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Weekly Insights

The Week Ahead: Week of April 14th, 2014

Updated  Apr 11, 2014 2:25:00 PM Written by By Matt Weller, Kathleen Brooks, Fawad Razaqzada and Neal Gilbert

* Please note this article will not be published next week due to the Easter holiday. The next Weekly Preview article will be published April 25th * Technical Developments to Watch: * Bias determined by the relationship between price and various EMAs. The following hierarchy determines bias (numbers represent how many EMAs the price closed the week above): 0 – Strongly Bearish, 1 – Slightly Bearish, 2 – Neutral, 3 – SlightlyBullish, 4 – Strongly [...] Continue Reading ...


The Week Ahead: Week of April 7th, 2014

Updated  Apr 4, 2014 3:50:00 PM Written by By Matt Weller, Kathleen Brooks, Fawad Razaqzada and Neal Gilbert

Technical Developments to Watch: * Bias determined by the relationship between price and various EMAs. The following hierarchy determines bias (numbers represent how many EMAs the price closed the week above): 0 – Strongly Bearish, 1 – Slightly Bearish, 2 – Neutral, 3 – SlightlyBullish, 4 – Strongly Bullish. ** All data in this section as of 4:00pm GMT Friday ** EUR/USD The EUR/USD initially bounced to start last week’s trade, but the [...] Continue Reading ...

Tags: FX

The Week Ahead: Week of March 31st, 2014

Updated  Mar 28, 2014 2:30:00 PM Written by By Matt Weller, Chris Tevere, and Fawad Razaqzada

Technical Developments to Watch: * Bias determined by the relationship between price and various EMAs. The following hierarchy determines bias (numbers represent how many EMAs the price closed the week above): 0 – Strongly Bearish, 1 – Slightly Bearish, 2 – Neutral, 3 – SlightlyBullish, 4 – Strongly Bullish. ** All data in this section as of 4:00pm GMT Friday ** EUR/USD After brief bounce early in the week, the EUR/USD continued to [...] Continue Reading ...


The Week Ahead: Week of March 24th, 2014

Updated  Mar 21, 2014 1:50:00 PM Written by By Matt Weller, Kathleen Brooks, Fawad Razaqzada, & Neal Gilbert

Technical Developments to Watch: * Bias determined by the relationship between price and various EMAs. The following hierarchy determines bias (numbers represent how many EMAs the price closed the week above): 0 – Strongly Bearish, 1 – Slightly Bearish, 2 – Neutral, 3 – SlightlyBullish, 4 – Strongly Bullish. ** All data in this section as of 4:00pm GMT Friday ** EUR/USD The EUR/USD inched higher early last week before reversing sharply to [...] Continue Reading ...


The Week Ahead: Week of March 17th, 2014

Updated  Mar 14, 2014 1:35:00 PM Written by By Chris Tedder, Matt Weller, Fawad Razaqzada, & Neal Gilbert

Last week the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) became the first central bank amongst its G10 counterparts to raise interest rates since 2011. The RBNZ kicked off what is expected to be a lengthy tightening cycle by raising the official cash rate (OCR) by 25bps to 2.75%, citing considerable momentum in the economy and more broad-based GDP growth. RBNZ Governor Wheeler also signaled the potential for a steeper climb in rates than previously thought, [...] Continue Reading ...


The Week Ahead: Week of March 10th, 2014

Updated  Mar 7, 2014 2:15:00 PM Written by By Kathleen Brooks, Matt Weller, Fawad Razaqzada, & Neal Gilbert

Last week was full of extremes. At the start of the week escalating tensions between Russia and the Ukraine dominated sentiment. Risky assets sold off and stocks fell sharply. However, by Tuesday, when it looked like a violent outcome to the crisis was off the cards, the markets were able to put the Ukraine crisis to one side and sentiment perked up. Friday’s solid US payrolls report provided the icing on the cake for a [...] Continue Reading ...


The Week Ahead: Week of March 3rd, 2014

Updated  Feb 28, 2014 1:30:00 PM Written by By Kathleen Brooks, Matt Weller, Fawad Razaqzada, & Neal Gilbert

The dollar lost ground to all currencies in the G10 bar the yen in February. It has been a weak start to the year for the greenback; the dollar has failed to rally against any G10 currency apart from the Canadian dollar since the start of 2014. There were various drivers that could have weighed on the USD in February: 1, A spate of negative data surprises: The Citigroup data surprise index has [...] Continue Reading ...


The Week Ahead: Week of February 24th, 2014

Updated  Feb 21, 2014 2:00:00 PM Written by By Kathleen Brooks, Matt Weller, Fawad Razaqzada, & Neal Gilbert

The greenback had a disappointing start to the year, with the dollar index falling nearly 2% after peaking on Jan 21. However, after dipping to a low of 79.92 last week, it had a mild recovery on the back of the FOMC minutes and some better than expected PMI data for February. So will it be an early spring for the buck? That could depend on the weather. As temperatures have picked up in [...] Continue Reading ...


The Week Ahead: Week of February 17th, 2014

Updated  Feb 14, 2014 1:15:00 PM Written by By Kathleen Brooks, Matt Weller, Fawad Razaqzada, & Neal Gilbert

The EUR managed to make a two-week high against the USD last week and broke above a key resistance level at 1.3701 – the top of the daily Ichimoku cloud. This is a bullish development, yet the market still seems to be uncomfortable with a strengthening single currency, and the naysayers fear that a collapse is on the cards because the ECB will be forced to take an aggressive easing stance at some stage.  [...] Continue Reading ...


The Week Ahead: Week of February 10th, 2014

Updated  Feb 7, 2014 2:05:00 PM Written by By Kathleen Brooks, Matt Weller, Fawad Razaqzada, & Neal Gilbert

The one thing the markets should know by now about ECB President Mario Draghi is that he tends to deliver the unexpected. In the past, when the markets expected the ECB to stay neutral, the Bank has cut rates, and when the market has anticipated fresh dovish measures, it has instead remained on hold. This month was a reminder that the ECB is hard to predict. Ahead of the meeting, some analysts had been looking [...] Continue Reading ...


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Disclaimer: The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient. Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warranty that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.

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