Two trades to watch: GBP/USD, DAX
Fiona Cincotta January 14, 2022 3:24 AM
GBP/USD rises after UK GDP beats, US retail sales, consumer sentiment due. DAX traces Wall Street lower, GDP data next.
GBP/USD rises after UK GDP beats, US retail sales due
GBP/USD is on the rise after Britain’s economy grew at a faster pace in November than forecast. UK GDP grew 0.9% MoM in November, well ahead of the 0.4% estimated. This was also up from 0.2% in October and means that the UK economy has finally recouped the damage inflicted by COVID.
Looking ahead US retail sales are due at the end of a busy week for the US Dollar. US retail sales are expected to be flat in December, after rising 0.3% in November. Rising COVID cases and 7% inflation could be to blame.
Disappointing retail sales, after yesterday’s rising initial jobless claims, could send USD lower.Learn more about the pound
Where next for GBP/USD?
GBP/USD is extending its rebound from the December low of 1.3160, retaking the 50 sma and pushing above 1.37 a critical resistance turned support.
The price has run into resistance at 1.3740 the 200 sma. The RSI is overbought so there could be a pull back on the cards ahead of further gains.
Buyers will need to break above 1.3740 in order to target 1.38.
Meanwhile, horizontal support at 1.37 is critical ahead of 1.36 January 5 high. It would take a move below 1.3510 to negate the near-term uptrend.
DAX traces Wall Street lower, GDP data due
DAX along with its European peers are heading for a weaker open on Friday tracing Wall Street southwards
US main indices closed sharply lower after jobless claim unexpectedly rose. Weakness on Wall Street combined with disappointing Chinese trade data has set a risk off tone to trade.
German GDP data is due shortly and is expected to show that the German economy grew 2.7% across 2021, after contracting -4.6% in 2020.
Where next for the DAX?
The DAX has been rebounding from 15000 reach on December 21, re-taking both the 50 & 200 sma. The price ran into resistance at 16285 its previous all time high and since eased lower.
The RSI remains in bullish territory, and the price above its 50 & 200 sma. It also trades above its rising trend line so the there could be more upside to come.
Buyers will be looking to break above 16000, the key psychological level in order to target 16285 and fresh all time highs.
A move below 15730 the 2022 low and 15610 the 200 sma could see sellers gain traction towards 15000.
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