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Research Results

Results for 'SNB'

10 articles with this tag name

USD/CHF pulls back from key breakout level

Updated  May 11, 2017 2:00:00 PM

The US dollar pulled back on Thursday after having rallied strongly for the first half of the week. Prior to this pullback, the dollar had been boosted sharply this week by rebounding US economic data and a corresponding rise in expectations for a June interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve. This dollar strength has helped push USD/CHF up to key resistance at the 1.0100 level, retesting April’s highs, before Thursday’s pullback. The Swiss franc  [...] Continue Reading ...

USD/CHF extends fall below parity after Fed, SNB

Updated  Mar 16, 2017 12:50:00 PM

USD/CHF broke down sharply below a rising trend channel and returned to parity (1.0000) on Wednesday. This occurred after the US Federal Reserve raised interest rates by a quarter point to 0.75-1.00% but issued an unexpectedly dovish outlook, which led to a steep plunge for the US dollar. This Fed-driven dovish sentiment continued into Thursday as the dollar remained pressured, helping push USD/CHF to break cleanly below parity and reach back down to its 200-day  [...] Continue Reading ...

EUR/CHF: Forgotten FX pair may come back to life

Updated  Mar 10, 2017 7:52:42 AM

The EUR/CHF has been a forgotten currency pair, but is the worst days behind it now? The franc has been stubbornly strong against the euro. But with the ECB’s next policy move likely to be to reduce accommodation, the rate differential favours a recovery in EUR/CHF. Trouble is, there’s significant political risks facing the Eurozone in the coming months and that may keep a lid on the euro and support the perceived safe-haven Swiss franc.  [...] Continue Reading ...

Fed Headlines Busy Central Bank Roster

Updated  Dec 9, 2016 1:25:00 PM

This past week launched December’s lineup of major central bank decisions with relatively uneventful statements by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) and Bank of Canada (BoC), both of which kept interest rates unchanged. The RBA left its cash rate at the record low 1.50%, after having cut by 25 basis points back in July. The BoC also kept steady, leaving its overnight rate at 0.50% as it has remained for nearly a year and  [...] Continue Reading ...

USD/CHF coiling for a big breakout?

Updated  Jul 7, 2016 8:20:00 AM

The daily chart of the USD/CHF (figure 1) continues to show constructive technical signals as far as the bullish case is concerned. Obviously the biggest risk to any technical outlook is sudden changes in sentiment because of some fundamental stimuli, such as the ongoing Brexit risks and Friday’s US jobs report among others.  But with the SNB actively intervening in the FX markets (as indicated by the ballooning foreign currency reserves, which rose a further  [...] Continue Reading ...

Fed lands a direct hit as the currency war crossfire continues

Updated  Mar 18, 2016 11:50:00 AM

Military analysts often draw a distinction between “hot” wars, which involve armed military conflict between nations, and “cold” wars, where enemy factions use economic and political means to jockey for an upper hand against their rivals. While we feel the term “currency war” is a bit overhyped by the media, the recent easing actions by the world’s most powerful central banks make the cold/hot currency war analogy too perfect to ignore. As the war heats  [...] Continue Reading ...

USD/CHF hits a 5-month low as the SNB stands pat

Updated  Mar 17, 2016 12:05:00 PM

At the start of the week, we highlighted today’s Swiss National Bank meeting as a potential under-the-radar event risk that many traders were overlooking. As we suspected, the central bank did not make any changes to monetary policy, but did take the opportunity to reiterate its review that the Swiss franc is “still significantly overvalued.” For Switzerland’s heavily export-oriented economy, the value of the currency is one of the most important economic indicators, and  [...] Continue Reading ...

USD/CHF: Will the SNB match the ECB’s bold easing?

Updated  Mar 14, 2016 9:05:00 AM

It’s been a quiet start to what promises to be an extremely active week for global traders. As of writing ahead of an all-too-early, post-daylight-savings-time US open, European equities are trading generally higher, bond yields are edging lower, oil is off by over 2% from Friday’s close, and the US dollar index is regaining some of last Thursday’s losses. In case you haven’t checked your calendar, this week will feature a number of top-tier central  [...] Continue Reading ...

How EUR/USD traders can use the USD/CHF correlation in 2016

Updated  Dec 22, 2015 2:45:00 PM

As we noted earlier today, there’s not much hitting the wires in terms of actionable economic news (beyond the slight negative, but still better-than-expected revision to Q3 US GDP data), so we wanted to revisit one of the forex market’s strongest correlations: the relationship between EUR/USD and USD/CHF. One of the most common problems I see from newer FX traders is that many of them analyze the Swiss franc in isolation. Even though the  [...] Continue Reading ...

August ECB Rate Decision—Thursday, August 4, 2011

Updated  Aug 3, 2011 3:00:00 PM

Research Note: Aug. ECB Rate Decision Summary Outlook: On Thursday August 4 at 0745EDT/1145GMT, the ECB is expected to announce a steady 1.50% interest rate decision, according to Bloomberg surveys. The main event will be the 0830EDT/1230GMT press briefing by ECB Pres. Trichet. We expect him to indicate that there will be no further rate hike at the September ECB meeting, likely using the ‘closely monitor all developments’ phrasing. July Eurozone CPI dropped from 2.7%  [...] Continue Reading ...


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