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Mirroring last week’s shift at the Federal Reserve, the RBA has now shifted its future interest rate expectations into neutral.

One of the first things that new traders to the FX markets learn is that many currencies are correlated with other markets. For instance, the close relationship between oil and the Canadian dollar or certain metals and the Australian dollar are intuitive given the importance of exporting those commodities for the Canadian and Australian economies.

Of all the major currencies, the Australian dollar is perhaps the most sensitive to trends in global trade. The country’s commodity-centric economy and close ties with China mean that any slowdown in international business may be seen Down Under first.

This morning’s US session started much in the same way as some of the previous days this week: with US stock indices opening deeply in the red. After a bounce back yesterday, risk sentiment was hurt by disappointing earnings reports from tech giants Amazon and Alphabet, and by 11:00 ET (15:00 GMT), the widely-watched Dow Jones Industrial Average was...

As my colleague Fawad Razaqzada noted earlier today, the US dollar has caught a bid today after traders reevaluated yesterday’s FOMC meeting and deemed it moderately hawkish.

Two weeks ago, we noted that AUD/USD was testing a 20-month low on a “perfect storm” of bearish news. With trade and geopolitical tensions still running high, concerns about mortgage rates and metal prices remaining elevated, and bond yields continuing to fall, the fundamental outlook for the Australian economy is little changed.

As the final week of the month draws to a close, Aussie bulls are clearly licking their wounds. The Australian dollar has been the worst-performing over the month, week, and day so far as the currency faces a “perfect storm” of bearish developments...

The price action so far today is emblematic of a textbook “risk off” day: stocks are falling across the globe, oil is trading off by nearly 3%, bond yields are generally retreating, and the yen is the strongest performing major currency (though we would note that gold bugs still can’t seem to catch a break!).

“The trend is your friend” is one of the first market witticisms most new traders learn, with good reason: After all, buying pullbacks or breakouts in established uptrends and downtrends is the essence of many of the world’s most successful trading strategies.

Notwithstanding President Trump’s daily twitter condemnations (trade partners and the Federal Reserve drew his ire this morning), traders have started to look ahead to next week’s trade.

Amidst the second day of Fed Chairman Powell’s Humphrey-Hawkins testimony, disappointing UK inflation data, and a big rally in cryptoassets, the Australian dollar isn’t garnering too many headlines today....

Another day, another round of trade war tweets drawing the attention of traders.