, AB InBev raised its latest proposal to £42.15/share for a total value of $104B. If accepted and approved by anti-trust regulators (a big risk to any potential merger), the deal would create an international behemoth responsible for about one-third of global beer supply. Not surprisingly,  [...] Continue Reading

GBP/USD: Heading (and shouldering) lower if 1.5175 breaks?

Updated -  Sep 24, 2015 9:05:00 AM

After initially falling on last week’s seemingly-dovish Federal Reserve statement and press conference, the US dollar has been edging higher in mixed trade so far this week and based on this morning’s US economic data, the dollar could be poised for further gains today. To kick things off, the weekly initial jobless claims report came out roughly in-line with expectations at 267k, remaining at a historically low level and showing that the labor market remains  [...] Continue Reading

GBP/USD could be in for a BIG move as FOMC waiting finally over

Updated -  Sep 17, 2015 7:10:00 AM

The waiting if finally over! Or is it? This evening we will find out whether the Fed will increase interest rates for the first time since 2006, and what guidance it will provide for the future of US economic activity and monetary policy. As the situation is quite uncertain, traders are unlikely to build bold positions leading up to the meeting. Whatever the outcome, we should see a knee-jerk reaction because some people will be  [...] Continue Reading

GBP/USD rally fizzles as UK inflation falls to zero

Updated -  Sep 15, 2015 7:10:00 AM

The latest inflation data from the UK shows there is virtually no pressure on the Bank of England to raise interest rates and this could be bad news for sterling which may get pounded if the US Federal Reserve delivers a hawkish message on Thursday. But there will be plenty of other macro data from both the UK and US economies that will impact the Cable ahead of the conclusion of the FOMC meeting, so  [...] Continue Reading

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