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Research Results

Results for 'USD/JPY'

61 articles with this tag name

FOMC Instant Reaction: “Nearly” There, but “Further” Improvement Needed

Updated -  Jul 29, 2015 2:25:00 PM


As we noted in our FOMC preview report, analysts and traders were unanimous in their expectation that the central bank would leave interest rates unchanged in the 0.00-0.25% range, and the Fed provided no surprises on that front. That said, the world’s most important central bank still gave traders plenty to chew over in its first monetary policy statement of Q3. First, the headlines from this month’s statement [emphasis mine]: Earlier today, analysts coalesced  [...] Continue Reading


Could the Fed Push USDJPY Above the “Kuroda Line”?

Updated -  Jul 29, 2015 10:10:00 AM


It’s been a quiet overnight session for most major currencies as market participants refrained from placing large trades ahead of today’s FOMC meeting. As we noted yesterday, the central bank is unlikely to make any outright changes to monetary policy, but the wording of the accompanying statement could tilt the scales in the hotly-contested “September vs. December” (for the first rate hike) debate. Heading into the release, USDJPY may be the most important currency  [...] Continue Reading


USD: Janet Yellen vs. the markets, who is right?

Updated -  Jul 15, 2015 11:35:00 AM


We have mentioned in recent days that financial markets have become less confident that the Federal Reserve will hike interest rates this year. However, Janet Yellen, the head of the Federal Reserve, maintained her call that rates could rise in the US, when she delivered her Humprey Hawkins testimony to the US Congress earlier on Wednesday. Most Fed officials expect at least one hike this year, with some expecting two or more, however, the  [...] Continue Reading


USDJPY: Traders Venturing Out from Their Safe Haven Harbors

Updated -  Jul 13, 2015 8:45:00 AM


“A ship in harbor is safe, but that is not what ships are built for.” - John A. Shedd For the last couple of weeks, threatening storm clouds emanating from Greece and China have prompted speculators to keep their “ships” (capital) protected in “harbor” (safe haven currencies). With today’s news that Greece and its creditors were able to pound out a deal in all-night emergency talks and the continued stability in China’s stock market,  [...] Continue Reading


USDJPY secures its footing above 120.00, at least for now

Updated -  Jul 9, 2015 11:30:42 PM


Earlier in the week, the yen was the currency of choice for investors looking for a safe harbour. A reversal of risk appetite over the last couple of days has seen a push back towards risk currencies and away from the yen. USDJPY is now back above 122.00, after bouncing off support around 120.50 on Wednesday night. The uptick in investor sentiment can be attributed to a quick government-led reversal of fortunes for Chinese  [...] Continue Reading


USD/JPY: where to next?

Updated -  Jul 9, 2015 12:35:00 PM


The appetite for risk has improved noticeably today, as evidenced by a sharp rebound across the global equity markets. FX traders have likewise witnessed the unwinding of some safe haven trades with CHF and JPY both falling sharply following their recent gains. The US dollar has performed well given the fact that the weekly unemployment claims disappointed expectations and after the minutes from the FOMC’s last policy meeting, released yesterday, contained very little in the  [...] Continue Reading


FOMC Minutes: A Prescient Fed, For Once

Updated -  Jul 8, 2015 2:25:00 PM


“There are decades where nothing happens; and there are weeks where decades happen.”  – Vladamir Lenin The Federal Reserve’s June monetary policy meeting was only three weeks ago, but in today’s fast-paced markets, it truly feels like it was at least a decade ago. If you recall, the US central bank shifted its interest rate expectations (the so-called “dot chart”) lower, but the median Fed official still expected two interest rate increases this year,  [...] Continue Reading


USDJPY: China-Driven Safe Haven Demand Could Expose 120.00 Next

Updated -  Jul 8, 2015 8:50:00 AM


It looks like this is really it for Greece, for real this time. Greece’s creditors presented a united, unaccommodating front last night, demanding that Greece submit a new bailout proposal today for review over the weekend. German Chancellor Angela Merkel opined that there were “only a few days left to find a solution” and that she was “not especially optimistic,” while European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker warned that creditors “have a Grexit scenario prepared in  [...] Continue Reading


NFP Instant Reaction: You Are Now Entering the Twilight Zone

Updated -  Jul 2, 2015 9:15:00 AM


“There is a fifth dimension beyond that which is known to man. It is a dimension as vast as space and as timeless as infinity. It is the middle ground between light and shadow, between science and superstition, and it lies between the pit of man’s fears, and the summit of his knowledge. This is the dimension of imagination. It is an area which we call ... The Twilight Zone.” Traders no doubt feel like  [...] Continue Reading


NFP Prep: Data Points to Potential Blockbuster Jobs Report

Updated -  Jul 1, 2015 1:55:00 PM


The June Non-Farm Payroll report will be released tomorrow at 8:30 ET (12:30 GMT, 1:30pm BST), with expectations centered on a headline print of 231k after last month’s stellar 280k reading. My model suggests that the report could exceed these expectations,with leading indicators suggesting a June headline NFP reading of 263K. The model has been historically reliable, showing a correlation coefficient of 0.90 with the unrevised NFP headline figure dating back to 2001 (1.0  [...] Continue Reading


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