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USA! USA! USA! Dollar Index and S&P 500 Test Highs as Traders Pile into US Assets USA! USA! USA! Dollar Index and S&P 500 Test Highs as Traders Pile into US Assets

Matt Weller, CFA, CMT April 23, 2019 1:01 PM

TAGS: dollar, Dollar index, DXY, S&P 500, SPX, Stock Index, Stock Market, Stocks

S&P 500 Bull Market Given a Clean “Bill of Health” by 2019 Sector Performance

Matt Weller, CFA, CMT April 19, 2019 9:49 AM

Roughly four months after the Christmas swoon in US stocks, sector rotation suggests the bull market is alive and well.

TAGS: S&P 500, Stock Index, Stock Market, Stocks

Weekly COT Report - 2nd April 2019

Matt Simpson April 1, 2019 9:59 PM

A summary of the weekly Commitment of Traders Report (COT) from CFTC to show market positioning among large speculators.

TAGS: AUD, CAD, EUR, forex, FX, S&P, S&P 500

Is Sentiment About To Crack?

Matt Simpson March 13, 2019 5:26 AM

With US treasury yields starting to turn lower, just as the S&P500 hesitate at critical highs, we take a look at the bigger picture to see if sentiment could be about to turn for the worst.

TAGS: Bonds, Equtiies, Risk aversion, Risk Sentiment, S&P 500, SPX, Stock Index, Treasuries, Yields

S&P 500: Buy the Rumor, Sell the News on a US-China Trade Deal?

Matt Weller, CFA, CMT March 6, 2019 8:21 AM

Despite a busy economic calendar in the US this week, including yesterday’s decent ISM Non-Manufacturing report, today’s ADP employment report, and Friday’s always impactful Non-Farm Payrolls release, US-China trade developments remain the dominant driver for US stocks.

TAGS: China, S&P 500, Trade, US

S&P 500 Probing 4-Month High Above 2800 on US-China Trade Optimism

Matt Weller, CFA, CMT February 25, 2019 12:09 PM

After two weeks of constructive trade talks on both sides of the Pacific, we suggested that traders were “expecting the increase in tariffs will be delayed…with some sort of agreement following in either late March or early April.” On Sunday night, President Trump confirmed that he would be delaying the tariff escalation and planning another summit ...

TAGS: China, S&P 500, Stock Index, Stocks, Trade

Signs of a Thaw in US Government Shutdown Negotiations Ahead of a Busy Week for US Stocks?

Matt Weller, CFA, CMT January 25, 2019 10:37 AM

When yesterday’s dueling Democratic and Republican proposals to open the government both failed to garner nearly enough votes in the Senate, it assured that 800,000 government employees would go a whole month without receiving a paycheck. However, it’s often said that “the night is darkest just before the dawn,” and there are some signs that yesterd...

TAGS: Earnings season, S&P 500, SPX, Stock Index, Stock Market, Stocks, Technical Analysis

S&P 500 Breaks Bearish Wedge, Traders Monitoring Earnings and Shutdown Shenanigans

Matt Weller, CFA, CMT January 22, 2019 1:11 PM

US stock markets were closed yesterday in remembrance of Dr. Martin Luther King, and given the headwinds the world economy faces, perhaps policymakers could benefit from his overriding message of inclusion and cooperation.

TAGS: earnings, Earnings season, S&P 500, SPX, Stock Index, Stock Market, Stocks

Two Key Ways the Dollar Drives US Stock Market Performance

Matt Weller, CFA, CMT January 17, 2019 11:09 AM

In complex adaptive systems like modern financial markets, a change the price of any one market has a spillover effect into other markets. One of the best understood and most straightforward of these intermarket relationships is the impact of the US dollar on US stocks. In short, a strong dollar tends to boost the performance of domestic stocks at t...

TAGS: S&P 500, SPX, US Dollar, USD

AUD/JPY: The FX-Stock Market Correlation Play

Matt Weller, CFA, CMT January 15, 2019 3:09 PM

One of the first things that new traders to the FX markets learn is that many currencies are correlated with other markets. For instance, the close relationship between oil and the Canadian dollar or certain metals and the Australian dollar are intuitive given the importance of exporting those commodities for the Canadian and Australian economies.

TAGS: AUD, AUD/JPY, AUDJPY, Australian dollar, Japanese yen, JPY, S&P 500, SPX, Stock Index, Stock Market, Stocks

FOMC Minutes: Did Markets Misread Powell’s Post-Fed Comments?

Matt Weller, CFA, CMT January 9, 2019 2:28 PM

The minutes from each Federal Reserve meeting are released three weeks after the meeting itself, meaning that they’re generally stale under the best of circumstances...

TAGS: Central Banks, Fed, Federal Reserve, FOMC, FOMC minutes, Matt Weller, S&P, S&P 500, Stock Index, Stock Market, Stocks

S&P 500: So Much for a Santa Rally!

Matt Weller, CFA, CMT December 20, 2018 2:32 PM

The last few months have been hard on stock market bulls, to put it lightly...

TAGS: earnings, Earnings season, S&P 500, SPX, Stock Index, Stock Market, Stocks, Trade

S&P 500: Fears Over “Peak Growth” Abound

Matt Weller, CFA, CMT November 15, 2018 12:17 PM

Brexit developments continue to draw all the headlines, with my colleague Fawad Razaqzada characterizing today’s cabinet resignations as a disaster for PM May. While the updates from the UK continue to come in hot and heavy, we’re aware that some readers may be suffering from “Brexit fatigue”; thankfully, there are plenty of other market opportuniti...

TAGS: earnings, Earnings season, S&P 500, SPX, Stock Index, Stock Market, Stocks

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USA! USA! USA! Dollar Index and S&P 500 Test Highs as Traders Pile into US Assets USA! USA! USA! Dollar Index and S&P 500 Test Highs as Traders Pile into US Assets

S&P 500 Bull Market Given a Clean “Bill of Health” by 2019 Sector Performance

Weekly COT Report - 2nd April 2019

Is Sentiment About To Crack?

S&P 500: Buy the Rumor, Sell the News on a US-China Trade Deal?

S&P 500 Probing 4-Month High Above 2800 on US-China Trade Optimism

Signs of a Thaw in US Government Shutdown Negotiations Ahead of a Busy Week for US Stocks?

S&P 500 Breaks Bearish Wedge, Traders Monitoring Earnings and Shutdown Shenanigans

Two Key Ways the Dollar Drives US Stock Market Performance

AUD/JPY: The FX-Stock Market Correlation Play

FOMC Minutes: Did Markets Misread Powell’s Post-Fed Comments?

S&P 500: So Much for a Santa Rally!

S&P 500: Fears Over “Peak Growth” Abound

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