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Dollar analysis: Gold and EUR/USD outlook in focus - Nonfarm Payrolls Preview

All eyes will turn to the US jobs report on Friday, as the market refocuses on Fed policy after the Fitch downgrade of US credit rating caused a risk off response in the markets, which sent the dollar and long-dated bond yields surging higher. The US dollar, gold and EUR/USD outlook could be impacted if we see a jobs report that deviates significantly from expectations.

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AUD/USD outlook hurt by strong US data, risk off sentiment - NFP Preview

The AUD/USD outlook has been dealt a double or even triple whammy, as risk appetite turned sharply negative, US data improved further and concerns over China lingered. Will we now see another strong US non-farm payrolls report and further dollar strength? It looks that way, as we will explain in this NFP preview article.

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NFP preview: Leading indicators slow while Fed poised to charge ahead

The leading indicators point to a slightly below-expectations reading in this month’s NFP report, with headline job growth potentially coming in somewhere in the 225K-325K range

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NFP preview: Improvement likely as traders eye March for interest rate liftoff

The leading indicators point to a slightly above-expectation reading in this month’s NFP report, with headline job growth potentially coming in somewhere in the 425-525k range.

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January 6, 2022 03:12 PM
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NFP preview: Fed needs to see job growth maintained

After back-to-back readings above 900K net new jobs, traders and economists are expecting “just” 750K jobs this month...

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Jackson Hole Symposium: Powell pours cold water on hawks

Never one to rock the boat dramatically, Powell clearly took a cautious, non-committal approach in his address...

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August 27, 2021 11:33 AM
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NFP early insight: USD/JPY vulnerable to a soft reading

A couple more months of strong wage and job growth (ideally accompanied by a peak in COVID cases) could be enough for the Fed to start the long process of normalizing monetary policy

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Asian Open: The US Dollar Sits Tall Ahead of Nonfarm Payrolls

Yet whilst price action on USD is almost trying to beckon a strong Nonfarm print, it’s almost asking to get toppled over if we throw murphy’s law into the mix of leading indicators.

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US open: Tech rallies on US non-farm payroll shock

US non farm payrolls saw just 266k jobs added in April vs 990k expected. Treasury yields are falling, along with the US Dollar. The tech heavy Nasdaq futures jumped higher.

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The complete guide to non-farm payrolls (NFP)

Non-farm payrolls data releases are influential on both economic policy and financial markets. Discover what non-farm payrolls are, the upcoming NFP dates for 2022 and how you can trade them.

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February 3, 2021 07:15 AM
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NFP Preview: Jobs Momentum Slowing as COVID Accelerates

With election votes still getting tallied and a Fed meeting on tap, tomorrow's jobs report will still be a major event for markets...

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November 5, 2020 10:27 AM
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US Dollar: Possible Profit Taking Actions before Non-farm Payrolls

On Tuesday, the ICE U.S. Dollar Index has stabilized after briefing dropping to its weakest level in more than two years, ending up 0.1% on day to 92.31. U.S. ADP private jobs report for August will be today's focus, with an increase of 1 million expected and compared with +167,000 in July.

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September 2, 2020 12:38 AM
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NFP Recap: What You Need to Know About Today’s “Goldilocks” Report

Despite today's strong report, there are reasons to be concerned about the prospects for the US economy...

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July 2, 2020 10:01 AM

GOLD: Commodities stage small rebound ahead of NFP, French elections

The first trading week of May is about to end, which means all of the attention will be on the US non-farm payrolls data. Well, that would have been the case had it not been for the small matter of the French elections at the weekend and also this week's collapse in commodity prices. Gold, silver, copper and iron ore, as well as crude oil prices, have all fallen sharply on a combination of worries about Chinese demand and in most cases excessive supply. But the commodities have all bounced back this morning, with crude oil most noticeably as it has recovered from a decline of around 3% overnight to turn flat at the time of this writing.

US NFP set to bounce back in April

City Index’s NFP forecast model predicts a 181k gain in US non-farm payrolls for April, which is a touch below economist estimates tracked by Bloomberg, that are predicting a gain of 190k. After last month’s large data miss, we will also be looking to see if there is a significant revision to the March NFP figure, where only 98k jobs were created.

Strong wages a silver lining in an otherwise uninspiring NFP

The number of jobs created in the final month of 2016 came in at 156k, missing the expected rate of 175k. Unemployment ticked up, as […]

US Non-farm payrolls in focus

Investors are sitting on the side lines ahead of the first non-farm payroll release of 2017. With December’s rate hike safely behind us the market […]

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January 6, 2017 10:29 AM

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House builders impress: Weaker NFP on the cards?

Both sterling and the FTSE managed to turn their fortunes around in the afternoon session; the FTSE successfully tucking yet another record close under it’s […]

NFP in focus days before the US Election

Following the Federal Reserve’s policy decision on Wednesday and the slightly more hawkish tone set by Chair Janet Yellen, the market would be forgiven for […]

NFP Recap: Not as bad as it looks…

As the monthly tradition dictates, traders eagerly awaited today’s US jobs report with the (lack of) patience of a kid on Christmas. When the report […]

NFP Recap: “Good enough” for the Fed?

After yesterday’s massive ECB-induced moves across all markets, traders were a bit shell-shocked heading into the always important Non-Farm Payrolls report. Today’s jobs report was […]

NFP Instant Reaction: Essentially Perfect

Let’s skip the formalities: today’s NFP report was essentially perfect. The marquee US (and global) jobs report showed that the world’s largest economy created a […]

NFP Prep: A strong reading could make a December rate hike the Fed’s base case

The October Non-Farm Payroll report will be released tomorrow at 8:30 EST (13:30 GMT) with expectations centered on a headline print of 179k after last […]