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Live updates

USD/JPY path of least resistance still to downside

Updated  Apr 24, 2017 1:20:30 PM Written by Fawad Razaqzada

The Dollar Index (DXY) gapped lower overnight as the outcome of the French election underpinned the euro, which makes up a big portion of the index. Despite the DXY’s weakness, the USD/JPY gapped higher as the news also undermined perceived safe haven assets such as gold and yen. But the gains for the USD/JPY were short-lived and the daily chart of the USD/JPY is currently displaying a bearish price pattern, which suggests that the gap [...] Continue Reading ...

Macron/Le Pen win French election first round – euro surges

Updated  Apr 23, 2017 7:30:00 PM Written by James Chen, CMT

With most of the votes for the first round of the French presidential election reported late on Sunday, the outcome has emerged very much as pre-vote polling had suggested. Centrist Emmanuel Macron and far-right candidate Marine Le Pen have been voted through to advance to the second and final round of voting, set for May 7th. Though it was a close race to the very end, first round votes eliminated both the conservative candidate Francois [...] Continue Reading ...

Crude oil drops for fifth day

Updated  Apr 21, 2017 1:21:29 PM Written by Fawad Razaqzada

Crude oil has extended its falls for the fifth day. A barrel of Brent oil now costs less than $52 while WTI is at $45.50 at the time of this writing. At these price levels, both crude contracts have reached key technical support levels, and so may bounce back a little ahead of the weekend. They have not responded whatsoever to the latest OPEC headlines. According to Reuters, citing a source familiar with the matter, [...] Continue Reading ...

EUR/JPY braces for French election 1st round

Updated  Apr 21, 2017 12:50:00 PM Written by James Chen, CMT

The long-awaited French presidential election kicks off on Sunday, pitting four main adversaries against each other in a heated first-round battle. The four primary candidates span the political spectrum, but the market impacts of their successes or failures on Sunday will be tied indelibly to their policy stances on French participation in the European Union and euro currency. One of the key potential market impacts to watch for after the votes are counted will be [...] Continue Reading ...

EUR/USD edgy ahead of French elections

Updated  Apr 21, 2017 7:04:16 AM Written by Fawad Razaqzada

The EUR/USD formed a key technical reversal pattern yesterday. As a result, it has been unable to climb higher despite the release of mostly stronger-than-expected Eurozone PMIs this morning, although German services PMI unexpectedly dipped to 54.7 from 55.6. Investors are evidently cautious ahead of Sunday’s French elections: not only has the euro fallen but European equity markets were also flat across the board this morning, despite that sharp rally on Wall Street yesterday. The [...] Continue Reading ...

Euro still resilient despite looming French election risk

Updated  Apr 20, 2017 1:50:00 PM Written by James Chen, CMT

With just three days before the potentially pivotal first round of the heated French presidential election on Sunday, April 23rd, a resilient euro appears rather oblivious to the risks imposed by the two fiercely anti-EU candidates – Marine Le Pen and Jean-Luc Melenchon. This may be partly due to the narrowly higher poll-standings of centrist candidate Emmanuel Macron, who has portrayed himself as a strong supporter of French participation in the European Union and euro [...] Continue Reading ...

AUD/JPY bounces off key support

Updated  Apr 20, 2017 1:44:56 PM Written by Fawad Razaqzada

The AUD/JPY has bounced strongly off a key support level today, suggesting that the recent downward trend may have come to a halt, at least for the time being anyway. We have also seen a correspondingly sharp rally on Wall Street, suggesting that the appetite for risk is still there despite the recent weakness and uncertainty about French elections on Sunday. But for now, we will take this bounce with a pinch of salt as [...] Continue Reading ...

EU stocks on shaky footing ahead of French elections

Updated  Apr 20, 2017 9:06:02 AM Written by Fawad Razaqzada

The result of the first round of the French Presidential election on Sunday will determine which two candidates will be included in the second round of voting on May 7th. A month later, on 8th June, British citizens will be casting their own votes to elect the next UK Prime Minister after Theresa May called for a snap election this week. So, European politics will be dominating the headlines in the coming weeks and months. [...] Continue Reading ...

GBP/USD still faces significant Brexit-related risks

Updated  Apr 19, 2017 9:43:35 AM Written by Fawad Razaqzada

After a 300-pip rally on Tuesday, the GBP/USD is unsurprisingly taking a breather today. Tuesday’s upsurge came on the back of news Theresa May called for a snap general election. Evidently, investors are hopeful that the UK Prime Minister will have a stronger mandate to secure the UK’s EU exit from the EU as she will be able to push back hard deadlines for a trade deal until the next election in 2022, assuming she [...] Continue Reading ...

French election drama heats up amid tight four-candidate race

Updated  Apr 18, 2017 1:30:00 PM Written by James Chen, CMT

The heated battle for the French presidency has quickly transformed from a tight race among three primary candidates – the centrist Emmanuel Macron, far-right Marine Le Pen, and conservative Francois Fillon – to a four-way contest that adds far-left candidate Jean-Luc Melanchon. The first round of the election is set for this Sunday, April 23rd. If the results of that round fail to show a majority winner, as is expected to be the case, the [...] Continue Reading ...

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