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Live updates

USD/JPY: another day another (weaker) dollar

Updated  Mar 23, 2017 9:07:14 AM Written by Fawad Razaqzada

At the time of this writing the US dollar was a touch firmer against the likes of the euro and the Aussie, but lower versus the pound and yen, leaving the Dollar Index basically flat, but below that critical 100 level. So far, there are no signs of a comeback for the greenback. It sure wasn’t helped by the fact that unemployment claims showed a surprise increase last week. Apart from a few Fed speakers, [...] Continue Reading ...

Gold up for sixth day as stocks, dollar remain on shaky footing

Updated  Mar 22, 2017 2:25:39 PM Written by Fawad Razaqzada

Gold was a tad lower first thing this morning – understandably so after Tuesday’s big rally – before turning positive in the afternoon. The precious metal is now up for the sixth consecutive day and has made back almost the entire losses suffered earlier in the month. I am expecting gold to rise further. Wall Street is on a shaky footing, which could very well keep demand for perceived safe haven assets high. [...] Continue Reading ...

US stock market plunge: is this just the start?

Updated  Mar 22, 2017 9:26:18 AM Written by Fawad Razaqzada

For the first time in over five months, US stock indices suffered losses of one per cent or more in a single session. Some said it was the end of the so called “Trumpflation” trade, some blamed crude oil and others cited a combination of these and other factors. Whatever the reason, it was a sizeable move. The signs were all there. Safe haven gold and Japanese yen had been rising since December. The Dow [...] Continue Reading ...

Technical breakdown extends bearish pressure on dollar

Updated  Mar 21, 2017 2:50:00 PM Written by James Chen, CMT

While the Fed currently still stands as the only major central bank in steady tightening mode, speculation that this may change in the not-too-distant future has weighed heavily on the dollar. This speculation is reflected in the technicals for several different currency pairs, which are showing clear dollar breakdowns. Pressure on the dollar within the past week was initially sparked by the Fed’s outlook for interest rates last Wednesday, which was more dovish than expected. [...] Continue Reading ...

EUR/GBP could drop as UK inflation accelerates; French election looming

Updated  Mar 21, 2017 10:08:48 AM Written by Fawad Razaqzada

Earlier, data from the ONS showed consumer price inflation in the UK rose to its strongest level in nearly three-and-a-half years to 2.3%. The pound’s reaction was swift. The GBP/USD jumped to 1.2470 while the EUR/GBP slumped to 0.8655. The GBP has since eased back a little but remain near the day’s highs, which suggest more gains are likely.Headline Consumer Price Index [...] Continue Reading ...

Market risks sustain GBP/JPY pressure

Updated  Mar 20, 2017 1:50:00 PM Written by James Chen, CMT

Aside from a sharp rebound in late January, GBP/JPY has been entrenched in a downtrend for the past three months. This downtrend has been exacerbated in part by ongoing concerns over the impending triggering of Article 50 that will begin the UK/EU separation process (Brexit), which has weighed heavily on the pound. At the same time, global macro risk considerations have helped provide somewhat of a boost to the perceived safety of the Japanese yen. [...] Continue Reading ...

AUD/USD finally set for a rally towards 0.80?

Updated  Mar 20, 2017 11:03:14 AM Written by Fawad Razaqzada

Once again, the AUD/USD is back, banging its head against the ceiling around that 0.7730-80 resistance range. Relative to other major currencies, though, the Aussie has performed rather well in recent times. So, it may finally clear this resistance zone at the umpteenth time of asking. Part of the reason for a strong Aussie in recent times has been the relatively stable metal prices. The other reason has been the Reserve Bank of Australia. The [...] Continue Reading ...

Dollar: Frail King, But King Nonetheless

Updated  Mar 20, 2017 7:56:48 AM Written by Fawad Razaqzada

The US dollar fell across the board last week. A so called 'dovish rate hike' from the Fed disappointed those looking for hints of a more aggressive policy tightening cycle. Instead, the FOMC reiterated its previous view that there may be two further rate rises coming up this year and the Fed Chairwoman Janet Yellen echoed that view at her press conference. Two rate rises will probably still be more than any other major central [...] Continue Reading ...

Dollar still pressured but poised for a potential comeback

Updated  Mar 17, 2017 1:00:00 PM Written by James Chen, CMT

The Fed dealt a rather severe blow to the US dollar this week after it raised interest rates, as expected, but was less hawkish than anticipated in its outlook for policy tightening going forward. While the Fed’s statement and projections were indeed less aggressive than might be expected given the acknowledged improvements in the labor market and the rise in inflation expectations, the path of Fed tightening still remains in stark contrast with other major [...] Continue Reading ...

USD/JPY: Deeper correction possible but fundamentally still bullish

Updated  Mar 17, 2017 8:29:06 AM Written by Fawad Razaqzada

After a very quiet period in the FX markets, volatility spiked in midweek amid a flurry of central bank meetings. The Fed’s dovish rate hike on Wednesday caused the dollar to drop and the greenback has since drifted further lower with the Dollar Index dipping below the 100 level again. The other major central banks’ policy decisions were mostly in line with the expectations, although there was a bit of a surprise at the Bank [...] Continue Reading ...

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