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AU employment miss adds to the Aussie's woes
A weak lead form Wall Street weighed on the Aussie overnight, with today’s employment miss adding to its downside pressure.
Australian business sentiment stalls, consumer sentiment falls
Business confidence came to a standstill according to a monthly NAB (National Australian Bank) survey, whilst consumer confidence is its lowest since the pandemic.
European Open: AUD weakest major post-RBA, FTSE set to bounce?
AUD traders were caught off guard with a smaller than expected rate hike by the RBA, sending AUD lower. The FTSE shows the potential to bounce form key support.
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European Open: AUD weakest major post-RBA, FTSE set to bounce?
AUD traders were caught off guard with a smaller than expected rate hike by the RBA, sending AUD lower. The FTSE shows the potential to bounce form key support.
The RBA hikes by 25pb – not the 50bp expected, AUD bears return
The RBA delivered their sixth consecutive hike today, although at a slower pace than the consensus had pencilled in.
The RBA hikes by 25pb – not the 50bp expected, AUD bears return
The RBA delivered their sixth consecutive hike today, although at a slower pace than the consensus had pencilled in.
Thumping AU jobs report supports further gains for AUDNZD
Good news today for the Australian economy as the employment report for June stunned with across-the-board strength.
AUD traders ‘sold the fact’ as RBA hiked by 50-bps as expected
The Australian dollar was promptly sold off on the confirmation that the RBA hikes rates by 50-bps, as traders seemingly bought the rumour and sold the fact.
The RBA opt for a nifty 50, USD/JPY breaks 132
The RBA didn’t hold back and opted for a 50-bps hike at today’s meeting, which is a first since February 2000.
Futures traders load up on AUD longs (despite falling prices)
With prices falling whilst futures traders increase their bullish exposure to the Australian dollar, we’re keen to see if it can hold above 0.73 and form a countertrend bounce.
Weekly COT report: Fastest pace of AUD short covering since March 2020
Last week, AUD shorts were culled at their fastest pace since March 2020, when eye watering levels of stimulus was rolled out at their height of the pandemic.
Weekly COT report: Managed funds most bullish on gold in 3-months
Bullish exposure continues to fall for the US dollar despite the Fed on the cusp of beginning their rate-hike cycle.
Weekly COT report: Net-long exposure to gold fell sharply last week
Given the lacklustre bounce on gold alongside a rise in short bets and closure of longs last week, we retain the view that its recent bounce is corrective.
Asian Open: Flash PMI’s in focus, AUD probes trend support
Flash PMI data is released across Asia, Europe and the US. And on the back of last week’s risk-off week then markets may be more sensitive to soft data should it disappoint.
Weekly COT Report: Bearish exposure to AUD hits a new record
AT -91.5k contracts net-short, it is the most aggressively bearish exposure on AUD futures by large speculators on record.
AU Q3 GDP beat boosts the AUDUSD
Australian Q3 GDP fell by -1.9%, significantly beating market expectations for a -2.7% fall. The fall is the first quarter of negative growth since the 6.8% fall recorded in the June Quarter of 2020 and means the Australian economy is once again smaller than where it was pre the onset of the pandemic.
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1:33 PM − 04 Feb 2023
Weekly COT Report: Pound Shorts Intensify
Traders were their most bearish on British pound futures in 17-months, according to last week’s commitment of traders report.
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Asian Open: Fed Chair Announcement Pushed Back
Whilst Joe Biden did not announce his decision for the Fed Chair “within four days”, a Whitehouse spokesman says it will be announced before Thanksgiving on Thursday.
Weekly COT Report: AUD Bears Capitulate
A summary of the weekly Commitment of Traders Report (COT) from CFTC to show market positioning among large speculators.
RBA rebuke takes heat out of the AUDUSD rally
The release yesterday of the RBA meeting minutes for the October board meeting provided little in the way of new information.
AUDUSD reclaims all ground lost in September - What comes next?
U.S. stock markets closed higher overnight after lawmakers reached an agreement to extend the debt ceiling until December.
RBA taper creates turbulence for AUDUSD
As widely expected, at its monthly board meeting this afternoon, the RBA kept monetary policy on hold, including its targets of 10 basis points for the cash rate and the yield on the April 2024 Australian Government bond.
AU GDP beat fails to boost AUDUSD
A reprieve for the Australian economy today as Q2 GDP beat expectations as strength in household and government spending outweighed a drop in export volumes and a run down in inventories.