European Open: Biden and Xi Are ‘Virtually’ Friends

Well, not quite. But they are having a virtual meeting, which is a single baby-step in the right direction.

Volatility remain contained overnight for currencies

Asian Indices:

  • Australia's ASX 200 index rose by 50.1 points (0.7%) and currently trades at 7,256.60
  • Japan's Nikkei 225 index has risen by 291.04 points (1.06%) and currently trades at 27,819.91
  • Hong Kong's Hang Seng index has risen by 576.7 points (2.41%) and currently trades at 24,543.19


UK and Europe:

  • UK's FTSE 100 futures are currently up 73 points (1.05%), the cash market is currently estimated to open at 7,068.87
  • Euro STOXX 50 futures are currently up 48 points (1.2%), the cash market is currently estimated to open at 4,060.65
  • Germany's DAX futures are currently up 178 points (1.19%), the cash market is currently estimated to open at 15,151.33


US Futures:

  • DJI futures are currently up 102.32 points (0.003%)
  • S&P 500 futures are currently up 104.75 points (0.71%)
  • Nasdaq 100 futures are currently up 22.5 points (0.52%)


Asian equities rejoice

Joe Biden is to meet with President XI over video near the end of the year, according to senior officials. The talks aim to improve relations before the two economic powerhouses after relations were left frosty following the previous administration. Whilst nothing more than a symbolic tease as of yet, Asian equities embraced the optimism with all major benchmarks across the region rising in tandem. The Hang Seng was the clear leader, rising 2.7% at time of writing whilst the Nikkei is around 1.7% higher. US futures opened around 0.5% higher and European futures are up over 1%.


FTSE 350: Market Internals

FTSE relative performance

FTSE 350: 4010.66 (-1.15%) 06 October 2021

  • 39 (11.11%) stocks advanced and 306 (87.18%) declined
  • 4 stocks rose to a new 52-week high, 29 fell to new lows
  • 50.71% of stocks closed above their 200-day average
  • 15.95% of stocks closed above their 50-day average
  • 5.7% of stocks closed above their 20-day average



  • + 7.84%-Pagegroup PLC(PAGE.L)
  • + 5.95%-Tesco PLC(TSCO.L)
  • + 4.29%-Endeavour Mining PLC(EDV.L)



  • ·-8.02%-Trustpilot Group PLC(TRST.L)
  • ·-7.10%-Draper Esprit PLC(GROW.L)
  • ·-6.33%-Elementis PLC(ELM.L)



Forex: US employment and BOC Governor in focus

US jobless claims is the main US economic data point today. Initial claims have risen for the past three weeks, although they remain just above their post-pandemic lows. But any signs of lower claims today will be taken as a net positive, given yesterday’s string ADP read ahead of tomorrow’s Nonfarm payroll report. And that could bolster the US dollar.

CAD pairs will be in focus later today with IVEY PMI scheduled at 15:00, followed by a speech by BOC’s Governor Tiff Macklem speaking at 17:00. The euro and British pound have been slaves to CAD strength over the past three weeks, and they have effectively been crushed in a straight line. But with oil prices showing the potential for an interim top then a soft PMI or dovish remark from Macklem could help such crosses bounce from their lows.


GBPUSD has printed a potential swing high


Technically, GBP/USD looks of interest after printing a potential swing high. It’s 4-day rebound from 1.3412 met resistance at the 20-day eMA and failed to close above trend resistance and a 61.8% Fibonacci ratio. Yesterday’s bearish candle also forms the final part of an Evening Star Reversal pattern, which would be confirmed with a break beneath 1.3532. A break above Tuesday’s high (1.3648) invalidates the near-term bearish bias.


Commodities: Gold holds 1750

A bullish hammer formed on gold’s daily chart yesterday, once again showing demand around the 1750 level. A break above 1770.55 would be constructive for the bull-case, although we may need to wait for tomorrow’s NFP for such a move.


Up Next (Times in BST)


Disclaimer: The information on this web site is not targeted at the general public of any particular country. It is not intended for distribution to residents in any country where such distribution or use would contravene any local law or regulatory requirement. The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient. Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warranty that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.

Futures, Options on Futures, Foreign Exchange and other leveraged products involves significant risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Losses can exceed your deposits. Increasing leverage increases risk. Spot Gold and Silver contracts are not subject to regulation under the U.S. Commodity Exchange Act. Contracts for Difference (CFDs) are not available for US residents. Before deciding to trade forex and commodity futures, you should carefully consider your financial objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained herein is intended as general information about the subject matter covered and is provided with the understanding that we do not provide any investment, legal, or tax advice. You should consult with appropriate counsel or other advisors on all investment, legal, or tax matters. References to or GAIN Capital refer to GAIN Capital Holdings Inc. and its subsidiaries. Please read Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options.

Open an Account