Slowing Virus Lifts Stocks

Stocks jump as coronavirus cases and deaths slow in mainland Europe

Article Default

Asian markers traded on the front foot overnight and European markets jump higher on the open, whilst safe havens come under pressure as the market mood turns positive. 

Both Italy and Spain have reported a substantial slowdown in the number of new coronavirus cases and deaths. France and Germany’s curves are also showing signs of flattening. Italy is even considering how to come out of lock down. This is a significant change in situation to where we were just two weeks ago.

The number of cases in Germany has reached 95,391 according to the Robert Koch Institute (RKI) with a total of 1,434 deaths. The number of new cases rose by 3,677 compared with Sunday’s 5936. 

Whilst there is now light at the end of the coronavirus tunnel, the data showing the economic impact of the restrictive measures taken to protect the public is still only at its initial stages. The full extent of the blow will take some time to seep through the economy. 

German Factory Orders Beat Expectations
German factory orders fell by less than forecast also supporting risk sentiment. Factory orders dropped -1.4% month on month in February, versus the -1.9% forecast and the 5.5% print a month earlier. The data will get worse over the coming months before it gets better, but today’s reading is a sign of relief for investors, particularly as the coronavirus outbreak shows signs of easing.

Levels to watch
The DAX has jumped 4% on the open, at 9920. It trades above its 50 and 100 sma on the 4 hour chart, a positive sign. Although it remains with the horizontal channel that it has traded within since 25th March. A break above the upper bound of 10144 is needed for more bulls to jump in. Meanwhile a move below the lower bound of 9328 is needed for another step lower.
Immediate resistance can be seen at 10144, prior to 10645 (200 sma) and 10766 (high 11th March).
On the flip side, support can be seen at 9700 (100 sma) prior to 9328 (channel’s lower bound).

More from Germany 30

Disclaimer: The information on this web site is not targeted at the general public of any particular country. It is not intended for distribution to residents in any country where such distribution or use would contravene any local law or regulatory requirement. The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient. Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warranty that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.

Futures, Options on Futures, Foreign Exchange and other leveraged products involves significant risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Losses can exceed your deposits. Increasing leverage increases risk. Spot Gold and Silver contracts are not subject to regulation under the U.S. Commodity Exchange Act. Contracts for Difference (CFDs) are not available for US residents. Before deciding to trade forex and commodity futures, you should carefully consider your financial objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained herein is intended as general information about the subject matter covered and is provided with the understanding that we do not provide any investment, legal, or tax advice. You should consult with appropriate counsel or other advisors on all investment, legal, or tax matters. References to or GAIN Capital refer to GAIN Capital Holdings Inc. and its subsidiaries. Please read Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options.

Open an Account