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Thumping AU jobs report supports further gains for AUDNZD

Good news today for the Australian economy as the employment report for June stunned with across-the-board strength.


AUD traders ‘sold the fact’ as RBA hiked by 50-bps as expected

The Australian dollar was promptly sold off on the confirmation that the RBA hikes rates by 50-bps, as traders seemingly bought the rumour and sold the fact.

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July 5, 2022 01:22 AM
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The RBA opt for a nifty 50, USD/JPY breaks 132

The RBA didn’t hold back and opted for a 50-bps hike at today’s meeting, which is a first since February 2000.

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June 7, 2022 01:48 AM

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Futures traders load up on AUD longs (despite falling prices)

With prices falling whilst futures traders increase their bullish exposure to the Australian dollar, we’re keen to see if it can hold above 0.73 and form a countertrend bounce.

Currency exchange rate board of multiple currencies

Weekly COT report: Fastest pace of AUD short covering since March 2020

Last week, AUD shorts were culled at their fastest pace since March 2020, when eye watering levels of stimulus was rolled out at their height of the pandemic.

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Weekly COT report: Managed funds most bullish on gold in 3-months

Bullish exposure continues to fall for the US dollar despite the Fed on the cusp of beginning their rate-hike cycle.

Currency exchange rate board of multiple currencies

Weekly COT report: Net-long exposure to gold fell sharply last week

Given the lacklustre bounce on gold alongside a rise in short bets and closure of longs last week, we retain the view that its recent bounce is corrective.

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Asian Open: Flash PMI’s in focus, AUD probes trend support

Flash PMI data is released across Asia, Europe and the US. And on the back of last week’s risk-off week then markets may be more sensitive to soft data should it disappoint.

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January 23, 2022 04:56 PM
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Weekly COT Report: Bearish exposure to AUD hits a new record

AT -91.5k contracts net-short, it is the most aggressively bearish exposure on AUD futures by large speculators on record.

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AU Q3 GDP beat boosts the AUDUSD

Australian Q3 GDP fell by -1.9%, significantly beating market expectations for a -2.7% fall. The fall is the first quarter of negative growth since the 6.8% fall recorded in the June Quarter of 2020 and means the Australian economy is once again smaller than where it was pre the onset of the pandemic.

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November 30, 2021 09:16 PM
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Weekly COT Report: Pound Shorts Intensify

Traders were their most bearish on British pound futures in 17-months, according to last week’s commitment of traders report.

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Asian Open: Fed Chair Announcement Pushed Back

Whilst Joe Biden did not announce his decision for the Fed Chair “within four days”, a Whitehouse spokesman says it will be announced before Thanksgiving on Thursday.

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Weekly COT Report: AUD Bears Capitulate

A summary of the weekly Commitment of Traders Report (COT) from CFTC to show market positioning among large speculators.

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October 24, 2021 08:51 PM
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RBA rebuke takes heat out of the AUDUSD rally

The release yesterday of the RBA meeting minutes for the October board meeting provided little in the way of new information.

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October 19, 2021 09:10 PM
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AUDUSD reclaims all ground lost in September - What comes next?

U.S. stock markets closed higher overnight after lawmakers reached an agreement to extend the debt ceiling until December.

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October 7, 2021 09:08 PM
Currency prices

RBA taper creates turbulence for AUDUSD

As widely expected, at its monthly board meeting this afternoon, the RBA kept monetary policy on hold, including its targets of 10 basis points for the cash rate and the yield on the April 2024 Australian Government bond.

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September 6, 2021 09:52 PM
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AU GDP beat fails to boost AUDUSD

A reprieve for the Australian economy today as Q2 GDP beat expectations as strength in household and government spending outweighed a drop in export volumes and a run down in inventories.

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August 31, 2021 07:45 PM

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Currency pair of the week: AUD/USD testing resistance ahead of key data releases

With major economic data releases out of both the US and Australia, FX traders will be keying in on AUD/USD as arguably the most important currency pair to watch this week...

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August 30, 2021 08:25 AM
"Newspaper snippet of jobs board"

AU jobs beat unable to boost friendless AUDUSD

The Reserve Bank of Australia has consistently maintained it will not raise the cash rate away from its 0.10% emergency setting until inflation is sustainably between two and three percent.

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August 18, 2021 06:33 PM

Delta hinders plans for RBA to taper and highlights fragility of RBNZ tightening cycle

In another volatile session in Asia as the spread of delta variant intensifies across the region, the minutes from the RBA's August meeting outlined what might cause the RBA to reconsider its decision to taper its QE program.

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August 16, 2021 08:36 PM
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How the Russell 2000 brushed off events in China to set up a period of outperformance

The last day of the trading month is upon us, finishing off a busy week that included earnings from “Big Tech” stocks, important US economic updates, and a stomach-churning ~10% fall in Chinese stock indices.

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July 29, 2021 08:30 PM
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RBA back in the same boat as the FOMC, despite higher inflation

The RBA will be less concerned with inflation and more concerned with monetary stimulus

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July 28, 2021 12:49 PM
Gold nuggets

A tale of two metals, gold and copper

Six weeks have passed since the Feds hawkish shift at the June FOMC meeting that sent key metal prices spiralling lower. Copper has since recovered all of its lost ground and much more, while gold is trading -3.5% below its pre FOMC levels. In this article, we examine what comes next for gold and copper.

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July 26, 2021 10:52 PM