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AU employment miss adds to the Aussie's woes
A weak lead form Wall Street weighed on the Aussie overnight, with today’s employment miss adding to its downside pressure.
Not for the first time, the BOJ spite the hype
There were high expectations from the BOJ at today’s meeting, yet what they delivered was a nothing burger. That is classic BOJ!
The yen continues to rise as traders bet on BOJ policy shift
The yen was the strongest currency overnight as traders reacted to weak manufacturing PMI data over the weekend, and the potential for the BOJ to adjust their policy.
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Australian inflation fell… but just ‘weight’ a minute
Whilst Australia’s final inflation print for the year remains high by historical standards, it was much lower than expected at 6.9% y/y
AUD/JPY and NZD/JPY looking good for longs!
AUD/JPY and NZD/JPY formed bullish engulfing candles today, trading to their highest levels since 2015.
Could a 50-bps Fed hike (inadvertently) weigh on sentiment? AUD/JPY
As daunting as a 75-bps hike may seem, it could be argued that if they didn’t hike so aggressively today then they’re still not doing enough to fight inflation.
RBOB Gasoline Futures have strong positive correlation with AUD/JPY!
if one does not have access to RBOB, a highly correlated yen pair is another option for traders
The RBA opt for a nifty 50, USD/JPY breaks 132
The RBA didn’t hold back and opted for a 50-bps hike at today’s meeting, which is a first since February 2000.
Futures point higher, AUD/JPY probes key resistance
European index futures have opened higher, suggesting sentiment remains buoyant after Friday’s rally. And that could bode well for a potential breakout on AUD/JPY.
Soured sentiment keeps AUD/JPY on the ropes
Concerns that the US is headed for stagflation weighed on sentiment yesterday, which has placed AUD/JPY back onto our bearish watchlist.
Keep an eye on AUD/JPY with sentiment on the back ropes
It was a volatile session for investors overnight which saw US indices trade sharply lower, with AUD/JPY showing the potential for a swing high.
The yen, FX intervention and the BOJ’s yield curve control
The yen has been a key focal point for momentum traders during its sharp depreciation, to the extent it could risk a BOJ intervention or cancellation of their YCC target.
IMF slash global growth forecasts, gold enters correction
Citing Western sanction on Russia and ‘higher for longer inflation”, the IMF cut global growth by -0.8 percentage points for 2022.
Germany reconsider Russian oil embargo
Germany’s defence minister called for fresh discussions with the EU on banning Russian gas imports.
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1:33 PM − 04 Feb 2023
Powell on board with a March hike, AUD/JPY taps YTD high
The Fed Chair told the House Financial Services Committee overnight he is on board with a 25 bps hike in two weeks.
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Yikes for hikes if the Fed move faster than expected
What began as ‘just another ripper inflation print’ quickly turned into panic of an emergency hike from the Fed. But just how realistic is that?
S&P 500 risk-on means higher levels for yen pairs!
Will yen pairs move higher if stocks continue to move higher? Based on the daily correlation between the S&P 500 and yen pairs, it seems likely!
Risk-off returns as Moderna CEO makes glum prediction
An article in the Financial Times triggered a fresh round of selling before the European open, as Moderna’s CEO predicts vaccines will be less effective.
Asian Open: Fed Chair Announcement Pushed Back
Whilst Joe Biden did not announce his decision for the Fed Chair “within four days”, a Whitehouse spokesman says it will be announced before Thanksgiving on Thursday.