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Research Results

Results for 'USD/JPY'

56 articles with this tag name

USDJPY’s stubborn support zone

Updated -  Apr 17, 2015 1:39:50 AM

It has been a fairly quiet day on the data front in Asia, which has kept the major FX pairs within their short-term ranges. This may come as welcome relief to traders in the region after this week’s heightened volatility due to massive amounts of headline data from within Asia and geopolitical events moving asset markets throughout the world. Despite the big moves this week, including some persistent USD weakness over the last few  [...] Continue Reading

NZDJPY: A Tempting Counterintuitive Turn

Updated -  Apr 13, 2015 11:18:50 AM

The North American morning has been a dusty desert of data today as virtually no interesting news nuggets have been released.  That dearth of US and Canadian data has led most investors to pay more attention to events that happened in Asia and Europe instead of here near home; and that news wasn’t all that great.  The main focus of the market’s ire was the surprisingly weak trade numbers posted by China, and some  [...] Continue Reading

USDJPY: How Much More Upside Is There?

Updated -  Apr 9, 2015 4:35:55 PM

The story of the day in North American markets was the renewed domination of the US Dollar which rallied against all the other major currencies today as a variety of factors helped the world’s reserve currency dominate.  From strong employment figures in Initial Jobless Claims which reached a near 15 year low to US bond auctions that chipped in as well, the USD was on a roll.  Even US equity markets joined in on the  [...] Continue Reading

FOMC Minutes Instant Reaction: Putting “Patience” Into Perspective

Updated -  Apr 8, 2015 2:35:00 PM

This week’s marquee data release has just dropped, and it’s left traders more confused than ever about the performance of the US economy and the direction of monetary policy. The minutes from the Fed’s mid-March meeting showed a sharp division between Fed policymakers; to wit, here are some the major headlines from the release: In other words, there’s something in this report for everyone. Just like in the children’s story “The Three Bears,” each Fed  [...] Continue Reading

USDJPY nudges 120.50 ahead of the BoJ

Updated -  Apr 7, 2015 8:59:26 PM

The Bank of Japan concludes the first of two policy meetings this month later today and we aren’t expecting any further stimulus, at least not this time around. The bank is likely to site a stronger labour market and the possibility of higher wage inflation as it leaves monetary policy unchanged. The much-anticipated spring wage negotiations appear to have resulted in widespread wage increases across Japan, which reduces the BoJ’s motivation to pump more stimulus  [...] Continue Reading

The Top 5 Tweets of the Week from @FOREXcom

Updated -  Apr 3, 2015 1:40:47 PM

Are you following the Research Team on Twitter?  If not, you are missing up to the minute updates about market moves, insight in to what, when, why, and where of market moves, as well as links to easily accessible published material as soon as it is finished.  Just in case you missed some of our most popular tweets of the week, here’s a Top 5 countdown to catch you up to speed. 5.  6  [...] Continue Reading

NFP Instant Reaction: The Easter Bunny’s Rotten Employment Egg

Updated -  Apr 3, 2015 9:00:00 AM

In yesterday’s NFP Preview report, we highlighted the unusual circumstances surrounding this month’s release, stating, “many traders will be out of the office for Good Friday, meaning that there will be less liquidity than usual. Therefore, if the report comes out near the consensus estimate, the market could quickly grind to a halt as traders look ahead to the Easter holiday; on the other hand, if we see a surprising reading, the market could  [...] Continue Reading

Research Note: March NFP Prep

Updated -  Apr 2, 2015 3:10:00 PM

By: Matt Weller, CMT, Senior Technical Analyst The March Non-Farm Payroll report will be released tomorrow at 8:30 ET (12:30 GMT, 1:30 BST), with expectations centered on a headline reading of 247k. My model suggests that the report could print at below these expectations,with leading indicators suggesting a March headline NFP reading of just 198K. The model has been historically reliable, showing a correlation coefficient of 0.90 with the unrevised NFP headline figure dating back  [...] Continue Reading

March Month-End Model Points to Possible USD Buying

Updated -  Mar 30, 2015 2:10:00 PM

Background: Traders often refer the impact of ‘month end flows’ on different currency pairs during the last few days of the month. In essence, these money ‘flows’ are caused by global fund managers and investors rebalancing their currency exposure based on market movements over the last month. For example, if the value of one country’s equity and bond markets increases, these fund managers typically look to sell or hedge their now-elevated exposure to that country’s  [...] Continue Reading

USDJPY: Temporarily Topped Out?

Updated -  Mar 30, 2015 11:10:55 AM

The week has started out with a lot of USD strength as a complicated set of influences are converging simultaneously in global markets.  Not only do we have the month end flows to contend with, but this is also jobs week in the US, and there is a holiday on Friday (Good Friday) that is being observed by virtually the entire developed world outside of the Bureau of Labor Statistics who has decided to release  [...] Continue Reading

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