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If Rates Have Peaked Then The Dollar Likely Has Too If Rates Have Peaked Then The Dollar Likely Has Too

Matt Simpson March 20, 2019 11:03 PM

TAGS: Central Banks, dollar, FOMC, forex, FX, Interest rates, MACD, monetary policy, US Dollar, USD, USD/CHF

USD/CHF Nearing a Make-or-Break Test of Resistance

Matt Weller, CFA, CMT February 12, 2019 10:34 AM

If you had checked USD/CHF’s exchange rate at Friday’s close and a mere 30 minutes after Monday’s open, you wouldn’t think anything was amiss…at least if you didn’t have any stop losses within 100 pips!

TAGS: Technical Analysis, US Dollar, USD, USD/CHF, USDCHF

USD/CHF: False Break to 17-Month Highs or a Mere Hesitation?

Matt Weller, CFA, CMT November 1, 2018 12:29 PM

As you might expect from the undeniably “risk-off” tone throughout the month of October, the “safe haven” Japanese yen was last month’s best-performing major currency. The big surprise, however, came from a different safe haven currency; the Swiss franc was the weakest major on the month, edging out the euro.

TAGS: NFP, Non-farm payrolls, Technical Analysis, USD/CHF, USDCHF

Is USD/CHF’s Big Rally Stalling Below Parity?

Matt Weller, CFA, CMT October 23, 2018 2:31 PM

It’s been another rough day for global stock investors (see my colleague Fawad Razaqzada’s note “Global stocks extend decline as Chinese markets resume slide” for more), so it’s not surprising that the safe haven Japanese yen is once again at the top of the FX relative performance charts. What is interesting is the price action in the US dollar, whi...

TAGS: Fed, Fed Funds, Federal Reserve, FOMC, SNB, Technical Analysis, USD/CHF, USDCHF

USD/CHF Oscillating Around 0.9700 Ahead of Next Week’s SNB Meeting

Matt Weller, CFA, CMT September 14, 2018 2:20 PM

Political headlines and trade fears are dominating the headlines in today’s North American session, leading to a slight risk-off tone despite a positive open for risk assets. As a result, we’ve seen the US dollar, Japanese yen, and Swiss franc ascend to become the strongest major currencies on the day after bringing up the rear through the first fou...

TAGS: SNB, Swiss Franc, Swissy, USD/CHF, USDCHF

USD/CHF: Crowded Longs Scrambling to Abandon Ship?

Matt Weller, CFA, CMT August 28, 2018 1:19 PM

A full six weeks ago, we highlighted how the combination of a bearish candlestick formation and a clear divergence in the RSI indicator suggested that USD/CHF could be topping (see “USD/CHF: Potential bearish reversal forming at 14-month highs” for more).

TAGS: Technical Analysis, USD, USD/CHF, USDCHF

USD/CHF: Potential bearish reversal forming at 14-month highs

Matt Weller, CFA, CMT July 13, 2018 12:04 PM

If you were just to look at the where the major currencies are trading relative to yesterday’s US close, you’d think it’s been a pretty quiet day; after all, none of the majors are trading more than 0.3% from the day’s open as of writing.

TAGS: Swiss Franc, Swissy, Technical Analysis, USD/CHF

USD/CHF one to watch amid heightened trade war fears, SNB decision

James Chen, CMT March 14, 2018 2:20 PM

Both the US dollar and US equity markets attempted to bounce on Wednesday after consecutive down days, but were unable to fully buck the pressures imposed largely by fears of an impending global trade war.

TAGS: forex, Fundamental Analysis, FX, Inflation, Interest rates, SNB, Swiss Franc, Technical Analysis, US Dollar, USD/CHF, USDCHF

USD/CHF pulls back from key breakout level

James Chen, CMT May 11, 2017 2:03 PM

The US dollar pulled back on Thursday after having rallied strongly for the first half of the week. Prior to this pullback, the dollar had been boosted sharply this week by rebounding US economic data and a corresponding rise in expectations for a June interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve.

TAGS: Central Banks, CPI, dollar, Fed, Federal Reserve, forex, Fundamental Analysis, FX, SNB, Swiss Franc, Technical Analysis, US Dollar, USD/CHF

Technical breakdown extends bearish pressure on dollar

James Chen, CMT March 21, 2017 2:58 PM

While the Fed currently still stands as the only major central bank in steady tightening mode, speculation that this may change in the not-too-distant future has weighed heavily on the dollar. This speculation is reflected in the technicals for several different currency pairs, which are showing clear dollar breakdowns.

TAGS: Bank of England, BOE, Central Banks, dollar, ECB, European Central Bank, Fed, Federal Reserve, FOMC, Fundamental Analysis, Interest rates, monetary policy, Technical Analysis, US Dollar, USD/CHF

USD/CHF extends fall below parity after Fed, SNB

James Chen, CMT March 16, 2017 12:56 PM

USD/CHF broke down sharply below a rising trend channel and returned to parity (1.0000) on Wednesday. This occurred after the US Federal Reserve raised interest rates by a quarter point to 0.75-1.00% but issued an unexpectedly dovish outlook, which led to a steep plunge for the US dollar.

TAGS: Central Banks, dollar, Fed, Fed Funds, Federal Reserve, FOMC, forex, Fundamental Analysis, Interest rates, Negative Interest Rates, Swiss Franc, Technical Analysis, US Dollar, USD/CHF

Dollar remains in limbo as Fed uncertainty persists

James Chen, CMT February 16, 2017 2:03 PM

Fed Chair Janet Yellen’s testimony before both chambers of Congress on Tuesday/Wednesday appeared to strike a slightly more hawkish tone, as Yellen stated that it would be “unwise” to delay raising interest rates further.

TAGS: Central Banks, dollar, Fed, Fed Funds, Federal Reserve, forex, Fundamental Analysis, Interest rates, Swiss Franc, Technical Analysis, US Dollar, USD/CHF

USD/CHF pressured further under parity

James Chen, CMT February 8, 2017 1:47 PM

USD/CHF tested and then turned back down from parity (1.0000) on Wednesday as the US dollar continued to be weighed down.

TAGS: Average Hourly Earnings, Central Banks, dollar, Fed, Federal Reserve, Fundamental Analysis, Interest rates, Parity, Technical Analysis, US Dollar, USD/CHF

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If Rates Have Peaked Then The Dollar Likely Has Too If Rates Have Peaked Then The Dollar Likely Has Too

USD/CHF Nearing a Make-or-Break Test of Resistance

USD/CHF: False Break to 17-Month Highs or a Mere Hesitation?

Is USD/CHF’s Big Rally Stalling Below Parity?

USD/CHF Oscillating Around 0.9700 Ahead of Next Week’s SNB Meeting

USD/CHF: Crowded Longs Scrambling to Abandon Ship?

USD/CHF: Potential bearish reversal forming at 14-month highs

USD/CHF one to watch amid heightened trade war fears, SNB decision

USD/CHF pulls back from key breakout level

Technical breakdown extends bearish pressure on dollar

USD/CHF extends fall below parity after Fed, SNB

Dollar remains in limbo as Fed uncertainty persists

USD/CHF pressured further under parity

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