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FOMC Preview: Is the Market Too Dovish on the Prospects for a 2019 Rate Hike?

March 19, 2019 11:24 AM
Spoiler alert: The Federal Reserve won’t be making any immediate changes to monetary policy at the conclusion to this week’s two-day meeting. Nonetheless, it would be a mistake for traders to ignore the central bank’s economic projections and comments.

USD/JPY: Will the Fed Deliver a Present or a Lump of Coal for Buck Bulls?

December 18, 2018 2:28 PM
As he is wont to do on many topics, President Trump has waded into monetary policy discussion ahead of tomorrow’s Fed meeting. Just yesterday, he tweeted, “I hope the people over at the Fed will read today’s Wall Street Journal Editorial before they make yet another mistake. Also, don’t let the market become any more illiquid than it already is. Sto...

Dollar Index Holding Its Bullish Channel, But Causes for Concern Pile Up

December 4, 2018 11:09 AM
As we anticipated yesterday (see here and here), the risk-on rally in the wake of this weekend’s “trade war truce” between the US and China has sputtered out relatively quickly. With US officials sending mixed messages about the content of the agreement and Chinese leaders maintaining radio silence, investors are increasingly concerned that a broad,...

FOMC Recap: 43 Days to Change 24 Words

November 8, 2018 2:33 PM
If you’re one of the many readers who did, you’re excused for forgetting about today’s Federal Reserve meeting. After all, the high political drama in Washington and London continues to draw plenty of headlines, it’s the first time we’ve seen an FOMC meeting conclude on a Thursday in three years, and the central bank was never going to make any chan...

Fed Recap: Accommodative No More

September 26, 2018 3:04 PM
As we noted in yesterday’s FOMC Preview report, another rate hike this month was a “done deal” for the Federal Reserve, and Powell and Company delivered the expected 25bps increase as expected. The more interesting aspects of today’s release came from the central bank’s accompanying monetary policy statement and the quarterly Summary of Economic Pro...