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Weekly Insights

The Week Ahead: Week of November 11, 2016

Updated  Nov 11, 2016 3:00:00 PM Written by James Chen and Fawad Razaqzada

Highlights Donald Trump’s dramatic victory this past week in the US presidential election was further accentuated by his Republican Party retaining majority control in both chambers of Congress. This provided some post-election confidence to US markets and the dollar, despite investors’ ongoing skittishness over Trump’s unpredictability. Though markets plunged sharply during the course of election night as soon as it became apparent that Trump could actually win, the next few days saw a sharp recovery [...] Continue Reading ...

The Week Ahead: Week of November 4, 2016

Updated  Nov 4, 2016 2:00:00 PM Written by James Chen and Fawad Razaqzada

Highlights Like the preceding two months, the US jobs report for October that was released on Friday morning disappointed expectations. However, the reading still fell within reasonable range of forecasts, showing a relatively solid and stable employment picture that is unlikely to change the expected interest rate trajectory of the Federal Reserve. In addition, a few upside surprises in the report helped to reinforce both the current steadiness of the US economy and the rationale [...] Continue Reading ...

The Week Ahead: Week of October 28, 2016

Updated  Oct 28, 2016 2:00:00 PM Written by James Chen and Fawad Razaqzada

Highlights The next week and a half will likely prove to be the busiest several days of the year for global financial markets due to the sheer volume and potentially far-reaching consequences of upcoming events. Aside from what promises to be an exceptionally unique US presidential election on November 8th, the most important events will largely be dominated by major central bank decisions, including that of the US Federal Reserve, along with a deluge of [...] Continue Reading ...

The Week Ahead: Week of October 21, 2016

Updated  Oct 21, 2016 2:00:00 PM Written by James Chen and Fawad Razaqzada

Highlights This past week brought some pronounced movements in currencies after two major central bank events prompted traders to run for the exits when it came to the euro and Canadian dollar. At the same time, the US dollar renewed its surge, which compounded the moves for both the EUR/USD and USD/CAD currency pairs. Looking forward, the key events on the immediate horizon that will be important for a broad range of markets, including currencies, [...] Continue Reading ...

The Week Ahead: Week of October 14, 2016

Updated  Oct 14, 2016 2:00:00 PM Written by James Chen and Fawad Razaqzada

Highlights Markets have made some significant swings recently as several current and near-future risk conditions have heavily impacted investor sentiment. Going forward, the next few weeks promise to be rife with potential risk and uncertainty that could move markets substantially, particularly with respect to the euro, the US dollar, and gold. First up is the euro, which has broken down sharply against the US dollar in the past week. This plunge for EUR/USD was largely [...] Continue Reading ...

The Week Ahead: Week of September 30, 2016

Updated  Sep 30, 2016 2:00:00 PM Written by James Chen and Fawad Razaqzada

Highlights At the very end of September and the third quarter of 2016, with the US Federal Reserve’s latest interest rate decision out of the way for the time being, three major drivers have been dominating the financial markets and should continue to be instrumental in moving markets going forward. These three drivers are: 1) the first US presidential debate and upcoming elections, 2) severe troubles in the banking industry, and 3) the oil production [...] Continue Reading ...

The Week Ahead: Week of September 16, 2016

Updated  Sep 16, 2016 2:00:00 PM Written by James Chen and Fawad Razaqzada

Highlights The past few weeks have seen exceptional back-and-forth speculation over the possibility of the US Federal Reserve raising interest rates next week for the second time in over ten years. While the likelihood of this occurring remains low, at least from the markets’ perspective, key Fed speakers and major US economic data releases have alternately shifted the discussion from one side to another, often moving financial markets abruptly along the way. Next week, however, [...] Continue Reading ...

The Week Ahead: Week of September 9, 2016

Updated  Sep 9, 2016 1:30:00 PM Written by James Chen and Fawad Razaqzada

Highlights September’s parade of major central bank decisions began in earnest this past week and the results can be summed up in one word – unchanged. The week began with the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), following through with the Bank of Canada (BoC), and ended up with the European Central Bank (ECB). All three central banks opted, as expected, to keep interest rates and monetary policy essentially unchanged. The upcoming two weeks bring even [...] Continue Reading ...

The Week Ahead: Week of September 2, 2016

Updated  Sep 2, 2016 2:30:00 PM Written by James Chen and Fawad Razaqzada

Highlights Technical Developments: USD/JPY Within the past two weeks, USD/JPY has risen sharply from its August base around the key 100.00 psychological level. This rise has been driven both by a continued strengthening of the US dollar on the previously increased expectations of a near-term Fed rate hike, along with an extended pullback for the Japanese yen. In the process of this climb, USD/JPY has broken out above its 50-day moving average and [...] Continue Reading ...

The Week Ahead: Week of August 19, 2016

Updated  Aug 19, 2016 2:00:00 PM Written by James Chen and Fawad Razaqzada

Highlights Technical Developments: EUR/USD The past week has seen EUR/USD rise sharply as the dollar weakened on lowered expectations of a near-term Fed rate hike. On Friday, however, the currency pair pulled back from key resistance imposed by the underside of a major bullish trend channel. That trend channel has defined the currency pair’s uptrend from the 1.0500-area lows of last December up to the sharp breakdown of the channel when the Brexit [...] Continue Reading ...

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