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Live updates

Market review & outlook: Central Bank Parade Marches On

Updated  Jul 29, 2016 2:20:00 PM Written by James Chen, CMT

The past week has seen heightened market volatility surrounding monetary policy decisions from major central banks, along with a deluge of company results in the thick of earnings season. The US Federal Reserve and Bank of Japan both moved markets this past week with their policy statements, and more loom ahead with the Reserve Bank of Australia and Bank of England providing their own rate decisions and statements next week. The Fed opted once again [...] Continue Reading ...

EUR/JPY poised for high volatility on Bank of Japan decision

Updated  Jul 28, 2016 4:50:00 PM Written by James Chen, CMT

The Bank of England (BoE), European Central Bank (ECB) and most recently, the US Federal Reserve, have all issued their most recent monetary policy statements in the past two weeks. All of these three major central banks opted for inaction – the BoE and ECB refrained from implementing post-Brexit stimulus measures for the time being while the Fed again deferred a long-postponed rate hike. Friday finally brings the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) highly-anticipated policy statement, [...] Continue Reading ...

Gold remains supported after Fed defers rate hike

Updated  Jul 28, 2016 12:40:00 PM Written by James Chen, CMT

In the immediate aftermath of Wednesday’s FOMC statement, in which the Fed held rates steady as expected while still acknowledging improved economic conditions, gold spiked down on the mildly hawkish elements of the statement. Shortly after, however, as the markets digested the Fed’s characteristically non-committal comments that gave no indication as to the potential timing of a future rate hike, the precious metal surged on the continued interest rate uncertainty. Prior to Wednesday’s surge, the [...] Continue Reading ...

Fed Recap: Another non-committal non-event

Updated  Jul 27, 2016 4:00:00 PM Written by James Chen, CMT

As widely expected, the Fed opted once again to refrain from raising interest rates after its two-day meeting concluded on Wednesday afternoon. And as usual, market-watchers dug feverishly into the policy statement searching for any clues as to potential guidance on future rate hikes, but were again largely disappointed despite the fact that the Fed did acknowledge some economic improvement. Generally, the FOMC statement was changed modestly from previous months, projecting neither a substantially hawkish [...] Continue Reading ...

EUR/USD on the verge of breakdown?

Updated  Jul 26, 2016 4:40:00 PM Written by James Chen, CMT

EUR/USD has been trading in a relatively tight consolidation for the past month since the immediate aftermath of June’s Brexit vote, when the currency pair plunged sharply below a large parallel uptrend channel. That plunge brought EUR/USD back down to establish a key support zone around the 1.0900-1.0950 area. This support zone is technically significant in that it is also around the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the entire uptrend within the parallel channel, from December’s [...] Continue Reading ...

AUD/USD on shaky ground ahead of key Australian CPI, US FOMC

Updated  Jul 26, 2016 1:40:00 PM Written by James Chen, CMT

AUD/USD rebounded on Tuesday ahead of critical Australian inflation data scheduled for Wednesday morning in Australia, as well as the highly-anticipated FOMC rate decision out of the US on Wednesday afternoon. Australia’s quarterly Consumer Price Index (CPI), a major inflation indicator, has a consensus forecast of +0.4% for the second quarter of this year. The actual reading will be particularly important and potentially market-moving because data for the previous quarter that was released in April [...] Continue Reading ...

USD/CAD breaks out to new high as crude oil continues slide

Updated  Jul 25, 2016 3:20:00 PM Written by James Chen, CMT

USD/CAD climbed slightly above key resistance around the 1.3200 level on Monday, primarily due to the Canadian dollar having been dragged down by falling crude oil prices. As concerns over crude oil oversupply continue, both the West Texas Intermediate and Brent benchmarks slid to new lows on Monday, extending their retreat from June highs. As a result, the oil-linked Canadian dollar continued to be pressured, boosting the USD/CAD currency pair up to the noted 1.3200 [...] Continue Reading ...

USD/JPY braces for Fed, BoJ

Updated  Jul 25, 2016 12:40:00 PM Written by James Chen, CMT

USD/JPY remained supported on Monday ahead of an important week for central banks. In the past two weeks, the Bank of England (BoE) and European Central Bank (ECB) used their time in the spotlight by keeping monetary policy unchanged, signaling a wait-and-see approach to the continuing saga of post-Brexit consequences. The BoE was expected to implement new stimulus measures as a response to Brexit, but surprised markets by opting for inaction, sending sterling temporarily higher. [...] Continue Reading ...

Market review & outlook: Focus shifts back to the Fed

Updated  Jul 22, 2016 1:40:00 PM Written by James Chen, CMT

Markets during the past week have been characterized mostly by a continued rally to new record highs for equity markets, most notably in the US where earnings season has entered full swing. Stock indexes have been buoyed by largely better-than-expected earnings reports, albeit on relatively low expectations. Also helping stocks to continue their climb recently have been the prevailing accommodative stances among major central banks, including those in the UK, Japan, and the Eurozone. Both [...] Continue Reading ...

DAX: Could underperforming EU stocks finally find some love?

Updated  Jul 20, 2016 9:00:00 AM Written by Fawad Razaqzada

*** Please note: this will be my last report until I come back from holiday on August 8 2016*** The US earnings season has got off to a very good start with all the major investment banks reporting better than expected numbers – Morgan Stanley becoming the latest Wall Street giant to do so today. The focus will turn to the other key sectors now, including technology companies whose numbers will come out thick and [...] Continue Reading ...

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