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Research Results

Results for 'GBP/USD'

66 articles with this tag name

March Month-End Model Points to Possible USD Buying

Updated -  Mar 30, 2015 2:10:00 PM

Background: Traders often refer the impact of ‘month end flows’ on different currency pairs during the last few days of the month. In essence, these money ‘flows’ are caused by global fund managers and investors rebalancing their currency exposure based on market movements over the last month. For example, if the value of one country’s equity and bond markets increases, these fund managers typically look to sell or hedge their now-elevated exposure to that country’s  [...] Continue Reading

The Top 5 Tweets of the Week from @FOREXcom

Updated -  Mar 27, 2015 3:30:49 PM

Are you following the Research Team on Twitter?  If not, you are missing up to the minute updates about market moves, insight in to what, when, why, and where of market moves, as well as links to easily accessible published material as soon as it is finished.  Just in case you missed some of our most popular tweets of the week, here’s a Top 5 countdown to catch you up to speed. 5.  (tie)  [...] Continue Reading

GBPUSD: Breaking the Ascending Triangle

Updated -  Mar 26, 2015 3:51:01 PM

The second half of North American trade was notably more somber this afternoon as the world became aware of the events leading up to the Germanwings plane crash earlier this week.  While financially important events, like speeches by central bankers, were happening, they all seemed to fade in to the background as more important societal elements were the main topic of discussion.  Amidst all this contemplation of human depravity, US equity markets maintained their early  [...] Continue Reading

Dollar is still king, it’s just taking a breather…

Updated -  Mar 23, 2015 6:05:00 AM

The dollar may have had one of its sharpest sell-offs in years on Friday, but we continue to think that the buck is king in the FX world, and the shake out on Friday was more positioning rather than a change in trend. As we start a new week EURUSD has given back some of Friday’s gains, but it is managing to hold on above 1.08 as we wait for a key meeting between  [...] Continue Reading

FOMC Instant Reaction: Fed Removes Explicit “Patient” Pledge, Implies Patience Anyway

Updated -  Mar 18, 2015 2:30:00 PM

The Federal Reserve’s Open Market Committee just concluded their March policy meeting and it certainly gave traders plenty to chew over heading into Q2. As we noted in our FOMC preview, traders were hyper-focused on whether the central bank would remove its “patient” pledge (before raising interest rates) and on that front, the Fed did not disappoint. As most analysts expected, Yellen and company removed the “patient” terminology; to use a gardening analogy, it  [...] Continue Reading

UK Budget: a roar from the FTSE 100, a whimper from the pound

Updated -  Mar 18, 2015 11:20:00 AM

The UK Budget was, as we had expected, mostly politically focused and only had a limited impact on UK markets. The biggest response was from the oil sector. UK Chancellor, George Osborne, announced new measures to boost investment in the North Sea oil sector, which has struggled with the declining oil price. Big UK oil companies have seen their share prices rise for the second day. BP’s share price is up nearly 2.5% so  [...] Continue Reading

GBPUSD makes fresh low as wage data disappoints

Updated -  Mar 18, 2015 6:40:00 AM

GBPUSD has fallen to a fresh near 5-year low on the back of disappointing labour market data. Labour market data, and particularly wage data, which slipped from 2.1% in Dec to 1.8% in Jan, put the boot in the pound. Excluding bonuses, wage data was even weaker at a mere 1.6% vs. 1.7% in Dec. Although the FX market has taken this report as another reason to sell the pound, which slipped below 1.4700  [...] Continue Reading

Can the UK Budget save the pound?

Updated -  Mar 17, 2015 12:10:00 PM

The UK currency has fallen sharply in the last week. After being considered one of the strongest currencies in the G10, it has been the second worst performer in the last 2 weeks, just ahead of the New Zealand dollar. This Wednesday is jam-packed full of event risk for cable traders, first up we have the latest labour market and wage data along with the March BOE minutes, then at 1230 GMT/ 0830 ET  [...] Continue Reading

GBP/USD breaks key support, but is the EUR/USD selloff losing steam?

Updated -  Mar 13, 2015 6:40:00 AM

The EUR and the pound have been hammered by a strengthening dollar in the past few days. As we get to the end of the week the rapid decline in EUR/USD and GBP/USD has seen these pairs approach some interesting levels. GBP/USD: is 1.4230 on the cards? As my colleague Matt Weller pointed out HERE, GBPUSD fell like a stone on Thursday and crashed through the critical 1.4950 level.  It has continued  [...] Continue Reading

TIMBER! GBPUSD Bears Chop through 1.4950 Support

Updated -  Mar 12, 2015 3:00:00 PM

Today’s trading session started off on an optimistic note for pound bulls. GBPUSD had rallied over 100 pips from yesterday’s low under 1.5900, which happened to mark a potentially key long-term support level at the widely-watched 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of entire 2009-2014 rally. In addition the bullish technical setup, the pair was also getting some support from the fundamentals: the UK’s January trade balance came out better-than-expected at just a GBP 8.4B deficit, while US  [...] Continue Reading

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