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NZD/USD: 5 Reasons for a Potential Fall

Updated  Nov 21, 2014 3:05:57 PM Written by Neal Gilbert

Throughout the month of November, the NZD has been able to do something that very few other currencies around the world have been able to do, gain value against the USD. The outright love of everything USD isn’t something that is unfamiliar to traders out there as US data has been performing admirably and the Federal Reserve has set themselves up for future rate hikes by eliminating the last vestiges of Quantitative Easing. If fact, [...] Continue Reading ...

AUDNZD: Turning Higher off 200-Day MA Support near 1.0900?

Updated  Nov 21, 2014 9:25:00 AM Written by Matt Weller, CMT

After seeing a massive downtrend throughout 2011, 2012, and 2013, AUDNZD is finally showing signs of stabilizing this year. For the first half of the year, the pair consolidated within the 375-pip range from 1.0550 to 1.0925, forming a potential base for a longer-term rally. Then, in July, the pair broke up into its next 375-pip range, where rates have been consolidating between previous-resistance-turned-support at 1.0925 and 1.1300 for the last four months. Over the [...] Continue Reading ...

The dollar index takes a stab at 88.00 resistance

Updated  Nov 21, 2014 6:50:00 AM Written by Kathleen Brooks

The dollar is in demand today as the euro and the pound give back their recent gains, this was triggered by ECB President Mari Draghi who was speaking at the European Banking Conference in Frankfurt. He focused on inflation and said that some inflation expectations are excessively low. This is significant since the ECB’s mandate is to promote price stability in the medium-term. If inflation expectations are also falling then the ECB should feel motivated [...] Continue Reading ...

One to watch: GBPAUD is looking shaky

Updated  Nov 20, 2014 11:30:04 PM Written by Chris Tedder

GBPAUD has hit some sticky ground around its 50% retracement zone from this month’s high after a stunning rally earlier in the week. This morning we noted that EURAUD has reached a critical juncture, and the same thing can be said of this pair. Both pairs have been propelled higher by an army of bulls this week and both are now looking a little shaky. While the technical outlook for GBPAUD is more neutral [...] Continue Reading ...

EURAUD makes another run at its 200-day SMA

Updated  Nov 20, 2014 8:08:24 PM Written by Chris Tedder

It has been an interesting week for EURAUD, with the pair doing a very abrupt about-face as the euro proved more resistant to USD strength. Also, falling iron ore prices and disappointing Chinese economic data has hit the Australian dollar. The end result has been a significant rally in EURAUD which has pushed the pair off a key support zone just above 1.4200, through its 100-day SMA and on to its 200-day SMA. This [...] Continue Reading ...

CADJPY Blasts Out of the Atmosphere, Canadian CPI on Tap

Updated  Nov 20, 2014 2:45:00 PM Written by Matt Weller, CMT

One theme we’ve been consistently highlighting over the last few weeks is policymakers’ (and thus traders’) increasing focus on inflation reports. With price pressures in many developed markets rapidly falling toward outright deflation, many central banks are pondering additional monetary stimulus to help support their moribund economies. Tomorrow, Statistics Canada will release its measure of CPI inflation (Oct), with traders and economists expecting a -0.3% m/m contraction on the headline figure, but a 0.2% m/m [...] Continue Reading ...

Crude oil steadies as OPEC meeting nears

Updated  Nov 20, 2014 1:15:00 PM Written by Fawad Razaqzada

With just a week to go until the next OPEC meeting, crude oil prices are showing signs of steadiness. The market is seemingly throwing the ball in the cartel’s court and is demanding the production quota to be trimmed meaningfully. This implies that in the event the OPEC fails to agree on cutting its output, prices are likely to extend their falls. For now though, oil traders appear to be happy with the extent of [...] Continue Reading ...

EURUSD: a tale of two charts

Updated  Nov 20, 2014 11:20:00 AM Written by Kathleen Brooks

This cross is mostly trading sideways this afternoon even though the US had a trio of positive data releases including a surge in the Philly Fed, stronger than expected existing home sales and an uptick in CPI. EURUSD is managing to cling above 1.25; however, we continue to think that this is just a pullback and does not suggest an end to the downtrend for this pair. Figure 1 below shows the extent of [...] Continue Reading ...

US CPI Clears Subdued Expectations as USDNOK Bull Flag Nears Support

Updated  Nov 20, 2014 8:50:00 AM Written by Matt Weller, CMT

With global central banks collectively shifting their focus to inflation, or the lack thereof, traders were awaiting today’s US CPI release with bated breath. Expectations were very subdued heading into the report, with economists expecting -0.1% contraction m/m (or 1.6% on a y/y basis), and while the actual CPI release was hardly stellar, it did manage to clear this low hurdle. October CPI printed at 0.0% m/m (1.7% y/y), while Core CPI came out [...] Continue Reading ...

FTSE down as manufacturing PMIs disappoint

Updated  Nov 20, 2014 7:40:00 AM Written by Fawad Razaqzada

The FTSE is tracking the major global indices lower. As we go to press, the UK benchmark is down almost 50 points or about 0.7% at 6550 and threatening to break further lower. Sentiment has taken a knock from the weaker PMI figures out of China and the Eurozone. Unsurprisingly, it is the commodity-linked stocks that dominate the bottom half of the FTSE with Anglo American, Rio Tinto and BHP Billiton being the worst performing [...] Continue Reading ...

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