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Research Results

Results for 'GBP/USD'

69 articles with this tag name

GBPUSD: 6-Month Bullish Trend in Jeopardy After Weak UK Data

Updated -  May 28, 2014 9:15:00 AM


As we noted yesterday, the pervasive theme this week has been broad-based strength in the US dollar (see my colleague Kathleen Brooks’ note from this morning for more). While this strength has been most apparent in currency pairs like EUR/USD, USD/CHF and NZD/USD, even the stubbornly bullish GBP/USD is showing signs of succumbing as we roll into Wednesday’s North American session. From a fundamental perspective, this week’s data has been unanimously disappointing. Yesterday,  [...] Continue Reading


USD: to break out, or not to break out…

Updated -  May 28, 2014 9:10:00 AM


We mentioned earlier that today would all be about levels, there is limited economic data coming out of the US and no Fed speakers, which could leave the market free to focus on the technicals. One level that is sticking out like a sore thumb is 80.38 - the 200-day moving average in the dollar index. We crossed above this level earlier today as both EURUSD and GBPUSD came under sharp downside pressure. Figure  [...] Continue Reading


STOCKS: European movers and shakers

Updated -  May 28, 2014 4:50:00 AM


It’s all about levels today, as economic data plays second fiddle as corporate news is fairly thin on the ground. This has triggered some nervousness as we approach record highs. European markets have failed to go where their US counterparts went before, and are weaker today although the US markets made a fresh record high on Tuesday. 1,912 is the level to beat in the S&P 500, and momentum indicators suggest there could be  [...] Continue Reading


EURUSD & GBPUSD achieved ATR targets, but interestingly in opposite directions

Updated -  May 21, 2014 10:45:00 AM


Let’s face it, the whole purpose of doing any form of analysis, whether that is technical, fundamental or statistical, is to try to identify higher probability trading opportunities. As many of you know, one of my favorite strategies is the utilization of a European opening range and while it will typically focus on EURUSD it can be applied to any of the European majors. For those of you unfamiliar with this strategy, click here  [...] Continue Reading


The Easter Bunny gives GBPUSD a boost

Updated -  May 21, 2014 6:40:00 AM


Retail sales were a key driver of pound strength this morning after sales, including autos, rose at their fastest annual pace for 10 years. This growth was broad-based across the sector, and, with the exception of petrol stations, all stores saw year-on-year increases in sales volumes. The stand-out sector was food, which saw its fastest annual growth for 12 years. According to the Office for National Statistics (ONS) who gathered feedback from the food stores,  [...] Continue Reading


UK inflation trend stays weak although CPI comes in stronger

Updated -  May 20, 2014 6:20:00 AM


The April CPI data was stronger than expected, which helped GBPUSD to extend its recent recovery. The headline CPI rate rose to 1.8%, from 1.6% in March, which was the strongest level since January. Core CPI was stronger at 2%, the highest level since September last year. An increase in transport costs, according to the Office for National Statistics, was the chief driver of stronger CPI, notably air fares, sea fares and motor fuels. On  [...] Continue Reading


EURUSD – Achieves ATR target, may lead to subdued Euro price action on Friday

Updated -  May 15, 2014 5:25:00 PM


Just a quick update as EURUSD achieved the intraday Average True Range (ATR) intraday target of 1.3650 before rebounding higher. As demonstrated in the chart below, EURUSD peaked between 2:30-3am ET, and then broke below the range shortly thereafter. Interestingly, this move lower was already predicted by a bearish moving average signal as the 13-sma was below the 144 & 169 ema’s. Additionally, RSI continued to find resistance near the key 65 level and break  [...] Continue Reading


GBPUSD: 1.70 looks elusive as Carney shoots down pound

Updated -  May 14, 2014 12:20:00 PM


The Cable came under increased pressure following the publication of the Bank of England’s Inflation Report and Mark Carney’s speech. My colleague Kathleen Brooks has already covered the inflation report in depth here. The key takeaway point was that the central bank chief sounded rather dovish and as expected talked down sterling. Earlier this morning, we had already seen some solid UK jobs data, although the pound had reacted negatively as the numbers were  [...] Continue Reading


Carney hits the target with Inflation Report

Updated -  May 14, 2014 7:30:00 AM


During his first 10 months as Bank of England governor the jury has been out on Mark Carney, do we, or don’t we like him? He’s certainly not commanded the affection of Mervyn King, however things could be changing. Carney scored a PR goal at the May Inflation Report and may have worked his way into the UK public’s heart by bringing back the sporting analogy! Favoured by Sir Mervyn, who was fond of  [...] Continue Reading


Paltry wage growth weighs on the pound

Updated -  May 14, 2014 4:50:00 AM


The market is getting used to better than expected economic news out of the UK, which may be one reason why the pound sold off even though the UK’s unemployment rate for March fell to its lowest level since early 2009. The good news This morning’s labour market data showed a 25.1k fall in the number of people claiming jobless benefits, a 0.1% drop in the unemployment rate, a 283k increase in the  [...] Continue Reading


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