Australia 200
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Australian households played a classic spread trade in December
Household spending continues to rise in Australia but at a slower pace, as one would expect with aggressive rate hikes. But one pattern in particular jumps out from December’s data.
The RBA are expected to hike by 25bp tomorrow
Whilst money markets favour a 25bp hike tomorrow, we shouldn’t discount the potential for a 15bp or even a 50bp hike.
AU inflation – a report to match Australia’s (hot) weather
There’s no escaping the fact that Australian inflation continues to point the wrong way for the RBA and consumers alike. And today’s report should quickly eradicate hopes of an RBA pause in February.
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ASX200 Afternoon Report July 26th 2022
The ASX200 trades 22 points higher at 6812 at 2.55 pm Sydney time, ahead of tomorrow's release of earnings from Microsoft and Alphabet as well as Australian Q2 inflation data.
Keep an eye on AUD/JPY with sentiment on the back ropes
It was a volatile session for investors overnight which saw US indices trade sharply lower, with AUD/JPY showing the potential for a swing high.
Tech stocks leads Wall Street lower, Gold reclaims 1900
The Nasdaq fell nearly -4% yesterday during its worst session since September 2020, yet gold held key support and reclaimed the 1900 handle (just).
Gold falls below $1900 as DXY rallies to a 25-month high
It was another rough day for commodities and commodity currencies which buckled under the pressure of a strong dollar, due to global growth concerns and a hawkish Fed.
Asian Open: The Fed’s Bullard calls for rates to be at 3.5% by year end
The US dollar was broadly higher overnight as the Fed’s Bullard laid out a path for 50-bos hikes at each remaining Fed meeting this year.
DXY rallies for a 6th day (rare), potential bull flag on GBP/AUD
It’s been a decent week for the dollar, but there is the potential for mean reversion as we head towards the weekend with 100 resistance looming.
AUD/USD probes the October higher ahead of RBA
Whether RBA will surprise us with a vaguely interesting meeting today or not is yet to be seen, but the fact that the Aussie sits at a pivotal level should be noted.
Asian Open: Equities rally on peace talks, NZ business outlook up next
European and US indices were broadly higher as peace talks moved in the right direction. Today we’re watching AUD/NZD for today’s NZ Business Outlook report.
Russia to demand rubles for their oil, gold set to breakout?
US indices pulled back from their highs overnight as bond yields continued to scream higher as Fed officials maintained their hawkish rhetoric.
Best day for AUD in 13-months, gold hints at swing low
It was a volatile session around the FOMC meeting but after the press conference, commodities and therefore commodity currencies rallied into the close.
Asian Open: Wall Street posts late-stage gains after turbulent start
The minor gains on Wall Street may not look like much initially, but they become more impressive when compared to their initial losses of around -5%.
ASX200: The Long And Short Of It | FMG, BAP, BLD
A technical look at potential long or short opportunities within the ASX 200.
RBA Headed For A Cut In Feb 2020?
We highlighted after their statement earlier this month that the RBA could ‘ease’ their way into 2020, and the release of today’s minutes reaffirms this view.
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The 200-day MA comes to the rescue for the #SP500 - with no thanks to #Yellen for *not* providing blanket insurance for US deposits, and #Powell insisting on 'fighting #inflation' Sentiment is back to the fragile stage! Short bias for #AUD remains (note 200-day MA capped… https://t.co/9EKqinocLv https://t.co/WgPEOIYW2l
9:59 PM − 22 Mar 2023
ASX200 Mean Reversion Could (Finally) Be Underway
We’ve been monitoring the potential for an inflection point on the ASX200 for the past couple of weeks and it appears cracks are now appearing at recent highs.
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RBA and GDP On Tap For AUD and ASX200
Whilst there’s a lot expectation for RBA to ease, it could be GDP which sees volatility erupt if it softens further.
