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Fed meeting preview: Dollar Index at 1-month lows ahead of tight decision
We agree with the market’s expectation that Jerome Powell and company are likely to deliver a 25bps interest rate hike this month, though we certainly wouldn’t be shocked to see the central bank hold fire for now.
US retail sales recap: Recession, Reschmession
The previously omnipresent calls for a 2023 recession in the US are looking more and more wrong by the day.
Dollar strengthens ahead of US retail sales
Investors are pricing in a higher terminal interest rate in the US
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Markets in holding pattern as traders eye US CPI
…once again the focus is going to be on inflation and central bank speech.
Will Powell disappoint dollar die-hards?
Futures markets now tally with many Fed policymakers for the first time this year, accepting the Fed's "terminal rate" will be above 5%...
Dollar extends rally
That surprise 500-thousand-plus job gains we saw on Friday means the market may gravitate towards “higher for longer” narrative
Dollar could rebound as DXY tests major support
The EUR/USD, GBP/USD and commodity dollars could all fall back if sentiment towards risk remains subdued.
Technical Tuesday: S&P 500, Dollar Index, GBP/USD and Gold
In this week’s edition, we are getting technical on the Dollar Index, S&P 500, GBP/USD and gold
Dollar index clings onto bull trend ahead of CPI
CPI is way too high for the Fed to ease off the gas.
FOMC meeting preview: Fed expected to hike 75bps, but is the pivot imminent?
The stakes couldn’t be higher for this month’s FOMC meeting - see why!
US Dollar retreats further ahead of US CPI
Barring a very low print, today’s CPI report is unlikely to significantly impact expectations around Fed tightening.
Whilst inflation may have peaked, the ‘Nowcast’ seems less certain
We saw some strong moves overnight following signs that inflation may have peaked, but a glance at the Cleveland Fed’s Nowcast places a fly in the ointment.
US CPI recap: A turning point in the inflation debate?
If the “peak inflation” theme gathers steam in the coming weeks, we may look back at today’s inflation reading as a major turning point for the year-to-date market trends.
US CPI preview: Are we past peak inflation?
Headline inflation reading may show price pressures fading while the Fed’s preferred “core” (ex-energy and food) CPI measure shows that underlying inflation is still rising
Forex Friday: DXY and USD/CAD in focus
In this week’s edition, we discuss the dollar and its impressive rally and the Canadian dollar.
US dollar surges as US short-term yields hit 22-month highs
It’s clear that investors are more confident than ever that the Federal Reserve will seek to “normalize” monetary policy in 2022, paving the way for US dollar strength
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NFP early insight: COVID waning, employees’ negotiating power waxing?
The latest data on the pandemic shows US cases declining sharply after peaking in the middle of September, suggesting that travel-sensitive industries may flip back into growth mode sooner rather than later...
USA! USA! USA! Dollar Index and S&P 500 Test Highs as Traders Pile into US Assets
Global capital is flooding into US markets as many traders return from a long holiday weekend.
Dollar Index Probing 10-Month Highs After US Retail Sales
FX traders were casting a wandering eye ahead toward a long holiday weekend this morning, but the US retail sales report pulled their attention back to their monitors.
DXY: Dollar tests key resistance ahead of NFP
The Dollar Index is trading near the top of its 6-month trading range ahead of Friday’s US jobs report.
DXY Could Face Headwinds As We Head Into April
If the US dollar index (DXY) is to follow its seasonal tendency, headwinds could cap upside potential in March before dragging it lower around April.
Weekly COTS Report - 18th March 2019
A summary of the weekly Commitment of Traders Report (COTS) from CFTC to show market positioning among large speculators.