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Weekly Insights

The Week Ahead: Week of June 24, 2016

Updated  Jun 24, 2016 2:30:00 PM Written by James Chen and Fawad Razaqzada

Highlights The outcome of Thursday’s historic EU referendum, in which nearly 52% of UK voters opted to leave the European Union, stunned markets globally in its immediate aftermath on Friday morning. The vote counting began with a surprisingly sizeable lead for Leave at over 60% of voters in Sunderland, and the pro-Brexit camp never looked back as it continued to maintain a modest advantage throughout the vote tally, even after the expectedly pro-Remain London votes [...] Continue Reading ...


The Week Ahead: Week of June 17, 2016

Updated  Jun 17, 2016 2:30:00 PM Written by James Chen and Fawad Razaqzada

Highlights Technical Developments: GBP/USD GBP/USD broke down a week ago below a key uptrend line that extended back to February's multi-year low of 1.3835. This past week, as the risk of a Brexit outcome continued to weigh on the pound in the run-up to the EU referendum, the currency pair followed-through on that drop to closely approach a key downside target at the 1.4000 psychological support level. Price rebounded off that support on [...] Continue Reading ...


The Week Ahead: Week of June 10, 2016

Updated  Jun 10, 2016 2:00:00 PM Written by James Chen and Fawad Razaqzada

Highlights Technical Developments: GBP/USD The event risks of the next two weeks, most notably the risk of a Brexit vote during the UK’s EU referendum on June 23rd, have begun to weigh more heavily on GBP/USD, prompting a fall from key resistance. Since the multi-year low of 1.3835 was hit in late February, the currency pair has been trading on a rising trend line as Brexit worries had begun to abate earlier in [...] Continue Reading ...


The Week Ahead: Week of May 27, 2016

Updated  May 27, 2016 3:00:00 PM Written by James Chen and Fawad Razaqzada

Highlights Technical Developments: EUR/USD As a result of forces combining to pressure EUR/USD lately, the currency pair has been in a sharp decline since it hit a new 8-month high at 1.1615 in early May. That high was established with a conspicuous “shooting star” reversal candle at the underside of a key uptrend line, indicating a clear bearish turning signal. Since that candle pattern formed, EUR/USD has spent the past three weeks falling [...] Continue Reading ...


The Week Ahead: Week of May 20, 2016

Updated  May 20, 2016 2:30:00 PM Written by James Chen and Fawad Razaqzada

Highlights Technical Developments: USD/CAD The combination of a strong US dollar driven by this past week’s hawkish FOMC minutes along with consolidating crude oil prices has led to a sharp surge and continuing recovery for USD/CAD. This week saw the currency pair break out above key prior resistance at the 1.3000 psychological level. That level was also the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the last bearish run from the late-March high down to the [...] Continue Reading ...


The Week Ahead: Week of May 13, 2016

Updated  May 13, 2016 2:00:00 PM Written by James Chen and Fawad Razaqzada

Highlights Technical Developments: GBP/USD The past two weeks have seen GBP/USD fall from its early May high around its 200-day moving average down to hit its 50-day moving average by Friday. The drop on Friday was pronounced, as the US dollar surged strongly while the pound remained pressured. In early May, GBP/USD hit a four-month high, approaching 1.4800-area resistance near the noted 200-day moving average, but then began its current downturn. That turn [...] Continue Reading ...


The Week Ahead: Week of May 6, 2016

Updated  May 6, 2016 2:30:00 PM Written by James Chen and Fawad Razaqzada

Highlights Technical Developments: AUD/USD Following the release of Australian inflation data last week that came out surprisingly lower than expected, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) on Tuesday cut interest rates by 25 basis points to a new record low of 1.75%. Prior to last week’s release of the inflation data, the RBA was not widely expected to cut interest rates, but since the Consumer Price Index showed prices falling by 0.2% vs. [...] Continue Reading ...


The Week Ahead: Week of April 29, 2016

Updated  Apr 29, 2016 2:00:00 PM Written by James Chen and Fawad Razaqzada

Highlights Technical Developments: USD/CHF Pressure on the dollar, in part stemming from the Fed’s consistently cautious stance and lackluster US economic data in recent weeks, including the recent weaker-than-expected GDP reading, has resulted in an extended retreat from major resistance for USD/CHF. At the start of the past trading week, the retreat began at a critical level for USD/CHF, turning the currency pair down right around the key 0.9785 resistance area, which is also [...] Continue Reading ...


The Week Ahead: Week of April 22, 2016

Updated  Apr 22, 2016 2:00:00 PM Written by James Chen and Fawad Razaqzada

Highlights Technical Developments: AUD/USD A recent rebound in risk assets and commodity prices, as well as a weakening of the US dollar and relative stabilization in Asian markets (most notably China), have helped contribute to the AUD/USD rally from multi-year lows that has occurred within the past three months. This sharp rally has boosted the currency pair from nearly a 7-year low just above 0.6800 in mid-January up to a 10-month high above [...] Continue Reading ...


The Week Ahead: Week of April 15, 2016

Updated  Apr 15, 2016 1:00:00 PM Written by By James Chen and Fawad Razaqzada

Highlights Technical Developments: EUR/GBP Next week could be a big one for the EUR/GBP due to the large number of market-moving economic data from both the UK and the Eurozone, and the ECB’s policy meeting on Thursday. In addition, traders are still trying to figure out that, if Britain were to vote to leave the EU, would this necessarily be a bad or good outcome for the economy in the long run. If [...] Continue Reading ...


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