Core PCE

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US Core PCE lower in September; USD continues lower

If Core PCE continues to fall over the coming months, the Fed may end up hiking rates less than it expects, or even cutting rates before the end of next year.

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December 1, 2022 05:11 PM
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US Core PCE and ECI as expected. What does it mean for the FOMC next week?

Will the Fed consider an ECI reading of 1.2% to be “uncomfortably higher”? Also, the Fed’s favorite measure of inflation is back up to levels not seen since March.

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October 28, 2022 04:11 PM
Federal reserve name plaque on building

US Core PCE and ECI as expected. What does it mean for the FOMC next week?

Will the Fed consider an ECI reading of 1.2% to be “uncomfortably higher”? Also, the Fed’s favorite measure of inflation is back up to levels not seen since March.

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October 28, 2022 04:11 PM

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US Core PCE follows EU CPI higher

Markets are pricing in a 75bps rate hike for both central banks. However, the meetings not until the end of October and there is still a lot of data which can change rate hike expectations

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September 30, 2022 04:01 PM
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ECI and PCE are hot for June. What does it mean for the Fed?

Today’s inflation data was higher than expected and the Fed is walking a thin line between lowering inflation and pushing growth lower.

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July 29, 2022 04:43 PM
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Core PCE not as bad as feared. But how much does it matter?

It probably won’t matter in isolation, as the Fed is now looking at a number of inflation data points to help determine the next direction for inflation in the US.

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June 30, 2022 04:33 PM
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Core PCE: Still the Fed’s favorite measure of inflation?

US Core PCE is due out this week and if it is similar to other recent inflation data, it may be stronger than expected.

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June 28, 2022 04:09 PM
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Core PCE still strong, but weaker than March

Although one reading isn’t considered a trend,it may be suggesting that inflation has plateaued.

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May 27, 2022 04:12 PM
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Core PCE levels off, but the ECI may have the Fed more concerned

Although the Core PCE may have eased slightly, it is still a cause for concern for the Fed at such an elevated level.

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April 29, 2022 03:24 PM
Research

US Core PCE continues to rise; puts more pressure on Fed

As the Fed continues to catch up with the rest of the markets in realizing that inflation is indeed high, it now has another data point to refer to, Core PCE.

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March 31, 2022 04:32 PM
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US Core PCE still hot; Is 50 bps in the cards?

The Fed's favorite measure of inflation (Core PCE) was 5.2% YoY vs and expectation of 5% YoY and 4.9% YoY in December.

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February 25, 2022 04:28 PM
Research

US Core PCE preview: The Fed’s interest rate decision hangs in the balance

Friday’s release is likely to lead to market volatility as market participants adjust to arguably the most important data release ahead of the Fed’s expected liftoff...

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February 23, 2022 06:06 PM
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Core PCE higher than expected; Fed also paying close attention to ECI

There' s a new sheriff in town that the Fed is focusing on: ECI (Employment Cost Index).

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January 28, 2022 05:14 PM
Graph showing a slow uptrend

Core PCE comes in much hotter than the Fed would like!

The Fed's favorite measure of inflation is more than double what they would like!

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November 24, 2021 04:52 PM
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Inflation, Inflation, Inflation

As inflation data continues to remain excessively high in the around the world, central banks are struggling to justify that a majority of the inflation is transitory

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October 29, 2021 03:58 PM

Week Ahead: US dollar in focus ahead of FOMC, NFP

For more than a week, the US dollar has risen sharply as US government bond yields have surged – with the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield briefly topping 3% – while geopolitical risk perceptions have tentatively waned.

The Week Ahead: Key Central Banks and US Jobs Data in Focus

The week ahead will be an exceptionally busy one in terms of key macroeconomic events and data releases. Most importantly, the US Federal Reserve, Bank of England, and Bank of Japan will be announcing their respective monetary policy decisions. These decisions will then be followed by the highly anticipated US jobs report at the end of the week.

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