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Research Results

Results for 'GBP/USD'

55 articles with this tag name

BOE Quarterly Inflation Report: Will Carney surprise on the hawkish side?

Updated -  Feb 11, 2015 7:10:00 AM


The Bank of England will deliver its first Quarterly Inflation Report of the year on Thursday 12th February. This comes at a time when the global economy is focused on the risks of deflation and a falling oil price. We believe that there is a chance the market could be wrong-footed if Carney fails strike the dovish tone that some expect. Deflation, deflation, deflation: The BOE will also release its updated growth and  [...] Continue Reading


GBPUSD: Down, but Not Out

Updated -  Feb 9, 2015 11:51:25 AM


It has been a relatively quiet morning for North American trade due to the lack of economic releases out of the US, but that doesn’t mean that the noise created at the end of last week, and over the weekend, is being ignored.  The stellar employment report on Friday and the return of Grexit (Greek exit of the Eurozone) talk over the weekend has markets buzzing with anticipation of what’s to come.  Investors  [...] Continue Reading


GBPUSD About to Break Key 1.5270 Resistance after BOE?

Updated -  Feb 5, 2015 8:20:00 AM


As widely anticipated, the Bank of England left interest rates and its Asset Purchase Facility unchanged at its monthly meeting earlier this morning. In typical BOE fashion, the accompanying statement offered little in the way of color, simply reiterating the policy decision. Instead, traders will have to wait for the release of next week’s Quarterly Inflation Report from the Bank; like the Federal Reserve’s Summary of Economic Projections, this document serves as a “super statement”  [...] Continue Reading


GBPUSD: will the BOE disrupt the recovery rally?

Updated -  Feb 4, 2015 11:05:00 AM


GBPUSD has been extending recent gains today as the dollar continues to consolidate. The driver of GBP strength includes positive UK economic data surprises and continued UK yield advantage, particularly against the EUR. This wave of GBP appreciation is serving to reinforce 1.4952 – the low from 23rd Jan – as a medium-term level of support, while we are close to key resistance at 1.5274 – the high from 6th Jan and the top of  [...] Continue Reading


January Month-End Model Suggests Strong Dollar Rally, Pending GDP

Updated -  Jan 29, 2015 2:45:00 PM


Background: Traders often refer the impact of ‘month end flows’ on different currency pairs during the last few days of the month. In essence, these money ‘flows’ are caused by global fund managers and investors rebalancing their currency exposure based on market movements over the last month. For example, if the value of one country’s equity and bond markets increases, these fund managers typically look to sell or hedge their now-elevated exposure to that country’s  [...] Continue Reading


GBP/USD bounces off key support; UK GDP eyed

Updated -  Jan 26, 2015 12:40:00 PM


The GBP/USD has bounced back from a key technical support area amid light volumes today.  As there was no major economic data scheduled for release and many US investors were probably stuck in snow, traders have found the perfect opportunity to take profit on their long dollar positions with the latter even falling against the euro and Canadian dollar, currencies which ‘should’ be falling due to the recent monetary policy easing measures from the ECB  [...] Continue Reading


GBP/USD in danger of breaking 1.50 as BoE turns more dovish

Updated -  Jan 21, 2015 9:30:00 AM


The two dissenters at the Bank of England finally changed their minds, meaning the MPC voted unanimously for interest rates to remain on hold at the first policy meeting of 2015.  Minutes from the MPC’s last meeting, held earlier this month, have revealed that Martin Weale and Ian McCafferty both dropped their calls for a 25 basis point rise in interest rates, joining the other seven MPC members in voting to keep interest rates unchanged  [...] Continue Reading


Don’t expect a rate rise from the BOE in 2015

Updated -  Jan 21, 2015 8:10:00 AM


The pound may have recovered above 1.5100 as we move into the UK lunchtime session, but this morning’s data was clear: the UK’s interest rates are unlikely to increase any time soon. The main points from the BOE minutes released earlier today: What this means for interest rates: The 2-year UK Gilt yield has fallen to its lowest level since August 2013, this means that the last 18-month’ worth of expectations about a  [...] Continue Reading


NZDUSD: Two Potential Supports

Updated -  Jan 13, 2015 10:51:34 AM


It has been a very interesting day so far in global markets despite there being a relative lack of major market moving data released.  The biggest news event has been UK CPI which declined to 0.5% and shoved the GBP/USD back below 1.51 briefly before bouncing.  Of course, most people can easily point to the fact that oil prices have fallen dramatically over the last few months and are contributing to the lack of inflation  [...] Continue Reading


UK update: US CPI could determine the pound’s next move

Updated -  Jan 13, 2015 6:10:00 AM


If you think that the UK is in a deflationary spiral, then look to Greece to get a sense of what true deflation looks like. UK headline CPI fell to a mere 0.5% annual rate last month, half the rate that it was in November. When prices fall at this pace it is bad news, but the UK could be getting off lightly. In Greece prices are falling at a 2.6% annualised rate as the  [...] Continue Reading


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