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AUD/USD, NZD/USD and WTI outlook - Technical Tuesday
Welcome to Technical Tuesday, a weekly report where we highlight some of the most interesting markets that will hopefully appease technical analysts and traders alike. In this week’s report, we are getting technical on the AUD/USD and NZD/USD, as well as WTI crude oil, as traders await key data in the second half of the week.

RBNZ Preview: NZD/USD Vulnerable to Dovish Forward Guidance
NZD/USD may struggle to defend the opening range for July if the RBNZ adjusts the forward guidance for monetary policy.

NZD/USD analysis: The RBNZ’s latest 25bp hike could be their last
NZD pairs were lower after the RBNZ hiked for a 12th consecutive meeting and signalled they may have reached a peak rate of 5.5%. At least for now.

AUD/USD, NZD/USD analysis: RBNZ to deliver a hawkish hike?
The RBNZ (Reserve Bank of New Zealand) are expected to hike by another 25bp tomorrow, despite 1 and 2-year inflation expectations plummeting at their fastest pace since the pandemic.

NZD/USD Rate Outlook Hinges on RBNZ Rate Decision
The RBNZ interest rate decision may keep NZD/USD afloat as the central bank is expected to further embark on its hiking-cycle.

NZD/USD forecast: RBNZ rate decision in focus
The RBNZ rate decision may keep NZD/USD above the 50-Day SMA (0.6275) as the central bank appears to be on track to implement a more restrictive policy.

NZD/USD susceptible to negative slope in 50-Day SMA
NZD/USD may track the negative slope in the 50-Day SMA (0.6294) as it struggles to retain the advance from the yearly low (0.6085).

NZD/USD fails again to test monthly high
NZD/USD approaches the weekly low (0.6137) after staging another failed attempt to test the monthly high (0.6276).

New Zealand consumers are not helping out NZD/USD as it trades at 3-month lows
With rebuilding, more spending, and higher inflation expected, it may be difficult to keep Retail Sales down

NZD/USD fails to push back above 50-Day SMA
NZD/USD may struggle to retain the advance from the January low (0.6192) as it fails to trade back above the 50-Day SMA (0.6375).

New Zealand’s inflation came in much hotter than expected [hoped]
Talk of peak inflation was short-lived following release of Q3 inflation for New Zealand, with the annual rate sticking near its highs and the quarterly rate accelerating.

New Zealand’s inflation came in much hotter than expected [hoped]
Talk of peak inflation was short-lived following release of Q3 inflation for New Zealand, with the annual rate sticking near its highs and the quarterly rate accelerating.

Will NZD/USD take out the March 2020 lows?
If the price action is the same after the CPI print as it was after the hawkish RBNZ, then bounces will be sold into and the pair could take out the lows.

Will NZD/USD take out the March 2020 lows?
If the price action is the same after the CPI print as it was after the hawkish RBNZ, then bounces will be sold into and the pair could take out the lows.

The RBNZ hiked by 50bp – but a 75bp hike was considered
The RBNZ hiked for an eight consecutive meeting to take interest rates to 3.5%.

The RBNZ hiked by 50bp – but a 75bp hike was considered
The RBNZ hiked for an eight consecutive meeting to take interest rates to 3.5%.

August RBNZ Preview and what next for the NZDUSD
At its meeting tomorrow, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand is widely expected to raise the Official Cash Rate by 50 basis points taking the cash rate to 3%. It will be the RBNZ’s fourth consecutive 50bp hike in a tightening cycle that started in October.

NZDUSD remains grounded despite a third straight 50bp RBNZ rate hike
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand has today raised the Official Cash Rate by 50 basis points to 2.50%. It was the RBNZ’s third straight 50bp hike in a row, in a tightening cycle that started back in October.

RBNZ Preview and what next for the NZDUSD
At its meeting on Wednesday, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand is widely expected to raise the Official Cash Rate by 50 basis points taking the cash rate to 2.50%. It will be the RBNZ’s third straight 50bp hike in a row, in a tightening cycle that started back in October.

Are commodity currencies about to reverse vs the US Dollar?
NZD/USD and AUD/USD have hit key Fibonacci retracement levels and held.

AUD/USD and NZD/USD highly correlated with USD/CNH
Traders can use the correlation coefficient on the 240-minute timeframe to help them determine where AUD/USD and NZD/USD may be headed next.

Key considerations for the Kiwi ahead of tomorrows RBNZ meeting
At 11 am Sydney time tomorrow, the RBNZ will announce either a 25bp or an inflation-busting 50bp rate hike in what will be a very close call.

US Core PCE continues to rise; puts more pressure on Fed
As the Fed continues to catch up with the rest of the markets in realizing that inflation is indeed high, it now has another data point to refer to, Core PCE.