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GBP/USD rallies to the mid-1.21s, despite big bets on a 6% Fed rate
One trader amassed a large position in options that would make $135 million if the central bank keeps tightening until September!
Implied volatility spikes, BOJ gets active ahead of FOMC
Rising yields ahead of the FOMC meeting has seen the BOJ announce bond purchases, and implied volatility has risen notably for the next 24-hours.
The SNB could surprise (again) with a larger than expected hike
The SNB (Swiss National Bank) are expected to hike interest rates tomorrow, which would send their rate above zero for the first time since 2011.
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Central banks current monetary policy - Where to next?
Major central banks around the world, except for the BOJ, are in tightening mode on the back of increasing inflation.
Fixed vs floating exchange rates – what’s the difference?
A fixed exchange rate describes when a currency’s value is pegged to a stronger, more influential currency. By contrast, a floating exchange rate allows a currency value to fluctuate with supply and demand. Both systems have pros and cons depending on a country’s economy.
Forecasting 2022 inflation: Transitory no more?
The ongoing global inflationary pressure stems from two primary causes: Economic stimulus and supply chain disruptions - how will they evolve in 2022?
Three key questions every trader should be asking about inflation…and how to trade it
Both the current supply chain disruptions and the highly-accommodative economic policies are poised to ease, though perhaps not until closer to the middle of 2022...
ECB recap: Lagarde drives EUR/USD to new October highs
Ms. Lagarde's strongest statement was around the PEPP purchases ending in March, making the statement more hawkish than anticipated
ECB Preview: Lagarde to be dovish as she drives home strategic review
“The formulation removes any possible ambiguity and resolutely conveys that 2% is not a ceiling”
What is a repo? Repurchasing agreements explained
The repo market has gathered significant attention recently after the Fed’s purchases hit a record of half a trillion dollars. But is a repo? And why does central bank action impact the market so much? Find out below.
FOMC Minutes: Two Key Takeaways that Will Shape Monetary Policy Moving Forward
Despite a powerful winter storm forcing the Federal Reserve’s Washington DC offices to close, the central bank was still able to release the minutes from its late January meeting.
FOMC Recap: No More Hiking Bias?
With seemingly every member of the Federal Reserve emphasizing that the central bank would be “patient” following its December interest rate hike, it came as no surprise that the Fed left interest rates unchanged today. And, despite the speculation that Chairman Powell and Company could revisit their balance sheet rundown strategy, the central bank was quiet on that front as well.
Week Ahead: US dollar in focus ahead of FOMC, NFP
For more than a week, the US dollar has risen sharply as US government bond yields have surged – with the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield briefly topping 3% – while geopolitical risk perceptions have tentatively waned.
Week Ahead: ECB and BoJ in Focus
The past week has seen a sharp rise in US Treasury yields, which has helped to fuel a US dollar rebound as well as place renewed pressure on recently rallying equity markets.
Fed Recap: Dollar sinks despite higher Fed forecasts
The Federal Reserve, helmed for the first time by new Fed Chair Jerome Powell, concluded its two-day FOMC meeting on Wednesday, announcing a widely expected 25-basis-point interest rate hike to push the federal funds rate up to 1.50-1.75%.
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FOMC Preview: Connecting the Dots
The Federal Reserve’s two-day FOMC meeting concludes on Wednesday, and markets are heavily focused on Fed officials’ latest economic projections – more specifically, the outlook for future interest rates as represented by the Fed’s “dot plot.”
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Week Ahead: Fed, BoE, G20 in Focus
The past week saw market volatility stabilize from previous weeks as both the US dollar and equity markets sought direction amid continuing concerns over the potential for a global trade war.
EUR/USD may retest highs amid ECB, US jobs, tariff disputes
If US and European markets have not had enough volatility to deal with this week amid the specter of possible trade wars stemming from US President Trump’s plans to impose hefty import tariffs and the European Union’s swift threats of retaliation, more potential volatility triggers are on the way.
Markets Brace for Powell Testimony, Round Two
On Wednesday, the last day of an atypically volatile February, stocks continued to struggle and fluctuate in the aftermath of a broad-based sell-off a day earlier that was driven by new Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s hawkish testimony in front of the US Congress’ House Financial Services Committee.
Week Ahead: New Fed Chair in focus as markets mull interest rate trajectory
The US dollar was still seeking direction while equity markets bounced back on Friday after a week of persistently volatile trading, as interest rates and Federal Reserve speculation continued to dominate headlines.
AUD/USD still elevated on US dollar weakness ahead of key Australian releases
Early next week features some key releases from Australia, including the minutes from the last Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) monetary policy meeting in early February, and the quarterly Wage Price Index.
USD/JPY plunge hesitates at major price level ahead of Bank of Japan decision
For the second day in a row, the heavily-battered US dollar index showed signs of rebounding and rallying from extreme lows early in the day, only to pare those gains and dip into negative territory further into the trading day.