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Live updates

Markets turn focus towards Trump address to Congress

Updated  Feb 24, 2017 2:30:00 PM Written by James Chen, CMT

On the evening of Tuesday, February 28th, US President Trump is slated to give a major address to a joint session of Congress in lieu of the usual State of the Union address, as Former President Obama also did when he was newly-inaugurated. This first official congressional address by Trump will potentially be pivotal for financial markets, especially since he has promised a major impending announcement regarding what he has claimed to be a “phenomenal” [...] Continue Reading ...


Silver set to extend bullish run for ninth week

Updated  Feb 24, 2017 1:24:10 PM Written by Fawad Razaqzada

Gold and silver have risen for the third straight day and both precious metals look set to close the week higher. Over the past nine weeks, gold has risen on eight occasions. Silver meanwhile has risen in each of the past nine weeks. These dollar-denominated and perceived safe-haven precious metals have risen during a time when Wall Street has repeatedly hit new all-time highs and despite the dollar holding near its multi-year highs. The metals’ [...] Continue Reading ...


USD/JPY: Stocks plunge as gold, yen rally in "risk off" trade

Updated  Feb 24, 2017 7:20:34 AM Written by Fawad Razaqzada

The signs were there for a stock market plunge, which is exactly what has happened today. Gold, a perceived safe-haven asset, had been rising strongly of late despite the dollar’s strength and the equity market rally. The Japanese yen, likewise another safe haven asset, has been firm and today it has got firmer. It looks like the equity market has finally got in sync with these markets. Indeed, risk was clearly off the menu at [...] Continue Reading ...


Gold surges to major $1250 resistance as uncertainty prevails

Updated  Feb 23, 2017 1:40:00 PM Written by James Chen, CMT

Gold surged Thursday on a breakout of its previous consolidation to hit and slightly exceed major technical resistance at $1250, a level not seen since early November. Wednesday’s release of minutes from the last FOMC meeting on January 31 – February 1 struck a slightly more hawkish tone as Fed members discussed the appropriateness of another rate hike “fairly soon.” At the same time, however, concerns over the risks and uncertainties surrounding the Trump Administration’s [...] Continue Reading ...


Crude stocks may have snapped six-week build streak

Updated  Feb 23, 2017 8:03:06 AM Written by Fawad Razaqzada

Oil prices have bounced back after Wednesday’s decline and are thus back higher on the week after Monday’s rally. As before, I think oil prices are heading higher. The lack of a clear trend over the past several weeks has coincided with rising US crude oil inventories to new record levels. But after a six-week streak of rises, US oil stocks are likely to have fallen last week. The official Energy Information Administration data will [...] Continue Reading ...


FOMC meeting minutes signal rate hike ‘fairly soon’ – dollar unimpressed

Updated  Feb 22, 2017 4:20:00 PM Written by James Chen, CMT

The minutes from the most recent FOMC meeting three weeks ago – the first such meeting since Donald Trump’s presidential inauguration – were released on Wednesday afternoon. Although Federal Reserve officials noted at that meeting (in which interest rates were left unchanged at 0.50%-0.75%) that it would be appropriate to raise rates “fairly soon,” risks to monetary policy tightening were also cited. In the immediate aftermath of the release, market reactions were both mixed and [...] Continue Reading ...


USD/CAD breaks out ahead of FOMC minutes, Canadian economic data

Updated  Feb 21, 2017 4:00:00 PM Written by James Chen, CMT

 [...] Continue Reading ...


EUR/USD pressured as dollar remains supported, French election looms

Updated  Feb 21, 2017 1:25:00 PM Written by James Chen, CMT

A series of Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) data points was released in Europe on Tuesday, including manufacturing and services PMIs for Germany, France, and the Euro area as a whole. All of these data points showed continued economic expansion, and, with the exception of French manufacturing, showed better-than-expected improvement in economic sentiment. Meanwhile, the US dollar staged an extended rebound on Tuesday, as speculation continued to brew over a possible rate hike by the Federal [...] Continue Reading ...


Crude oil look set to resume bullish trend

Updated  Feb 21, 2017 12:29:40 PM Written by Fawad Razaqzada

Oil prices have been coiling for several weeks now with both contracts spending most of their time in a tight four dollar range. Brent has been bouncing around between $54 and $58 while WTI has been stuck between $51 and $55. Crucially, both Brent and WTI have managed to hold their own above their respective 2016 high points, a year when prices surged some 45 per cent. Towards the end of 2016, an agreement by [...] Continue Reading ...


NZD/USD: Could the kiwi make a comeback?

Updated  Feb 21, 2017 12:25:53 PM Written by Fawad Razaqzada

The NZD/USD has been falling steadily ever since the RBNZ delivered its last policy statement at the start of this month. The New Zealand central bank said it will remain on hold until after the new government is formed in September, but that the next rate change will be an increase. The market interpreted this as a dovish move and consequently the NZD dropped. But at a record low 1.75%, interest rates in New Zealand [...] Continue Reading ...


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