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Research Results

Results for 'GBP/USD'

64 articles with this tag name

GBPUSD Peeking Above 3-Month Bearish Trend – Could 1.62 or 1.63 Be Next?

Updated -  Oct 20, 2014 8:45:00 AM


It’s been a quiet start to the trading week, with most major assets consolidating in tight ranges after last week’s volatility. The biggest development thus far was a report that Japan’s Government Pension Investment Fund (GPIF) is considering doubling its exposure to stocks at the conclusion of its asset review later this year. While the decision is not finalized yet, the fund manages over $1T in assets, so any potential changes will have a  [...] Continue Reading


GBP/USD: Decision Time

Updated -  Oct 17, 2014 2:46:29 PM


Over the last two weeks the GBP/USD has been on quite the roller coaster ride.  It started the month of October trying to lick the wounds of a 550 point drop down through 1.60, and succeeded for the most part as it rallied back up to 1.62 before markets around the world started dropping like flies.  Now as we end the week, there is newfound optimism as risk markets have found some footing for a  [...] Continue Reading


North American Wrap-up: Who You Gonna Call?

Updated -  Oct 15, 2014 3:54:09 PM


Human sacrifice, dogs and cats living together, mass hysteria!” – Bill Murray, Ghostbusters That about sums up the way the market is feeling in North America today as the proverbial you-know-what is hitting the fan.  The US equity markets were the headline catching performers of the day as the Dow fell over 400 points (over 2.5%) and the S&P500 did it one better by falling nearly 3% before recovering in the afternoon session to both  [...] Continue Reading


North American Wrap-up: The Interest Rate Shell Game

Updated -  Oct 14, 2014 3:51:31 PM


The market was in a bit of a more entertaining mood today as we started the North American trading session thanks in large part to some less than encouraging signs out of the UK as well as the Eurozone, but then proceeded to fall flat on its face as the afternoon wore on.  The US and Canada didn’t release any economic data, so markets were left to decipher earnings and what was left  [...] Continue Reading


EURUSD: European Spelling Bee

Updated -  Oct 14, 2014 8:35:00 AM


Your word is “inflation.” “Inflation – What is the origin of the word? “Definitely not Europe” “Can you use it in a sentence?” “Inflation is the phenomenon of rising prices, a concern that is growing increasingly irrelevant in the developed world” At this point, our spelling bee metaphor is getting a bit stretched, but you get the idea. Over the last 24 hours, traders have gotten updates on price pressures in a variety of developed  [...] Continue Reading


GBPUSD: will the BOE re-assess rate expectations?

Updated -  Oct 14, 2014 6:50:00 AM


The sharp drop in inflation has seen the pound fall below the psychologically important 1.60 level, its lowest reading since early March. The drop in CPI to 1.2% from 1.5% is close to the 1.1% low from September 2009, when the UK was still mired in the post-financial crisis recession. The Office for National Statistics (ONS) blamed the decline in prices on motor fuel and food, saying that if they were excluded then the  [...] Continue Reading


GBPUSD: Bias Remains Bearish Below 1.60 Psychological Level

Updated -  Oct 6, 2014 8:35:00 AM


Perhaps it’s a blessing in disguise that today’s economic calendar is essentially barren, because it feels like just one weekend was not enough to digest Friday’s robust Non-Farm Payroll report.  As a result of the strong jobs report, the USD tested multi-year highs against the euro and Swiss franc, as well as the Canadian, Australian, and New Zealand Dollar. The focus of today’s piece though is GBPUSD, which peeked below a psychologically critical support  [...] Continue Reading


Paging Dr. Yellen

Updated -  Oct 3, 2014 10:12:19 AM


Over the last few months, North American markets, and in particular the US Dollar, have been enjoying an amazing run of strength.  US data has been either good or mildly good, the Federal Reserve continued to taper Quantitative Easing in to oblivion, China exhibited signs of slowing down, and central banks from the rest of the world are either leaning toward dovishness or introducing policies that outright exclaim it.  Then suddenly, last month’s Non-Farm Payroll  [...] Continue Reading


USD/JPY key levels to watch ahead of NFP

Updated -  Oct 3, 2014 8:10:00 AM


So, the nonfarm payrolls report is due in less than half an hour and the market is expecting a 215,000 rise in the number of jobs gained in September with the unemployment rate seen unchanged at 6.1%. My colleagues Matt Weller and Neal Gilbert have already prepared their usual NFP preview and forecasts HERE – definitely worth a read. As they mention in their reports, the USD/JPY has one of the most reliable reactions  [...] Continue Reading


How elections can impact markets

Updated -  Oct 3, 2014 6:30:00 AM


Global political risk has picked up in recent weeks; firstly there was Scotland, now there are pro-Democracy protests in Hong Kong and a Presidential election in Brazil this weekend.  Markets are sensitive to political risk, but it can be difficult to understand what sort of impact political risks can have on asset classes. We decided to do some analysis on the impact of news stories relating to politics and the performance of domestic asset classes.  [...] Continue Reading


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