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Research Results

Results for 'USD/JPY'

66 articles with this tag name

USDJPY weakness: could it hurt other markets?

Updated -  Apr 23, 2014 8:00:00 AM


This morning USDJPY has come under pressure, and has fallen below its 50-day moving average at 102.38. This is another set-back in USDJPY’s recovery, and suggests that the recent rally was half-hearted at best since the bulls could not push this pair above a key resistance level at 102.48 – the base of the daily cloud. Below the cloud suggests a technical downtrend. Inter-market relationships So what is weighing on the USD? Economic  [...] Continue Reading


USD/JPY: Will the Recovery Continue?

Updated -  Apr 21, 2014 8:25:00 AM


It’s been a rather subdued start to this week’s trade, with most major global markets closed for Easter Monday. That said, we have seen the USD/JPY continue to rally, carrying over the some of the strength from last week. The catalyst for the yen weakness was a weaker-than-expected trade balance report from Japan, which showed a ¥1.45T deficit, larger than the ¥1.07T expected. Some of this increase was attributed to the April 1 sales tax  [...] Continue Reading


North American Wrap-up: The Ukraine Fade

Updated -  Apr 15, 2014 4:26:02 PM


The Ukraine Fade North American markets started out on the right foot today, but were quickly swept off it due to escalating tensions in eastern Ukraine.  While markets have been largely ignoring the situation in Russia’s former province since Crimea was annexed, the actions of today refused to be ignored.  For those who missed it, Ukrainian military forces ousted Russian supporters from government buildings and airports conspicuously close to the border with their larger neighbor,  [...] Continue Reading


US 10 year yield sees a potentially ominous Head & Shoulder formation

Updated -  Apr 10, 2014 4:50:00 PM


•  Has been trading in a Head & Shoulder pattern since February
•  Was recently rejected by key 2.81/82% level:
     - Daily Ichimoku Cloud top
     - 50% retracement of 2014 decline
     - March high
•  Coincided by daily RSI is failure ahead of key 60/65 level – Indicative of overall downtrend
•  Broke below daily Ichimoku Cloud bottom at 2.68%
•  Sees trendline support and H&S neckline around 2.62/63%
•  Distance between  [...] Continue Reading


USDJPY: can it continue to head lower?

Updated -  Apr 9, 2014 7:10:00 AM


This is the burning question after USDJPY has declined more than 2% since the fairly solid non-farm payrolls report on Friday. So what has been driving this pair lower and is the weakness here to stay? Although the payrolls report was solid, the market seems to have dismissed it. Instead USDJPY may be reacting to a touch of risk-off sentiment in the markets, which is driving Treasury yields lower and the yen higher. Current  [...] Continue Reading


USDJPY – Has the slide just begun or will it find staunch support?

Updated -  Apr 8, 2014 5:45:00 PM


Last Monday we noted how USDJPY traders may want to keep an eye on the US 10-year yield, citing the 0.9256 correlation between the two since the beginning of 2014. Then on Friday we received the US March employment report, which saw a headline print of +192K vs. expectations of +200K and the unemployment rate remain at 6.7%, yet this relatively solid report ended up triggering a large decline in USDJPY as well  [...] Continue Reading


The BoJ holds fire, for now

Updated -  Apr 8, 2014 1:18:36 AM


The Bank of Japan elected to retain its current easing plans, one year after the bank announced its aggressive stimulus strategy aimed at ending two decades of deflation. Today’s decision was widely expected by the market as the BoJ appears content with the pace of Japan’s recovery, at least for now. The bank admitted that the economy remains unstable, but it’s on the right track. Inflation has been broadly heading in the right direction  [...] Continue Reading


USD/JPY Breakout Failed, BOJ on Tap

Updated -  Apr 7, 2014 8:20:00 AM


Last week, the USD/JPY generally rallied on improving risk sentiment and concerns about the new sales tax in the island nation. However, sentiment shifted abruptly on Friday, when the market shifted to an abrupt risk-off tone ahead of the weekend and driving the pair nearly 100 pips lower peak-to-trough. The upshot of this price action is that the USD/JPY is now trading back below the key 103.75 level that represented the 2.5-month prior to  [...] Continue Reading


USDJPY: Just because it’s payrolls Friday…

Updated -  Apr 4, 2014 8:05:00 AM


The countdown is on to NFPs and USDJPY is cracking fresh highs of the day, just below 104.00. From a technical perspective, the outlook for USDJPY appears to be bright. The break above 103.50 was a bullish sign, combined with the MACD crossing above its zero line, suggesting that momentum is to the upside. The market is expecting a number around the magical 200k mark. The last time we had a plus 200k reading  [...] Continue Reading


USD: starting to benefit from the yield effect?

Updated -  Apr 4, 2014 6:40:00 AM


It’s been a good start to the month for the greenback, which is higher against all its G10 peers since 1st April. There are two key drivers of its strength: 1, expectations for a strong payrolls report later today and 2, signs that other central banks may pick up the slack and embark on their own loosening plans, which could make it easier for the Fed to continue tapering its asset purchase programme. Watch  [...] Continue Reading


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