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Live updates

US political turmoil weighs heavily on the dollar

Updated  May 22, 2017 1:15:00 PM Written by James Chen, CMT

Though US President Donald Trump is currently on his first whirlwind tour abroad as president, domestic political concerns over the past few weeks continue to weigh heavily on both his administration and the US dollar. The current political drama began in earnest two weeks ago, after it was announced that Trump abruptly fired the Director of the FBI at the time, James Comey. This pivotal incident then unfolded into a series of unexpected events and [...] Continue Reading ...


Dollar woes continue as Merkel says euro is too weak

Updated  May 22, 2017 11:26:19 AM Written by Fawad Razaqzada

Last week was a bad one for the US dollar. Market participants questioned whether it was premature to assume a June rate rise was forthcoming and that the path of future interest rate rises would be the same as those as set out by the FOMC's projections. Doubts were initially raised by somewhat weaker US macroeconomic data of late, and rose further when James Bullard, President of St Louis Federal Reserve, said the Fed's projections [...] Continue Reading ...


USD/JPY hanging in balance despite stock market rally

Updated  May 19, 2017 1:48:39 PM Written by Fawad Razaqzada

Barring an unexpectedly sharp rally this evening, the dollar is set to end the week significantly lower. The EUR/USD has been one of the strongest performers, supported by receding political risks in the Eurozone and on speculation that the ECB is set to start tightening its policy sooner rather than later amid ongoing economic recovery in the single currency bloc. Elsewhere, the USD/CAD has fallen sharply, mainly due to the rallying prices of crude oil [...] Continue Reading ...


Gold echoes cagey market sentiment

Updated  May 19, 2017 11:15:13 AM Written by Fawad Razaqzada

The price of gold fell yesterday as risk sentiment improved following sharp falls in the equity markets the day before. The dollar bounced back thanks to better-than-expected readings in the Philly Fed Manufacturing Index and weekly US unemployment claims while a mini flash crash in the GBP/USD pair also helped to underpin the Dollar Index, which in turn increased the pressure on gold. Today however, the dollar is once again weaker while equities were slightly [...] Continue Reading ...


USD/CAD at a critical juncture amid Trump concerns, Canadian data, OPEC talks

Updated  May 18, 2017 12:35:00 PM Written by James Chen, CMT

USD/CAD has fluctuated around the key 1.3600 price level for the past three days as a weakened US dollar and volatile crude oil prices affecting the Canadian dollar have pushed and pulled on the currency pair. A decisive breakdown below 1.3600 support has not quite occurred yet (though it may be imminent), as shifting speculation over crude oil supply and the path of the US dollar amid Trump-driven political turmoil has kept USD/CAD in a [...] Continue Reading ...


Markets still cagey; strong UK retail sales undermines FTSE as pound jumps

Updated  May 18, 2017 5:26:03 AM Written by Fawad Razaqzada

It is a bit calmer than chaos this morning following yesterday's big sell-off in global stock markets and sizeable rally in safe haven gold and yen. Market commentators blamed yesterday's risk-off trade on shenanigans at the White House. Investors wondered how the Congress will react to reports that the US President Donald Trump tried to pressure the fired FBI head to drop an investigation into his former national security advisor. Investors’ worry is that the [...] Continue Reading ...


AUD/USD maintains bearish trend ahead of key Australian jobs data

Updated  May 17, 2017 2:50:00 PM Written by James Chen, CMT

Despite the sharp drop in the US dollar this week, the plunge was significantly more pronounced against the euro, Swiss franc and yen, than it was against the Australian dollar. Though AUD/USD did rise within the past week as the US dollar fell, this relatively mild boost exists within a clearly-defined downtrend channel that, if it remains intact, points to further potential downside for the currency pair. Key economic data likely to move the Australian [...] Continue Reading ...


AUD/JPY on watch as risk appetite turns sour

Updated  May 17, 2017 1:58:17 PM Written by Fawad Razaqzada

Global stock markets sold off while safe haven gold and yen surged higher today. Market commentators blamed today’s risk-off trade on shenanigans at the White House. Investors wondered how the Congress will react to reports that the US President Donald Trump tried to pressure the fired FBI head to drop an investigation into his former national security advisor. Investors’ worry is that the President may have obstructed justice, which is a potentially impeachable offence. At [...] Continue Reading ...


Markets flee back to safety as Trump risks mount

Updated  May 17, 2017 11:10:00 AM Written by James Chen, CMT

After a prolonged risk-on market environment, where it seemed that nothing short of catastrophe could faze investors, this week has finally seen a marked return to elevated risk aversion and higher market volatility. On Wednesday, this risk-off sentiment continued to be driven in large part by US political concerns, after fired FBI Director James Comey was reported to have written a memo months ago detailing President Trump’s private request to end an investigation into Michael [...] Continue Reading ...


GBP/USD set to break 1.30 amid improving UK data

Updated  May 17, 2017 10:11:06 AM Written by Fawad Razaqzada

Economic data out of the UK released in the last couple of days has been pound-positive, yet the GBP/USD is still holding below the 1.30 handle. But for how long? Given that the positively-correlating EUR/USD pair has already broken well above its own corresponding psychological hurdle at 1.10 after a sharp rally, the cable could be playing catch up. What’s more, the EUR/GBP cross has now hit resistance around its 200-day moving average (0.86 area). [...] Continue Reading ...


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