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Live market updates

NZDUSD: will 0.8000 hold?

Updated  May 23, 2013 7:32:00 PM Written by Chris Tedder

NZDUSD tested a support zone yesterday around 0.8000 on the back of broad USD strength. Fed Chairmen Ben Bernanke sent the market into a frenzy after alluding to the possibility that the Fed may end QE3 sooner than expected if economic data provides the base for an early exit. The fact that confirmation from strong US economic data is needed to justify an early exit by the fed creates the opportunity for USD weakness if [...] Continue Reading ...

Tags: Fed, NZD, USD

AUDUSD may have formed a double-bottom

Updated  May 23, 2013 3:30:00 PM Written by Eric Viloria, CMT

AUD/USD has experienced a sharp decline over the past month and the drop may have found support below the 0.9600 figure. For nearly 10 months, the pair was trading in a horizontal channel with support above the 1.01 figure and resistance above 1.06. The height of the channel projected from the break below channel support extended to about the 0.9600 figure and the 2012 lows which occurred in June of last year are just beneath [...] Continue Reading ...


EURUSD – Be mindful of time & the opening range as FX volatility picks up

Updated  May 23, 2013 2:30:00 PM Written by Chris Tevere, CMT

Let’s face it, the whole purpose of doing any form of analysis, whether that is technical, fundamental or statistical, is to try to improve our odds of being successful on any one particular trade. As many of you know, one of my favorite strategies is the utilization of a European opening range and it will typically focus on EURUSD, although it could be applied to any of the European majors. For those of you unfamiliar [...] Continue Reading ...


USD/JPY correcting lower within long term bullish channel

Updated  May 23, 2013 11:00:00 AM Written by Eric Viloria, CMT

The Japanese yen is the big mover today in the G10 space after reports showing that Japanese investors returned to being net sellers of foreign bonds after 3 weeks as net buyers of overseas debt. Ministry of Finance flow data showed that Japanese investors sold a net ¥804.4B in the week ended May 17 To add to that, the private sector reading of May manufacturing PMI in China surprisingly fell below the 50 threshold with [...] Continue Reading ...

Tags: Japan, JPY, MOF, USD, USDJPY

Is this what the end of QE looks like?

Updated  May 23, 2013 7:00:00 AM Written by Kathleen Brooks

There have been some violent moves across asset classes this morning after a perfect storm of central bank chatter, weak Chinese economic data and some large declines in Asian equities knock risk sentiment. European stocks are down 2% or more, and US stock market futures don’t look much better. The yen and CHF are higher in the FX space as risk aversion takes hold. So what is driving these moves? It could be down [...] Continue Reading ...


USDJPY: dragged lower by Nikkei

Updated  May 23, 2013 4:00:00 AM Written by Kathleen Brooks

It’s been a volatile 24 hours for USDJPY, which has traded in a 200 pip range, after trading in a 100 pip range for most of the last week. After rallying on the back of the Bernanke testimony on Wednesday, it has retreated so far today, falling back below 101.50 – its lowest level since mid-May. Key drivers of yen strength so far include: • The fall in purchases of foreign stocks and bonds [...] Continue Reading ...


GBPUSD tests April lows ahead of key 1.5000 level

Updated  May 22, 2013 4:30:00 PM Written by Chris Tevere, CMT

Cable has once again extended its decline (over the past 48-hours) on the back of a combination of GBP weakness and USD strength. This was prompted by both fundamental and technical factors. Fundamental highlights contributing to GBPUSD decline: • UK April CPI: +0.2% vs. expected +0.4% MoM • UK April Retail Sales: -1.3% vs. consensus +0.1% MoM• UK April Public Finances: -10.8B vs. exp. -4.0B• Bank of England meeting minutes were [...] Continue Reading ...


Bernanke: to taper, or not to taper, that is the question…

Updated  May 22, 2013 11:35:00 AM Written by Kathleen Brooks

Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke’s testimony on the economy to the US Congress, has so far been the epitome of neutral. In typical Bernanke style he has oozed caution, unwilling to side with the doves or the hawks, leaving the markets in a bit of a fluster. Highlights: • He said that policy will remain accommodative “as long as needed”. • Premature tightening “increases the risk of slowing or ending the recovery”. • [...] Continue Reading ...


EUR/GBP breaks out of consolidation, more upside expected

Updated  May 22, 2013 11:30:00 AM Written by Eric Viloria, CMT

The Bank of England minutes from the May meeting released this morning was largely as expected and showed that Governor King was once again outvoted. The soon-departing Governor voted in favor of a £25B expansion of quantitative easing (QE) along with MPC members Miles and Fisher. However, the doves were unable to gather enough support as the majority decided to keep policy steady. Minutes are backward looking as they reveal the MPC’s discussion on May [...] Continue Reading ...


Gold/ Silver ratio – not a red flag for stock markets, yet …

Updated  May 22, 2013 11:00:00 AM Written by Kathleen Brooks

When stock markets are at record highs it can be a stressful time as history tells us that bull runs always come to an end. In the past, a lead indicator of market sentiment has been the gold/ silver ratio. This is the gold price divided by the price of silver, when it is moving higher the gold price is outpacing gains in silver, and vice versa. Since gold is considered a safe haven [...] Continue Reading ...


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Disclaimer: The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient. Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warranty that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.

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