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Live updates

Gold steady ahead of a busy week

Updated  Sep 1, 2014 12:45:00 PM Written by Fawad Razaqzada

Gold is little-changed today, mirroring the price action of nearly all the other financial markets. Undoubtedly it is the absence of US investors due to the Labor Day holiday which has been the main reason behind the uninspiring trading conditions. On Friday, gold finished the session lower but still managed to end higher on the week. That was the first gain in the last three weeks and the second in the last seven. Clearly, the [...] Continue Reading ...


FTSE 100: movers and shakers

Updated  Sep 1, 2014 8:35:00 AM Written by Kathleeen Brooks

See below for the latest developments in the FTSE 100, which has witnessed some big moves in an otherwise quiet day Tesco – negative pressure seems to be building, the dividend is the company’s one hope of reinvigorating the share price, but so far there have been no developments on this. The investment community seems to be looking to sell rallies at the moment. A daily close below 223.80 – Friday’s low would be a [...] Continue Reading ...


DAX in no man’s land ahead of fundamental events, sharp move likely

Updated  Sep 1, 2014 8:25:00 AM Written by Fawad Razaqzada

In my last stocks report before I went on holiday at the start of August (when we looked at both the Dow and DAX indices) I suggested that the there was a “real battle” going on between the bulls and the bears and that the outcome of that battle “could determine the direction for the next several trading days.” On the DAX, we specifically discussed the implication of price action around the 8930/60 support [...] Continue Reading ...


GBPUSD: may not be able to brush off PMI woes for long

Updated  Sep 1, 2014 5:55:00 AM Written by Kathleen Brooks

Although the UK manufacturing PMI for August fell to its lowest level since June last year, the pound’s reaction has been fairly muted, and GBPUSD remains at its highest level since 20th August. So why was the reaction so muted? From a fundamental perspective, GBPUSD’s reaction this morning wasn’t too surprising since consumer credit and mortgage approval data was better than expected. Since consumption and the housing market are important components of the UK [...] Continue Reading ...


Asia largely ignores China’s PMI misses

Updated  Sep 1, 2014 2:34:47 AM Written by Chris Tedder

Most of Asia’s major equity markets and commodity currencies have brushed off mildly disappointing manufacturing data out of China. While the ASX200 fell on the back of the today’s PMI figures, it remains in positive territory and the reactions of most other equity markets were even more muted. The AUD and the NZD briefly dipped lower on the back of China’s private and public sector PMI misses, before both commodity currencies shot higher. Either [...] Continue Reading ...


The RBA remains on hiatus

Updated  Aug 31, 2014 11:06:00 PM Written by Chris Tedder

The Reserve Bank of Australia is widely expected to leave the official cash rate at 2.5% for the 13th straight month on Tuesday. In fact, the meeting may prove to be a non-event for the market. There haven’t been any major changes to economic conditions in Australia since the RBA last meet and the slight increased geopolitical risks and concerns about China’s economy are going to be weighed against renewed hope for non-mining sectors of [...] Continue Reading ...


EURCAD Testing Make-or-Break Level at 1.4260

Updated  Aug 29, 2014 1:30:00 PM Written by Matt Weller

The EURUSD is the world’s most widely-traded currency pair , so it’s not surprising that this week’s drop to an 11-month low has drawn all the headlines. However, to truly evaluate the single currency’s strength, it’s worthwhile to look at a variety of euro crosses beyond just the EURUSD pair. Unfortunately for euro bulls, the mosaic of euro crosses are painting a generally weak picture: EURGBP, EURAUD, and EURNZD are all at or within striking [...] Continue Reading ...


August Month-End Model Points to Modest EURUSD Strength

Updated  Aug 28, 2014 1:05:00 PM Written by Matt Weller

Background: Traders often discuss how ‘month end’ flows may impact a currency or a currency pair during the last few day(s) of the month. These flows are caused by global portfolio managers rebalancing their existing currency hedges. If the value of one country’s equity and bond markets increases, these money managers typically look to sell or hedge their elevated risk in that country’s currency and rebalance their exposure back to an underperforming country’s currency. The [...] Continue Reading ...


USDRUB: “Buy on the Sound Of Cannons?”

Updated  Aug 28, 2014 9:10:00 AM Written by Matt Weller

Over two centuries ago, famed British banker Nathan Mayer Rothschild coined the trading phrase, “buy on the sound of cannons; sell on the sound of trumpets.” He was insinuating that markets tend to panic at the outbreak of wars (“the sound of cannons”), presenting good long-term values. On the other hand, markets typically become sanguine once a conflict comes to an end (“the sound of trumpets”), driving them to elevated levels where traders may want [...] Continue Reading ...


AUD jumps on Australia’s CAPEX data

Updated  Aug 27, 2014 11:50:16 PM Written by Chris Tedder

The Australian dollar has been propelled higher by encouraging business investment figures out of Australia, with further signs that the economy is successfully shifting away from its reliance on mining investment. Business investment jumped 1.1% in Q2, beating an expected 0.9% fall. New Capital Expenditure Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics Perhaps the most encouraging part of the report is the forward looking indicators for non-mining parts of the economy. Seasonally adjusted estimates [...] Continue Reading ...


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