Latest Research

It appears that polls and projections in the past few days and weeks have turned out to be severely inaccurate in predicting the outcome of the 2016 US presidential election. After a long and heart-pounding election night, Donald Trump achieved a market-shocking upset by pulling ahead from behind and ultimately defeating Hillary Clinton to become th...

Stock markets, the dollar, gold, and the Mexican peso all reacted sharply over reports on Sunday that the FBI has not discovered any further incriminating evidence in its re-launched review of Presidential Candidate Hillary Clinton’s past emails. FBI Director James Comey wrote in a letter to Congress, “based on our review, we have not changed our co...

Despite a generally ailing US dollar on Tuesday due in part to heightened risk imposed by next week’s elections, the greenback rose sharply against the Mexican peso as Donald Trump’s presidential prospects continued to be lifted by Hillary Clinton’s ongoing email troubles.

With the dust having settled after Wednesday’s final US presidential debate of the 2016 campaign between Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton, the results have become rather apparent. Although Trump came out relatively stronger and more steadfast than usual during the first half of the debate, his remarks and demeanor quickly deteriorated in the latter ...

After 1) a first presidential debate in which Hillary Clinton was seen to have secured a major win over Donald Trump, 2) a vice-presidential debate where the Republican ticket gained back some ground with its supporters, 3) a scandalous revelation regarding a lewd tape of Trump’s self-professed “locker room talk” years ago, 4) a second presidential ...

When it comes to currencies, the highly-touted “Trump Trade” has revolved largely around the Mexican peso. It has been no secret that US Presidential Candidate Donald Trump’s heavily protectionist trade policies, not to mention his stance on immigration, have targeted Mexico in particular. Besides proposing to build a wall between the US and Mexico,...

As we’ve noted repeatedly over the first trading week, emerging market currencies have been getting walloped as panicked FX traders sell any holdings they see as risky for the perceived safety of the US dollar and Japanese yen. As the chart at the bottom of this report shows, the Mexican peso has certainly not been spared from the EM FX massacre....