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Technical Tuesday: EUR/USD, GOLD and Russell

In this week’s edition, we discuss the dollar, EUR/USD, gold and the Russell index.

Downward trend

US October PPI follows the CPI lower

Both the CPI and PPI are pointing towards a slowdown in the pace of interest rate hikes for the Fed, to 50bps from 75bps.

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November 15, 2022 11:03 AM
Market chart

Headline PPI higher than expected; Readies markets for CPI tomorrow

10-year yields and USD/JPY appear to be continuing with their moves higher as markets wait for the CPI print.

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October 12, 2022 10:15 AM

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Market chart

Headline PPI higher than expected; Readies markets for CPI tomorrow

10-year yields and USD/JPY appear to be continuing with their moves higher as markets wait for the CPI print.

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October 12, 2022 10:15 AM
Bank notes of different currencies

US headline PPI as expected; Core PPI higher

The reaction to today’s PPI print was relatively muted compared to that of yesterday’s CPI print.

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September 14, 2022 10:47 AM
Gold trading

Gold dips despite softening signs of inflation

Perhaps a bit of basing and consolidation is needed for the metal to gear up for a clean breakout above $1800.

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August 11, 2022 12:17 PM
downtrend chart

USD/JPY heading to 130?

With the odds of 75 basis point hike having dropped, the Fed is careful not to push too hard against that...

Yen, Euros and dollar currency bills and notes

PPI follows CPI with stronger than expected 11.3% headline print

As the DXY continues to make new daily highs, it appears that inflation is still at the forefront of traders’ minds, with worries of a global slowdown right behind it!

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July 14, 2022 12:13 PM

US PPI not much help in trying to decide between 50bps and 75bps from the Fed

Until the FOMC decision on Wednesday, USD/JPY seems like it may be in waiting mode.

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June 14, 2022 11:07 AM
Forex trading

US PPI follows suit after CPI print

Although PPI was lower than March's reading, it did little to soothe investor fears of rising interest rates.

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May 12, 2022 11:45 AM
Close-up of market chart showing downtrend

PPI hits a record high above 11%, sellers eyeing GBP/USD’s 100-pip bounce

Today’s PPI report suggests that inflation at a consumer level is likely to get worse before it gets better...

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April 13, 2022 12:43 PM
Graph showing a slow uptrend

US PPI: The last look at inflation for the Fed before the FOMC meeting

Although the print is very high, a single economic data point is unlikely to sway the Fed’s decision.

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March 15, 2022 11:25 AM
Graph showing a slow uptrend

US headline PPI blows away estimates

Headline US PPI for January was 9.7% YoY vs 9.1% YoY expected.

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February 15, 2022 10:24 AM
High rise buildings

PPI stronger than expected with revision. DXY, EUR/USD

December CPI and PPI both came in hotter than expected, yet the US Dollar moved lower after the releases.

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January 13, 2022 11:27 AM
Close-up of market chart

US PPI remains at highest levels since November 2010; What about CPI? USD/JPY

If 10-year yields can hold support and move higher, USD/JPY may be able to do the same

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November 9, 2021 11:23 AM
Currency exchange rate board of multiple currencies

Week Ahead: More Downside for the Euro?

Often, when price fails to breakout of one side, it tries to retest the other side.

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This week brings a plethora of data from the UK to use as a re-starting point.

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Riksbank on Hold for Now, but is Looking for Reasons to Raise Rates

Data over the next week from Sweden will be important in determining the direction of USD/SEK.

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November 26, 2019 10:56 AM

All is Good According to the FOMC Minutes

The US Dollar was mostly unchanged versus other currencies on the release of the minutes

Dollar Index Head-and-Shoulders Pattern in Play After Weak Inflation Data

With three central bank meetings on the schedule today (see my colleague Fawad Razaqzada’s reports from earlier today for previews and recaps of the BOE, ECB, and CBRT meetings) , FX traders have been understandably focused away from the world’s reserve currency. However, dollar bulls who were keyed in on this week’s inflation data were no doubt disappointed.

US dollar woes continue to weigh amid weak inflation data

The second trading week of the new year began with some optimism that the US dollar might be able to stage a comeback after starting the year on a weak note. But circumstances have conspired in the latter half of this week to bring the dollar back down near year-to-date lows, extending the greenback’s pronounced weakness that prevailed throughout much of 2017.

GBP/USD could fall despite UK scoring a hat-trick of good PMIs

The UK economy scored a hat-trick of good news this week. The purchasing managers' indices (PMIs) for the key sectors all strengthened above forecasts in April. We had already seen this week that the manufacturing sector PMI had risen sharply to 57.3 from 54.2 previously and construction PMI to 53.1 from 52.2. The key question was how the dominant services sector performed amid the Brexit uncertainty and ahead of the general elections in June. Well, apparently, very well. The PMI came in at 55.8, up from 55.0 and above 54.6 expected. The pound recovered from earlier losses to hit the $1.29 handle again, where it was trading around at the time of this writing.

EUR/USD: Technical bias still points higher, but fundamental risks abound

Markets have predictably calmed down this afternoon as European traders clock out and US traders enjoy their President’s Day holidays, giving us a good opportunity to reevaluate the prospects for the world’s most widely-traded currency pair, EUR/USD.