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Research Results

Results for 'SNB'

8 articles with this tag name

EURCHF: Knocking on the SNB’s Front Door at 1.20 Floor Street

Updated  Nov 11, 2014 8:25:00 AM

While I’ve had November 30th marked in my calendar for months now (it’s my wedding anniversary), FX traders from around the globe are starting to place a big red “X” on the day. That’s because Switzerland’s population will vote on a key referendum that day, with potentially huge implications for global markets: Swiss voters will decide whether the Swiss National Bank should increase its holdings of gold from 8% of FX reserves currently to 20%.  [...] Continue Reading ...

EUR/CHF: Floored Again

Updated  Oct 24, 2014 10:49:47 AM

The North American trading session activity has been rather light so far as the lack of US data releases and the end to a busy week is keeping a lot of the usual liquidity at bay.  The one nugget of information that was released wasn’t all that encouraging for the US housing market though as New Home Sales failed to live up to expectations of 470k with a 467k print.  “That’s not that bad” is  [...] Continue Reading ...

USD/CHF rally pauses as SNB disappoints, but bullish trend intact

Updated  Sep 18, 2014 7:45:00 AM

The Swiss National Bank today decided to maintain the ceiling on the franc at 1.20 per euro and its interest-rate target range at 0 to 0.25 per cent. This was in line with the expectations. However, hopes that the SNB would impose negative deposit rates (like the ECB) were not satisfied and this led to a sharp rally in the franc. Nevertheless, the Bank stressed its “utmost determination” to do what it takes to keep  [...] Continue Reading ...

GBPCHF Pressing Channel Top Ahead of Scotland Referendum and SNB

Updated  Sep 16, 2014 2:20:00 PM

FX traders are about to enter an action-packed next 72 hours, with BOE Minutes, monetary policy decisions from the Fed and SNB, the ECB’s TLTRO auction, and of course, the result of Scotland’s highly-anticipated independence referendum all scheduled for release by the end of the week. While all markets will be impacted by the upcoming Fed and ECB announcements, GBPCHF could be particularly volatile due to the SNB decision and Scottish Referendum.  [...] Continue Reading ...

EURCHF Surges to 1.2115 Resistance as SNB Considers Going Negative

Updated  Sep 10, 2014 2:00:00 PM

On Monday, we shared our fundamental and technical outlook on EURCHF, concluding that, “...the SNB may eventually be forced to enact further rate cuts or nontraditional monetary policy measures” to stave off deflationary pressures and that the pair may bounce to converging resistance at 1.2115 (see “EURCHF: The SNB Remains Resolute about 1.20 Floor” below for more). As it turns out, SNB comments and the price action over the last 48 hours have borne out  [...] Continue Reading ...

EURCHF: will the SNB defend the 1.20 peg?

Updated  Aug 27, 2014 10:05:00 AM

Since the Swiss National Bank (SNB) imposed its peg in EUR/CHF, this cross has only traded below 1.20 a handful of times, and each time it has bounced off this important level of support. In the three years that the peg has been in place, the market hasn’t tested the SNB’s resolve with any gusto. The market has seemed to accept that you don’t push EUR/CHF below 1.20, otherwise the SNB will act and you  [...] Continue Reading ...

EURCHF Pressing 20-Month Lows, But 1.20 Floor Remains Firm

Updated  Aug 19, 2014 8:40:00 AM

Volatility in EURCHF has been extremely compressed over the past few years, so we wouldn’t have blamed any traders for avoiding opening this note altogether. For those who have made it this far though, the recent price action is presenting a rare trading opportunity in the typically quiet pair. At the end of last week, EURCHF ticked down below the 1.2100 handle for the first time since January 2013. The primary catalyst for this  [...] Continue Reading ...

August ECB Rate Decision—Thursday, August 4, 2011

Updated  Aug 3, 2011 3:00:00 PM

Research Note: Aug. ECB Rate Decision Summary Outlook: On Thursday August 4 at 0745EDT/1145GMT, the ECB is expected to announce a steady 1.50% interest rate decision, according to Bloomberg surveys. The main event will be the 0830EDT/1230GMT press briefing by ECB Pres. Trichet. We expect him to indicate that there will be no further rate hike at the September ECB meeting, likely using the ‘closely monitor all developments’ phrasing. July Eurozone CPI dropped from 2.7%  [...] Continue Reading ...


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