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RBNZ could hike by 50bp on Wednesday (but don’t discount a 75bp hike)
Whilst economists and market pricing favour a 50bp RBNZ hike on Wednesday, the potential for a 75bp hike is real.
The Aussie dollar gets stunned as unemployment hits an 8-month high
December’s employment report raised a few eyebrows, as it was the first in a while to miss expectations and prompted us to question whether cracks were appearing in the economy. January’s report suggests there are.
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Australia’s retail snails weigh on December's trade figures (again)
Australia’s retail sales were down a lot more than expected in December, suggesting much of the hype had died over the Black Friday Sales and Cyber Sales Monday in November.
AU inflation – a report to match Australia’s (hot) weather
There’s no escaping the fact that Australian inflation continues to point the wrong way for the RBA and consumers alike. And today’s report should quickly eradicate hopes of an RBA pause in February.
Australia data provides AUD/NZD pump
If AUD/NZD can break above the top of its current flag pattern, it may be on its way to the flag target above 1.1000.
AUD/NZD breakout?
As long as AUD/NZD is below 1.0860 (the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level) the bounce is shallow.
RBA hike rates by 25bp, more hikes to follow
The RBA used the last meeting of the year to hike interest rates by another 25bp – its eighth hike in as many meetings.
The Consensus Calls for the RBNZ to hike by 75bp tomorrow
If the RBNZ hike by 75bp tomorrow in line with the consensus, it will be their first hike of this magnitude on record.
“Less Hawkish” RBA weighs on AUD/NZD
With the RBA only hiking rates by 25bps at each of the last two meetings, the RBNZ is the more hawkish of the two central banks.
Australian inflation is the latest ‘hot beat’ on the dancefloor
Economic data beats are usually a good thing, unless it is in the guise of much higher than expected (and already elevated) inflation.
Australian inflation is the latest ‘hot beat’ on the dancefloor
Economic data beats are usually a good thing, unless it is in the guise of much higher than expected (and already elevated) inflation.
New Zealand’s inflation came in much hotter than expected [hoped]
Talk of peak inflation was short-lived following release of Q3 inflation for New Zealand, with the annual rate sticking near its highs and the quarterly rate accelerating.
New Zealand’s inflation came in much hotter than expected [hoped]
Talk of peak inflation was short-lived following release of Q3 inflation for New Zealand, with the annual rate sticking near its highs and the quarterly rate accelerating.
The RBNZ hiked by 50bp – but a 75bp hike was considered
The RBNZ hiked for an eight consecutive meeting to take interest rates to 3.5%.
The RBNZ hiked by 50bp – but a 75bp hike was considered
The RBNZ hiked for an eight consecutive meeting to take interest rates to 3.5%.
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WTI off lows but remains under pressure - #WTIUSD chart on @TradingView https://t.co/TxDVZNiZDz
4:34 PM − 24 Mar 2023
NZ business sentiment is less dire, RBNZ hint at rate cycle high
Business sentiment is not as pessimistic as it recently was, and RBNZ governor Orr described the central bank’s tightening cycle as ‘very mature’.
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Antipodean double header next test for AUDNZD
With the dust still settling on last night’s red-hot U.S inflation data, attention locally will turn to an Antipodean doubleheader tomorrow in the shape of Q2 NZ GDP and the Australian August labour force report.
Is the Kiwi ready to outperform the Aussie? AUD/NZD
Though the RBA hiked rates 50bps, it also served up a less hawkish statement than expected at its August meeting, causing Aussie to come off.
Thumping AU jobs report supports further gains for AUDNZD
Good news today for the Australian economy as the employment report for June stunned with across-the-board strength.
AU Q1 2022 GDP beats forecasts and frames further gains for AUDNZD
As the release of the final partials yesterday warned, Australian Q1 2022 Australian GDP has beaten expectations, rising by a solid 0.8% QoQ and 3.3% YoY, despite the impact of Omicron and the devastating rains and floods that hit the East Coast.
AUD/NZD technical breakout on RBA rate hike
The RBA’s surprise hike caught AUD/NZD traders with their guard down. As a result, the pair traded to its highest level since August 2018.
Asian Open: Equities rally on peace talks, NZ business outlook up next
European and US indices were broadly higher as peace talks moved in the right direction. Today we’re watching AUD/NZD for today’s NZ Business Outlook report.