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NFP Recap: Mixed data highlights stellar job creation, weak wage growth, strong economy NFP Recap: Mixed data highlights stellar job creation, weak wage growth, strong economy

James Chen, CMT March 9, 2018 11:59 AM

TAGS: Average Hourly Earnings, Central Banks, Dollar index, DXY, Employment, Equtiies, Fed, Federal Reserve, forex, Fundamental Analysis, FX, Inflation, Interest rates, jobless claims, jobs report, Labor Market, NFP, Non-farm payrolls, unemployment, US Dollar, Wages

NFP Preview: US jobs report unlikely to boost beleaguered dollar

James Chen, CMT February 1, 2018 1:10 PM

The first official US jobs data for 2018, covering January, will be reported on Friday morning by the US Department of Labor. Consensus expectations are pointing to an anticipated improvement in non-farm payrolls (NFP) over December’s disappointing outcome. Around 180,000 non-farm jobs are expected to have been added to the US economy in January fol...

TAGS: Central Banks, Dollar index, Employment, EUR/USD, Fed, Federal Reserve, FOMC, forex, Fundamental Analysis, FX, Interest rates, jobless claims, jobs report, Labor Market, NFP, Non-farm payrolls, unemployment, US Dollar, Wages

NFP Preview: Could a strong US jobs report help boost the struggling dollar?

James Chen, CMT January 4, 2018 1:32 PM

The official US jobs data for December will be reported on Friday morning by the US Department of Labor, and consensus expectations are pointing to a likely continuation of the strong job creation that prevailed through much of last year (September weather disruptions notwithstanding).

TAGS: Average Hourly Earnings, Central Banks, Fed, Federal Reserve, FOMC minutes, forex, Fundamental Analysis, FX, Interest rates, jobless claims, jobs report, Labor Market, NFP, Non-farm payrolls, unemployment, US Dollar, Wages

NFP Preview: Will November US jobs data extend the dollar rebound?

James Chen, CMT December 7, 2017 1:00 PM

The official US jobs data for November will be reported on Friday morning by the US Department of Labor, and consensus expectations are pointing to a likely continuation of the strong job creation that has prevailed through much of the year.

TAGS: Average Hourly Earnings, Central Banks, Employment, Fed, Federal Reserve, FOMC Statement, forex, Fundamental Analysis, FX, Interest rates, jobless claims, jobs report, Labor Market, NFP, Non-farm payrolls, US Dollar

The Week Ahead: Inflation, Jobs, and US Tax Reform

James Chen, CMT November 10, 2017 12:23 PM

Moving forward into the week ahead, US tax reform will continue to be a major market variable, especially with respect to US equities and the US dollar.

TAGS: Central Banks, Fed, Federal Reserve, forex, Fundamental Analysis, FX, Inflation, Interest rates, jobless claims, jobs report, US Dollar

NFP Recap: US jobs miss but revisions redeem

James Chen, CMT November 3, 2017 10:33 AM

As it turns out, “only” 261,000 jobs were created in the month following September’s weather-related job disruptions, falling well below consensus estimates of around 310,000 and slightly below our target range of 270,000-300,000.

TAGS: Average Hourly Earnings, Dollar index, Employment, Fed, Federal Reserve, forex, Fundamental Analysis, FX, jobless claims, jobs report, NFP, Non-farm payrolls, US Dollar

NFP Preview: Will October jobs data bounce back as sharply as expected?

James Chen, CMT November 2, 2017 12:52 PM

On Friday, the official US jobs data for October will be reported, and expectations for a sharp bounce-back from September’s weather-related negative reading are high.

TAGS: Average Hourly Earnings, Central Banks, Fed, Federal Reserve, FOMC Statement, forex, Fundamental Analysis, FX, Interest rates, jobless claims, jobs report, Labor Market, NFP, Non-farm payrolls, unemployment, US Dollar, Wages

NFP Preview: Could US jobs data finally spark a dollar rebound?

James Chen, CMT August 3, 2017 1:03 PM

The US dollar has clearly been heavily pressured throughout most of this year, and the pressure has shown very few signs of relenting. The sharp downward trend that has developed through the first seven months of the year has partly been driven by a cumulative realization that the Trump Administration’s pro-growth promises may not be as readily achi...

TAGS: Average Hourly Earnings, Central Banks, Employment, Fed, Federal Reserve, forex, Fundamental Analysis, FX, Interest rates, jobless claims, jobs report, NFP, Non-farm payrolls, Technical Analysis, unemployment, US Dollar

NFP Preview: Another strong jobs report should clinch a June rate hike and boost USD

James Chen, CMT June 1, 2017 12:32 PM

As of Thursday morning, less than a day before Friday’s pivotal US non-farm payrolls (NFP) jobs report, futures markets (according to the CME Group’s FedWatch) are pricing-in more than a 95% likelihood of another 25-basis-point interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve during its mid-June meeting. This extremely high market-viewed probability has be...

TAGS: Average Hourly Earnings, Central Banks, dollar, Employment, Fed, Federal Reserve, FOMC, forex, Fundamental Analysis, FX, Interest rates, jobless claims, jobs report, Labor Market, NFP, Non-farm payrolls, unemployment, US Dollar

NFP Preview: Potential redemption for US jobs in April after disappointing March data

James Chen, CMT May 4, 2017 1:42 PM

In the May FOMC statement released on Wednesday, the Fed stated that "job gains were solid, on average, in recent months." This was a departure from the statement issued after the last FOMC meeting in March, which simply asserted that “job gains remained solid.” This subtle change in wording was a delicate nod to the highly disappointing employment ...

TAGS: Central Banks, dollar, Employment, Fed, Federal Reserve, FOMC, forex, Fundamental Analysis, FX, jobless claims, jobs report, monetary policy, NFP, Non-farm payrolls, US Dollar, USD, Wages

NFP Preview: US jobs report likely a mere formality before March rate hike

James Chen, CMT March 9, 2017 1:34 PM

The US jobs report for February is set to be released on Friday morning, just a few days before the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meets and announces its interest rate decision next Wednesday. Unlike previous jobs reports, this Friday’s non-farm payrolls (NFP) data should serve as little more than a mere formality before the Fed very likely i...

TAGS: Central Banks, dollar, Employment, Fed, Federal Reserve, FOMC, Fundamental Analysis, Gold, Interest rates, jobless claims, jobs report, NFP, Non-farm payrolls, US Dollar

Brexit, what Brexit? UK data continues to confound expectations

Fawad Razaqzada August 17, 2016 5:28 AM

After the surprisingly strong UK inflation figures on Tuesday, the jobs and wages data released today confounded expectations once again, albeit to a lesser degree.

TAGS: Bank of England, BOE, EURGBP, Fawad Razaqzada, forex, Fundamental Analysis, FX, GBP/USD, GBPUSD, Inflation, jobless claims, jobs, jobs report, Technical Analysis, UK, unemployment, Wages

USD/CHF: Why parity may prove to be a near-term top

Matt Weller, CFA, CMT February 18, 2016 10:00 AM

US traders are off to the races once again, and just like every other day this week, there’s a risk-on tone to early trade. Today’s bullish catalyst for risk-on data was some good old-fashioned solid economic data.

TAGS: EUR/USD, Fundamental Analysis, FX, jobless claims, MACD, Matt Weller, Parity, RSI, Technical Analysis, USD/CHF

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NFP Recap: Mixed data highlights stellar job creation, weak wage growth, strong economy NFP Recap: Mixed data highlights stellar job creation, weak wage growth, strong economy

NFP Preview: US jobs report unlikely to boost beleaguered dollar

NFP Preview: Could a strong US jobs report help boost the struggling dollar?

NFP Preview: Will November US jobs data extend the dollar rebound?

The Week Ahead: Inflation, Jobs, and US Tax Reform

NFP Recap: US jobs miss but revisions redeem

NFP Preview: Will October jobs data bounce back as sharply as expected?

NFP Preview: Could US jobs data finally spark a dollar rebound?

NFP Preview: Another strong jobs report should clinch a June rate hike and boost USD

NFP Preview: Potential redemption for US jobs in April after disappointing March data

NFP Preview: US jobs report likely a mere formality before March rate hike

Brexit, what Brexit? UK data continues to confound expectations

USD/CHF: Why parity may prove to be a near-term top

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