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Research

Australian business sentiment stalls, consumer sentiment falls

Business confidence came to a standstill according to a monthly NAB (National Australian Bank) survey, whilst consumer confidence is its lowest since the pandemic.

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European Open: AUD weakest major post-RBA, FTSE set to bounce?

AUD traders were caught off guard with a smaller than expected rate hike by the RBA, sending AUD lower. The FTSE shows the potential to bounce form key support.

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October 4, 2022 01:36 AM
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European Open: AUD weakest major post-RBA, FTSE set to bounce?

AUD traders were caught off guard with a smaller than expected rate hike by the RBA, sending AUD lower. The FTSE shows the potential to bounce form key support.

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October 4, 2022 01:36 AM

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The RBA hikes by 25pb – not the 50bp expected, AUD bears return

The RBA delivered their sixth consecutive hike today, although at a slower pace than the consensus had pencilled in.

Australian flag

The RBA hikes by 25pb – not the 50bp expected, AUD bears return

The RBA delivered their sixth consecutive hike today, although at a slower pace than the consensus had pencilled in.

Research

Thumping AU jobs report supports further gains for AUDNZD

Good news today for the Australian economy as the employment report for June stunned with across-the-board strength.

Research

AUD traders ‘sold the fact’ as RBA hiked by 50-bps as expected

The Australian dollar was promptly sold off on the confirmation that the RBA hikes rates by 50-bps, as traders seemingly bought the rumour and sold the fact.

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July 5, 2022 01:22 AM
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The RBA opt for a nifty 50, USD/JPY breaks 132

The RBA didn’t hold back and opted for a 50-bps hike at today’s meeting, which is a first since February 2000.

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June 7, 2022 01:48 AM
Research

Futures traders load up on AUD longs (despite falling prices)

With prices falling whilst futures traders increase their bullish exposure to the Australian dollar, we’re keen to see if it can hold above 0.73 and form a countertrend bounce.

Currency exchange rate board of multiple currencies

Weekly COT report: Fastest pace of AUD short covering since March 2020

Last week, AUD shorts were culled at their fastest pace since March 2020, when eye watering levels of stimulus was rolled out at their height of the pandemic.

Currency exchange rate board of multiple currencies

Weekly COT report: Managed funds most bullish on gold in 3-months

Bullish exposure continues to fall for the US dollar despite the Fed on the cusp of beginning their rate-hike cycle.

Currency exchange rate board of multiple currencies

Weekly COT report: Net-long exposure to gold fell sharply last week

Given the lacklustre bounce on gold alongside a rise in short bets and closure of longs last week, we retain the view that its recent bounce is corrective.

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Asian Open: Flash PMI’s in focus, AUD probes trend support

Flash PMI data is released across Asia, Europe and the US. And on the back of last week’s risk-off week then markets may be more sensitive to soft data should it disappoint.

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January 23, 2022 04:56 PM
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Weekly COT Report: Bearish exposure to AUD hits a new record

AT -91.5k contracts net-short, it is the most aggressively bearish exposure on AUD futures by large speculators on record.

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AU Q3 GDP beat boosts the AUDUSD

Australian Q3 GDP fell by -1.9%, significantly beating market expectations for a -2.7% fall. The fall is the first quarter of negative growth since the 6.8% fall recorded in the June Quarter of 2020 and means the Australian economy is once again smaller than where it was pre the onset of the pandemic.

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November 30, 2021 09:16 PM
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Weekly COT Report: Pound Shorts Intensify

Traders were their most bearish on British pound futures in 17-months, according to last week’s commitment of traders report.

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Asian Open: Fed Chair Announcement Pushed Back

Whilst Joe Biden did not announce his decision for the Fed Chair “within four days”, a Whitehouse spokesman says it will be announced before Thanksgiving on Thursday.

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Weekly COT Report: AUD Bears Capitulate

A summary of the weekly Commitment of Traders Report (COT) from CFTC to show market positioning among large speculators.

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October 24, 2021 08:51 PM
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RBA rebuke takes heat out of the AUDUSD rally

The release yesterday of the RBA meeting minutes for the October board meeting provided little in the way of new information.

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October 19, 2021 09:10 PM
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AUDUSD reclaims all ground lost in September - What comes next?

U.S. stock markets closed higher overnight after lawmakers reached an agreement to extend the debt ceiling until December.

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October 7, 2021 09:08 PM
Currency prices

RBA taper creates turbulence for AUDUSD

As widely expected, at its monthly board meeting this afternoon, the RBA kept monetary policy on hold, including its targets of 10 basis points for the cash rate and the yield on the April 2024 Australian Government bond.

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September 6, 2021 09:52 PM
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AU GDP beat fails to boost AUDUSD

A reprieve for the Australian economy today as Q2 GDP beat expectations as strength in household and government spending outweighed a drop in export volumes and a run down in inventories.

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August 31, 2021 07:45 PM
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Currency pair of the week: AUD/USD testing resistance ahead of key data releases

With major economic data releases out of both the US and Australia, FX traders will be keying in on AUD/USD as arguably the most important currency pair to watch this week...

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August 30, 2021 08:25 AM