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Research Results

Results for 'USD/JPY'

64 articles with this tag name

North American Wrap-up: The Ukraine Fade

Updated -  Apr 15, 2014 4:26:02 PM


The Ukraine Fade North American markets started out on the right foot today, but were quickly swept off it due to escalating tensions in eastern Ukraine.  While markets have been largely ignoring the situation in Russia’s former province since Crimea was annexed, the actions of today refused to be ignored.  For those who missed it, Ukrainian military forces ousted Russian supporters from government buildings and airports conspicuously close to the border with their larger neighbor,  [...] Continue Reading


US 10 year yield sees a potentially ominous Head & Shoulder formation

Updated -  Apr 10, 2014 4:50:00 PM


•  Has been trading in a Head & Shoulder pattern since February
•  Was recently rejected by key 2.81/82% level:
     - Daily Ichimoku Cloud top
     - 50% retracement of 2014 decline
     - March high
•  Coincided by daily RSI is failure ahead of key 60/65 level – Indicative of overall downtrend
•  Broke below daily Ichimoku Cloud bottom at 2.68%
•  Sees trendline support and H&S neckline around 2.62/63%
•  Distance between  [...] Continue Reading


USDJPY: can it continue to head lower?

Updated -  Apr 9, 2014 7:10:00 AM


This is the burning question after USDJPY has declined more than 2% since the fairly solid non-farm payrolls report on Friday. So what has been driving this pair lower and is the weakness here to stay? Although the payrolls report was solid, the market seems to have dismissed it. Instead USDJPY may be reacting to a touch of risk-off sentiment in the markets, which is driving Treasury yields lower and the yen higher. Current  [...] Continue Reading


USDJPY – Has the slide just begun or will it find staunch support?

Updated -  Apr 8, 2014 5:45:00 PM


Last Monday we noted how USDJPY traders may want to keep an eye on the US 10-year yield, citing the 0.9256 correlation between the two since the beginning of 2014. Then on Friday we received the US March employment report, which saw a headline print of +192K vs. expectations of +200K and the unemployment rate remain at 6.7%, yet this relatively solid report ended up triggering a large decline in USDJPY as well  [...] Continue Reading


The BoJ holds fire, for now

Updated -  Apr 8, 2014 1:18:36 AM


The Bank of Japan elected to retain its current easing plans, one year after the bank announced its aggressive stimulus strategy aimed at ending two decades of deflation. Today’s decision was widely expected by the market as the BoJ appears content with the pace of Japan’s recovery, at least for now. The bank admitted that the economy remains unstable, but it’s on the right track. Inflation has been broadly heading in the right direction  [...] Continue Reading


USD/JPY Breakout Failed, BOJ on Tap

Updated -  Apr 7, 2014 8:20:00 AM


Last week, the USD/JPY generally rallied on improving risk sentiment and concerns about the new sales tax in the island nation. However, sentiment shifted abruptly on Friday, when the market shifted to an abrupt risk-off tone ahead of the weekend and driving the pair nearly 100 pips lower peak-to-trough. The upshot of this price action is that the USD/JPY is now trading back below the key 103.75 level that represented the 2.5-month prior to  [...] Continue Reading


USDJPY: Just because it’s payrolls Friday…

Updated -  Apr 4, 2014 8:05:00 AM


The countdown is on to NFPs and USDJPY is cracking fresh highs of the day, just below 104.00. From a technical perspective, the outlook for USDJPY appears to be bright. The break above 103.50 was a bullish sign, combined with the MACD crossing above its zero line, suggesting that momentum is to the upside. The market is expecting a number around the magical 200k mark. The last time we had a plus 200k reading  [...] Continue Reading


USD: starting to benefit from the yield effect?

Updated -  Apr 4, 2014 6:40:00 AM


It’s been a good start to the month for the greenback, which is higher against all its G10 peers since 1st April. There are two key drivers of its strength: 1, expectations for a strong payrolls report later today and 2, signs that other central banks may pick up the slack and embark on their own loosening plans, which could make it easier for the Fed to continue tapering its asset purchase programme. Watch  [...] Continue Reading


Research Note: March NFP Preview

Updated -  Apr 3, 2014 3:05:16 PM


By: Neal Gilbert, Senior Market Strategist This month my Non-Farm Payroll model is predicting a mere 150k increase in jobs in March 2014, which overall, may be a brutal disappointment to the many investors and analysts who were expecting a weather-related bump with this release.  For months, the talking heads around financial media, and even some members of the Federal Reserve, have been saying that the cold and snowy conditions over the last three months  [...] Continue Reading


AUD/JPY: The Beat Goes On?

Updated -  Apr 1, 2014 11:26:15 AM


North American markets are relatively benign this morning as investors gear up for the fireworks of central bank meetings and employment releases later in the week and as a result, risk markets are edging higher.  In some cases, like the S&P 500, all-time highs are being reached while the Dow is merely a surge away from its zenith.  For the most part, major currencies are tending their own gardens with EUR/USD and USD/JPY up overall,  [...] Continue Reading


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