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Research Results

Results for 'USD/JPY'

63 articles with this tag name

NFP Instant Reaction: You Are Now Entering the Twilight Zone

Updated -  Jul 2, 2015 9:15:00 AM


“There is a fifth dimension beyond that which is known to man. It is a dimension as vast as space and as timeless as infinity. It is the middle ground between light and shadow, between science and superstition, and it lies between the pit of man’s fears, and the summit of his knowledge. This is the dimension of imagination. It is an area which we call ... The Twilight Zone.” Traders no doubt feel like  [...] Continue Reading


NFP Prep: Data Points to Potential Blockbuster Jobs Report

Updated -  Jul 1, 2015 1:55:00 PM


The June Non-Farm Payroll report will be released tomorrow at 8:30 ET (12:30 GMT, 1:30pm BST), with expectations centered on a headline print of 231k after last month’s stellar 280k reading. My model suggests that the report could exceed these expectations,with leading indicators suggesting a June headline NFP reading of 263K. The model has been historically reliable, showing a correlation coefficient of 0.90 with the unrevised NFP headline figure dating back to 2001 (1.0  [...] Continue Reading


USD/JPY at key technical juncture

Updated -  Jun 30, 2015 11:15:00 AM


The USD/JPY managed to bounce off the pivotal 122.00 mark this morning, though it still remains under pressure amid safe haven flows due, above all, to the on-going situation in Greece.  Traders are also exercising some caution ahead of the US nonfarm payrolls and other key data on Thursday, which explains why price has failed to rally more profoundly. After all, today’s US data releases were not bad with the consumer confidence index, for  [...] Continue Reading


June Month-End Dollar Selling May be Dwarfed by Greek Drama

Updated -  Jun 29, 2015 1:50:00 PM


Background: Traders often refer the impact of ‘month end flows’ on different currency pairs during the last few days of the month. In essence, these money ‘flows’ are caused by global fund managers and investors rebalancing their currency exposure based on market movements over the last month. For example, if the value of one country’s equity and bond markets increases, these fund managers typically look to sell or hedge their now-elevated exposure to that country’s  [...] Continue Reading


USDJPY eye’s Japan’s inflation numbers

Updated -  Jun 25, 2015 2:04:30 AM


It has been a volatile session in Asia for some currencies, with both AUDUSD and NZDUSD attempting to make a run for it as USDJPY sank. Asia’s major commodity currencies were bolstered by news that Beijing was injecting around 35bn through 7-day reverse repos and the prospect of further stimulus as plans emerge that China may be moving to scrap a 75% cent loan-to-deposit ratio limit at banks. AUDUSD was propelled to short-term resistance around  [...] Continue Reading


USDJPY Shrugs Off Slight Miss in Durable Goods Orders, 124.50 Key

Updated -  Jun 23, 2015 9:20:00 AM


As my colleague Kathleen Brooks noted earlier today, the US dollar has been in vogue today. The dollar’s rally has been helped along by rising US bond yields and concerns about Greece’s impending debt deadline, and as we go to press, even today’s slight miss in Durable Goods Orders has failed to put the brakes on the dollar’s near-term rally. The May Durable Goods Orders report, which tracks the purchases of goods that are  [...] Continue Reading


FOMC: A Little Something for Everyone, but Not Enough For Anyone

Updated -  Jun 17, 2015 2:40:00 PM


Heading into today’s highly-anticipated FOMC meeting, we highlighted three major areas of focus in our preview report. With 2.5 of the key elements now revealed, the message is thoroughly mixed. As everyone in the trading world expected, the Federal Reserve left its main Fed Funds rate unchanged in the 0.00-0.25% range, but as ever, the market is looking ahead to the future. On that front, the central bank’s outlook remains as data-dependent and  [...] Continue Reading


USDJPY Peeking Above 124.00, Hawkish Fed Could Expose 125.00

Updated -  Jun 17, 2015 9:55:00 AM


The long-awaited June FOMC meeting is upon us, and while the central bank will almost certainly leave interest rates unchanged, we still expect elevated volatility as traders refine their interest rate expectations. As we noted in yesterday’s FOMC Preview report, traders will have three main areas of focus in the wake of the announcement: the Summary of Economic Projections, the votes, and Janet Yellen’s press conference. Ideally, all three of these factors will form  [...] Continue Reading


US Retail Sales Instant Reaction: Will the “Buy The Rumor, Sell The News” Reaction Fade?

Updated -  Jun 11, 2015 8:50:00 AM


Over the last month, traders have seen some signs that the US economy saw a “spring thaw” in May, especially in the labor market, but the stubbornly missing ingredient has been the US consumer. That changed this morning as lagging retail sector finally decided to hop on the Q2 US economic acceleration bandwagon. The May Retail Sales report showed a 1.2% m/m increase in consumer spending in May, slightly above the 1.1% m/m reading  [...] Continue Reading


Risk Abounds for USDJPY Bulls After Coordinated Yen Jawboning

Updated -  Jun 10, 2015 9:20:00 AM


It was a particularly eventful night of trade in the currency market, and by far the biggest news was the coordinated “jawboning” of the yen by Japanese policymakers. The BOJ and Japan’s government are clearly becoming concerned with the big drop in the value of the yen, and it looks like last week’s move above the psychologically significant 125.00 level ($0.8 cents per yen) may have been the final straw. At least three top-level public  [...] Continue Reading


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