Friday May 15 FX market update - GBP/USD in focus
The US Dollar was bullish against most of its major pairs on Friday with the exception of the CHF and EUR. On the economic data front, Retail Sales dropped 16.4% on month in April (-12% expected), from a revised -8.3% in March, marking a record low. Empire Manufacturing rose to -48.5 on month in May (-60.0 expected), from -78.2 in April. Industrial Production fell 11.2% on month in April (-12.0% expected), from a revised -4.5% in March, marking an all-time low. The University of Michigan's Consumer Sentiment Index increased to 73.7 on month for the May preliminary reading (68.0 expected), from 71.8 in the April final reading. On Monday, no major economic data is expected.
The Euro was bullish against all of its major pairs. In Europe, the European Commission has reported 1Q GDP at -3.8% (vs +0.1% the previous quarter). The German Federal Statistical Office has posted 1Q GDP at -2.2% (as expected). France's INSEE has released final readings of April CPI at +0.3% (vs +0.4% on year expected).
The Australian dollar was bearish against most of its major pairs with the exception of the NZD and GBP.
The GBP/USD dropped 119pips on Friday. Prices remain a bearish trend channel. As long as 1.2175 is not breached to the upside we anticipate a continuation of the trend lower towards support found around the 1.208 and 1.204 price levels.
Source: GAIN Capital, TradingView
Disclaimer: The information on this web site is not targeted at the general public of any particular country. It is not intended for distribution to residents in any country where such distribution or use would contravene any local law or regulatory requirement. The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient. Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warranty that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.
Futures, Options on Futures, Foreign Exchange and other leveraged products involves significant risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Losses can exceed your deposits. Increasing leverage increases risk. Spot Gold and Silver contracts are not subject to regulation under the U.S. Commodity Exchange Act. Contracts for Difference (CFDs) are not available for US residents. Before deciding to trade forex and commodity futures, you should carefully consider your financial objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained herein is intended as general information about the subject matter covered and is provided with the understanding that we do not provide any investment, legal, or tax advice. You should consult with appropriate counsel or other advisors on all investment, legal, or tax matters. References to Forex.com or GAIN Capital refer to GAIN Capital Holdings Inc. and its subsidiaries. Please read Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options.