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Research Results

Results for 'USD/JPY'

59 articles with this tag name

USD/JPY: The Gartley Has It

Updated -  Oct 23, 2014 11:16:27 AM

The start to the North American trading session has been a Chamber of Commerce type of day for the US economy with virtually all of the US data releases either beating expectations or showing overall strength even if it didn’t live up to expectations.  The day was kicked off with beats on Chicago Fed National Activity Index and Continuing Jobless Claims and strove on with Housing Price Index and the Conference Board’s Leading Indicator.  Misses  [...] Continue Reading

Three Potentially Big Influences on the Yen

Updated -  Oct 20, 2014 2:45:22 PM

North American trade was mostly unenthusiastic today as the calendar failed to provide any notable releases, but that was the case heading in to the day as well as neither Asia nor Europe provided anything compelling.  The biggest news of the day came by way of IBM whose stock dropped 8.4% on news that they were abandoning an earnings forecast for 2015.  The DJIA took a dive right along with the company, but was gaining  [...] Continue Reading

USDJPY: Risk Aversion Rules the Roost

Updated -  Oct 16, 2014 8:25:00 AM

As North American traders woke up this morning, they were greeted by a number concerning signs out of Europe. Most importantly, sovereign debt yields are surging across periphery Europe, raising fears of a 2010-esque panic. At the same time, US Treasury yields have dropped below the key psychological 2.00% level, global equity markets are on the back foot, and gold prices are continuing to grind higher, all classic signs of risk aversion in the  [...] Continue Reading

North American Wrap-up: Who You Gonna Call?

Updated -  Oct 15, 2014 3:54:09 PM

Human sacrifice, dogs and cats living together, mass hysteria!” – Bill Murray, Ghostbusters That about sums up the way the market is feeling in North America today as the proverbial you-know-what is hitting the fan.  The US equity markets were the headline catching performers of the day as the Dow fell over 400 points (over 2.5%) and the S&P500 did it one better by falling nearly 3% before recovering in the afternoon session to both  [...] Continue Reading

USDJPY: Marching to the Beat of its Own Drummer

Updated -  Oct 13, 2014 8:40:00 AM

Last week, the USD pulled back against most of its major rivals: EURUSD bounced off 1.2500 to trade all the way up to 1.2800, GBPUSD regained the psychologically significant 1.60 level, AUDUSD held support at .8650, and USDCAD retreated from key resistance at 1.1275. To varying degrees, last week’s moves appear to be mere pullbacks within the longer-term trend toward USD strength. On the other hand, the price action in USDJPY is far more  [...] Continue Reading

USDJPY sinks after the BoJ; further retracement possible

Updated -  Oct 7, 2014 7:54:35 PM

Yesterday’s policy meeting at the BoJ proved to be largely a non-event for the yen, but the bank did downgrade its assessment of the economy and the yen strengthened in spite of this. The BoJ elected to continue expanding Japan’s monetary base by 60-70 trillion yen annually and maintained that the country’s moderate economic recovery remains intact. However, the BoJ noted the recent soft industrial productions figures and postulated that the hike in the  [...] Continue Reading

Paging Dr. Yellen

Updated -  Oct 3, 2014 10:12:19 AM

Over the last few months, North American markets, and in particular the US Dollar, have been enjoying an amazing run of strength.  US data has been either good or mildly good, the Federal Reserve continued to taper Quantitative Easing in to oblivion, China exhibited signs of slowing down, and central banks from the rest of the world are either leaning toward dovishness or introducing policies that outright exclaim it.  Then suddenly, last month’s Non-Farm Payroll  [...] Continue Reading

Research Note: September NFP Prep

Updated -  Oct 2, 2014 3:25:00 PM

By: Matt Weller, CMT, Senior Technical Analyst The September Non-Farm Payroll report will be released tomorrow at 8:30 ET (13:30 GMT), with expectations centered on a headline print of around 216k new jobs. My NFP proprietary model suggests that the NFP report will print roughly in line with expectations,with leading indicators suggesting a September headline NFP reading of 221k. The model has been historically reliable, showing a correlation coefficient of .90 with the unrevised NFP  [...] Continue Reading

USD/JPY hits 110: will the rally pause for breath now?

Updated -  Oct 1, 2014 11:30:00 AM

Overnight, the USD/JPY pair finally entered the key 110.00-110.65 technical area (see monthly chart in figure 1). The lower end of this range, i.e. 110, is a key psychological barrier while the 110.65 level was the high achieved back in August 2008. Around these levels one would expect to see some profit-taking, which in face may be part of the reasons why it has come under some downward pressure today. At this stage, it is  [...] Continue Reading

September Month-End Model Favors Slight USD Strength

Updated -  Sep 29, 2014 8:30:00 AM

Background: Traders often discuss how ‘month end’ flows may impact a currency or a currency pair during the last few day(s) of the month. These flows are caused by global portfolio managers rebalancing their existing currency hedges. If the value of one country’s equity and bond markets increases, these money managers typically look to sell or hedge their elevated risk in that country’s currency and rebalance their exposure back to an underperforming country’s currency. The  [...] Continue Reading

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