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Research Results

Results for 'USD/JPY'

53 articles with this tag name

USDJPY rejected just above 121… again

Updated -  Sep 27, 2015 8:51:18 PM

At the end of last week USDJPY may a valiant attempt to break through resistance around 121.00-40, but failed once more. It appears this celling will prove to be tough for price to break above given the uncertainty surrounding the US dollar’s outlook in the near-term and the safe haven attractiveness of the yen in these volatile markets. The US dollar juggling the notion of tighter interest rates in the US, as the Fed  [...] Continue Reading

S&P 500: YE(ar)N-ing for clarity

Updated -  Sep 25, 2015 3:15:00 PM

Almost exactly a month ago, we shared our view that, regardless of what market you’re trading, “We’re all USD/JPY traders now.” In that report, we noted that that USD/JPY has become “the de facto measure of risk appetite of late, leading to correlated moves in equities, commodities, bonds, and even other currency pairs.” Over the last four weeks, that dynamic has remained in play, with a 50-day USD/JPY-S&P 500 correlation coefficient of over 0.95.  [...] Continue Reading

USDJPY: waiting for a break…

Updated -  Sep 24, 2015 1:04:00 AM

It has been a fairly quiet session in Asia, although USDJPY was strengthened early in the session as the Nikkei came back online after three days on holiday. The Nikkei had some catching up to do, with the Nikkei 225 sinking over 2% in the morning session which resulted in a rally in the yen. Overall, USDJPY appears to be trapped in medium-term sideways wedge formation. The market is juggling the idea of tighter  [...] Continue Reading

FOMC Recap: When Hawks Cry

Updated -  Sep 17, 2015 3:30:00 PM

The inimitable US musician Prince (and yes, this was before he changed his stage name to a bizarre symbol , officially becoming “The Artist Formerly Known as Prince”) released the iconic song “When Doves Cry” way back in 1985. Coincidentally, the song coincided with an aggressive rate hike cycle from the Federal Reserve under the chairmanship of Paul Volker, a development that made monetary policy doves cry, figuratively speaking. If “The Artist Formerly Known  [...] Continue Reading

FOMC Preview: Not two, but four potential outcomes for markets

Updated -  Sep 16, 2015 9:30:00 AM

Like a kid on Christmas Eve, traders are hyper-anxious for tomorrow’s big festivities. Unlike Santa Claus, who doles out presents based on whether children have been naughty or nice, Dr. Yellen may deliver an exciting present or a big lump of coal depending on how you’re positioned heading into the event. For months now, traders have been see-sawing between anticipating a rate hike in this week’s meeting and the December meeting (with a small minority  [...] Continue Reading

USD/JPY: Retail sales the latest setback for buck bulls

Updated -  Sep 15, 2015 8:55:00 AM

Yesterday’s US session bounce seems like a distant memory by now for USD/JPY traders. Overnight, the Bank of Japan left monetary policy unchanged, though the bank did downgrade its outlook for exports on the back of slower global economic growth. As my colleague Chris Tedder noted, however, “It seems the market was looking for an even more dovish statement and it’s not taking today’s subtle change in the view of the international economy that  [...] Continue Reading

NFP Recap: Clear as mud for the Fed’s September meeting

Updated -  Sep 4, 2015 2:45:00 PM

At long last, traders are free to duck out for the long holiday weekend to celebrate the unofficial “end of summer.” That’s because, earlier this morning, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) released the marquee Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report, which we labeled a “colossal report that may tip the scales for the Federal Reserve” in yesterday’s NFP preview report. As it turns out, the scales may have been tipped, but only by an ounce  [...] Continue Reading

NFP Prep: Colossal jobs report may tip the scales for the Fed

Updated -  Sep 3, 2015 3:10:00 PM

The August Non-Farm Payroll report will be released tomorrow at 8:30 ET (12:30 GMT, 1:30pm BST), with expectations centered on a headline print of 217k after last month’s as-expected 215k reading. My model suggests that the report could meet these expectations,with leading indicators suggesting an August headline NFP reading of 213K. The model has been historically reliable, showing a correlation coefficient of 0.90 with the unrevised NFP headline figure dating back to 2001 (1.0 would  [...] Continue Reading

USDJPY spikes back above 120!

Updated -  Sep 1, 2015 8:31:28 PM

After rising back above 120.00 late last month, USDJPY soon went back on the defensive, but a massive charge from bulls in Asia may have changed all that. The yen has been surging higher recently amid souring global investor sentiment, as it remains the safe haven currency of choice for investors fleeing commodity-backed currencies directly exposed to softening economic conditions in China, but USDJPY is back on the offensive in Asia. The US dollar  [...] Continue Reading

Why “we’re all USD/JPY traders now”

Updated -  Aug 26, 2015 2:15:00 PM

“We’re all Keynseians now” – Milton Friedman The above quote is often misattributed to US President Richard Nixon, when he closed the gold convertibility window. Regardless, the phrase “We are all _____ now” has since become part of the lexicon for anyone trying to make a broad generalization about the current zeitgeist. Amidst the recent global market turmoil, I’d like to postulate that “We are all USD/JPY traders now.” That’s because USD/JPY has become  [...] Continue Reading

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