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Research Results

Results for 'RIsk'

13 articles with this tag name

Weekly Strategy-Sell AUD/USD for Another Wave of Risk Aversion

Updated  Oct 13, 2011 3:55:00 PM


AUD/USD has experienced an outsized rebound as markets were caught extremely short of risk following last weekend's pledge by German and French leaders to deliver a comprehensive solution to the Eurozone debt crisis. Whether or not they can actually come up with a credible plan remains to be seen, but regardless we think the global growth outlook is continuing to slow and that ultimately risk assets should move lower again. Our preference is to sell  [...] Continue Reading ...

Tags: AUD, AUD/USD, RIsk, Weekly Strategy

Research Note: Oct.6 ECB preview and Oct 7 US NFP outlook

Updated  Oct 5, 2011 5:15:00 PM


Research Note: Oct. ECB Rate Decision (Thursday) Sept. US Employment Report (Friday) ECB Summary Outlook: On Thursday, October 6, at 0745EDT/1145GMT, the ECB is expected to hold its benchmark interest rate steady at 1.50%, according to the median estimate of Bloomberg survey. However, interest rate futures markets are pricing in about a 60% chance of a 25 bp rate cut and a number of economists have suggested the ECB may undertake 50 bps  [...] Continue Reading ...

Tags: ECB, EUR, JPY, NFP, RIsk, Trichet, US ECONOMY

Selling NZD/JPY on potential return to risk aversion

Updated  Jun 2, 2011 4:30:00 PM


Recent data trends out of major economies in May suggests that the global recovery is beginning to lose steam, and this has led firstly to a sharp pullback in commodity prices, as seen by the breakdown in the broader CRB Commodity Index. We think additional data disappointments are likely in the weeks ahead and expect this to lead to a further erosion in risk sentiment. To exploit this view, we think selling one of the  [...] Continue Reading ...

Tags: NZD/JPY, RIsk

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