European Open: Asian Equities Keep The Bearish Ball Rolling

Asian equities remained under pressure following its weak lead from Wall Street, with a broad market index for the region approaching its one-year low.

Volatility was low for forex pairs overnight

Asian Indices:

  • Australia's ASX 200 index fell by -36 points (-0.49%) and currently trades at 7,242.50
  • Japan's Nikkei 225 index has fallen by -530.42 points (-1.89%) and currently trades at 27,901.30
  • Hong Kong's Hang Seng index has risen by 67.78 points (0.28%) and currently trades at 24,104.15


UK and Europe:

  • UK's FTSE 100 futures are currently up 35 points (0.5%), the cash market is currently estimated to open at 7,046.01
  • Euro STOXX 50 futures are currently up 15.5 points (0.39%), the cash market is currently estimated to open at 4,011.91
  • Germany's DAX futures are currently up 69 points (0.46%), the cash market is currently estimated to open at 15,105.55


US Futures:

  • DJI futures are currently down -323.54 points (-0.94%)
  • S&P 500 futures are currently up 52.25 points (0.36%)
  • Nasdaq 100 futures are currently up 6.25 points (0.15%)



Higher oil prices continued to fan inflationary concerns and weigh on equity prices across Asia. The MSCI APAC index (excluding Japan) fell over 1% and is now approaching the August low. It currently trades lower for a 6th consecutive week. The ASX 200 is currently -0.7% lower and on track to change direction for its 5th consecutive session as the directionless shakeout continues. And the Nikkei 225 accelerated to the downside and hit a 25-day low. The index is down around -10% since its failure to hold above the February high.


Still, there may be chance of a technical bounce looking at the Nasdaq 100. It found support at a bullish trendline from the March low and monthly S1 pivot. It also closed back above the July 19th low, so there is a technical case for a minor bounce (even if it is only short lived). And if the Nasdaq can manage a bounce then it may help the FTSE 100 remain above 7000, a level it tried to crack yesterday.


FTSE 350: Market Internals

FTSE 350 performance

FTSE 350: 4026.29 (-0.23%) 04 October 2021

  • 57 (16.24%) stocks advanced and 288 (82.05%) declined
  • 4 stocks rose to a new 52-week high, 22 fell to new lows
  • 55.56% of stocks closed above their 200-day average
  • 55.27% of stocks closed above their 50-day average
  • 9.4% of stocks closed above their 20-day average



  • + 5.41%-Harbour Energy PLC(HBR.L)
  • + 3.71%-BH Macro Ltd(BHMG.L)
  • + 3.37%-J Sainsbury PLC(SBRY.L)



  • -6.91%-Frasers Group PLC(FRAS.L)
  • -5.53%-Trainline PLC(TRNT.L)
  • -5.30%-Restaurant Group PLC(RTN.L)



The RBA held interest rates at 0.1% as widely expected, and decided to continue purchasing government securities at AU $4 billion per week until at least February 2022. So it look like we get to celebrate the first anniversary of their record low rates at next month’s meeting. Volatility was low overnight and ultimately a minor correction against yesterday’s moves, so USD is currently the strongest major.


CHF/JPY is probing trend resistance


Technically, CHF/JPY may be one to watch after it printed a prominent swing low yesterday. Its bullish outsider / engulfing candle confirmed support just above the 200-day eMA, and followed on from a small Doji as part of a Morning Star reversal (3-bar bullish reversal pattern). Having confirmed support at the monthly S1 pivot point it is now probing trend resistance. If prices can break above yesterday’s high we think it could aim for the 120.62 highs, just below the monthly R1 and weekly R2 pivots.

Final PMI reads across Europe place EUR and GBP pairs into focus in today’s session. Yet as it’s the flash report that tends to provide greater levels of volatility traders would need to see some strong revisions before expecting any larger moves.

We also have a few central bankers speaking today. ECB board member Fernandez Bollo speaks at the international summit “GLOBAL NPL” at 08:00. The Fed’s Thomas Barkin speaks at 15:30 BST, and Vice Chair Randal Quarles speaks at 18:15.




Gold was -0.5% lower overnight having found resistance at the monthly pivot point and yesterday’s high. Yet due to its bullish outside day yesterday, a break above resistance assumes bullish continuation in line with Thursday’s elongated bullish candle.

Oil prices were a touch higher overnight after breaking to 3-year high. And should they continue to rise then it could spell further trouble for equities, whilst a pause in trend for oil could potentially see bears shaken out at the lows.


Up Next (Times in BST)

Today's calendar

Disclaimer: The information on this web site is not targeted at the general public of any particular country. It is not intended for distribution to residents in any country where such distribution or use would contravene any local law or regulatory requirement. The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient. Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warranty that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.

Futures, Options on Futures, Foreign Exchange and other leveraged products involves significant risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Losses can exceed your deposits. Increasing leverage increases risk. Spot Gold and Silver contracts are not subject to regulation under the U.S. Commodity Exchange Act. Contracts for Difference (CFDs) are not available for US residents. Before deciding to trade forex and commodity futures, you should carefully consider your financial objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained herein is intended as general information about the subject matter covered and is provided with the understanding that we do not provide any investment, legal, or tax advice. You should consult with appropriate counsel or other advisors on all investment, legal, or tax matters. References to or GAIN Capital refer to GAIN Capital Holdings Inc. and its subsidiaries. Please read Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options.

Open an Account