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Weekly Insights

The Week Ahead: Week of May 27, 2016

Updated -  May 27, 2016 3:00:00 PM By James Chen and Fawad Razaqzada

Highlights Technical Developments: EUR/USD As a result of forces combining to pressure EUR/USD lately, the currency pair has been in a sharp decline since it hit a new 8-month high at 1.1615 in early May. That high was established with a conspicuous “shooting star” reversal candle at the underside of a key uptrend line, indicating a clear bearish turning signal. Since that candle pattern formed, EUR/USD has spent the past three weeks falling [...] Continue Reading


The Week Ahead: Week of May 20, 2016

Updated -  May 20, 2016 2:30:00 PM By James Chen and Fawad Razaqzada

Highlights Technical Developments: USD/CAD The combination of a strong US dollar driven by this past week’s hawkish FOMC minutes along with consolidating crude oil prices has led to a sharp surge and continuing recovery for USD/CAD. This week saw the currency pair break out above key prior resistance at the 1.3000 psychological level. That level was also the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the last bearish run from the late-March high down to the [...] Continue Reading


The Week Ahead: Week of May 13, 2016

Updated -  May 13, 2016 2:00:00 PM By James Chen and Fawad Razaqzada

Highlights Technical Developments: GBP/USD The past two weeks have seen GBP/USD fall from its early May high around its 200-day moving average down to hit its 50-day moving average by Friday. The drop on Friday was pronounced, as the US dollar surged strongly while the pound remained pressured. In early May, GBP/USD hit a four-month high, approaching 1.4800-area resistance near the noted 200-day moving average, but then began its current downturn. That turn [...] Continue Reading


The Week Ahead: Week of May 6, 2016

Updated -  May 6, 2016 2:30:00 PM By James Chen and Fawad Razaqzada

Highlights Technical Developments: AUD/USD Following the release of Australian inflation data last week that came out surprisingly lower than expected, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) on Tuesday cut interest rates by 25 basis points to a new record low of 1.75%. Prior to last week’s release of the inflation data, the RBA was not widely expected to cut interest rates, but since the Consumer Price Index showed prices falling by 0.2% vs. [...] Continue Reading


The Week Ahead: Week of April 29, 2016

Updated -  Apr 29, 2016 2:00:00 PM By James Chen and Fawad Razaqzada

Highlights Technical Developments: USD/CHF Pressure on the dollar, in part stemming from the Fed’s consistently cautious stance and lackluster US economic data in recent weeks, including the recent weaker-than-expected GDP reading, has resulted in an extended retreat from major resistance for USD/CHF. At the start of the past trading week, the retreat began at a critical level for USD/CHF, turning the currency pair down right around the key 0.9785 resistance area, which is also [...] Continue Reading


The Week Ahead: Week of April 22, 2016

Updated -  Apr 22, 2016 2:00:00 PM By James Chen and Fawad Razaqzada

Highlights Technical Developments: AUD/USD A recent rebound in risk assets and commodity prices, as well as a weakening of the US dollar and relative stabilization in Asian markets (most notably China), have helped contribute to the AUD/USD rally from multi-year lows that has occurred within the past three months. This sharp rally has boosted the currency pair from nearly a 7-year low just above 0.6800 in mid-January up to a 10-month high above [...] Continue Reading


The Week Ahead: Week of April 15, 2016

Updated -  Apr 15, 2016 1:00:00 PM By By James Chen and Fawad Razaqzada

Highlights Technical Developments: EUR/GBP Next week could be a big one for the EUR/GBP due to the large number of market-moving economic data from both the UK and the Eurozone, and the ECB’s policy meeting on Thursday. In addition, traders are still trying to figure out that, if Britain were to vote to leave the EU, would this necessarily be a bad or good outcome for the economy in the long run. If [...] Continue Reading


The Week Ahead: Week of April 8, 2016

Updated -  Apr 8, 2016 4:00:00 PM By By James Chen and Fawad Razaqzada

Highlights Technical Developments: EUR/USD This past week saw a prolonged consolidation for EUR/USD up against major resistance around the 1.1450 area. This consolidation is the latest culmination of a rising trend characterized by higher highs and higher lows since December’s lows near 1.0500. During the course of this uptrend, the currency pair has broken out above major resistance areas, including the key 1.1100 level, largely as a result of a weakening of the [...] Continue Reading


The Week Ahead: Week of March 18, 2016

Updated -  Mar 18, 2016 2:00:00 PM By By James Chen, Matt Weller, and Fawad Razaqzada

Highlights Market Movers: Weekly Technical Outlook Central Banks on Parade Look Ahead: Stocks Look Ahead: Commodities Global Data Highlights  [...] Continue Reading


The Week Ahead: Week of March 11, 2016

Updated -  Mar 11, 2016 2:00:00 PM By By James Chen, Matt Weller, and Fawad Razaqzada

Highlights Market Movers: Weekly Technical Outlook Fed on deck after ECB hits a ground rule double Look Ahead: Stocks Look Ahead: Commodities Global Data Highlights  [...] Continue Reading


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