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If Rates Have Peaked Then The Dollar Likely Has Too If Rates Have Peaked Then The Dollar Likely Has Too

Matt Simpson March 20, 2019 11:03 PM

TAGS: Central Banks, dollar, FOMC, forex, FX, Interest rates, MACD, monetary policy, US Dollar, USD, USD/CHF

Fed Recap: ‘Some’what Dovish Hike Not Enough for Stocks

Matt Weller, CFA, CMT December 19, 2018 3:06 PM

Heading into arguably the last major market event of 2018, traders felt they had a decent grasp on what the Federal Reserve would do.

TAGS: Fed, Fed Funds, Federal Reserve, Inflation, Interest rates, SPX, Stocks

USD/CAD Blasts Off to 18-Month Highs on BOC, OPEC on Tap

Matt Weller, CFA, CMT December 5, 2018 12:54 PM

Despite US stock and bond markets closed in honor of President George H. W. Bush’s passing, we’ve seen a surprising amount of volatility in the FX market.

TAGS: Bank of Canada, BOC, CAD, Canadian Dollar, Inflation, Interest rates, Technical Analysis

Powell’s “Just Below” Neutral Comment Blasts the Buck, Energizes Equities

Matt Weller, CFA, CMT November 28, 2018 1:15 PM

"We may go past neutral, but we're a long way from neutral at this point, probably." - Fed Chair Powell, 3 October “[Interest rates] remain just below the broad range of estimates of… neutral” -Fed Chair Powell, 28 November Oh, what a difference a month makes!

TAGS: Fed, Fed Funds, Federal Reserve, FOMC, Interest rates

FOMC Recap: 43 Days to Change 24 Words

Matt Weller, CFA, CMT November 8, 2018 2:33 PM

If you’re one of the many readers who did, you’re excused for forgetting about today’s Federal Reserve meeting. After all, the high political drama in Washington and London continues to draw plenty of headlines, it’s the first time we’ve seen an FOMC meeting conclude on a Thursday in three years, and the central bank was never going to make any chan...

TAGS: dollar, Dollar index, Fed, Fed Funds, Federal Reserve, FOMC, FOMC Statement, Interest rates

NFP Recap: Impressive Growth Continues, but Is the “Breakout” in Wages Legit?

Matt Weller, CFA, CMT November 2, 2018 9:16 AM

Much like we saw with the Bank of England meeting getting overshadowed by Brexit developments earlier this week, traditional market-moving economic releases are taking a back seat to geopolitical developments in the US as well.

TAGS: Fed, Fed Funds, Inflation, Interest rates, NFP, Non-farm payrolls

NFP Recap: Multigenerational Low in Unemployment Still Not Enough to Raise Wages

Matt Weller, CFA, CMT October 5, 2018 9:28 AM

As my colleague Fawad Razaqzada astutely highlighted in yesterday’s NFP Preview report, “wage growth has taken on increased importance than the actual jobs number given concerns about rising levels of inflation and in turn interest rates.” That dynamic is playing out in spades as traders digest today’s jobs report.

TAGS: Fed, Federal Reserve, Inflation, Interest rates, NFP, Non-farm payrolls

Powell Pontificates, but Pulls his Punches as Predicted

Matt Weller, CFA, CMT August 24, 2018 11:24 AM

In yesterday’s article, we highlighted the crosswinds impacting today’s speech by Fed Chairman Powell at the Jackson Hole Symposium, eventually concluding that, “Powell [should] maintain the same optimistic perspective he espoused at his Congressional testimony last month”

TAGS: Fed, Fed Funds, Federal Reserve, FOMC, Inflation, Interest rates

USD/JPY: Two tweaks the BOJ could make tonight

Matt Weller, CFA, CMT July 30, 2018 12:12 PM

As my colleague Fawad Razaqzada noted on Friday, this week promises to be an interesting one for FX traders, with the Bank of England, Bank of Japan, Federal Reserve all set to meet, in addition to the always-noteworthy monthly Non-Farm Payrolls report on Friday.

TAGS: Bank of Japan, BoJ, Inflation, Interest rates, USDJPY

BOE recap: Beaten-down GBP/USD grows hawkish wings

Matt Weller, CFA, CMT June 21, 2018 10:25 AM

As is often the case with central bank meetings in the era of communication-as-a-policy-tool, the Bank of England’s “decision” (read: no change) on interest rates was already telegraphed well in advance. But for the always forward-looking markets, there was still plenty to digest from this morning’s BOE statement.

TAGS: Bank of England, BOE, GBP, GBPUSD, Interest rates

FOMC recap: Hawkish statement and projections, hesitant Powell

Matt Weller, CFA, CMT June 13, 2018 3:15 PM

As we noted yesterday, the excitement around today’s FOMC meeting wasn’t about the interest rate decision itself: The Fed delivered its expected 25bps rate hike, bringing the benchmark rate to the 1.75-2.00% range, to little fanfare. Nonetheless, there was still plenty for traders to digest across the central bank’s monetary policy statement, summar...

TAGS: Fed, Fed Funds, Federal Reserve, FOMC, FOMC Statement, Inflation, Interest rates

FOMC meeting: Rate hike a “done deal” but what about inflation?

Matt Weller, CFA, CMT June 12, 2018 4:22 PM

The kickoff to the World Cup is less than 48 hours away, but before getting to that widely-watched celebration, traders will be tuning into a high-stakes performance of another kind: tomorrow’s Federal Reserve Meeting.

TAGS: Central Banks, dollar, Dollar index, Federal Reserve, FOMC, FOMC Statement, Inflation, Interest rates

USD/JPY extends breakdown on dovish Fed, heightened geopolitical tensions

James Chen, CMT May 24, 2018 2:57 PM

USD/JPY continued to breakdown on Thursday as the US dollar came under some pressure after Wednesday’s release of dovish-leaning minutes from the Federal Reserve’s last meeting, and the safe-haven Japanese yen received a boost on heightened geopolitical tensions.

TAGS: Central Banks, Fed, Federal Reserve, FOMC minutes, forex, Fundamental Analysis, FX, Inflation, Interest rates, Japanese yen, Technical Analysis, US Dollar, USD/JPY, USDJPY

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If Rates Have Peaked Then The Dollar Likely Has Too If Rates Have Peaked Then The Dollar Likely Has Too

Fed Recap: ‘Some’what Dovish Hike Not Enough for Stocks

USD/CAD Blasts Off to 18-Month Highs on BOC, OPEC on Tap

Powell’s “Just Below” Neutral Comment Blasts the Buck, Energizes Equities

FOMC Recap: 43 Days to Change 24 Words

NFP Recap: Impressive Growth Continues, but Is the “Breakout” in Wages Legit?

NFP Recap: Multigenerational Low in Unemployment Still Not Enough to Raise Wages

Powell Pontificates, but Pulls his Punches as Predicted

USD/JPY: Two tweaks the BOJ could make tonight

BOE recap: Beaten-down GBP/USD grows hawkish wings

FOMC recap: Hawkish statement and projections, hesitant Powell

FOMC meeting: Rate hike a “done deal” but what about inflation?

USD/JPY extends breakdown on dovish Fed, heightened geopolitical tensions

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