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Research Results

Results for 'USD/JPY'

64 articles with this tag name

May Month-End Model Hints at Dollar Weakness Heading into the Weekend

Updated -  May 29, 2015 7:25:00 AM


Background: Traders often refer the impact of ‘month end flows’ on different currency pairs during the last few days of the month. In essence, these money ‘flows’ are caused by global fund managers and investors rebalancing their currency exposure based on market movements over the last month. For example, if the value of one country’s equity and bond markets increases, these fund managers typically look to sell or hedge their now-elevated exposure to that country’s  [...] Continue Reading


USD/JPY: a warning or two for bulls

Updated -  May 28, 2015 7:00:00 AM


The USD/JPY currency pair may go on to rise to significantly higher levels over time because of the growing disparity between interest rates in the US and Japan. But in the immediate near term, the risks for a potential correction are high given the extent of the recent upsurge. Traders may simply choose to book some profit now following a 5-day rally. This, combined with the potential withdrawal of bids near key resistance levels, may  [...] Continue Reading


USDJPY Bulls May Target 12-Year High near 124.00 Next

Updated -  May 26, 2015 8:55:00 AM


Well that didn’t take too long. In Friday’s Week Ahead report, we highlighted the big breakout above 120.50 in USDJPY, noting that the breakout “could carry over into this week’s trade, with a potential move up to the 7.5-year high at 122.00 in play.” The bullish momentum picked up in earnest earlier today as European and US traders returned to their desks after a long holiday weekend, with the pair exploding through the 122.00  [...] Continue Reading


Japan’s mixed trade numbers and Yellen lift USDJPY

Updated -  May 24, 2015 8:44:35 PM


It’s been a relatively quiet start to the week in Asia, at least when compared with all the action in the North American session on Friday. Fed Chair Yellen stated on Friday, in prepared remarks for a speech in Rhode Island, that she expected the central bank to raise interest rates this year as the US economy bounces back from a slothful start to the year. This resulted in a push towards the US dollar  [...] Continue Reading


USDJPY: 7.5-Year High at 122.00 in Sight after 2-Year High in Core CPI

Updated -  May 22, 2015 8:55:00 AM


Traders throughout the US and Europe are anxiously looking ahead to kicking off the summer season with a long holiday weekend, but today’s economic data may keep most traders pinned to their desks today. Today’s marquee report was the just-released US Consumer Price Index for April, which showed that consumer prices rose at 0.1% m/m as expected. As always though, the Federal Reserve is far more interested in the change in core prices, which filter  [...] Continue Reading


BoJ preview: fresh guidance needed

Updated -  May 20, 2015 8:31:00 PM


The Bank of Japan is widely expected to leave monetary policy unchanged at its two-day policy meeting. Nobody really expects the bank to ease policy further this time around, but the meeting will be closely watched for clues as to what the market can expect from future policy meetings. The market is currently very dividend on the path of monetary policy in Japan, even those that expect further easing as arguing about what form it  [...] Continue Reading


FOMC Minutes Instant Reaction: June Rate Hike Holdouts’ Hopes Dashed

Updated -  May 20, 2015 2:25:00 PM


Let the excessive extrapolation and analysis of the vague transcriptions from a month-old meeting of ivory tower academic economists begin! Heading into today’s FOMC minutes release, traders keyed in the central bank’s description of the Q1 slowdown as transitory: Why was it transitory? To what extent? What would cause Fed officials to start considering it less transitory and more permanent? How does this impact the Fed’s rate hike timeline? Does any of this really matter?  [...] Continue Reading


USDJPY: Japanese GDP numbers smash estimates

Updated -  May 19, 2015 9:13:26 PM


The Japanese economy grew an annualised 2.4% q/q in Q1 (0.6% q/q), beating an expected annualised growth rate of 1.6% q/q (0.4% q/q). This is a significant step-up from a 1.1% growth rate in Q4 and may help to quieten some Japan bears. In saying that, while today’s report will likely keep the prospect of further easing from the BoJ at bay for the time being, it isn’t game changing; Japanese growth figures are historically  [...] Continue Reading


The Top 5 Tweets of the Week from @FOREXcom

Updated -  May 8, 2015 3:21:29 PM


Are you following the FOREX.com Research Team on Twitter?  If not, you are missing up to the minute updates about market moves, insight in to what, when, why, and where of market moves, as well as links to easily accessible published material as soon as it is finished.  Just in case you missed some of our most popular tweets of the week, here’s a Top 5 countdown to catch you up to speed. 5.  (tie)  [...] Continue Reading


NFP Instant Reaction: A Tubthumping Jobs Report

Updated -  May 8, 2015 8:55:00 AM


The iconic late ‘90s hit “Tubthumping” by the British punk band Chumbawamba was once voted #12 in Rolling Stone’s list of the 20 Most Annoying Songs. At one point, the song repeats the vapid lyric “I get knocked, but I get up again. You’re never gonna keep me down” seemingly a dozen times in a row. As much as we all wish we could permanently remove that song from our minds, its lyrics provide a good  [...] Continue Reading


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